Chapter 1 : Random Variables
CHAPTER 1 : RANDOM VARIABLES
Sub-Topic
Introduction.
Discrete random variables.
Discrete probability distribution function.
Cumulative distributions function of discrete random variables.
Expected value, variance and standard deviation of discrete random variables.
Continuous random variables.
Continuous probability density function.
Cumulative distributions function of continuous random variables.
Expected value, variance and standard deviation of continuous random
variables.
Chapter Learning Outcome
Identify and solve the problems involve with the random variables.
Learning Objective
By the end of this chapter, students should be able to
Identify two types of random variables.
Determine whether the equation function is probability distribution function
for discrete or continuous.
Find the cumulative distribution function of the distributions.
Calculate the probability of the distributions.
Find the expected value, variance and standard deviation of the distributions.
Key Term (English to Bahasa Melayu)
English
Bahasa Malaysia
1.
Random variables
Pemboleh ubah rawak
2.
Discrete
Diskrit
3.
Continuous
Selanjar
4.
Expected value
Nilai jangkaan
5.
Distribution
Taburan
6.
Density
Ketumpatan
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
1.1 Introduction
In this chapter we will discuss two types of random variables and each probability
distribution function, cumulative distribution function. In addition to the calculations
of the probability, we will learn the procedures to find mean, variance and standard
deviation of the distributions.
Definition 1
A random variable assumes any of several different values as a result of some
random event or experiment. Random variables are denoted by a capital letter such as
X, Y or Z. Its might describe the possible outcomes of
(a)
Picking a random box.
(b)
Measure the height of student.
(c)
Roll a die.
Definition 2
Population is a group or individual of items that share one or more characteristics
from which data can be gathered and analyze.
Definition 3
Sample is a subset of the population. Elements are selected intentionally as a
representation of the population being studied.
Definition 4
The set of all possible outcome or events of an experiment is called a sample space,
denoted by S.
Definition 5
Sample size is the number of items in a sample.
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Definition 6
Random sample is the sample selected in a way that allows every member of the
population to have the same chance of being chosen.
Example 1
An experiment consists of tossing a fair coin three times. Let X will be a random
variable of getting head. Find the probability of getting head by using pdf table, graph
and equation.
Answer Example 1
If H denotes head and T denotes tail, then the sample space will be,
S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}
It is because the way to get the outcomes is by chance. So X can have any of the value
0, 1, 2, or 3. Therefore we will get the probability distribution as in answer below.
Let X be the random variable that denotes the number of head.
The possible values of X are given in the table below:
Events
HHH
HHT
HTH
HTT
THH
THT
TTH
TTT
Values of X
(a)
(b)
Probability distribution in table.
X
P(x)
1/8
3/8
3/8
1/8
Probability distribution in graph.
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
0.40
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
0
(c)
Probability distribution in equation.
1
8 , x 0, 3
3
P( X )
, x 1, 2
8
0 , otherwise
Example 2
Consider the experiment of tossing a fair die twice. Let X be random variable of
getting an odd numbers.
Answer Example 2
From the experiment the sample space, S = { (1,1),(1, 2),,(6,6) }.
Let O be the odd event and E be the even event,
thus O = { 1, 3, 5 } and E = { 2, 4, 6 }.
Then, the outcome of the experiment will be { OO, OE, EO, EE }.
Let X be the random variable of getting an odd. Therefore the probability distribution
function will be as below.
P(X=x)
0.25
0.50
0.25
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Exercise 1.1
1.
Consider the experiment of throwing a dart onto a circular plate with the same
unit radius two times. There are three segments on the dart plate with red, blue
and green color. Let X be a random variable of getting red shot of the dart.
2.
3.
(a)
List down the sample space.
(b)
Find the probability distribution function.
Please indicate whether the following statement is a random variable or not
(a)
Number of heart beats per second.
(b)
Number of wrong answer achieved on a 50 question test.
(c)
Number of four rolled in two rolls of die that has four on all its faces.
(d)
Classifying birds by their species.
(e)
Number of respondent answer yes out of 100 surveyed.
The experiment of rolling a die twice. If the random variable is the number of
dots on the two rolls, what is sample space of the experiment?
4.
x
Frequency
Expand the table to find the probability distribution function of X.
5.
Bag H contains 3 cards numbered 1, 2, 3. Bag K contains 4 cards numbered 1,
2, 3, 4. Two fair dice are tossed simultaneously. If both dice show the same
number, a card will be selected at random from Bag H, otherwise a card will
be selected from Bag K. Let X be the random variable which denotes the sum
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
of the numbers obtained in each trail. Show that X is a discrete random
variable and find the probability distribution of X.
6.
Two players A and B are to play a badminton tournament. The first person to
win three games wins the tournament. The probability that player A will win
any one game is 2/7. Let S represents the number of games that they play.
Show that X is discrete random variable and find the probability distribution
of X.
Answer Exercise 1.1
1.
(a)
S = ( RR, RB, RG, BR, BB, BG, GR, GB, GG )
(b)
2.
(a)
x
P(X=x)
Random variable.
0
4/9
1
4/9
2
1/9
(b)
Random variable.
(c)
Not a random variable because the experiment is not determined by
random process.
3.
(d)
Not a random variable because not state the species.
(e)
Random variable.
S = { 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12 }
4.
x
Frequency
P(X=x)
4/14
5/14
2/14
3/14
5.
x
P(X=x)
x
3
4/432
9
4
10/432
10
5
20/432
11
6
28/432
12
7
44/432
13
8
52/432
14
15
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
P(X=x)
62/432
58/432
56/432
40/432
32/432
16/432
10/432
6.
x
3
4
5
P(X=x) 175/625 234/625 216/625
1.2 Discrete random variables
1.2.1 probability distribution for a discrete random variable
There are two types of random variables: discrete and continuous.
