Critical Analysis of Evolutionary Theory
Critical Analysis of Evolutionary Theory
K. P. Mohanan
Center for Integrative Studies
Indian Institute for Science Education and Research (IISER), Pune
April 2011
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Q4 The formulation of the goal of creationism as “an effort to apply the scientific method to
discover how God created the Heavens and the Earth” carries the presupposition that God
did create the Heavens and the Earth. How scientific is it to accept that presupposition
without critical scrutiny?
Q5 Why do you think I have raised questions 1-3?
Now take a look at their discussion of the issues in the creationism vs. evolutionism debate at
[Link] parts of which are given below:
Evolution vs. Creation: The Great Debate
The Evolution vs. Creation debate is often referred to as the "Great Debate." It's the emotion-packed question
of "Origins" -- why, how, and where did everything come from? 20th century science has made the compelling
discovery that, at some point, the universe began. Both sides of the Great Debate now agree that the universe
has not existed eternally. However, this is where the agreement ends. As far as the "why" and "how" of the
"origin event," this is where the division and contention begin. There are two basic theories in this Great
Debate. The first is the historical default - the Creation Model of Origins. This theory maintains that the
intricate design permeating all things implies a Designer. The second theory is the more recent, atheistic
explanation - the Evolution Model of Origins. This theory postulates that the intricate design permeating all
things is a product of random chance and excessive time.
Let us take a careful look at the charge the theory of evolution is not supported by evidence.
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Null Hypothesis
Consider the proposal that “… the burden of evidence should be upon the Evolutionists, since
Creation has been the historic and inherent default throughout virtually all cultures and religions
until roughly the last 200 years.” This in effect says that creationism is the null hypothesis. How
would you react to this position? [Also, do all cultures and religions until roughly 200 years
subscribe to creationism? e.g. What about Buddhism, Advaita, …]
To respond to the question about the null hypothesis, you need to understand what the term
means in scientific inquiry.
A null hypothesis is a proposition that you take to be true if there is no evidence against it. Take
the question, “Is there a correlation between the length of a person’s nose and her ability to do
research in mathematics?” I doubt if there has been any research that investigates this question,
and hence it is unlikely that there is any evidence that supports or refutes this hypothesis. In the
absence of evidence for or against the claim, what should you accept as true? Should you
conclude that there is a correlation or should you conclude that there is no correlation? We
would all agree that the conclusion should be that there is no correlation. That is the null
hypothesis, what we accept as true in the absence of evidence to the contrary.
Not all choices among hypotheses involve null hypotheses. Suppose there is a correlation
between two properties, say, the tendency to suffer from constant nausea and the tendency to eat
cloves. Is one of them the cause of the other? We should consider the following possibilities.
Eating cloves causes nausea.
Nausea causes the desire to eat cloves.
A certain gene causes both nausea and desire to eat cloves.
In the absence of evidence, we would not be able to make a choice. That is to say, none of the
above is the null hypothesis.
A similar situation is found in mathematics. Suppose a mathematician, say, Ramanujam,
proposes a mathematical conjecture, and no one has been above to prove it. No one has been
able to prove that the conjecture is false either. Should we then take Ramanujam’s conjecture as
the null hypothesis and conclude that, given that it has not been proved to be false, the
conjecture is true? No. As far as mathematical conjectures are concerned there are no null
hypotheses. If the conjecture has not been proved to be true or false, we say that it remains a
conjecture, to be investigated further.
In criminal law, the null hypothesis (called “presumption”) is that the accused is innocent.
(“Innocent until proven guilty.”) As a result, the “burden of proof” is on the prosecution. All that
the defense has to do is to pick holes in the prosecution’s argument. In civil law, in contrast,
both parties in a controversy must present arguments in support of their respective positions, and
the judge chooses the position supported by the strongest argument. This is called ‘probative
weight’ in law. (The criteria of truth are different for criminal law and civil law.)
What I am pointing to is the distinction between situations where the null hypothesis logic is
legitimate and situations where the null hypothesis logic is illegitimate. In doing so, I am
pointing to the need to listen to the creationist criticism, evaluate it critically, and decide for
yourselves how much of the criticism you should accept. I would recommend that you spend
some time thinking about it.
An Alternative Version of Creationism
Let us proceed. Consider the following proposition:
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Creationism A. The universe we live in was created by a Divine Being outside the universe
who set it in motion with the Big Bang singularity, and designed in such a
way that it would evolve without her (= the Divine Being’s) intervention to
be the way it is now, including the humans and other creatures on Earth.
