Time Value of Money in Engineering Economy
Time Value of Money in Engineering Economy
3
Time Value of
Money
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CHAPTER 3 OUTLINE
Factors
3.5 Bonds
3.6 Stocks
3.7 Examples
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• Capital expenditures and operating expenses are negative flows, i.e. funds
flowing out of a project or outflows
• Revenues are positive flows, i.e. funds flowing into the project or inflows
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+
MONETARY FLOW
PERIODS
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
TIME
-
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0 1
2 3 4 5
TIME
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Receive either
• $100 today
• $100 in one year’s time:
The choice is evident…
$100 today is worth more than $100 in one year’s time
However, if the second choice is changed to:
Receive either
• $100 today
• $125 in one year’s time
The choice is not as evident… It depends on how the money is used...
• If money is invested and earns 10 %, the second alternative is preferable.
• If money is invested and earns 25 %, both alternatives are equally desirable, i.e.
the alternatives are EQUIVALENT.
Money is used by investing it, i.e., putting it to work. Its efficiency represents its TIME
VALUE, expressed as an interest rate.
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Example 3.1
Borrow $100 over a two-year period subject to a simple interest rate of 10 % per year
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In two years’ time, repay $100 + $100 (0.1) + $110 (0.1) = $121
Or
In one year’s time pay $10, and in two year’s time repay $110
Interest payment due at end of compounding period:
(Amount owed at beginning of period) (Interest rate per period)
F P 1 i n
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For instance, “8 % compounded quarterly” means that at the end of every three-
month period, an interest payment equal to 2 % of the outstanding balance at the
beginning of the period is due. Thus, interest payments are due four times per year.
The interest rate per compounding period, denoted i, is obtained by dividing the
nominal rate by the number of compounding periods per year (or other standard
interval), denoted m.
r: nominal interest rate
i: interest rate per compounding period
m: number of compounding periods per standard interval
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Thus, the effective interest rate per standard interval (EIR) is:
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In general,
m
r
EIR 1 1
m
r: nominal interest rate
m: number of compounding periods per standard interval
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The effective annual rate associated with a nominal rate of 12% compounded…
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(e 0.12
1) 0.1275 12.75%
compounded once per year (versus 12.75 % daily).
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Solution
12
0.06
EIR 1 1 0.0617 6.17%
12
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Solution
12
r
EIR 1 1 0.1236
12
12
r r
1 1.1236 0.00976
12 12
r 0.1171 11.71%
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Solution
r: 6 %
i: 6 % / 12 = 0.5 %
EIR 1 0.005
12
1 0.0617 6.17%
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12%
i: 1% per month
12
n: 24 months
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24
0.12
EIR 1 1 0.2697
12
n : 1 period of 2 years
F 5000 (1 0.2697) $6348.50
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F P (1 i) n
F P 1 e 1 r
n
P e rn
F 5000 (2.7182) (.12)(2) $6356.00
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F P (1 i) n
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For instance,
P: 5000
i: 10% F3 = 5000 (1 + 0.1)3 = 6655
n: 3 years
3
| | | |
0 1 2
EQUIVALENT
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EQUIVALENT
Likewise, Amounts borrowed
3
| | | |
0 1 2
Amount repaid
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Amount borrowed
And,
4973.70
1 2 3
| | | |
0
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BA II Plus
• Set FORMAT options: [2nd] [FORMAT]… (pp. 12-15, Guidebook)
• Set payments (P/Y) and compounding (C/Y) to 1 per period
[2nd] [P/Y] [1] [Enter] [2nd] [QUIT] (pp. 21-22, Guidebook)
• Clear all TVM registers: [2nd] [CLR TVM]
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For the purpose of comparing alternative investment proposals, monetary values are
converted to present or future values with compound interest factors.
Notation
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P
A A
i
| | | | | | |
0 n
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Used to determine the future value equivalent of a given present value (“appreciate”)
F=?
F P (1 i)
P n
(F/P, i, n) : (1 i)
n
| | | | | |
0 1 2 3 … n
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BA II Plus
F 2500 (1 0.12)5 P/Y and C/Y set to 1
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F
1
P=? PF n
(1 i)
1
(P/F, i, n) :
(1 i)
n
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BA II Plus
5000 5000 P/Y and C/Y set to 1
P $3675.15
(1 0.08) 4
1.3605 [2nd] [CLR TVM]
[5000] [FV]
[8] [I/Y]
[4] [N]
[CPT] [PV] = -3675.15
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n 1
A (1 i) j (1 i) n 1
j0 F=? FA
i
A (1 i) n 1
(F/A, i, n) :
i
| | | | | |
0 1 2 3 … n
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(1 0.10)6 1
F 500 500 (7.7156) $3857.80
0.10
BA II Plus (Set to end-of-period payments)
P/Y and C/Y set to 1
[2nd] [CLR TVM] [6] [N] [10] [I/Y] [500] [PMT] [CPT] [FV] = -3857.80
Note: If payments were made at the beginning of each year, with the first today, then
F6 = 3857.80 (1.1) = $4243.58
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n 1
A 1 (1 i) n
j1 (1 i)
j
P=? PA
i
A 1 (1 i) n
(P/A, i, n) :
i
| | | | | | Also referred to as
0 1 2 3 … n “Cumulative Present Value Factor”
(CPVF)
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What lump-sum payment is required to retire an outstanding debt paid at $250 per
month, if interest is 12% compounded monthly, and 24 end-of-month payments
remain (today’s payment made).