Definition 7
Discrete random variables denoted as a random variable that can take one of a finite
number of distinct outcomes.
Definition 8
A probability distribution for a discrete random variable is a complete set of all
possible outcomes and their probabilities of occurring.
Below are examples of discrete random variables
X, representing
Possible values of X
Number dots appear when tossing a die
0, 1, 2, 3. 4, 5, 6
Number of books in the bag
0, 1, 2, 3. 4, 5,
Number of students in a class
0, 1, 2, 3. 4, 5,
Theory 1
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is described as the
function P(X=x) = P(x) which is satisfied
(a)
0 P( x ) 1 .
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
P( X ) 1 .
(b)
i 1
P( x i ) P( X x i ) .
(c)
Example 3
Consider the table from answer example 1. From the table of probability distribution
function, proof that the distribution is a probability distribution function of discrete
random variable then find the probability,
(a)
P( X 2) .
(b)
P( X 2) .
(c)
P( X 1) .
Answer Example 3
From the value of the P( X x) , the value of all the probability satisfies the first
property that is 0 P( x ) 1 . The second property also satisfies that is
P( X i ) 1 .
i 1
P( X
) P(0) P(1) P(2) P(3)
i 1
1/ 8 3 / 8 3 / 8 1/ 8
1
Therefore we can conclude that the distribution from answer example 1 is a
probability distribution function of discrete random variable.
(a)
P( X 2) P(0) P(1)
1/ 8 3 / 8
4/8
1/ 2
(b)
P( X 2) P(0) P(1) P(2)
1/ 8 3 / 8 3 / 8
7/8
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
(c)
P( X 1) P(1) P(2) P(3)
3 / 8 3 / 8 1/ 8
7/8
or
P( X 1) 1 P( X 1)
1 P(0)
1 1 / 8
7/8
Example 4
Consider
P( x )
x
10
the
expression
P(x )
defined
the
equation
x 1, 2, 3, 4. Shows that P(x ) is define as a probability
for
distribution function.
Answer Example 4
n
We know that,
by
P( X i ) 1
i 1
Then, when replace the value x = 1, 2, 3, 4 in P(x) we get
1
,
10
2 1
,
P(2)
10 5
3
P(3) ,
10
4 2
P(4)
10 5
Then :
P(1)
P(1) P( 2) P(3) P( 4)
1 1 3 2
1.
10 5 10 5
n
P(x) is a probability distribution since
P( X i ) 1
i 1
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Example 5
Suppose a random variable X takes on the values -3, -1, 2 and 5 with respective
probabilities
2k 3 k 1 k 1 k 2
,
,
,
. Determine the probability distribution of X.
10
10
10
10
Answer Example 5
x
P(x )
-3
2k 3
10
-1
k 1
10
2
k 1
10
5
k 2
10
P(x) 1
2k 3 k 1 k 1 k 2
1
10 10 10 10
(2k 3 k 1 k 1 k 2) 10
5k 10 5
k 3
Then we get
x
P(x )
-3
3
10
-1
4
10
2
2
10
5
1
10
Example 6
Determine the value of k such that the following function is probability distribution
function of X. Find the probability distribution function.
P( x )
kx ,
Answer Example 6
n
We know that :
P( X i ) 1
i 1
P(0) P(1) P(2) P(3) 1
k k 2k 3k 1
10
x 0.
x 1, 2, 3.
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
17 ,
P( x )
x7 ,
1
7
x 0.
x 1, 2, 3.
Exercise 1.2
1.
x
-1
P( X x )
1/8
2/8
2/8
2/8
1/8
Show that the distribution is a probability distribution function. Find
2.
(a)
P( X 2) .
(b)
P( X 2) .
(c)
P( X 1) .
Let f(x) is probability distribution function of X with
2x 1
f ( x)
, x 0, 1, 2, 3, 4
25
Find
3.
(a)
P( X 3) .
(b)
P( X 2) .
(c)
P(1 X 4) .
Let f(x) is probability distribution function of X with
x
1
f ( x ) a , x 1, 2, 3.
4
Find
(a)
the value of a .
(b)
P( X 2) .
11
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
(c)
4.
P( X 3) .
Let the random variable X be the number of days that a patient needs to be
admitted to ward in the hospital. If f(x) is probability distribution function of
X with
f ( x)
5 x
,
10
x 1, 2, 3, 4
Find the probability that the patient admitted to ward
5.
6.
(a)
exactly three days.
(b)
more than two days.
(c)
at least three days.
Let P(X=x) is probability distribution function of X. Find
(a)
the value of b .
(b)
P( X 4) .
(c)
P(1 X 10) .
(d)
P(1 X 10) .
P(x)
0.14
2b
0.25
0.28
10
State whether the functions defined below is a probability function,
2x
, x 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
P( x ) 25
0 , otherwise
7.
State whether the functions defined below is a probability function,
12
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
( 2 x 1)
, x 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
P( x ) 25
0
, otherwise
Find the probabilities
8.
(a)
P(1 X 4) .
(b)
P(1 X 3) .
State whether the functions defined below is a probability function,
3x
1 , x 1, 2.
P( x ) 4
0
, otherwise
Answer Exercise 1.2
1.
(a)
5/8
(b)
1/8
(c)
5/8
2.
(a)
7/25
(b)
9/25
(c)
12/25
3.
(a)
64/63 (b)
4/63
4.
(a)
2/10
(b)
3/10
(c)
9/10
5.
(a)
0.11
(b)
0.64
(c)
0.89
6.
No
7.
Yes
8.
