Numerical Sills
Numerical Sills
skills
STUDY MATERIAL
[Link]/BBA
III SEMESTER
GENERAL COURSE
CU CBCSS
(2014 ADMISSION ONWARDS)
UNIVERSITY OF CALICUT
SCHOOL OF DISTANCE EDUCATION
THENJIPALAM, CALICUT UNIVERSITY P.O. MALAPPURAM, KERALA - 693 635
535
UNIVERSTY OF CALICUT
SCHOOL OF DISTANCE EDUCATION
Study Material
MODULE I 1
MODULE II 37
MODULES III 49
MODULE IV 81
MODULE V 114
1
Basic Numerical Skills
MODULE - I
Sets of objects, numbers, departments, job descriptions, etc. are things that we
all deal with every day of our lives. Mathematical Set Theory just puts a structure
around this concept so that sets can be used or manipulated in a logical way. The
and e. Mathematically, we might identify the whole set of products as P, say, and
write:
P = (a,b,c,d,e)
The elements of a set are usually put within braces (curly brackets) and the
elements or members.
The theory of sets was introduced by the German mathematician Georg Cantor
in 1870. That is, there exists a rule with the help of which we will be able to say
whether a particular object ‘belong to’ the set or does not belong to the set..
The sets are usually denoted by the Capital letters of the English alphabet and
the elements are denoted by small letters. The objects in a set are called its
Question
In a particular insurance life office, employees Smith, Jones, Williams and Brown
have 'A’ levels, with Smith and Brown also having a degree. Smith, Melville, Williams, Tyler,
Moore and Knight are associate members of the Chartered Insurance Institute (ACII) with Tyler,
and Moore having 'A’ levels. Identifying set A as those employees with 'A' levels, set C as those
employees who are ACII and set D as graduates:
Answer
a) A = (Smith, Jones, Williams, Brown, Tyler, Moore);
C = (Smith, Melville, Williams, Tyler, Moore, Knight); D = (Smith,
Brown)
b) The Venn diagram is shown in Figure 1.3.
A
C
Jones
Moore Williams
Tyler
D Melville
Brown Smith Knight
iii. D∩C = (Smith). This set gives the single employee who is both
a graduate and ACII qualified.
e) A suitable universal set for this situation would be the set of all
the employees working in the Life office.
Exercise:
Let us Sum Up
This Lesson presented described about the set, set theory, Venn Diagrams, and its applications. A set is a
collection of distinct objects, called elements, which are normally enclosed within brackets and separated
by commas. Venn diagram is a pictorial representation of one or more sets. The Union and Intersection of
sets were also discussed in detail. Some examples to understand the concept is also given in the Lesson.
MATRICES
Aims and Objectives
marketing etc. Also in quantitative methods like linear programming, game theory,
the theoretical base. Matrix algebra can be used to solve simultaneous linear
equations.
A matrix is a rectangular array or ordered numbers. The term ordered implies that
represent the information contained in the problem. These numbers (also called
elements of the matrix) are arranged in rows and columns of the rectangular array
and columns one number or functions are called the elements of the matrix. The
horizontal lines of elements of the matrix are called rows and vertical lines of
a11 b11+ a12 b21+ a13ab31 a11 b12+ a12 b22+ a13ab32 a11 b13+ a12 b23+ a13ab33
a21 b11+ a22 b21+ a23ab31 a21 b12+ a22 b22+ a23ab32 a21 b13+ a22 b23+ a23ab33
a31 b11+ a32 b21+ a33ab31 a31 b12+ a32 b22+ a33ab32 a31 b13+ a32b23+ a33ab33
Note: For multification ,take each row and multiply with all coloumns.
Practice:
132 3 12
1. A= 0 2 1 and B= 4 2 3
053 4 -1 1
Find AB.
2. Two shops have the stock of large , medium and small sizes of a [Link] number of each size
stocked is given by the matrix A, where
Large medium small
150 240 120 Shop no 1
A= 90 300 210 Shop no 2
The cost matrix, B of the different size of the tooth paste is given by
Cost Rs
14 large
B= 10 medium
6 small
Find the investment in tooth paste by each shop
[Link] shop keepers A,B and C go to a store to buy stationery. A purchases 12 dozen note
book, 5 dozen pens and 6 dozen pencils. B purchases 10 dozen note books, 6 dozen pens and 7
dozen pencils. C purchases 11 dozen note book, 13 dozen pens, and 8 dozen pencils. A note
book costs 40 paise, a pen costs 1.25 and pencil costs 35 paise. Use matrix multiplication to
calculate each individual bill ?