The Divinity in the above theory is non-interventionist. Once the universe is set in motion with
the Big Bang, she does not intervene or control its evolution.
Bx Cx Bx Cx Bx Cx
figure 1 figure 2 figure 3
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Take the emergence of writing in different cultures in human history. Take the x in the above
figures as trait x. In figure 1, cultures B and C have a single ancestor, A, which had writing, and
the writing was preserved (with or without modification) in the descendents. In figure 2, the
ancestors of B and C are B’ and C’, and neither had writing: writing emerged independently in B
and C, either because of (a) environmental pressures, or (b) the properties of the substrate
(human brain-mind / human society), or a combination. In figure 3, ancestor B’ had writing, but
C’ didn’t. The two cultures came into contact, and culture C borrowed it from B’ (or B).
There are many examples of cultural analogies of this kind, analogous traits that appear in
diverse cultures. They include incest taboos, ways of cooking, territorialism, weapons, speech,
belief in demons, belief in ghosts, moral codes, institutional punishment for socially undesirable
actions, music, dance, painting, mathematics, medicine, trade, money, religious institutions,
family, tool use, … the list goes on. Anthropologists call them cultural universals. (See the
University of California TV production “CARTA: Human Cultural Universals at
[Link] (CARTA is Center for Academic Research
and Training in Anthropogeny)
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Q 16 The article cites ‘Biogeography’ as further evidence for shared ancestry. Does it? (Now
you do the interrogation.)
When you address these questions, it might be useful to bear in mind the distinction between (a)
shared ancestry and divergent evolution as an explanation for the observed patterns, (b) random
mutation and selection as the mechanism for species divergence. The second part comes into
play only for those cases where we have already accepted the first part. The existence of natural
selection does not constitute an argument against homoplastic explanation.
After having gone through the first round of reading-and-interrogating, it would be a good idea
to read the attached article on Waddington (Johanan W. S. Slack “Conrad Hal Waddington: The
Last Renaissance Biologist?”), as well as the attached article on Octopus by Simon Morris
(Simon Conway Morris “Consider the Octopus.) And while you are at it, reflect on the following
questions as well.
Q 17 Why do you think I asked you to read Morris’s article, and the article on Waddington?
Q 18 Consider how novel species emerge in the course of evolution. The standard model is
that of diversification, one species splitting into two or more. But what about fusion,
the possibility of a new species coming into existence because of a combination of two
or more species? Is there any evidence to show that such a process cannot exist? If
there is no such evidence, and if it turns out that fusion exists, what would the
evolutionary tree look like, and what challenges would it bring to the theory of
evolution?
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Part II: Towards a Theory of Species
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From a historical point of view, we find that human curiosity about the nature of reality, and
about the origin of the physical universe, of life, and of humanity began with mythological story
telling. The Old Testament and the creation stories of the other cultures are examples of using
mythology to make sense of the world. At a later stage, we proceeded to rationally coherent
speculations. The Rig Veda, the Upanishads, Plato, Heraclitus, and Sankara are examples of
such metaphysical speculation. When conclusions based on systematically gathered evidence
replace metaphysical speculation, it is then that science begins. Such evidence-based rationality
employs two related strategies: hypothesis testing, and explanation-based conclusions. Darwin’s
approach to evolution was that of hypothesis testing. Our discussions on evolution have been an
attempt at nudging you to adopt the strategy of explanation-based conclusions.
The theory of specio-genesis in the Old Testament, as we said earlier, involves a supernatural
creator. This is inadmissible in scientific inquiry. Suppose we eliminate the creator from this
theory; we can state the scientifically admissible part of that specio-genesis as follows:
Non-evolutionary Genesis:
All species came to exist simultaneously, independently of one another.
Replacing the supernatural cause with a natural one, we may represent this view as follows:
natural cause
natural cause
SPECIES-0 ancestors
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This way of unpacking the idea of evolution sheds light on the different positions that are
possible to take, and the differences and similarities between them. We can derive the Old
Testament theory from fig. 1 by changing the natural cause to a supernatural one. With similar
modifications to fig. 2 and fig. 3, we can derive various versions of Intelligent Design theories.
We could also have a combination of supernatural and natural causes, the supernatural cause
generating the ancestor, and natural causes governing the rest of evolution.
Common to both versions 1 and 2 is the idea that evolutionary divergence of traits within a
species, in the course of time, can lead to evolutionary divergence of species themselves. Now,
current evolutionary theories permit evolutionary convergence of traits, but not that of species:
Divergence Convergence
of traits of species of traits of species
YES YES YES NO
Figure 4 Figure 5
An evolutionary theory that allows both divergence and convergence of species (in addition to
the already accepted divergence and convergence of traits) is a perfectly plausible conjecture
that needs to be carefully investigated, not dismissed without consideration.