No
(c)
20/63
(d)
1.2.2 Cumulative distribution function of discrete random variables
Theory 2
The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable X is described as
n
the function F ( x ) P( X x ) P( X x ) which satisfies
F (x ) is an increase function.
lim F ( x ) 1 , which is the maximum value is 1.
x
13
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
lim F ( x ) 0 , which is the minimum value is 0.
x
Theory 3
The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable X can be calculate
by using the following formula
P( X r ) F ( r )
P( X r ) 1 F ( r )
P( X r ) P( X r 1) F (r 1)
P( X r ) F ( r ) F ( r 1)
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r )
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r ) f ( r )
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r ) f ( r ) f ( s )
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r ) f ( s )
Example 7
Customers purchase a particular make of automobile with a variety of options. The
probability distribution function of the number of options selected is
x
10
11
12
13
P( X x )
0.11
0.10
0.22
0.23
0.12
0.13
0.09
Find the cumulative distribution function of X, then by using the cumulative
distribution function, find the probability
(a)
exactly ten number of options was selected.
(b)
more than nine number of options was selected.
(c)
between eight and twelve number of options was selected.
Answer Example 7
P(X<7)=0
F(7)=P(X7)=P(X=7)=0.11
14
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
F(8)= (X8)=P(X=7)+P(X=8)=0.21
F(9)= (X9)= P(X=7) +P(X=8) +P(X=9=0.43
F(10)=P(X10)= P(X=7) +P(X=8) +P(X=9) +P(X=10=0.66
F(11)=P(X11)= P(X=7) +P(X=8) +P(X=9) +P(X=10) +P(X=11) =0.78
F(12)=P(X12)= P(X=7) +P(X=8) +P(X=9) +P(X=10) +P(X=11) +P(X=12) =0.91
F(13)=P(X13)=P(X=7) +P(X=8) +P(X=9) +P(X=10) +P(X=11) +P(X=12)
+P(X=13)=1
0
0.11
0.21
0.43
F ( x)
0.66
0.78
0.91
1
x7
7 x8
8 x9
9 x 10
, 10 x 11
, 11 x 12
, 12 x 13
,
x 13
(a)
P(X=10)= P(X10)-P(X11)= F(10)-F(9)= 0.66-0.43= 0.23.
(b)
P(X>9)= 1-P(X9)= 1-F(9)= 1-0.43= 0.57.
(c)
P(8<X<12)= P(X11)-P(X8)= F(11)-F(8)= 0.78-0.21= 0.57.
Example 8
Suppose X denotes the number of telephone receivers in a single family residential
house. From an examination of the phone subscription records of 1000 residence in a
city, the following probability distribution function of X is obtained.
0.17
0.23
f ( x)
0.2
0
x 0, 1
x 2, 3
x4
, otherwise
Find the cumulative distribution function of X, then by using the cumulative
distribution function, calculate the value of
(a)
P( X 3) .
(b)
P(1 X 4) .
15
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
(c)
P(1 X 4) .
Answer Example 8
P(X<0)=0
F(0)= P(X0)= P(X=0)= 0.17
F(1)= P(X1)= P(X=0)+ P(X=1) =0.34
F(2)= P(X2)= P(X=0)+ P(X=1) +P(X=2) =0.57
F(3)= P(X3)= P(X=0)+ P(X=1) +P(X=2) +P(X=3) =0.8
F(4)=P(X4)= P(X=0)+ P(X=1) +P(X=2) +P(X=3) +P(X=4) =1
0
0.17
0.34
F ( x)
0.57
0 .8
x0
, 0 x 1
, 1 x 2
, 2 x3
, 3 x4
,
x4
(a)
P(X<3)= P(X2)= F(2)= 0.57.
(b)
P(1X<4)= P(X3)- P(X0)= F(3)- F(0)= 0.8-0.17= 0.63.
(c)
P(0<X4)= P(X4)- P(X0)= F(4)- F(0)= 1-0.17= 0.83.
Exercise 1.3
1.
Let P( X x) is probability distribution function of X.
Find the cumulative distribution function of X.
2.
-3
-2
-1
P( X x )
0.09
0.12
0.22
0.24
0.14
0.19
Given F (x ) is cumulative distribution function of X.
0
0.08
F ( x ) 0.36
0.67
x 1
, 1 x 2
,
2 x5
5 x 7
x7
16
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Find the probability distribution function of X.
3.
Given F (x ) is cumulative distribution function of X.
0
0.18
F ( x) 0.32
0.77
x 1
, 1 x 0
,
0 x3
3 x6
x6
Calculate the probability
4.
(a)
exactly five.
(b)
not more than three.
(c)
greater than two.
Given F (x ) is cumulative distribution function of X.
0
0.1
F ( x) 0.4
0.8
x2
, 2 x4
, 4 x7
, 7 x9
,
x9
Calculate the probability
5.
(a)
exactly four.
(b)
more than five.
(c)
three to six.
Let f (x ) is probability distribution function of X
f ( x ) 77cx
, x 2, 3, 4, 5
,
otherwise
Find
(a)
the value of c .
(b)
cumulative distribution function of X .
17
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
6.
Let P( X x) is probability distribution function of X.
Find the cumulative distribution function of X.
7.
P( X x )
1/4
1/2
1/4
Let P( X x) is probability distribution function of X.
Find the cumulative distribution function of X.
8.
P( X x )
0.12
0.39
0.24
0.25
Given the following probability distribution function of X is obtained.
0.11
0.22
f ( x)
0.34
0
x 0, 1
x 2, 3
x4
, otherwise
Find the cumulative distribution function of X, then by using the cumulative
distribution function, calculate the value of
(a)
P( X 3) .
(b)
P(2 X 5) .
(c)
P(0 X 3) .
Answer Exercise 1.3
1.