Ans : Bill of purchase = Purchase Quantity x Price
Following are the useful properties of determinants of any order. These properties are very
useful in expanding the determinants.
1. The value of a determinant remains unchanged. If rows are changed into column and
columns into rows, i.e.
t
|A| = |A |
2 If two rows (or columns) of a determinant are interchanged, then the value of the
determinant so obtained is the negative of the original determinant.
3 If each element in any row or column of a determinant is multiplied by a constant
number say K, then the determinant so obtained is K times the original determinant.
4 The value of a determinant in which two rows (or columns) are equal is zero.
5 If any row (or column) of a determinant is replaced by the sum of the row and a linear
combination of other rows (or columns), then the value of the determinant so obtained is
equal to the value of the original determinant.
6 The rows (or columns) of a determinant are said to be linearly dependent if |A|=0,
otherwise independent.
Let us Sum Up
Matrices play an important role in quantitative analysis of managerial
decision. They also provide very convenient and compact methods of writing a system of linear
simultaneous equations and methods of solving them. These tools have also become very useful
in all functional areas of management. Another distinct advantage of matrices is that once the
system of equations can be set up in matrix form, they can be solved quickly using a computer.
A number of basic matrix operations (such as matrix addition, subtraction, multiplication) were
discussed in this Lesson.
MODULE – III
This Lesson deals with the concepts and applications of sequence and series. Applications
of series like Arithmetic Progression and Geometric Progression and practical
applications
Sequence
If for every positive integer n, there corresponds a number an such that an is related to n by
some rule, then the terms a1, a2,….an…. are said to form a sequence.
A sequence is denoted by bracketing its nth term, i.e. (an) or {an}.
Example of a few sequences are:
1. If an = n2, then sequence {an}is 1,4,9,16….an,…
2. If an = 1/n, then sequence {an} is 1,1/2,1/3,1/4…1/n…
3. If an = n2/n+1, then sequence {an}is ½, 4/3, 9/4,…n2/n+1,….
The concept of sequence is very useful in finance. Some of the major areas where it plays
a vital role are: “instalment buying’; simple and compound interest problems’; ‘annuities
and their present values’, mortgage payments and so on
Series
A series is formed by connecting the terms of a sequences with plus or minus sign. Thus
if an is the nth term of a sequence, then
a1 + a2 + … + an is the given series of n terms.
Arithmetic Progression (AP)
A progression is a sequence whose successive terms indicate the growth or
progress of some characteristics. An arithmetic progression is a sequence whose term
increases or decreases by a constant number called common difference of an A.P. and is
denoted by d. In other words, each term of the arithmetic progression after the fist is
obtained by adding a constant d to the preceding term. The standard form of an A.P. is
written as
a, a+d, a+2d, a+3d,…
where ‘a’ is called the first term. Thus the corresponding standard form of
an arithmetic series becomes
a+(a+d)+(a+2d)+(a+3d)+….
For example
[Link] sequence 1, 3, 5, 7, . . . . . . is an A.P whose first term is 1 and d = 2
[Link] sequence ‐5, ‐2, 1, 4, 7, . . . . , whose ‘a’ = ‐5, d = 3
Suppose we invest Rs. 100 at a simple interest of 15% per annum for 5 years. The
amount at the end of each year is given by
115,130,145,160,175
This forms an arithmetic progression
The nth Term of an A.P.
The nth term of an A.P. is also called the general term of the standard A.P. it is given by.
Tn = a+(n-1)d; n=1,2,3,…
It may be noted here that the power of r is one less than the index of Tn, which denotes
the rank of this term in the progression.
Practical Problems
(2) Find four numbers in A.P whose sum is 20 and the sum of squares are 120
(5) if the third term of an AP is 3 and the 7th term is 39. Find the common Difference
(7)7th term and 12th term of an A.P is 10 and 20. Find the first term.
