14 Insight Issue 2
14 Insight Issue 2
4
Life insurance industry overview
This article provides an overview of the life insurance industry (including
friendly societies) together with an update of the key prudential risks that
face the industry.
24
General insurance industry overview
This article provides an overview of the general insurance industry together
with an overview of recent developments and key prudential risks.
4
Life insurance
industry overview
This article provides an overview of the life insurance industry
(including friendly societies) together with an update of the key
prudential risks that face the industry.1
1 Unless otherwise stated, the period covered is the 12 months to 30 June 2014.
5
Introduction
The 12 months of 2013/14 for the life insurance
industry could be characterised, on the one hand, as
one of stability in terms of industry structure after
a long period of years of merger and acquisition
activity. It was also a period where the industry
successfully bedded down the revised capital
framework that commenced 1 January 2013.
The integration of life insurance with broader Future of Financial Advice (FOFA) and Stronger
wealth offerings in many institutions meant that Super reforms were also key areas of focus during
the adjustment to regulatory changes such as the 2013/14 for both the industry and APRA.
Annuities (1) - 4%
Small/niche (9) - 1%
3 AMP and NMLA, being part of the same group, have been
2 One life insurer and one reinsurer are inactive. combined for the purpose of these measurements.
8
Table 1: Life insurers – Net premium revenue by product group (12 months ending June)*
Life insurer aggregate profits have been in steady the progressively deteriorating claims experience
decline for the last five years. See Figure 2. of risk insurance business (including associated
significant reserve strengthening) has been a
The decline in the early part of this period could be prominent and unmistakeable driver (visible in the
attributed, in some part, to highly variable year-on- non-investment linked line).
year investment market returns but, more recently,
Figure 2: Life insurers - Net profit by business group4 (12 months ending June)
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
$ million
1,500
1,000
500
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
4 Amounts for investment linked and non-investment linked relate to insurance policies only, not total statutory funds.
11
By its nature, non-investment linked business is Non-investment-linked business assets were 0.5
far more capital intensive than investment-linked times that of investment-linked business but
business but the revenue, cost and risk drivers of the business generated 1.9 times the profit in
the two forms of business are very different making 2013/14, down from 2.7 in 2012/13. However,
comparison of capital costs and performance more relevant was that it required 7.8 times the
difficult. A return on capital measure is not Prescribed Capital Amount (PCA) to generate
particularly insightful in these circumstances. One that profit, which was up from 6.4 from 2012/13.
alternative and perhaps more informative approach In other words, non-investment-linked business
is to consider the trade-offs between profit and became even more capital-expensive over
capital. See Table 2.5 2013/14 relative to investment-linked business
due to a combination of the deterioration in
claims experience and increases in prudential risk
capital requirements as business has grown.
5 A return on capital measure only tells half the story since it hides the
relative contributions of these components.
12
Investment business The figure also shows that annuities, while also a
material contributor to aggregate profits, generate
Apart from its lower relative capital cost, many a significantly more volatile return, being sensitive
life insurers remain attracted to investment- to movements in interest rates and credit spreads.
linked business because, historically, it can bring
some performance diversification and stability. The rate of surrender and withdrawals for
It contributed 30 per cent of aggregate industry investment-linked business over recent years has
profits in 2013/14 (18 per cent in 2012/13) and been trending upward. While there are clearly
therefore played an important role in this period. seasonal cycles, the trend appears not have
This is further evident in Figure 3 which shows net abated during 2013/[Link] is partly a function
profits of investment products (both investment- of transfers to the increasingly popular alternative
and non-investment linked) broken into major vehicles for superannuation mentioned earlier,
product groups. including an increasing preference by investors and
retirees for SMSFs.
13
Figure 3: Life insurers — Net profit by major investment product groups (12 months ending 30 June)
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
$ million
400
200
-200
-400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Figure 4: Life insurers — Net profit by major insurance risk product groups
(12 months ending 30 June)
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
$ million
600
400
200
-200
-400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Total Risk Group Group Disability Individual Individual Disability
Insurance Death/TDP Income Death/TDP Income
Surplus over
Capital Base PCA Capital
PCA
$m $m Coverage Ratio
$m
The make-up of the PCA is generally in alignment While capital ratios vary considerably across
with expectations with respect to two general individual life insurers, in overall terms, the
forms business written. For non-investment- industry is well capitalised and capable of
linked business, 69 per cent of the PCA is the withstanding significant headwinds. Nevertheless,
aggregate of asset and insurance risk charges. The some forms of life insurance (and friendly society)
operational risk charge accounts for a further business remain exposed to sudden shifts in
11 per cent. In contrast, for investment-linked investment market returns, most particularly
business, the PCA is largely made up of the those with long term investment guarantees. For
operational risk charge (67 per cent) with most of example, low interest rates across the yield curve
the residual being the asset risk charge on surplus have reduced investment income and the outlook
assets.7 While these ratios, at an industry level, for fixed interest markets remains decidedly
align with general expectations of the relative risks uncertain. An unexpected but significant change
for these business classes, they vary significantly in official cash rate settings, credit spreads or
by individual insurer reflecting the diversity of market sentiment would exacerbate asset-liability
business profiles and risk management practices. investment matching, at least in the short term.