0
0.09
0.21
F ( x) 0.43
0.67
0.81
x 3
, 3 x 2
, 2 x 1
,
1 x 0
0 x 1
1 x 2
x2
18
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
2.
x
-1
P( X x )
0.08
0.28
0.31
0.33
3.
(a)
(b)
0.77
(c)
0.68
4.
(a)
0.3
(b)
0.6
(c)
0.3
(b)
0
30 / 77
F ( x) 50 / 77
65 / 77
5.
(a)
1/10
x2
, 2 x3
, 3 x4
, 4 x5
x5
6.
x
F ( X x)
1/4
3/4
7.
x
F ( X x)
0.12
0.51
0.75
1.0
8.
(a)
F ( X x)
0.11
0.22
0.44
0.66
1.00
0.44
(b)
0.56
(c)
0.55
1.2.3 Expected value, variance and standard deviation
Definition 9
The expected value of a discrete random variable is defined as its weighted average
over all possible outcomes, with the weight for each outcome being the relative
frequency or probability associated with that outcome.
Theory 4
Expected value of discrete random variable is E ( X )
X P( X )
i
all Xi
19
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
where
Xi
: ith outcome of X
P( X i ) : probability of occurrence of the ith outcome of X
: 1, 2,
Definition 10
The variance of a discrete random variable is defined as the weighted average of the
squared differences between each possible outcome and the average value of the
outcomes, with the weights being the probabilities associated with each of the
outcomes.
Theory 5
Variance of discrete random variable
2 Var( X ) E( X 2 ) E( X )2
E( X 2 )
2
i
.P( X i )
all Xi
where
Xi
: ith outcome of X
P( X i ) : probability of occurance of the ith outcome of X
: 1, 2,
Theory 6
The standard deviation of the probability distribution of a discrete random variable is
the square root of the variance. Std ( X ) Var( X )
Example 9
The discrete random variable X has range space { 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 } and its cumulative
distribution function takes the value
20
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
x 2 5x
P( X x )
50
x 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
(a)
Tabulate the probability distribution function.
(b)
Compute the mean and variance.
Answer Example 9
(a)
Cumulative distribution function (discrete)
P( X x )
x 2 5x
50
x 1 , P( X 1)
x 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
(1) 2 5(1) 6
3
50
50 25
P ( X 2)
( 2) 2 5( 2) 14 7
50
50 25
x 3 , P ( X 3)
(3) 2 5(3) 24 12
50
50 25
x4 ,
P ( X 4)
( 4) 2 5( 4) 36 18
50
50 25
x5 ,
P ( X 5)
(5) 2 5(5) 50
1
50
50
x2 ,
Probability Distribution Function (Discrete)
x
P(x )
(b)
1
3
25
2
4
25
3
5
25
4
6
25
5
7
25
3 4 5 6 7
Mean : E ( X ) 1 2 3 4 5
25 25 25 25 25
3
8 15 24 35
25 25 25 25 25
85
25
3.4
21
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
3
4
5
6
7
E ( X 2 ) 12 2 2 32 4 2 52
25
25
25
25
25
3 16 45 96 175
25 25 25 25 25
335
25
13.4
Variance : Var( X ) E X 2 E X 2
13.4 3.4 2
1.84
Example 10
A random variable Y has the following probability distribution.
y
-2
P(Y y )
1 2k
(a)
Show that Var(Y ) 8k .
(b)
1
If given k , find mean and variance.
3
Answer Example 10
(a)
y
-2
P(Y y )
1 2k
Mean : E Y y PY
2k 01 2k 2k
2k 2k
22
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
0
E Y 2 y 2 PY
2 2 k 0 2 1 2k 2 2 k
4k 4k
8k
VarY E Y 2 E Y
8k 0
8k
(b)
y
-2
P(Y y )
Mean : E Y y PY
1 2 1
2 01 2
3 3 3
2
2
0
3
3
0
E Y 2 y 2 PY
1
1
1
2 2 0 2 1 2 2 2
3
3
3
4
4
0
3
3
8
3
23
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
VarY E Y 2 E Y
8
2
0
3
8
3
Example 11
The following table lists the probability distribution of the number of student taken
course per semester in science centre.
x
P(x )
0.37 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.08
Calculate the mean and standard deviation for this probability distribution.
Answer Example 11
Mean : E ( X ) x. p( x )
3(0.37) 4(0.26) 5(0.18) 6(0.11) 7(0.08)
4.27
E ( X 2 ) x 2 . p( x )
32 (0.37) 42 (0.26) 52 (0.18) 62 (0.11) 72 (0.08)
19.87
Variance : Var( X ) E ( X 2 ) E ( X ) 2
19.87 (4.27)
1.6371
Standard deviation : Sd Var( X ) 1.6371 1.2794
Note :
24
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
E(aX + b) = a E(x) + b.
Var(aX + b) = a2 Var(x) + Var (b) = a2 Var(x) + 0
Example 12
Let the probability distribution function of X be defined by
26 x
, x 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
p( x ) 64
1
, x7
64
(a)
Find P( 1 X 4) .
(b)
Calculate the mean and variance.
(c)
Find the value of E (2 X 9) and Var(3X 10) .
Answer Example 12
(a)
x
P( X x )
32
64
16
64
8
64
4
64
2
64
1
64
1
64
P( 1 X 4)
32 16 8
46
64 64 64 64
32
16
8
4
2
1
1 127
(b) E ( X ) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
127
64
32
16
8
4
2
1
1
E ( X 2 ) 12 2 2 32 4 2 52 6 2 7 2
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
367
64
Var X E X 2 E ( X ) 2
25
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
367 127
64 64
1.7966
(c)
E 2 X 9 2 E X E 9
127
2
9
64
5.03125
Var3 X 10 32Var X Var10
91.7966 0
16.1694
Exercise 1.4
1.
