LECTURE 1A :CHAPTER 1
Introduction to Financial Management
Forms of Businesses
1-1
Alternative Forms of Business
Organization
Proprietorship
Unincorporated business owned by one individual
Partnership
Unincorporated business owned by two or more
persons
Corporation (listed and unlisted)
Incorporated business owned by many
shareholders
Legal entity created that is separate and distinct
from its owners and managers
1-2
Proprietorships & Partnerships
Advantages
Disadvantages
Easy to set up
Subject to few regulations
No corporate income taxes
Difficult to raise capital
Unlimited liability
Limited life
Recently, Partnership often set up as Limited Liability
Company (LLC) or Limited Liability Partnership (LLP):
(limited liability like corporation but taxed like a
1-3
partnership)
Corporation
Advantages
Disadvantages
Unlimited life
Easy transfer of ownership
Limited liability
Ease of raising capital
Higher tax rate (typically)
Double taxation: one at corporate level, one on
dividends received by individual shareholders
Cost of set-up and report filing
1-4
LECTURE 1B : CHAPTER 7
Interest Rates
Determinants of interest rates
The term structure and yield curves
Using Yield Curve to estimate Future Interest
Rates
1-5
What four factors affect the level of
interest rates?
Production
opportunities
Time preferences
for consumption
Risk
Expected inflation
1-6
What four factors affect the level of
interest rates?
Production opportunities:
Affects Demand for funds: those with higher rate of return from
investment are more prepared to pay higher cost of borrowing.
If economy booms, more attractive projects means more need for
capital. Greater competition for funds pushes up interest rates.
Demand for funds declines during recessions. Lesser competition
for funds leads to lower interest rates.
Time preferences for consumption
Preference for Current Consumption (Spend Now) vs Future
Consumption (Spend Later).
If current consumption is preferred, lower savings means less
funds available for investment. Borrowers competing for limited
funds lead to higher interest rates and lesser investments.
1-7
What four factors affect the level of
interest rates?
Risk
Higher risk means higher required rate of return.
Expected inflation
To maintain real purchasing power, higher expected
inflation will lead to higher interest rate.
Higher oil prices tend to lead to higher expected
inflation.
1-8
Determinants of interest rates
r = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP
r
= required return on a debt security
r*
= real risk-free rate of interest
IP
= Inflation Premium
MRP = Maturity Risk Premium
DRP = Default Risk Premium
LP
= Liquidity Premium
1-9
Determinants of interest rates
r = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP
r* = real risk-free rate of interest, is the rate on a riskless security in
a world without inflation.
IP = Inflation Premium.
It is the average expected inflation rate over the life of the
security.
rRF = r* + IP + MRP, is the nominal or quoted risk-free rate (this
overrides textbook definition which excludes the MRP).
Further, the default for risk-free rate is nominal risk-free rate and not
real risk-free rate, so risk-free rate means the nominal risk-free rate.
rRF = represents the interest rate earned on Treasury securities.
I.O.U. document issued by Government when it borrows.
Can be bought/sold. It is default-free and very liquid
1-10
Determinants of interest rates
r = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP
MRP =
Maturity Risk Premium : ________ bonds face greater price
declines when interest rates or inflation spike, hence higher
return is required to compensate for this risk.
DRP
Default Risk Premium : Compensation for risk of
non-payment of interest or principal (Credit Risk).
Correlated with rating of the bond.
LP
Liquidity Premium : Liquidity measures how easily a security
can be converted to cash at short notice at reasonable price.
LP is low for U.S. Treasuries, large strong firms (liquid assets)
but high for small, privately owned firms (illiquid assets).
1-11
Premiums added to r* for different
types of DEBT
IP
S-T Treasury
L-T Treasury
S-T Corporate Bond
L-T Corporate Bond
MRP
DRP
LP
r = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP
1-12
Review/Recap & Thinking Questions
What is the Golden Formula on interest rates?
What type of securities have significant MRP?