1 (1 0.01) 24
P 250 250 (21.2434) $5310.85
0.01
Note: If 24 beginning-of-month payments remain, with the first today, then P =
5310.85 (1.01) = $5363.96
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3.4 TIME VALUE EQUIVALENCE & COMPOUND INTEREST FACTORS
BA II Plus
• Using one month as time interval • Using one year as time interval
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i
P AP n
1 (1 i)
A= ?
i
(A/P, i, n) : n
1 (1 i)
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F i
AF
(1 i) 1
n
A= ?
i
(A/F, i, n) :
(1 i) 1
n
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0.01
A 10 000 10 000 (0.023214) $232.14
(1 0.01) 1
36
Note: If payments were made at the beginning of each month, with the first today, then
A = 232.14 / (1.01) = $229.84
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P/F or PVF
Ordinary Annuity
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Compound interest tables are located in the appendices of any Engineering Economy
textbook.
Tables are presented in either of two formats:
• By interest rate
• By factor
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Rate 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
Periods
1 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
2 2.0100 2.0200 2.0300 2.0400 2.0500 2.0600 2.0700 2.0800 2.0900 2.1000
3 3.0301 3.0604 3.0909 3.1216 3.1525 3.1836 3.2149 3.2464 3.2781 3.3100
4 4.0604 4.1216 4.1836 4.2465 4.3101 4.3746 4.4399 4.5061 4.5731 4.6410
5 5.1010 5.2040 5.3091 5.4163 5.5256 5.6371 5.7507 5.8666 5.9847 6.1051
6 6.1520 6.3081 6.4684 6.6330 [F/A, 8%, 6]
6.8019 6.9753 7.1533 7.3359 7.5233 7.7156
7 7.2135 7.4343 7.6625 7.8983 8.1420 8.3938 8.6540 8.9228 9.2004 9.4872
8 8.2857 8.5830 8.8923 9.2142 9.5491 9.8975 10.2598 10.6366 11.0285 11.4359
9 9.3685 9.7546 10.1591 10.5828 11.0266 11.4913 11.9780 12.4876 13.0210 13.5795
10 10.4622 10.9497 11.4639 12.0061 12.5779 13.1808 13.8164 14.4866 15.1929 15.9374
To find a factor associated with an interest rate between those contained in the tables, use
linear interpolation between two adjacent values bracketing the desired rate.
To find a factor using the financial calculator, use a value of 1 for either PV, PMT or FV, in
combination with the appropriate values for N and I/Y.
Final Note: Because compound interest works in a discrete manner (i.e. interest accrues
once per period), fractional periods should not be used.
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Special Considerations
• Continuous Compounding
P/F 0 P/A
1
F/A
i
F/P A/P i A/F 0
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Example 3.16
What amount must be placed in a trust fund to provide an annual scholarship of $10
000 for perpetuity. The fund pays an annual rate of 10% compounded quarterly.
4
0.1
EIR 1 1 0.1038 10.38%
4
10 000
P= = $96 339.11
0.1038
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Example 3.17
A = 5000 (A/P,0%,5)
= 5000 (1/5) = $1000
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Cannot use A/P, P/A and F/A factors that are applicable when i is constant
Must compose P/F and F/P factors.
For instance,
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Example 3.18
F=?
$5000
i=5%
| | i=10% | i=15%| i=5% |
0 1 2 3 4
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Example 3.19
$5000
P=? $3000
i=5%
| | i=10% | i=15%| i=5% |
0 1 2 4
$3000
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Compound interest factors may be derived for situations when an annuity is replaced by:
Note: The BA II Plus does not have any functions for these factors.
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3G
2G
G
| | | | | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 … n-2 n-1 n
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This factor determines the annuity that is equivalent to the gradient series.
1 n
A G
i (1 i) 1
n
(n-1) G
1 n (n-2) G
(A/G, i, n) :
(1 i) 1 (n-3) G
n
i
3G
A= ?