The discrete random variable X has range space { 1, 2, 3, 4 } and its
cumulative distribution function takes the value
P( X x)
2.
x
10
, x 1, 2, 3, 4.
(a)
Tabulate the probability distribution function.
(b)
Compute the mean and variance.
A random variable Y has the following probability distribution.
y
P(Y y )
c2
c2 + c
3c2 + 2c
Compute the mean and variance.
3.
The following table lists the probability distribution of the number of student
taken course per semester in science centre.
26
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
P(x )
0.34 0.23 0.12 0.15
Find the value of k and calculate the mean and standard deviation for this
probability distribution.
4.
5.
Let the probability distribution function of X be defined by
3 2
a , x 0,1, 2, 3...
p( x) 4
0
, otherwise
(a)
Find the value of a.
(b)
Find P( 1 X 4) .
(c)
Calculate the mean and variance.
(d)
Find the value of E (2 X 11) and Var(3 X 3) .
The following table lists the probability distribution of the number of student
taken course per semester in science centre.
x
P(x )
1/9
2/9
3/9
1/9
Find the value of k and calculate the mean and standard deviation for this
probability distribution.
1.3 Continuous Random Variables
1.3.1 Probability Density Function For Continuous Random Variables
The second type of the random variable is the continuous random variable.
Definition 11
A random variable that can take any numeric value within a range of value is called
continuous random variable. The range may be infinite or bounded at either both
ends.
27
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Below are examples of continuous random variables
X, representing
Possible values of X
The height of the students
150cm<X<170cm
The weight of the students
45kg<X<85kg
The times to complete a quiz
5minutes<X<10minutes
Theory 7
Properties of the ability Density Function of Continuous Random Variable
f ( x) 1 .
f ( x) dx 1 .
P( a x b) P( a x b) P( a x b) P( a x b) f ( x ) dx
a
Example 13
Let X be a continuous random variable of X with probability density function (p.d.f)
2 x , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
Show that the function is the ability density function of X.
Answer Example 13
f ( x) dx 1
2 xdx 1
0
x
2
1
0
12 0 1
Proof that the f (x ) is probability distribution function of X.
28
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Example 14
The continuous random variable X has the probability distribution function
2 k ( x x 2 ) , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0
, otherwise
Find
(a)
the value of k .
(b)
P(0.5 X 1) .
(c)
P( X 0.25) .
Answer Example 14
f ( x )dx 1
(a)
2k ( x x
)dx 1
0
1
x2
x3
2 k ( ) ( ) 1
3 0
2
1 1
2 k ( ) 0 1
2 3
1
k 1
3
k 3
x2
x3
6
(
x
x
)
dx
6
(
)
(
)
2
0.5
3
0. 5
1
(b)
1 1
0.52 0.53
6 ( ) (
)
2
3
2 3
0.5
29
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
x2
x3
6
(
x
x
)
dx
6
(
)
(
)
2
0.25
3 0.25
(c)
1 1
0.252 0.253
6 ( ) (
)
2
3
2 3
0.84375
Exercise 1.5
1.
The continuous random variable X has the probability distribution function
(2 x x 2 ) , 0 x 2
f ( x) 4
0
, otherwise
Find
2.
(a)
P( X 1) .
(b)
P( X 1) .
(c)
P(0.5 X 2) .
The continuous random variable X has the probability distribution function
0.125 x , 0 x 4
f ( x)
, otherwise
0
Find
3.
(a)
P( X 3) .
(b)
P( X 2.5) .
(c)
P(1.5 X 3) .
The continuous random variable X has the probability distribution function.
1
3 , 0 x 1
2
f ( x)
, 1 x 2
3
0 , otherwise
30
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Find
4.
(a)
P( X 0.5) .
(b)
P( X 1.5) .
(c)
P(0.5 X 1.5) .
The continuous random variable X has the probability distribution function.
x,
f ( x ) 2 x ,
0,
0 x 1.
1 x 2.
otherwise.
Find
5.
(a)
P( X 1) .
(b)
P( X 1) .
(c)
P(0.5 X 2) .
The continuous random variable X has the probability distribution function.
2c,
f ( x) 2c(2 x 3),
0,
0 x 2.
2 x 3.
otherwise.
Find
6.
(a)
the value of c .
(b)
P( X 1) .
(c)
P(2.5 X 3) .
Specifications call for the thickness of aluminum sheets that are to be made
into cans to be between 8 and 11 thousandths of an inch. Let X be the
thickness of an aluminum sheet. Assume the probability density function of X
is given by
31
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
f ( x ) 54
0
7.
, 6 x 12
, otherwise
(a)
Find the probability the thickness of aluminum at least 9.5.
(b)
Find the probability the thickness of aluminum not more than 6.5.
(c)
Find the mean of the thickness an aluminum sheet.
(d)
Find the standard deviation of the thickness an aluminum sheet.
The density function of the continuous random variable X is given as
follows, calculate
6 x 1 x , 0 x 1
f ( x)
, elsewhere
0
8.
(a)
P X .
4
(b)
mean.
(c)
variance.
Let the probability density function of X be defined by f ( x )
3x 2
where
16
c x c.
(a)
Calculate the value of c so that f (x ) is a probability distribution
function.
(b)
Find the cumulative distribution function, F(x).
Answer Exercise 1.5
1.
(a)
12
(b)
12
2.
(a)
0.5625 (b)
0.6094 (c)
3.
(a)
1/6
(b)
4.
(a)
12
(b)
(c)
0.875
1/3
(c)
1/2
12
(c)
7/8
0.4219
32
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
5.
(a)
1/8
(b)
14
(c)
0.3125
6.