(9)The sum of first two terms of a GP is 2 and the sum of 4 GP is [Link] the GP
(10)Find five numbers in GP such that their product is 32 and the product of last two is 108.
Mathematics of finance
Aims and Objectives
So far we have discussed about various mathematical functions and theories. This Lesson deals with
the applications of such theories in Finance. In financial management, lot of calculations are involved
in the case of interest, depreciation values, and so on.
Principal amount (P). This is the amount of money that is initially being considered. It might be an
amount about to be invested or loaned or it may refer to the initial value or cost of plant or
machinery. Thus if a company was considering a bank loan value or cost of plant or machinery. Thus
if a company was considering a bank loan of say Rs.20000, this would be referred to as the principal
amount to be borrowed.
Accrued amount (A). This term is applied generally to a principal amount after some time has
elapsed for which interest has been calculated and added. It is quite common to qualify a precisely
according to time elapsed. Thus A1, A2, etc would mean the amount accrued at the end of the first and
second years and so on. The company referred to in (a) above might owe, say, an accrued amount of
Rs.22000 at the end of the first year and Rs. 24200 at the end of the second year (if no repayments
had been made prior to this time).
Rate of interest (i). Interest is the name given to a proportionate amount of money which is added to
some principal amount (invested or borrowed). It is normally denoted by symbol i and expressed as a
percentage rate per annum. For example if Rs. 100 is invested at interest rate 5% per annum (pa), it
will accrue to Rs. 100 + (5% of Rs. 100) = Rs 100 + Rs.5 = Rs.105 at the end of one year. Note
however, that for calculation purposes, a percentage rate is best written as a proportion. Thus, an
interest rate of 10% would be written as i = 0.1 and 12.5% as i = 0.125 and so on.
Number of time periods (n). The number of time periods over which amounts of money are being
invested or borrowed is normally denoted by the symbol n. although n is usually a number of years, it
could represent other time periods, such as a number of quarters or months.
MODULE IV
The word statistics is derived from the Latin word ‘Status’ or Italian word ‘Statista’ or
German word ‘Statistik’ which means a Political State. It is termed as political state, since in
early years, statics indicates a collection of facts about the people in the state for administration
or political purpose.
Characteristics of Statistics
(1) Statistics show be aggregates of facts
(2) They should be affected to a marked extent by multiplicity of causes.
(3) They must be numerically expressed.
(4) They should be enumerated or estimated according to a reasonable standard of
accuracy.
(5) They should be collected in a systematic manner.
(6) They should be collected for a predetermined purpose.
(7) They should be placed in relation to each other.
Function of Statistics
1. It simplifies complexity:‐ Statistical methods make facts and figures easily understandable
form. For this purpose Graphs and Diagrams, classification, averages etc are used.
2. It presents facts in a proper form:‐ Statistics presents facts in a precise and definite form.
3. It facilitates for comparison:‐ When date are presented in a simplified form, it is easy to
compare date.
4. It facilitates for formulating policies:‐ Statistics helps for formulating policies for the
companies, individuals, Govt. etc. it is possible only with the help of date presented in a
suitable form.
4. It tests hypothesis:‐ Hypothesis is an important concept in research studies. Statistics
provides various methods for testing the hypothesis. The important tests are Chi – square,
Z‐test, T‐test and F‐test.
5. It helps prediction or forecasting:‐ Statistical methods provide helpful means of
forecasting future events.
6. It enlarges individual’s knowledge:‐When data are presented in a form of comparison, the
individuals try to find out the reasons for the variations of two or more figures. It thereby
helps to enlarge the individual’s knowledge.
7. It measures the trend behavior:‐ Statistics helps for predicting the future with the help of
present and past data. Hence plans, programs, and policies are formulated in advance with
the help of statistical techniques.
statistics. The important managerial activities like planning, directing and controlling are
properly executed with the help of statistical data and statistical analysis. Statistical
techniques can also be used for the payment of wages to the employees of the organization.
(3) Statistics in economics:‐ Statistical data and methods of statistical analysis render valuable
assistance in the proper understanding of the economic problems and the formulation of
economic policy.
(4) Statistics in banking and finance:‐ Banking and financial activities use statistics most
commonly.
(5) Statistics in Administration:‐ The govt. frames polices on the basis of statistical
information.
(6) Statistics in research: Research work are undertaken with the help of statistics.