2G
| | |G | | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 … n-2 n-1 n
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Example 3.20
Operating costs for a piece of equipment were $1500 over its first year of use, and are
expected to increase by $200 per year over a life of 10 years. Determine the
equivalent annual costs using an interest rate of 8%.
| | | | | | | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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1 10
A" 200
(1 0.08) 1
0.08 10
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C(1+g)3
C(1+g)2
C C(1+g)
| | | | | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 … n-2 n-1 n
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This factor determines the present value equivalent of the gradient series.
1 g
n
P C 1 / (i g)
For g i:
n
1 i
P / C,i,g, n
n
PC
For g = i:
(1
g
)
( P / C,i ,g , n )
(P/C,i,g,)
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Example 3.21
Operating costs for a piece of equipment were $1500 over its first year of use, and
are expected to increase at a compound rate of 10% per year over a life of 6 years.
Determine the equivalent annual costs using an interest rate of 12%.
First, find the present worth equivalent of the stream of operating costs:
(1 0.10)
6
P 1500 1 / (0.12 0.10)
6
(1 0.12)
P 1500 (5.1236) 7685.40
Second, convert the present worth to an annuity:
A 7685.40 (A / P,12%,6)
7685.40 (0.24323) $1869.29
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Special Note
The factors covered here are those for DISCRETE monetary flows with either discrete
or continuous compounding.
There also exist factors for CONTINUOUS monetary flows with continuous
compounding.
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3.5 BONDS
Bond Certificate
• States the terms of the bond
Maturity Date
• Final repayment date
Term
• The time remaining until the repayment date
Coupon
• Promised interest payments
Face Value
• Notional amount used to compute the interest payments
Coupon Rate
• Determines the amount of each coupon payment, expressed as an APR
Coupon Payment
Coupon Rate Face Value
CPN
Number of Coupon Payments per Year
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3.5 BONDS
Coupon Bond
• Pay face value at maturity
• Pay regular coupon interest payments
Yield to Maturity
• The discount rate that sets the present value of the promised bond payments equal
to the current market price of the bond.
1 1 FV
P CPN 1 N
y (1 y) (1 y) N
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3.5 BONDS
Example 3.22
Consider the following semi-annual bond:
• $1000 par value
• 7 years until maturity
• 9% coupon rate
• Price is $1,080.55
What is the bond’s yield to maturity?
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3.5 BONDS
Discount
• Bond is selling at a discount if the price is less than the face value
• Coupon Rate > Yield to Maturity
• If a coupon bond trades at a discount, an investor will earn a return both from
receiving the coupons and from receiving a face value that exceeds the price
paid for the bond
Par
• A bond is selling at par if the price is equal to the face value
• Coupon Rate = Yield to Maturity
Premium
• A bond is selling at a premium if the price is greater than the face value
• Coupon Rate < Yield to Maturity
• If a coupon bond trades at a premium it will earn a return from receiving the
coupons but this return will be diminished by receiving a face value less than the
price paid for the bond
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3.6 STOCKS
A One-Year Investor
Div1 P1
P0
1 rE
Since the cash flows are risky, we must discount them at the equity cost of capital.
• If the current stock price were less than this amount, expect investors to rush in
and buy it, driving up the stock’s price.
• If the stock price exceeded this amount, selling it would cause the stock price to
quickly fall.
Div1 P1 Div1 P1 P0
rE 1
P0 P0 P0
Dividend Yield Capital Gain Rate
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3.6 STOCKS
A Multi-Year Investor
Div1 Div1
P0 rE g
rE g P0
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3.6 STOCKS
Changing Growth Rates
• We cannot use the constant dividend growth model to value a stock if the growth
rate is not constant.
• Although we cannot use the constant dividend growth model directly when
growth is not constant, we can use the general form of the model to value a firm
by applying the constant growth model to calculate the future share price of the
stock once the expected growth rate stabilizes
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3.6 STOCKS
Share Repurchases and the Total Payout Model
• When the firm uses excess cash to buy back its own stock
• The more cash the firm uses to repurchase shares, the less it has available to
pay dividends.
• By repurchasing, the firm decreases the number of shares outstanding, which
increases its earnings per share and dividends per share.
• Values all of the firm’s equity, rather than a single share. You discount total
dividends and share repurchases and use the growth rate of earnings (rather
than earnings per share) when forecasting the growth of the firm’s total payouts.
3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.23
A loan of $2000 is to be reimbursed with end-of-year payments of $500 over a 5 year
period. Payments are to start 12 months after the money is borrowed. What annual
compound interest rate is charged?
$2000
| | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 5
$500
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Solution
• Amount borrowed is equivalent to an annuity of $500 over a 5-year period
BA II Plus
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.24
If payments are made every 2 years over a 10-year period, what annual compound
interest rate is charged?