(a)
0.497685
(b)
0.05787
(c)
9.333333
(d)
90, 1.699675
7.
(a)
0.8438
(b)
1/2
(c)
3/10, 1/20
8.
(a)
2
, x 2
0
3
x 8
F ( x)
, 2 x2
16
, x2
1
(b)
1.3.2 Cumulative Distribution Function of Continuous Random Variables
Theory 8
The cumulative distribution function of a continuous random variable X is described
x
as the function F ( x ) P( X x )
f ( x ) dx for x .
Example 15
Refer to example 13
2 x , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
Find the cumulative distribution function of X. By using it, calculate
(a)
P( X 0.3) .
(b)
P( X 0.4) .
(c)
P(0.3 X 0.4) .
Answer Example 15
0
x
2x2
2
(0 x 1); 2 xdx
x and F ( x ) x 2
2 0
0
1
(a)
P( x 0.3) F (0.3) (0.3) 2 0.09
33
x0
, 0 x 1.
,
x 1
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
(b)
P( x 0.4) 1 P( x 0.4)
1 F (0.4)
1 (0.4) 2
0.84
(c)
P(0.3 x 0.4) P( x 0.4) P( x 0.3)
F (0.4) F (0.3)
0.16 0.09
0.07
Example 16
Refer to example 14
6( x x 2 ) , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0
, otherwise
Find the cumulative distribution function of X. By using it, calculate
(a)
P( X 0.5) .
(b)
P( X 0.8) .
(c)
P(0.5 X 0.8) .
Answer Example 16
x
x2 x3
(0 x 1); 6( x x )dx 6 3x 2 2 x 3 and
3 0
2
0
x
0
,
x0
2
3
F ( x ) 3x 2 x , 0 x 1
1
,
x 1
(a)
P( x 0.5) P( x 0.5)
F (0.5)
3(0.5) 2 2(0.5) 3
0.5
34
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
(b)
P( x 0.8) 1 P( x 0.8)
1 F (0.8)
1 (3(0.8) 2 2(0.8) 3 )
0.104
(c)
P(0.5 x 0.8) P( x 0.8) P( x 0.5)
F (0.8) F (0.5)
0.896 0.5
0.396
Exercise 1.6
1.
Given the probability density function
x / 8 , 0 x 4
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
Find the cumulative distribution function of X. By using it, calculate
2.
(a)
P( X 2) .
(b)
P( X 1) .
Given the probability density function
k , 0 x 3
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
3.
(a)
Find the value of k.
(b)
Find the cumulative distribution function of X.
Given the probability density function
k / 8 , 0 x 4
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
(a)
Find the value of k.
(b)
Find the cumulative distribution function of X.
35
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
4.
Given the probability density function
kx 2
f ( x)
0
5.
1 x 4
, otherwise
(a)
Find the value of k.
(b)
Find the cumulative distribution function of X.
(c)
Find P( X 2) .
(d)
P(0 X 3)
Let the continuous random variable X has probability density function as
follows,
kx , 2 x 0
x
f ( x ) , 0 x 2
3
0 , elsewhere
(a)
Find the value of k.
(b)
Find the cumulative distribution function F(x).
(c)
Find the value P( 1 X 1.5).
1.3.3 Expected value, variance and standard deviation
Theory 9
Expected value of continuous random variable
E ( X ) x f ( x ) dx
Theory 10
Variance of continuous random variable
2 Var ( X ) E ( X 2 ) E ( X ) 2
E( X 2 )
Theory 11
36
f ( x ) dx
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
The standard deviation of the probability distribution of a continuous random variable
is the square root of the variance.
Sd( X ) Var ( X )
Example 17
Refer to example 13, find the mean and variance of X.
2 x , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
Answer Example 17
E ( X ) x f ( x ) dx
x 2 x dx
0
1
2 x 2 dx
0
1
2x3
3 0
2
3
E( X 2 )
f ( x ) dx
x 2 2 x dx
0
1
( 2 x 3 ) dx
0
1
2x4
4 0
1
2
37
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
Var ( X ) E ( X 2 ) E ( X )
1 2
2 3
1
18
Example 18
Refer to example 14, find the mean and variance of X
6( x x 2 ) , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0
, otherwise
Answer Example 18
x f ( x ) dx
E( X )
x 6( x x 2 ) dx
0
1
6( x 2 x 3 )dx
0
1
x3 x4
6
4 0
3
13 14
6 0
3 4
1
2
E( X )
2
f ( x )dx
x 2 6( x x 2 ) dx
0
38
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
6( x 3 x 4 )dx
0
1
x4 x5
6
5 0
4
14 15
6 0
4 5
3
10
Var ( X ) E ( X 2 ) E ( X )
3 1
10 2
1
20
Example 19
The continuous random variable X has probability density function such as below,
calculate
1
( x 1) , 0 x 4
f ( x ) 12
0
, otherwise
(a)
the mean.
(b)
the variance.
Answer Example 19
(a)
Mean E ( X ) x. f ( x ) dx
0
1 4
x( x 1) dx
12 0
39
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
1 4 2
x x dx
12 0
4
1 x3 x2
12 3
2 0
1 ( 4 ) 3 ( 4 ) 2 ( 0) 3 ( 0) 2
12 3
2 3
2
1 88
12 3
22
(b)
E ( X 2 ) x 2 . f ( x ) dx
0
1 4 2
x ( x 1) dx
12 0
1 4
x 3 x 2 dx
12 0
1 x4 x3
12 4
3 0
1 ( 4 ) 4 ( 4 ) 3 ( 0 ) 4 ( 0) 3
12 4
3 4
3
1 256
12 3
64
Var( X ) E ( X 2 ) E ( X ) 2
64 22
9 9
92
81
Exercise 1.7
1.