Limitation of statistics
(1) Planning the enquiry:‐ The first step in statistical investigation is planning. The investigator
should determine the objective and scope of the investigation. He should decide in advance about
the type of enquiry to be conducted, source of information and the unit of measurement.
Object and scope:‐ The objective of the Statistical enquiry must be clearly defined. Once the
objective of enquiry has been determined, the next step is to decide the scope of enquiry. It refers
to the coverage of the enquiry.
Source of information:‐ After the purpose and scope have been defined, the next step is to decide
about the sources of data. The sources of information may be either primary or secondary.
Types of enquiry:‐ Selection of type of enquiry depends on a number of factors like object and
scope of enquiries, availability of time, money and facilities. Enquiries may be (1) census or
sample (2) original or repetitive (3) direct or indirect (4) open or confidential (5) General or
special purpose.
Statistical unit:‐ The unit of measurements which are applied in the collected data is called
statistical unit. For example ton, gram, meter, hour etc.
Degree of accuracy:‐ The investigator has to decide about the degree of accuracy that he wants to
attain. Degree of accuracy desired primarily depends up on the object of an enquiry.
Cost of plan:‐ An estimate of the cost of the enquiry must be prepaid before the commencement
of enquiry.
(2) Collection of data:‐ Collection of data implies accounting and systematic recoding of the
information gathered in a statistical investigation. Depending on the source, the collected
statistical data are classified under two categories namely primary data and secondary data.
(3) Organization of data:‐ Organization of data implies the arrangement and presentation of data in
such a way that it becomes easy and convenient to use them. Classification and tabulation are the
(5) Analysis data:‐ Analysis of data means critical examination of the data for studying
characteristics of the object under study and for determining the pattern of relationship among the
variables.
(6) Interpretation of data:‐ Interpretation refers to the technique of drawing inference from the
collected facts and explaining the significanceClassification according to variables
Data are classified on the basis of quantitative characteristics such as age, height, weight
etc.
Methods of classification
(1) Classification according to attributes.
(2) Classification according to variables.
Under this methods the data are classified on the basis of attributes. For example literacy,
unemployment etc. are attributes.
In manifold classification the data are classified on the basis more than one attributes. For
example
Class boundaries
Magnitude of class interval
Class frequency.
Tabulation
Tabulation is an orderly arrangement of data in rows and columns. It is a moment of
presentation of data.
Objectives
Collection of data
On the basis of source, data can be collected from primary and secondary source.
Primary data
Primary data are those collected by the investigator himself. May are original in character.
May are truthful and suit for the purpose. But the collection is very expensive and time
consuming.
Methods of collection of primary data
1. Direct personal interview:‐ In this method investigator collection the data personally. He was
to meet the people for collecting the data. This method is suitable:
2. Indirect oral investigation:- :Under this method, information are collected from When the
results of investigation to be kept confidential third parties who are is touch with the facts
under enquiry.
3. Schedules and Questionnaires methods:- Under this method, a list of questions called
questionnaire is prepared and information are called from various sources. It is a printed list
of questions to be filled by the informations. But schedule is filled by the enumerator.
Essentials of a good questionnaire
(1) The person conducting the survey much introduce himself.
(2) The number of questions should be kept to the minimum.
(3) The question should be as short as possible and simple.
(4) The questions must be arranged in logical order.
(5) The questions should be clear.
(6) Personal questions should be avoided.
(7) Questions should be in the nature of yes or no type.
(8) Questions must be of convenient size and easy to handle.
(9) Questions should be attractive.
(10) Instructions should be given for filing up the form. Specimen of questionnaire.
Secondary data are those data which are collected by someone for this purpose. Secondary
data are usually in the shape of finished product. The collection of secondary data is less
expensive and less time consuming. Secondary data are collected from published and
unpublished sources.
Precautions to be taken before using secondary data
(1) Suitability
(2) Adequacy
(3) Reliability
1. Primary data are original character. But secondary data are not original, they are collected by
somebody else.
2. Primary data are in the shape of raw material. But secondary data are in the shape of finished
product.
3. Collection of primary data is expanse and time consuming. But collection of secondary data
is less expensive and less time consuming.
4. Primary data will be usually adequate and suitable. But secondary data need not be adequate
and suitable for the purpose.