What type of securities have significant DRP?
What type of securities have significant LP?
1-13
Yield curve and the term
structure of interest rates
Term structure
relationship between
interest rates (or yields) and
maturities.
Interest
14%
March 1980
12%
10%
8%
The yield curve is a graph of
the term structure.
Treasury yield curve on
different dates are shown at
the right.
February 2000
6%
4%
October
2008
2%
0%
0
10
20
30
Years to Maturity
1-14
Constructing the Treasury yield curve:
r = r* + IP + MRP
Assuming r* is given, we first find IP
Step 1 Find the average expected inflation
rate over years 1 to N:
IPN =
N INFL
N
t=1
N
1-15
Constructing the yield curve: Inflation
Assume inflation is expected to be 5% next year,
6% the following year, and 8% thereafter.
IP1 = 5% / 1 = 5.00%
IP10= [5% + 6% + 8%(8)] / 10 = 7.50%
IP20= [5% + 6% + 8%(18)] / 20 = 7.75%
Return of (r* + IP) helps overcome higher prices
due to inflation. Effectively, investor earns r*,
which measures real purchasing power, which
measures money in terms of amount of goods
and services it can buy.
1-16
Constructing the yield curve:
Maturity Risk
Step 2 Find the appropriate maturity risk
premium (MRP).
For this example, the following equation will be
used to find a securitys appropriate maturity risk
premium.
MRPt 0.1% ( t - 1 )
1-17
Constructing the yield curve:
Maturity Risk
Using the given equation:
MRP1 = 0.1% x (1-1) = 0.0%
MRP10 = 0.1% x (10-1) = 0.9%
MRP20 = 0.1% x (20-1) = 1.9%
Equation is linear.
Maturity Risk Premium is increasing as the time
to maturity increases, as it should be.
1-18
Add the IPs and MRPs to r* to find the
appropriate Treasury yield
Step 3 Adding the premiums to r*.
rRF, t = r* + IPt + MRPt
(MRP often taken to be zero for Treasury Bill (T-Bill) as it
is short-term)
Assume r* = 3%,
rRF, 1 = 3% + 5.0% + 0.0% = 8.0%
rRF, 10 = 3% + 7.5% + 0.9% = 11.4%
rRF, 20 = 3% + 7.75% + 1.9% = 12.65%
1-19
Hypothetical (Treasury) yield curve
Interest
Rate (%)
15
Maturity risk premium
10
Inflation premium
An upward sloping yield
curve.
Upward slope due to an
increase in expected
inflation and increasing
maturity risk premium.
Real risk-free rate
10
Years to
20 Maturity
1-20
Relationship between the Treasury yield curve
and the yield curves for corporate issues
Corporate yield curves are higher than that of
Treasury securities, though not necessarily parallel
to the Treasury curve.
Spread (or difference) between corporate and
Treasury yield curves increases if the corporate
bond has a lower or lousier rating.
Since corporate bond yields include a default risk
premium (DRP) and a liquidity premium (LP), the
corporate bond yield spread can be calculated as:
Corporate bond
yield spread
Corporate bond yield Treasury bond yield
DRP LP
1-21
Relationship between corporate and Treasury
yield curves
1-22
Pure Expectations Hypothesis : PEH
(Theory to explain Term Structure)
PEH states that the shape of the yield curve
depends on investors expectations about
future interest rates.
If interest rates are expected to increase,
Long-Term rates will be higher than
Short-Term rates, and vice-versa.
Hence, yield curve can slope up, down, or
even humped.
1-23
Assumptions of the PEH
Assumes maturity risk premium for Treasury
securities is zero.
Long-term rates are a (geometric) average of
current and future short-term rates.
If PEH is correct, can use the yield curve to
calculate/infer expected future interest rates.
1-24
PEH: (1 + RL)L = (1 + RS)S (1+SRL)(L-S)
RS
SRL.