The resilience of life insurers and friendly societies
in times of increased uncertainty and market
volatility will always need to be closely monitored
by both entities and APRA.
While most of the ICAAP Reports reviewed were Stress testing is a quantitative
of a reasonable standard there were some areas
where insurers fell short of APRA’s expectations
‘what if’ exercise aimed at
with regard to the content and quality of the assessing vulnerabilities and
reports. These areas included the comparison of
actual versus planned ICAAP outcomes, description resilience in the face of ‘severe
of changes in risk profile, commentary on drivers
of future capital needs and the use of stress testing but plausible’ shocks.
outcomes in decision making processes.
20
Factors contributing to this situation include the Despite a number of warnings from APRA,
following developments over recent years: group risk insurers have been slow to accept that
significant price reductions combined with softer
• record amounts of default cover being made
underwriting practices and enhancements to
available without underwriting;
benefits would ultimately affect profitability. Nor
• a weakening of underwriting controls for was the emergence of other underlying headwinds
optional levels of cover, and automatic recognised in a sufficiently timely fashion or
acceptance of incremental increases in cover allowed for in pricing assumptions.
without the need for medical evidence;
The immediate response of affected life insurers
• the growth in complexity of TPD benefit has been to lift premiums sharply to redress
definitions, resulting in some types of losses. Not only has this led to adverse outcomes
claims being admitted that arguably may not for superannuation fund members, it does not
have been intended to be covered by the address the structural problems that caused
policy wording; the situation. APRA supervisors are therefore
• changing community attitudes to mental coordinating closely across the life insurance and
health, leading to a higher prevalence of superannuation sectors to ensure that life insurers,
claims for stress-related illness; reinsurers and superannuation fund trustees are
working together to identify and resolve the
• more claims now being subject to the underlying causes of the strains in the group risk
involvement of lawyers on behalf of claimants; insurance market. Throughout, APRA’s message
• superannuation fund member awareness to life insurers and reinsurers has been that boards
of life insurance cover provided through must ensure they understand adequately the risks
superannuation, leading to a higher they incur in group insurance business, and that
propensity to claim; and risk management processes are adequate for the
uncertainties in this line of business.
• failure to match the greater complexity of the
claims environment with development of an
adequate pool of experienced claims staff.
22
Many life insurers and reinsurers have APRA supervisors are reviewing the adequacy of
subsequently undertaken extensive reviews of trustees’ implementation of the new prudential
their group-risk pricing methodology, product standards. As noted below, the availability
design and claims management. Foreign-owned of sufficiently detailed, accurate and timely
reinsurers in particular have drawn on their global insurance-related data appears to be lacking
experience and expertise to seek better insights across the industry and APRA has informed life
into the Australian market so as to improve insurers and superannuation fund trustees of the
performance. need for improvement in this area. APRA has
issued guidance for superannuation fund trustees
On 1 July 2013, APRA’s new prudential standards and life insurers to assist them in meeting the
for superannuation — in particular, Prudential requirements of SPS 250.
Standard SPS 250 Insurance in Superannuation
(SPS250) — came into effect. Two critical new
responsibilities of trustees under SPS 250 are:
Foreign-owned reinsurers in
• for an insurance management framework
that reflects the risks associated with making particular have drawn on their
insured benefits available; and
global experience and expertise
• the need to maintain records of sufficient
detail that a prospective insurer can properly
to seek better insights into the
assess the insured benefits made available. Australian market so as to
improve performance.
23
Introduction
The general insurance industry maintained a
strong financial position during the year, driven
primarily by the profitability of personal lines
insurers in the absence of significant natural peril
events. In contrast commercial lines insurers
continue to face challenges in the current
operating environment due to strong competition,
excess capacity in the market and low interest
rates impacting profitability.
$million
12 months to
30 June 30 June 30 June 30 June
2011 2012 2013 2014
Gross incurred claims (current and prior years) 35,968 27,869 24,602 26,251
Reinsurance recoveries revenue (current and prior years) 15,788 5,815 4,638 4,585
Net incurred claims (current and prior years) of which: 17,740 19,659 17,836 19,135
Non-recurring items that are part of net claims -1,254 143 -1,472 -710
Property insurers continue to benefit from Claims experience in the professional indemnity
relatively benign weather conditions resulting class, which includes Directors and Officers
in low claims costs. Claims costs from natural (D&O) covers, is sensitive to economic conditions
catastrophe events during 2013/14 were well and movements in financial markets. This was
below the twenty year average as shown in illustrated during the global financial crisis with
Figure 1, with the main events of note being significant claims costs being incurred by insurers
bushfires in New South Wales. and reinsurers in 2008 and 2009, particularly in
the financial services sector. Since that time claims
In contrast with the recent strong claims frequency in the professional indemnity class has
performance in the short-tail property classes of been declining. However an ongoing risk to the
business, the experience in the long tail classes claims experience in D&O covers is the increase in
such as CTP motor, professional indemnity and litigation funders and class actions evident in the
public and product liability has been mixed. market since the financial crisis.