Sampling
Probability sampling
Under this method, each items has an equal chance for being selected.
Following are the random sampling.
(1) Simple random sampling
A simple random sample is a sample selected from a population in such a way that every
item of the population has an equal chance of being selected. The selection depends on chance.
Eg. Lottery methods.
Cluster sampling consists in forming suitable clusters of units. All the units is the
sample of clusters selected are surveyed.
1. Judgment sampling:‐ Under this sampling investigator exercise this discretion in the mater
of selecting the items that are to be included in the sample.
2. by selecting such units of the universe which may be conveniently located.
Organization of data
Organizing data mean, the arrangement and presentation of data. Classification and
tabulation are the two stages of organizing data.
Classification
The process of arranging data in groups or classes according to similarities called
classification.
Objects of classification
Limitations
The filed of statistics provides the methods for collecting, presenting and meaningfully
interpreting the given data. Statistical Methods broadly fall into three categories as shown in the
following chart.
Statistical Methods
Descriptive Statistics
There are statistical methods which are used for re-arranging, grouping and summarising
sets of data to obtain better information of facts and thereby better description of the situation
that can be made. For example, changes in the price- index. Yield by wheat etc. are frequently
illustrated using the different types of charts and graphs. These devices summarise large
quantities of numerical data for easy understanding. Various types of averages, can also reduce a
large mass of data to a single descriptive number. The descriptive statistics include the methods
of collection and presentation of data, measure of Central tendency and dispersion, trends, index
numbers, etc.
Inductive Statistics
It is concerned with the development of some criteria which can be used to derive
information about the nature of the members of entire groups ( also called population or universe)
from the nature of the small portion (also called sample) of the given group. The specific values
of the population members are called ‘parameters’ and that of sample are called ‘Statistics’.
Thus, inductive statistics is concerned with estimating population parameters from the sample
statistics and deriving a statistical inference.
Samples are drawn instead of a complete enumeration for the following reasons:
• the population units may be too many in number and/or widely dispersed.
• Thus complete enumeration is extremely time consuming and at the end of a full
enumeration so much time is lost that the data becomes obsolete by that time.
• It may be too expensive to include each population item.
Inductive statistics, includes the methods like: probability and probability distributions;
sampling and sampling distribution; various methods of testing hypothesis; correlation,
regression, factor analysis; time series analysis.
Statistical decision theory deals with analysing complex business problems with
alternative course of action ( or strategies) and possible consequences. Basically,. It is to provide
more concrete information concerning these consequences, so that best course of action can be
identified from alternative courses of action.
Statistical decision theory relies heavily not only upon the nature of the problem on hand,
but also upon the decision environment. Basically there are four different states of decision
Since statistical decision theory also uses probabilities (subjective or prior) in analysis,
therefore it is also called a subjectivist approach. It is also known as Bayesian approach because
Baye’s theorem, is used to revise prior probabilities in the light of additional information.
i) Measures of Central Tendency: Obviously for proper understanding of quantitative data, they
should be classified and converted into a frequency distribution ( number of times or frequency
with which a particular data occurs in the given mass of data.). This type of condensation of data
reduces their bulk and gives a clear picture of their structure. If you want to know any specific
characteristics of the given data or if frequency distribution of one set of data is to be compared
with another, then it is necessary that the frequency distribution help us to make useful inferences
about the data and also provide yardstick for comparing different sets of data. Measures of
average or central tendency provide one such yardstick. Different methods of measuring central
tendency, provide us with different kinds of averages. The main three types of averages
commonly used are:
a) Mean: the mean is the common arithmetic average. It is computed by dividing the sum
of the values of the observations by the number of items observed.
b)Median: the median is that item which lies exactly half-way between the lowest and
highest value when the data is arranged in an ascending or descending order. It is not
affected by the value of the observation but by the number of observations. Suppose you
have the data on monthly income of households in a particular area. The median value
would give you that monthly income which divides the number of households into two
equal parts. Fifty per cent of all the households have a monthly income above the median
value and fifty per cent of households have a monthly income below the median income.