A word of caution. It might be useful to distinguish the following kinds of species convergence:
i. Convergence of two species into a single species through interbreeding, resulting in the
reduction of diversity.
ii. Convergence of two species into a single species through interbreeding, resulting in the
formation of a new species and hence in an increase of diversity.
iii. Independent evolution of two different ancestor species generating the same species,
resulting in greater overall diversity (but less than what it might have been had the
emergence resulted in distinct species.)
The term "convergent evolution" in the literature refers to the convergence of traits, not to any of
the convergences in (i)-(iii). This is what comes under homoplasy. The existence of (i) is and
(ii) are acknowledged in the field, but, as mentioned above, this is logically inconsistent with
the phylogenetic trees that carry the implicit assumption that such convergences do not exist.
And furthermore, as we shall see, they are both inconsistent with the standard textbook
definition of species.
In the discussion above, we reviewed possible models for a theory of evolution. The review is a
way to enlarge the space within which we can construct alternative evolutionary theories without
taking the classical one for granted.
There are many evolutionary theories of specio-genesis that contrast with the non-evolutionary
one. One conjecture that they all share is that of divergent evolution of species. If we accept
“evolution” as “changes resulting from successive cycles of reproduction,” the claim that unifies
all evolutionary theories is: A single ancestor species diverges into more than one distinct
species in the course of successive cycles of reproduction. To critically evaluate this claim, we
need to answer an important question:
Question 1: In the claim that species divergence happens in evolution (and species
convergence does not happen), what does the term “species” mean?
This question calls for either a definition or a theory of species, probably both.
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Text Book Definition of Species
I have not seen a single satisfactory definition of species. One textbook definition of species is ‘a
population of organisms capable of interbreeding to produce fertile offspring’. This definition
does not work for at least three reasons. First, it says nothing about species that engage in non-
sexual reproduction.
Second, it leads to a contradiction. There exist well-known instances of what are called “ring
species”, in which:
populations interbreed (and produce fertile offspring)
A, B √
B, C √
C, D √
D, A √
But A, C X
B, D X
If the relation, “X belongs to the same species as Y,” is transitive, then populations A, B, C, and
D must belong to the same species. Yet, by the definition of species, A and C cannot belong to
the same species, nor can B and D. Thus, we end up with a logical contradiction.
The third problem is the logical inconsistency of the definition. Though rare, we do come across
instances of fertile interspecies hybrids; one such is that of dogs and wolves producing fertile
offspring. A number of such cases are documented at
[Link]
“ If the parent species are extremely closely related, they may produce fertile offspring. These are the
edge cases in which the biological species concept can become too rigid. The biological species
concept states that animals belong to a separate species if they cannot interbreed. So, if animals
supposedly from different species interbreed and produce fertile offspring, then according to the
biological species concept they should be one species. However, we usually don't consider them the
same species because they differ in other features, such as geographic location, appearance, behavior,
and genetics.
Matings between these species produce viable, fertile offspring:
Canis species: Domestic dogs (Canis familaris), wolves (Canis lupus, Canis rufus) and coyotes (Canis
latrans) can interbreed and produce fertile offspring:
o Evidence for domestic dog DNA in wild Siberian wolves (Vila et al. 2003)
o Evidence for domestic dog DNA in wild coyotes (Adams et al. 2003b)
o Evidence for red wolf-coyote hybridization (Adams et al. 2003a); Northeastern coyotes
may be the product of hybridization between Canadian wolves and Western coyotes.
Cichlid species in Lake Victoria are extremely variable, displaying 500 color morphs. The species are
isolated through mate choice, which is determined by coloration: mates choose each other by color
pattern. However, in recent years, human activity has caused the water of Lake Victoria to become
cloudy. In these areas, the cichlids can't differentiate between species. In these cloudy areas, bright
color morphs have disappeared and the fish have become similar and dull in appearance through
hybridization.” (Seehausen et al. 1997)
These discussions indicate that biologists are using some criterion other than that of the textbook
definition to categorize populations into species. Given this other criterion, we can reformulate
the textbook definition as a biological law instead of as a definition:
Prohibition of Interspecies Interbreeding: If two populations belong to two distinct
species, they cannot interbreed to produce fertile offspring.
