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Analysis of Corn Import Demand Factors

The document contains analysis of factors that influence corn import demand in Indonesia. It presents two regression models with different independent variables. The first model found population of poultry, domestic corn demand, corn production and exchange rate explained 75.2% of import demand variation. The second model found domestic and world corn prices, domestic demand and exchange rate explained 77.7% of import demand variation. Both models were statistically significant in predicting corn import demand.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
5 views6 pages

Analysis of Corn Import Demand Factors

The document contains analysis of factors that influence corn import demand in Indonesia. It presents two regression models with different independent variables. The first model found population of poultry, domestic corn demand, corn production and exchange rate explained 75.2% of import demand variation. The second model found domestic and world corn prices, domestic demand and exchange rate explained 77.7% of import demand variation. Both models were statistically significant in predicting corn import demand.

Uploaded by

anon_692423641
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Variables Entered/Removeda

Variables Variables
Model Entered Removed Method
1 POPULASI . Enter
UNGGAS,
PERMINTAAN
JAGUNG
DOMESTIK,
PRODUKSI
JAGUNG, NILAI
TUKARb
a. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG
b. All requested variables entered.

Model Summaryb
Change Statistics
R Adjusted Std. Error of R Square F Sig. F Durbin-
Model R Square R Square the Estimate Change Change df1 df2 Change Watson
1 ,867a ,752 ,690 80418,42242 ,752 12,126 4 16 ,000 1,480
a. Predictors: (Constant), POPULASI UNGGAS, PERMINTAAN JAGUNG DOMESTIK, PRODUKSI JAGUNG, NILAI
TUKAR
b. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 313678453116, 4 78419613279,1 12,126 ,000b
444 11
Residual 103473962640, 16 6467122665,03
508 2
Total 417152415756, 20
952
a. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG
b. Predictors: (Constant), POPULASI UNGGAS, PERMINTAAN JAGUNG DOMESTIK, PRODUKSI
JAGUNG, NILAI TUKAR
Coefficientsa
Unstandardized Standardized Collinearity
Coefficients Coefficients Correlations Statistics
Zero-
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. order Partial Part Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) - 86986,566 - ,011
249631,759 2,870
PRODUKSI ,119 ,074 ,301 1,610 ,127 ,744 ,373 ,200 ,444 2,253
JAGUNG
PERMINTAAN ,015 ,006 ,405 2,496 ,024 ,737 ,529 ,311 ,588 1,702
JAGUNG
DOMESTIK
NILAI TUKAR -3,063 11,312 -,055 -,271 ,790 ,651 -,068 - ,370 2,702
,034
POPULASI ,004 ,002 ,366 1,889 ,077 ,724 ,427 ,235 ,412 2,427
UNGGAS
a. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardized
Residual
N 21
Normal Parametersa,b Mean ,0000000
Std. Deviation 71928,42367260
Most Extreme Differences Absolute ,111
Positive ,111
Negative -,094
Test Statistic ,111
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,200c,d
a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.
c. Lilliefors Significance Correction.
d. This is a lower bound of the true significance.
Variables Entered/Removeda
Variables Variables
Model Entered Removed Method
1 NILAI TUKAR, . Enter
HARGA
JAGUNG
DUNIA,
PERMINTAAN
JAGUNG
DOMESTIK,
HARGA
JAGUNG
DOMESTIKb
a. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG
b. All requested variables entered.

Model Summaryb
Adjusted R Std. Error of the Change Statistics
Model R R Square Square Estimate R Square Change F Change df1 d
1 ,881a ,777 ,721 76319,44110 ,777 13,905 4
a. Predictors: (Constant), NILAI TUKAR, HARGA JAGUNG DUNIA, PERMINTAAN JAGUNG DOMESTIK, HARGA JAGUNG DOMESTI
b. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 323957902310, 4 80989475577,5 13,905 ,000b
355 89
Residual 93194513446,5 16 5824657090,41
97 2
Total 417152415756, 20
952
a. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG
b. Predictors: (Constant), NILAI TUKAR, HARGA JAGUNG DUNIA, PERMINTAAN JAGUNG
DOMESTIK, HARGA JAGUNG DOMESTIK
Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. Ze
1 (Constant) 14922,402 117182,342 ,127 ,900
PERMINTAAN JAGUNG ,012 ,006 ,330 2,014 ,061
DOMESTIK
HARGA JAGUNG DOMESTIK 123,132 51,408 ,873 2,395 ,029
HARGA JAGUNG DUNIA -466,167 526,442 -,211 -,886 ,389
NILAI TUKAR -8,146 13,331 -,147 -,611 ,550
a. Dependent Variable: PERMINTAAN IMPOR JAGUNG

One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test


Unstandardized
Residual
N 21
Normal Parametersa,b Mean ,0000000
Std. Deviation 68262,18332525
Most Extreme Differences Absolute ,114
Positive ,114
Negative -,065
Test Statistic ,114
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,200c,d
a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.
c. Lilliefors Significance Correction.
d. This is a lower bound of the true significance.

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