c) Mode: the mode is the central value (or item) that occurs most frequently. When the
data organised as a frequency distribution the mode is that category which has the
maximum number of observations. For example, a shopkeeper ordering fresh stock of
shoes for the season would make use of the mode to determine the size which is most
frequently sold. The advantages of mode are that (a) it is easy to compute, (b) is not
affected by extreme values in the frequency distribution, and (c) is representative if the
observations are clustered at one particular value or class.
ii) Measures of Dispersion: the measures of central tendency measure the most typical value
around which most values in the distribution tend to coverage. However, there are always
extreme values in each distribution. These extreme values indicate the spread or the dispersion of
the distribution. The measures of this spread are called ’measures of dispersion’ or ’variation’ or
‘spread’. Measures of dispersion would tell you the number of values which are substantially
different from the mean, median or mode. The commonly used measures of dispersion are range,
mean deviation and standard deviation. The data may spread around the central tendency in a
symmetrical or an asymmetrical pattern. The measures of the direction and degree of symmetry
are called measures of the skewness. Another characteristic of the frequency distribution is the
shape of the peak, when it is plotted on a graph paper. The measures of the peakedness are called
measures of Kurtosis.
iii) Correlation: Correlation coefficient measures the degree to which the charge in one variable
( the dependent variable) is associated with change in the other variable (independent one). For
example, as a marketing manager, you would like to know if there is any relation between the
amount of money you spend on advertising and the sales you achieve. Here, sales is the
dependent variable and advertising budget is the independent variable. Correlation coefficient, in
this case, would tell you the extent or relationship between these two variables,’ whether the
relationship is directly proportional (i.e. increase or decrease in advertising is associated with
iv) Regression Analysis: For determining causal relationship between two variables you may use
regression analysis. Using this technique you can predict the dependent variables on the basis of
the independent variables. In 1970, NCAER ( National Council of Applied and Economic
Research) predicted the annual stock of scooters using a regression model in which real personal
disposable income and relative weighted price index of scooters were used as independent
variable.
The correlation and regression analysis are suitable techniques to find relationship between two
variables only. But in reality you would rarely find a one-to-one causal relationship, rather you
would find that the dependent variables are affected by a number of independent variables. For
example, sales affected by the advertising budget, the media plan, the content of the
advertisements, number of salesmen, price of the product, efficiency of the distribution network
and a host of other variables. For determining causal relationship involving two or more
variables, multi- variable statistical techniques are applicable. The most important of these are the
multiple regression analysis deiscriminant analysis and factor analysis.
v) Time Series Analysis : A time series consists of a set of data ( arranged in some desired
manner) recorded either at successive points in time or over successive periods of time. The
changes in such type of data from time to time are considered as the resultant of the combined
impact of a force that is constantly at work. This force has four components: (i) Editing time
series data, (ii) secular trend, (iii) periodic changes, cyclical changes and seasonal variations, and
(iv) irregular or random variations. With time series analysis, you can isolate and measure the
separate effects of these forces on the variables. Examples of these changes can be seen, if you
start measuring increase in cost of living, increase of population over a period of time, growth of
agricultural food production in India over the last fifteen years, seasonal requirement of items,
impact of floods, strikes, wars and so on
vi) Index Numbers: Index number is a relative number that is used to represent the net result of
change in a group of related variables that has some over a period of time. Index numbers are
stated in the form of percentages. For example, if we say that the index of prices is 105, it means
that prices have gone up by 5% as compared to a point of reference, called the base year. If the
prices of the year 1985 are compared with those of 1975, the year 1985 would be called “given or
current year” and the year 1975 would be termed as the “base year”. Index numbers are also used
in comparing production, sales price, volume employment, etc. changes over period of time,
relative to a base
.
vii) Sampling and Statistical Inference: In many cases due to shortage of time, cost or non-
availability of data, only limited part or section of the universe (or population) is examined to (i)
get information about the universe as clearly and precisely as possible, and (ii) determine the
reliability of the estimates. This small part or section selected from the universe is called the
sample, and the process of selection such a section (or past) is called sampling.
Schemes of drawing samples from the population can be classified into two broad categories:
20
15
10
A B C D E
Bar Diagram
In a bar diagram only the length is considered. The width of the bar is not given any importance.
Following are the important types of bar diagrams
(1) Simple bar diagram
Simple bar diagram represents only one variable. For example, height, weight, etc.
80
70
60
Population (in million)
50
40
30
20
10