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Chi-Square Test on Random Numbers

This document contains instructions and data for multiple statistical analysis questions regarding simulation and modeling. It includes tables of random numbers and job shop data to be used to determine if distributions are uniform, identify departures from randomness, and test if a model's predictions are consistent with actual system behavior. Specifically, it asks the reader to: 1) apply the chi-square test to random numbers to see if they are uniformly distributed; 2) analyze runs in more random numbers to identify outliers; 3) develop an input model for time transaction data; and 4) statistically test at the 0.01 level if a job shop model's predictions match actual average times.

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62 views1 page

Chi-Square Test on Random Numbers

This document contains instructions and data for multiple statistical analysis questions regarding simulation and modeling. It includes tables of random numbers and job shop data to be used to determine if distributions are uniform, identify departures from randomness, and test if a model's predictions are consistent with actual system behavior. Specifically, it asks the reader to: 1) apply the chi-square test to random numbers to see if they are uniformly distributed; 2) analyze runs in more random numbers to identify outliers; 3) develop an input model for time transaction data; and 4) statistically test at the 0.01 level if a job shop model's predictions match actual average times.

Uploaded by

gire
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as TXT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

simulation

Using the 50 two digit random numbers shown in Table 3.1 apply the chi-square test
with
=0.05 to determine if the hypothesis that the numbers are uniformly
distributed on the
interval [0, 1] can be rejected. Given n=10 intervals.[10]

Table 3.1: Random Numbers


0.34 0.90 0.25 0.89 0.87 0.44 0.12 0.21 0.46 0.67
0.83 0.76 0.79 0.64 0.70 0.81 0.94 0.74 0.22 0.74
0.96 0.99 0.77 0.67 0.56 0.41 0.52 0.73 0.99 0.02
0.47 0.30 0.17 0.82 0.56 0.05 0.45 0.31 0.78 0.05
0.79 0.71 0.23 0.19 0.82 0.93 0.65 0.37 0.39 0.42

Question 4

a) Briefly explain some of the departures from ideal randomness. [10]


b) Consider the 50 two digits shown in Table 4.1 and determine whether there is an
excessive
number of runs above or below the mean using =0.05. [10]

Table 4.1: Random Numbers


0.99 0.17 0.99 0.46 0.05 0.66 0.10 0.42 0.18 0.49
0.37 0.51 0.54 0.01 0.81 0.28 0.69 0.34 0.75 0.49
0.72 0.43 0.56 0.97 0.30 0.94 0.96 0.58 0.73 0.05
0.06 0.39 0.84 0.24 0.40 0.64 0.40 0.19 0.79 0.62
0.18 0.26 0.97 0.88 0.64 0.47 0.60 0.11 0.29 0.78

Question 5

a) The following data shown in Table 5.1 represent the time to perform transactions
in a bank,
measured in minutes. Develop an input model for this data. [10]

Table 5.1: Data


0.740 1.28 1.46 2.36 0.354 0.750 0.912 4.44 0.114 3.08
3.24 1.10 1.59 1.47 1.17 1.27 9.12 11.5 2.42 1.77

b) Explain verification and methods of carrying out the process of verification


[10]

Question 6

a) Explain validation and the steps in validation process [10]


b) System data for the job shop revealed that the average time spent by a job in
the shop was
approximately 4 working days. The model made the following predictions on
several
independent replicas for average time spent in the shop :{ 3.70, 4.21, 4.35,
4.13,
3.83, 4.32, and 4.05}. Is the model consistent with system behaviour? Conduct
a statistical
test using a level of significance =0.01. [10]

END OF EXAM

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