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12-Month Return Statistics Analysis

The document contains statistical analysis and charts summarizing the monthly returns of an investment over 12 months. It shows the mean, standard deviation, maximum and minimum returns. Additional charts show the distribution of returns compared to a normal distribution, as well as quartile analysis and lookup tables for valuation models.

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Hasan UL Karim
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© All Rights Reserved
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
7 views8 pages

12-Month Return Statistics Analysis

The document contains statistical analysis and charts summarizing the monthly returns of an investment over 12 months. It shows the mean, standard deviation, maximum and minimum returns. Additional charts show the distribution of returns compared to a normal distribution, as well as quartile analysis and lookup tables for valuation models.

Uploaded by

Hasan UL Karim
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

USING THE FREQUENCY FUNCTION

Return for 12 months


Summary Statistics : Return Interval
Mean 0.42% -0.12
St Dev 0.098950552 -0.08
Max 15.65% -0.04
Min -11.72% 0
0.04
0.08
0.12
Months Return 0.16
Jan-16 1 7.76%
Feb-16 2 -10.54% Total
Mar-16 3 8.77%
Apr-16 4 10.66%
May-16 5 -11.72%
Jun-16 6 -8.26%
Jul-16 7 -2.89%
Aug-16 8 -9.93%
Sep-16 9 15.65%
Oct-16 10 8.25%
Nov-16 11 5.25%
Dec-16 12 -8.01%
-0.15 -0.1

USING THE QUARTILE FUNCTION


Quart no. Q points Q%
120.00%
0 -0.1172 0.00%
1 -0.086775 25.00%
2 0.0118 50.00% 100.00%
3 0.0838 75.00%
4 0.1565 100.00% 80.00%

60.00%

40.00%

20.00%

0.00%
-0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0
EXCEL NORMAL FUNCTIONS FOR N (0,1)
PDF (Probability CDF(Cumulative
Density Function) Distribution Function)
-5 0.00 0.00
-4 0.0001338302 0.00
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5

LOOKUP FUNCTIONS (Black-Scholes Call Value Lookup Table)


Volatility
Volatility 17.00% 12.00%
VLOOKUP 9.73 13.00%
14.00%
15.00%
Call value 9.73 16.00%
Match 6 17.00%
18.00%
19.00%
Row 6 20.00%
Column 2 21.00%
Index 9.73 22.00%

CONTINUOUS COMPOUNDING
Inputs :
Initial Value (a) 1
Interest rate-cont 7.00%
Interest rate-p.a. 7.25%
Time (t) 1

Outputs :
Compound factors t yrs 1.0725081813
Discount factors t yrs 0.9323938199

Compound Discount 2.5


1 1.0725081813 0.9323938199

1.5
2.5

2 1.1502737989 0.8693582354
3 1.23367806 0.810584246 2
4 1.3231298123 0.7557837415
5 1.4190675486 0.7046880897 1.5
6 1.5219615556 0.6570468198
7 1.63231622 0.6126263942
1
8 1.7506725003 0.5712090638
9 1.8776105793 0.532591801
10 2.0137527075 0.4965853038 0.5
11 2.1597662538 0.4630130683
12 2.3163669768 0.4317105234
0
0 2 4 6 8

0.9323938199 3.00%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
lllllllllllllllllllllll
Freq % Freq % Cum Freq Theory
0 0.00% 0.00% 10.48%
5 41.67% 41.67% 19.75%
0 0.00% 41.67% 32.77%
1 8.33% 50.00% 48.32%
0 0.00% 50.00% 64.14%
2 16.67% 66.67% 77.83%
3 25.00% 91.67% 87.91%
1 8.33% 100.00% 94.24%
0 0.00% 100.00%
12

120.00%

100.00%

80.00%

60.00% Column H
Column I
40.00%

20.00%

0.00%
-0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

120.00%

100.00%

80.00%

60.00%
Column C

40.00%

20.00%

0.00%
-0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2
Inv(Normal)
-4.9999999796
-4

BS Call Value
8.63
8.84
9.05
9.27
9.50
9.73
9.96
10.19
10.43
10.67
10.91

2.5

1.5
2.5

1.5
Compound
Discount
1

0.5

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

3.50% 4.00% 5.00% 5.50% 6.00%


Column H
Column I

0.2

Column C

0.2

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