Given the probability density function
x / 8 , 0 x 4
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
40
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
2.
(a)
the mean.
(b)
the variance.
Given the probability density function
3x(2 2 x) , 0 x 1
f ( x)
0
, otherwise
Find
3.
(a)
the mean.
(b)
the variance.
Given the probability density function
3(8 2 x x 2 ) / 80 , 0 x 4
f ( x)
0
, otherwise
Find the
4.
(a)
mean.
(b)
variance.
Given the probability density function
k
f ( x) (1 x) 4
5.
x0
, x0
(a)
Find the value of k.
(b)
Find the mean.
(c)
Find standard deviation.
Let the continuous random variable X has probability density function as
follows.
, 0 x2
kx
2 2 x
2x3
f ( x)
,
0
elsewhere
41
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
(a)
Find the value of k.
(b)
Find E (2x +1).
(c)
Find Var (3x 2).
EXERCISE CHAPTER 1
1.
A continuous random variable Y has a probability density function as below.
0.2
f y 0.2 cy
0
2.
0 y 1
others
(a)
Show that value of c is 1.2.
(b)
Obtain the cumulative distribution function of Y.
(c)
Calculate P(0 Y 0.5) .
A continuous random variable X has the probability density function
1
f ( x ) 10
0
3.
1 y 0
, 0 x 10
, elsewhere
(a)
Show that f (x ) is a probability density function.
(b)
Find F (4.5) .
(c)
Find P(3 X 10) .
(d)
Find Var ( X ) .
Given probability density function for continuous random variable X as
below.
h ( 2 x ) , 0 x 1
f ( x ) hx
, 1 x 3
0
, otherwise
Find
(a)
the value of h .
42
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
4.
(b)
P( X 2) .
(c)
P( X 2) .
(d)
E ( X ) and Var ( X ) .
Given probability distribution function for discrete random variable X as
below.
5.
10
P( X x )
0.23
0.14
0.25
0.16
0.22
(a)
Show that P( X x) is probability distribution function of X.
(b)
Find P( X 6) , P( X 6) and P( X 6) .
(c)
Find mean and variance of X.
The number of minutes that a flight from Penang to Senai is early or late, is a
random variable with the probability density function is given by
1
(36 x 2 ) 6 x 6
f ( x) 288
0
otherwise
Negative values indicate that the flight being early and positive values
indicate that the flight being late. Find the probabilities that the flight will be
6.
(a)
at least two minutes early.
(b)
at least one minute late.
(c)
between three to one minute early.
(d)
the expected value and variance.
The density function for continuous random variable X is given by
w2
f ( x ) 2 w 2 x 3w 2
Find
43
0 x2
2 x3
, otherwise
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
7.
(a)
the constant w .
(b)
the cumulative distribution function of X.
(c)
P(1 X 2.5) by using cumulative distribution function of X.
A discrete random variable has a probability distribution as follows.
x
10
15
P( X x )
2t
3t
3t
(a) Find the value of t .
(b) Find the value of r if the expected value is 6.7.
(c) Find the cumulative distribution function, F (x ) .
8.
Random variable Y has a probability density function as following.
0.2
f y 0.2 cy
0
1 y 0
0 y 1
others
Find
9.
(a)
the value of c .
(b)
the cumulative distribution function, F (Y ) .
(c)
P 0.5 Y 0.5 .
(d)
E (Y ) .
(e)
E (10Y 2) .
The discrete random variable X has the probability distribution function as
below.
44
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
x2
23 ,
x
P( X x ) ,
23
0,
10.
x 1, 2, 3
x 4, 5
elsewhere
(a)
Show that P( X x) is a probability distribution function.
(b)
Find the cumulative distribution function of X, then find F (2.5) .
(c)
Find P(2 X 5) .
(d)
Calculate E ( X ) and Var ( X ) .
Given probability distribution function for discrete random variable X as
below.
11.
10
P( X x )
0.08
0.25
0.35
0.20
0.12
(a)
Show that P( X x) is probability distribution function of X.
(b)
Find P( X 8) and P( X 6) .
(c)
Find mean and variance of X.
A discrete random variable, X can assume five possible values which are 2, 3,
5, 8 and 10. The probability distribution is shown below.
12.
10
P( X )
0.15
0.10
0.25
0.25
(a)
What is the value for a ?
(b)
What is the probability that X equals two or ten ?
(c)
What is the probability that X is less than ten but more than two ?
A discrete random variable, X can take only the values 0, 1 and 2 with
45
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
probability P0 , P1 and P2
respectively. Given that E ( X )
4
and
3
5
Var( X ) , find the values of P0 , P1 and P2 .
9
13.
Given the cumulative probability distribution function of random variable X
such as below, find
1
3
1
F ( x) 2
5
6
1
14.
15.
1 x 4
4x6
6 x 10
x 10
(a)
the probability density function of X.
(b)
P 3 x 6 .
Random variable X has continuous density function f ( x ) 2 x on 0 x 1.
(a)
Verify that f (x ) is a valid probability density function.
(b)
Compute P X 1 2 , P X 3 4 and P 1 2 X 3 4 .
Given the function f (x ) such as below.
1
,
2
f ( x) 1
(2 x ) ,
4
16.
(a)
Verify that f is a valid density.
(b)
Compute P 1 2 X 1 2 .
1 x 0
0 x2
The continuous random variable X has probability density function such as
below, find
46
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
k ( x 2 ) 2 , 2 x 0
f ( x ) 4 k
, 0 x
3
0
,
otherwise
17.
(a)
the value of the constant k .
(b)
P 1 X 1 .
(c)
P X 1 .
The following is a probability density function of continuous random variable.
2
2
(6 x x ) ,
f ( x) 27
0,
18.