RL
(1 + RL)L = (1 + RS)S (1+SRL)(L-S)
Let S = 3, L = 7, (L-S) = 7-3 = 4
Suppose RS = R3 = 5.6% per annum (p.a.), RL = R7 =8.2% p.a.
(1 + 0.082)7 = (1 + 0.056)3 (1+3R7)4
3R7
= 0.1019 = 10.19%
The 4-year interest rate starting at Yr-3 and ending at Yr-7 is expected
to be 10.19%
1-25
Pure Expectations Theory
(1 + 0.05) (1 + 0.07) = (1.06)2
(1 + 0.05) (1 + ____) = (1.05)2
(1 + 0.05) (1 + ____) = (1.0796)2 (1.08)2
(1 + 0.05) (1 + ____) = (1.03995)2 (1.04)2
Short
Rate
Future
Rate
Long
Rate
1-26
Observed Treasury rates and the PEH
Maturity
Yield
1 year
6.0%
2 years
6.2%
3 years
6.4%
4 years
6.45%
5 years
6.5%
If PEH holds, what does the market expect will be the
interest rate on one-year securities, one year from now?
Three-year securities, two years from now?
1-27
One-year forward rate
6.0% p.a.
0
x% p.a.
1
6.2% p.a.
(1.062)2
= (1.060) (1+x)
1.12784/1.060 = (1+x)
6.4004% = x
PEH implies that one-year securities will yield 6.4004%,
one year from now.
If an arithmetic average is used, the answer is still very
close. Solve: 6.2% = (6.0% + x), solving x =
6.4%.
1-28
What is the yield of three-year security, two
years from now?
6.2% p.a.
0
x% p.a.
2
6.5% p.a.
You just need to write the starting equation
1-29
Conclusions about PEH
Some argue that MRP 0, and hence the
PEH is incorrect.
Most evidence supports the general view that
lenders prefer Short-Term securities, and view
Long-Term securities as riskier.
Thus, investors demand a premium to persuade
them to hold Long-Term securities :
MRP > 0
1-31
LECTURE 1C: Types of Financial
Mkts
Chapter 2
2-32
What is a Market?
Market: Venue where goods and/or services
are traded.
Financial Market: a place where individuals
and organizations wanting to borrow/raise
funds are brought together with those having
a surplus of funds.
2-33
Different Types of Markets
Physical assets vs. Financial assets Markets
Physical Assets: tangible or real assets e.g. Wheat,
computer, house.
Financial Assets: stocks, bonds, mortgages and other
claims on real assets as well as derivative securities
whose values are derived from price changes of other
assets.
Money vs. Capital Markets
Money Mkt: short-term, highly liquid debt securities.
Capital Mkt: intermediate- or long-term debt and
corporate stocks.
Primary vs. Secondary Markets
Primary Mkt: where corporations raise new capital.
Secondary Mkt: where existing securities are traded
among investors.
2-34
Types of financial markets
Spot vs. Futures
Spot Mkt: assets are bought/sold on-the-spot
delivery: within a few days.
Futures Mkt: participants agree today to buy/sell
an asset at some future date at a price agreed
today.
Public vs. Private
Public Mkt: standardized contracts are traded on
organized exchanges, more liquid. Example: stock
market.
Private Mkt: transactions are negotiated directly
between 2 parties, less liquid. Example: mkt for
bank loans.
2-35
Primary vs Secondary Markets
If Microsoft issues additional shares and an investor
purchases some of the newly issued shares at the time
of issue, would this be a primary market transaction or
a secondary market transaction?
If instead an investor buys existing shares of Microsoft
stock in the open market is this a primary or
secondary market transaction?
2-36
Review
Forms of Business:
Proprietorship
Partnership
Corporation
1-37
Review
Determinants of Interest Rate
r = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP
Pure Expectations Hypothesis:
Yield Curve that slopes Up: interest rate expected
to go Up
Yield Curve that slopes Down: interest rate
expected to go Down
1-38