This prohibition is stated as an absolute law (without exception). Given the examples cited
above, this formulation cannot be right. If we state the law in probabilistic terms, however, it
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appears to capture a true generalization. I would therefore suggest that we state the insight as
three separate but related interbreeding laws:
Interspecies Interbreeding Laws
Law 1 a: If two populations belong to distinct species, the probability of their mating is low.
Law 1 b: The probability of interspecies mating producing an offspring is low.
Law 1 c: The probability of fertile offspring resulting from interspecies mating is low.
As in the case of species divergence and species convergence, this discussion raises the
following questions:
Question 2: In the claims that:
a) the probability of interspecies mating is low,
b) the probability of interspecies mating producing an offspring is low, and
c) the probability of fertile offspring resulting from interspecies mating is low,
what does the term “species” mean?
Other Problems
There are other logical problems in the standard evolutionary theory that go beyond the well-
known flaws of the textbook definition of species. One of them arises from the application of the
following universal law in development and evolution:
Law 2: Like begets like.
We all know that rabbits cannot give birth to mice and vice versa, and that the seed of a mango
tree cannot grow into a cashew tree. Parents and offspring cannot belong to distinct species. This
is the phenomenon of “Like begets like,” which is expressed as law 2.
Notice that the law is about species, not about traits, or about varieties within a species. Thus, it
does not say that parents and offspring cannot have different traits or belong to different
varieties. Also, within an Evo-Devo theory, this law holds on reproduction, the -Devo part.
When it comes to the Evo- part of the theory, we have a different story:
Evolution takes place in the course of a chain of successive reproductions.
Evolution can result in an ancestor and descendent belonging to distinct species. (fig. 4)
If no single parent-offspring pair is allowed to be distinct in their species membership, how can
a chain of such links result in an ancestor-descendent pair with distinct species memberships?
What we see here is a different manifestation of the transitivity problem of the relation “x
belongs to the same species as y” that we encountered in the ring species.
species-j species-k
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Question 3: In the claims that:
a) parents and offspring cannot belong to distinct species, but
b) ancestors and descendents need not belong the same species,
what does the term “species” mean?
Uniformity Principle
One assumption that has always been at the center of astronomy and physics is the Uniformity
Principle. The principle was extended to geology by James Hutton, and was subsequently
popularized by John Lyles; it was available to Darwin, and was something he appealed to. The
assumption that species diverge (fig. 4) needs to be tested now against this uniformity
principle.A general version of the principle that applies to both space and time can be
formulated as follows:
Uniformity Principle:
Unless there is evidence to the contrary, it is reasonable to conclude that a general law that
holds on the present time and current location (here and now) also holds for a distant time
and distant location (there and then, whether past or future.)
The principle works as follows. Suppose someone tells us that there existed humans with wings
a million years ago. We have not seen a single winged human; so, based on samples from the
present, we formulate a law: "Humans have no wings." As the null hypothesis, this would apply
to the past as well. Unless there is evidence to the contrary, we are justified in concluding that
there were no humans with wings in the past either.
Likewise, suppose someone asked you whether the gravitation of a particular planet in a far
away galaxy that we have not observed obeys the inverse cube law, and not the inverse square
law. We have no evidence to conclude either way, so we must go by the uniformity principle:
the law that applies to our location (here) also applies to the far away location (there).
By the same token, we must adopt the following null hypothesis for evolution:
Null hypothesis: Like begets like in evolution.
By this null hypothesis, ancestors and descendents cannot belong to distinct species.
The apparent logical contradiction between evolution and development in fig. 6 lends support to
the null hypothesis. In the absence of positive evidence to the contrary, we must assume that the
null hypothesis holds, in which case the divergence-of-species hypothesis would be false. To
establish the credibility of any version of evolutionary theory, in other words, we must show that
divergence of species can be observed in the present, and that hence the null hypothesis is false.
The kind of evidence that textbooks and popular literature commonly present for the existence
of evolution in the present happens to be evidence for the divergence of traits within a species,
not of species themselves. The story of the peppered moth, for instance, is often used to
demonstrate observable evolution in the present. The population of this moth before the
industrial revolution was predominantly light-coloured; but as industrial soot began to
accumulate, dark-coloured moths began to appear, and soon became the most common form.
But this does not point to the light-coloured and dark-coloured moths belonging to distinct
species; it is only evidence for adaptation, which results in the divergence of traits, and then in
divergent varieties within the same species. To give evidence for the divergence of species, we
must show that the divergence in the traits of the two varieties result in the two populations
bifurcating into two distinct species.
In the research literature on the subject, unlike in popular literature and textbooks,, there is
considerable experimental evidence for present day species divergence, summarized by J o s e p h