The Motor Accidents Authority of NSW (MAA) Industry loss ratios in the public and product
has advised that claims frequency and propensity liability class continue to be at profitable
to claim continues to rise in the NSW CTP scheme levels with a relatively stable level of claims
mainly with minor severity and legally represented inflation, positively impacted by tort law reform,
claims.3 In contrast the Queensland CTP scheme underpinning results in recent years.
has experienced a largely stable claims frequency
in recent years.
5,000
3,000
$ million
1,000
0
5
6
97
98
99
01
03
00
02
04
05
09
06
07
08
10
11
13
12
14
9
9
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
20
19
20
20
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
Source: Insurance Council of Australia, Natural Disaster Statistics. Claims costs prior to March 2010 have been indexed to 2011 values.
32
which comprises:
The decrease in the industry asset risk charge While most of the ICAAP Reports reviewed were
component of the prescribed capital amount in of a reasonable standard there were some areas
the year was largely due to a fall in the reinsurance where insurers fell short of APRA’s expectations
recoverables resulting from the settlement of with regard to the content and quality of the
Christchurch earthquakes property claims though reports. These areas included the comparison of
these continue to represent a significant portion actual versus planned ICAAP outcomes, description
of the overall industry reinsurance recoverables. of changes in risk profile, commentary on drivers
Recoverables attract higher capital risk charges of future capital needs and the use of stress testing
when due from non APRA authorised reinsurers outcomes in decision making processes.
because of the time taken to settle the claims.4
An exception is if the affected insurers put in place
collateral, a guarantee or letter of credit to support
Operating environment
the reinsurance recoverables, in which case the
risk charges applicable to this support can be used,
Market conditions
provided they meet APRA’s requirements. Current market expectations are that local interest
rates will remain at low levels in the near term. The
An important part of the package of revised management of risks arising from a persistently
capital standards for insurers introduced by APRA low interest rate environment among a sample
on 1 January 2013 was the requirement for insurers of insurers was reviewed by APRA in 2013 with a
to have an Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment focus on governance practices, pricing, investment
Process (ICAAP). APRA undertook a detailed strategies and operational risk.
review of ICAAP Reports in 2014 including peer
comparisons to identify examples of better practice The review concluded that all of the insurers in
and potential areas for improvement. the sample have appropriate management and
controls in place. Insurers acknowledged in their
feedback that continuing competitive pressures
were constraining their ability to achieve adequate
price increases in some long tail classes to offset
the impact of lower investment yields.
Insurers indicated they were not looking to APRA supervisors will continue to monitor
significantly change their conservative investment the effectiveness of insurers’ risk management
strategies. This feedback is consistent with frameworks to ensure they highlight areas where
the investment mix reported at an industry their risk profile is changing in response to the low
level during 2013 with insurers and reinsurers interest rate environment. These changes should
continuing to largely invest in cash and interest be monitored and expressly considered in insurers’
rate investments with highly rated counterparties governance and decision making processes.
such as authorised deposit-taking institutions and
Australian governments.5 In the review, insurers
indicated some increase in appetite for growth
assets and equities in their investment allocations
APRA supervisors will
for shareholder funds. The returns on shareholder continue to monitor the
funds impact the profitability of insurers and so
changes in investment risk appetite will continue to effectiveness of insurers’ risk
be monitored by APRA supervisors.
management frameworks to
The review also looked at whether the current
environment has influenced insurers’ focus on ensure they highlight areas
cutting costs, particularly through outsourcing and
offshoring activities, as this may increase insurers’ where their risk profile is
operational risk profile. The feedback from insurers
was that outsourcing and offshoring decisions have changing in response to the
been made to improve operational efficiencies
and leverage off group capabilities, rather than as a low interest rate environment.
response to investment market conditions.
The low interest rate environment is one of the A review by APRA in 2014 found that there is
drivers of the recent strong growth of alternative little appetite at present from APRA authorised
capital in the global property reinsurance market insurers for alternative reinsurance products.
illustrated in Figure 2. Alternative capital refers to Insurers surveyed have a preference for traditional
the capacity provided to the reinsurance market reinsurance because it is readily available at
by investors such as hedge funds and pension favourable terms and conditions. Some also
funds through insurance-linked products such as mentioned the value of maintaining the long
catastrophe bonds because of the higher yields standing relationships with their traditional
on offer and these products’ historically low reinsurers as well as certainty of traditional
correlation with traditional assets classes. arrangements. APRA will continue to monitor
developments in this area and, where needed,
At present alternative capital is largely concentrated review alternative reinsurance arrangements
in various offshore property catastrophe entered into by APRA authorised insurers to ensure
reinsurance and retrocession markets such as in they adequately address APRA’s reinsurance and
the USA.6 The increased use of alternative capital collateral requirements.
has led to direct pressure on the pricing and
profit margins of traditional reinsurers operating
in those markets, while in other peak risk areas
such as Australia it has contributed to the excess
of traditional property reinsurance available. This
excess capacity has been a contributing factor in the
fall in reinsurance pricing in the local market.
50,000
40,000
$ US million
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013