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Expected Returns and Risk Analysis

The document contains sample problems from a finance textbook. It includes calculations of expected returns, standard deviations, coefficients of variation, required portfolio returns using the CAPM model, and required rates of return for individual stocks. The problems calculate various metrics and rates of return based on given probabilities, betas, risk premiums, and other financial data.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
45 views8 pages

Expected Returns and Risk Analysis

The document contains sample problems from a finance textbook. It includes calculations of expected returns, standard deviations, coefficients of variation, required portfolio returns using the CAPM model, and required rates of return for individual stocks. The problems calculate various metrics and rates of return based on given probabilities, betas, risk premiums, and other financial data.

Uploaded by

arwa_mukadam03
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Solve problems: 8-6, 8-7, 8-9, and 8-11

and upload them for grading using the


basket the end of this page.

8-6 EXPECTED RETURNS Stocks X and Y have the following probability distributions of
expected future returns:
Probability X Y Probability*X Probbility*Y
0.1 -10 -35 -1 -3.5
0.2 2 0 0.4 0
0.4 12 20 4.8 8
0.2 20 25 4 5
0.1 38 45 3.8 4.5
12 14

a. Calculate the expected rate of return, ^rY, for Stock Y (^rX 12%).
b. Calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, _x0002_X, for Stock X (_x0002_Y 20.35%).
Now calculate the coefficient of variation for Stock Y. Is it possible that most investors
will regard Stock Y as being less risky than Stock X? Explain.

a. Calculate the expected rate of return, ^rY, for Stock Y (^rX 12%).

^Ry 14%
^rX 12%

b. Calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, _x0002_X, for Stock X (_x0002_Y 20.35%).

Standard Deviation of Expected Return for X

^rX 12

Probability X r-^R
0.1 -10 22 484 48.4
0.2 2 10 100 20
0.4 12 0 0 0
0.2 20 -8 64 12.8
0.1 38 -26 676 67.6

SUM 148.8
STD Dev 12.19836055
STD DEV X 12.21%
STD DEV Y 20.35%

CV-x 1.02
CV-y 1.45
No. Since STD DEV and CV for Stock Y is high it is more risky than Stock X.
^ry 14

Probability Y r-^R
0.1 -35 49 2401 240.1
0.2 0 14 196 39.2
0.4 20 -6 36 14.4
0.2 25 -11 121 24.2
0.1 45 -31 961 96.1

SUM 414
STD Dev 20.34699
r-^r
p r 12.4
0.1 -27 -39.4 1552.36
0.2 -7 -19.4 376.36
660.4 0.4 15 2.6 6.76
0.2 30 17.6 309.76
0.1 45 32.6 1062.76

Y 20.00933
-35
0
20 20.03597
25
45 p r 10.5
0.1 -17 -29.4 864.36
0.2 -3 -15.4 237.16
0.4 10 -2.4 5.76
0.2 25 12.6 158.76
0.1 38 25.6 655.36

15.54799
155.236 14.6
75.272
2.704
61.952
106.276

401.44
20.03597

86.436
47.432
2.304
31.752
65.536

233.46
15.2794
PORTFOLIO REQUIRED RETURN Suppose you are the money manager of a $4 million
investment fund. The fund consists of four stocks with the following investments and betas:

Stock Investment Beta Weight Por Ri=rRF+(rM-rRF)bi


A 400,000 1.5 0.10 0.15 18
B 600,000 -0.5 0.15 (0.08) 2
C 1,000,000 1.25 0.25 0.31 16
D 2,000,000 0.75 0.50 0.38 12
4,000,000 1.00 0.76

If the markets required rate of return is 14% and the risk-free rate is 6%, what is the funds
required rate of return?

MRP 14%
RFR 6%

Portfolio's Retutn
Ri=rRF+(rM-rRF)bi
bP 0.76
12.08

The Portfolio Required Rate of Return in 12.08%


REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN Stock R has a beta of 1.5, Stock S has a beta of 0.75, the
expected rate of return on an average stock is 13%, and the risk-free rate of return is 7%. By
how much does the required return on the riskier stock exceed the required return on the
less risky stock?

Beta Bi*Rpm
Stock R 1.5 9 9
Stock S 0.75 4.5

RFR 7
RM 13

RPM-(rm-rrf) 6

Ri for Stock R 16
Ri for Stock S 11.5

4.5%The required return on the riskier stock exceed the required return on the less risky stock by 4.5 %
CAPM AND REQUIRED RETURN Calculate the required rate of return for Manning Enterprises
assuming that investors expect a 3.5% rate of inflation in the future. The real risk-free
rate is 2.5%, and the market risk premium is 6.5%. Manning has a beta of 1.7, and its
realized rate of return has averaged 13.5% over the past 5 years.

IP 3.5
RRF 2.5
R*RF 6.0
MRP 6.5
RPm 11.05
Beta 1.7

Ri=rRF+(rM-rRF)bi 17.1

Expected Return 13.5


Required Return 6.9

The stock is undervalued.

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