$2000
|| | || | || | || | || | ||
0 2 4 6 8 10
$500
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3.7 EXAMPLES
i = 3.9%
Alternate Solution
Result of 7.9% in first example is still valid, but it’s the compound rate per 2-year
period, i.e. the effective rate for a period of two years.
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.25
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.26
What payment is to be deposited annually into an account yielding an annual interest
rate of 10%, with the first deposit today and 25 deposits thereafter, eventually
accumulating to $100 000 on the day of the last deposit. $100 000
(A/F)
| | | | | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 ... 23 24 25
0 1 2 3 4 5 ... 24 25 26
BA II Plus
A = 100 000 (A/F,10%,26)
= $915.90 [2nd] [CLR TVM]
[26] [N] [10] [I/Y] [100 000] [FV]
[CPT] [PMT] = -915.90
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Alternate Solution
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.27
Walter started depositing annual amounts of $1200 fifteen years ago, when interest
rates were 5% per annum. Five years later, interest rates increased to 6%, and four
years ago, interest rates increased to 7%. What amount has accumulated in his
account, including today’s deposit?
?
1 2 3
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4
$1200
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
-15 -10 -5 0
3.7 EXAMPLES
3 1200 (F / A,7%,4)
4.440
5328
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3.7 EXAMPLES
BA II Plus
We first move the first six deposits to time -10 (i.e. convert A into F).
[CLR TVM] [6] [N] 5 [I/Y] [1200] [PMT] [CPT] [FV] = -8162.30
FV = 8162.30
1
1 2 3 4 5 6
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
-15 -10 -5 0
i=5%
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Next we find the combined future value of 8162.30 (becomes a PV with respect to the
new time frame) and the following six deposits at time -4.
• [+/-] [PV] (changes the negative value to positive and enters it as PV)
• N=6 and PMT=1200 remain unchanged from the previous calculation.
• [6] [I/Y] [CPT] [FV] = -19 948.75
FV = 19 948.75
8162.30
2
1 2 3 4 5 6
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
-15 -10 -5 0
i=6%
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Finally, we must find the combined future value of 19 948.75 (becomes a PV with
respect to the new time frame) and the last four deposits at time 0.
• [+/-] [PV]
• PMT=1200 remains unchanged from the previous calculation.
• [7] [I/Y] [4] [N] [CPT] [FV] = -31 476.68 FV = $31 476.68
19 948.75
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
-15 -10 -5 0
i=7%
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.28
A bond with a face value of $1500 is purchased for $1300. The bond has an 8%
coupon rate, payable quarterly. If the bond matures in 10 years, what will be it’s yield
to maturity?
$1500 BA II Plus
Interest payments: 2% of $1500, [2nd] [CLR TVM]
i.e. $30, every 3 months [40] [N]
$30
[1300] [+/-] [PV]
[30] [PMT]
1 2… 8 9 10
[1500] [FV]
[CPT] [I/Y] = 2.53
1300
3.7 EXAMPLES
If the bond is to be sold after 5 years, what minimum price would guarantee the same yield?
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.29
A $150 000 home is purchased with a down-payment of $30 000. The balance is
financed through a 25-year mortgage with monthly payments at a nominal annual rate
of 12 percent compounded monthly. The house is kept for 5 years and then sold.
What mortgage balance remains to be paid at the time of the sale?
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3.7 EXAMPLES
At the time of the sale, there are 240 month-end payments remaining to be made.
Their present value equivalent is:
P = 1263.84 (P/A,1%,240)
90.8194
= $114 781 BA II Plus
[2ND] [CLR TVM]
[240] [N]
A lump sum amount of $114 781 is required to retire the [1] [I/Y]
mortgage, an amount about $5200 less than the [1263.87] [PMT]
amount owed originally!
[CPT] [PV] = -114 784
A total of $75 832 (60 times $1263.87) was paid over the 5-year period! Most of this
amount represents interest.
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3.7 EXAMPLES
These comments give a distorted picture of the situation because the monetary values
are not equivalent. The following gives a better picture of reality.
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3.7 EXAMPLES
Example 3.30
The improvement of a production process requires the investment of $50 000. If
implemented, the improvement would generate an annual saving of $7300 over an 8-
year period. Given that the discount rate is 10%, is this investment justified?
• Ignoring the time value of money, the investment is justified because the total
savings are greater than the required investment of $50 000.
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3.7 EXAMPLES
The present worth of the annual savings, assuming end-of-year amounts is:
7300 (P/A,10%,8) = $38 954
5.3349
Because the present worth of savings is lower than the required investment, there
is no economic justification to the improvement project.
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