(a)
Calculate P(0 X 1 12 ) .
(b)
P( X 2)
(c)
Find the mean of X.
0 x 3,
otherwise.
The continuous random variable, X has a probability density function, f (x )
where
k ( x 6)( x 1) , 1 x 6
f ( x)
, otherwise
0
19.
(a)
Find the value of k .
(b)
Find P( X 2.5)
(c)
Find P(2.3 X 5.6) .
A random variable X has a probability density function f as follows.
a 5 x , 5 x 6
f ( x)
, others
0
47
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
20.
(a)
Show that a 1 / 2.
(b)
Find P( X 5.7) .
Give the probability distribution function of continuous random variable of X
such as below.
c x , 0 x 1
f ( x)
, elsewhere
0
(a)
Find the value of c .
(b)
Calculate the P X 1 4 .
(c)
Find the mean of X.
ANSWER EXERCISE CHAPTER 1
1.
(b)
0.2( y 1)
F ( x)
3
0.2(1 y 3 y )
x 1
, 1 x 0
,
0 x 1
x 1
(c)
0.25
2.
(b)
0.45
(c)
7/10
(d)
175/3
3.
(a)
1/5
(b)
(c)
15 (d) =28/3,
2=539/36
=6, 2=8.4
4.
(b)
0.62, 0.63, 0.25
(c)
5.
(a)
41/144
(b)
61/576
6.
(a)
1/3
0
1
x
9
(b)
F ( x)
1
(x2
9
(c)
(c)
x0
, 0 x2
3 x 4) , 2 x 3
1
x3
0.1944
48
2/9
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
7.
8.
9.
(a)
1/10
(b)
(c)
0
2 / 10
3 / 10
F ( x)
6 / 10
9 / 10
x 1
1 x 2
2 x6
6 x 10
, 10 x 15
x 15
(a)
1.2
(b)
0.2 y 0.2
F ( y)
2
0.6 y 0.2 y 0.2
(c)
0.35
(b)
5/23
(iv)
0
1 / 23
5 / 23
F ( x)
14 / 23
18 / 23
y 1
, 1 y 0
,
0 y 1
y 1
0.6
(v)
x 1
, 1 x 2
, 2 x3
, 3 x 4
, 4 x5
x5
(c)
17/23
(d)
=77/23, 2=672/529
10.
(b)
0.88, 0.67
(c)
=6.06, 2=4.9964
11.
(a)
0.25
(b)
0.4
13.
(a)
The density functions such as below.
x
P(x )
14.
1
1/3
(c)
4
1/6
6
1/3
0.6
10
1/6
(b)
1/2
(a)
The function, f is a valid probability density function when
1
2x2
2 x dx
2
(1) (0) 2
2
49
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
The value of f (x ) is nonnegative over the interval [0, 1].
(b)
1
3
P X 1 / 4 , P X 7 / 16
2
4
15.
(b)
3
1
P X 5 / 16
4
2
15/32
16.
(a)
1/8
(c)
P( X 1) 1 / 6
17.
(a)
18.
(a)
P(0 X 1 12 ) 2 / 3 , P(2 X 3) 13 / 81
(b)
6
(b)
P( X 2.5) 0.2160
125
P(1 X 0) 7 / 24 , P(0 X 1) 1 / 2
P( 1 X 1) 19 / 24
(b)
(c)
P(2.3 X 5.6) 0.8142
19.
(a)
1/2
(b)
P( X 5.7) 0.405
20.
(a)
3/2
(b)
P X 7/8
4
(c)
3/5
7/6
SUMMARY CHAPTER 1
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is described as the
function P(X=x) = P(x) which is satisfied
0 P( x ) 1 .
P( X ) 1 .
i 1
P( x i ) P( X x i ) .
The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable X is described as
n
the function F ( x ) P( X x ) P( X x ) which satisfies
50
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
F (x ) is an increase function.
lim F ( x ) 1 , which is the maximum value is 1.
lim F ( x ) 0 , which is the minimum value is 0.
The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable X can be calculate
by using the following formula
P( X r ) F ( r )
P( X r ) 1 F ( r )
P( X r ) P( X r 1) F (r 1)
P( X r ) F ( r ) F ( r 1)
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r )
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r ) f ( r )
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r ) f ( r ) f ( s )
P( r X s ) F ( s ) F ( r ) f ( s )
X P( X )
Expected value of discrete random variable is E ( X )
all Xi
where
Xi
: ith outcome of X
P( X i ) : probability of occurrence of the ith outcome of X
: 1, 2,
Variance of discrete random variable
2 Var( X ) E( X 2 ) E( X )2
E( X 2 )
2
i
.P( X i )
all Xi
where
Xi
: ith outcome of X
P( X i ) : probability of occurance of the ith outcome of X
: 1, 2,
51
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
The standard deviation of the probability distribution of a discrete random variable is
the square root of the variance. Std ( X ) Var( X )
Note :
E(aX + b) = a E(x) + b.
Var(aX + b) = a2 Var(x)
Properties of the Probability Density Function of Continuous Random Variable
f ( x) 1 .
f ( x) dx 1 .
P( a x b) P( a x b) P( a x b) P( a x b) f ( x ) dx
a
The cumulative distribution function of a continuous random variable X is described
x
as the function F ( x ) P( X x )
f ( x ) dx for x .
Expected value of continuous random variable
E ( X ) x f ( x ) dx
Variance of continuous random variable
2 Var ( X ) E ( X 2 ) E ( X ) 2
E( X 2 )
f ( x ) dx
The standard deviation of the probability distribution of a continuous random variable
is the square root of the variance.
Sd( X ) Var ( X )
52
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
CORRECTION PAGE CHAPTER 1
53
Chapter 1 : Random Variables
54