Time Value of Money
Lecture No.4
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright 2006
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Time Value of Money
Money has a time value
because it can earn more
money over time (earning
power).
Money has a time value
because its purchasing
power changes over time
(inflation).
Time value of money is
measured in terms of
interest rate.
Interest is the cost of
moneya cost to the
borrower and an earning to
the lender
This a two-edged sword whereby earning
grows, but purchasing power decreases
(due to inflation), as time goes by.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
The Interest Rate
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Practice Problem
Problem Statement
If you deposit $100 now (n = 0) and $200 two
years from now (n = 2) in a savings account
that pays 10% interest, how much would you
have at the end of year 10?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution
F
10
$100(1+ 0.10)10 = $100(2.59) = $259
$100
$200
$200(1+ 0.10)8 = $200(2.14) = $429
F = $259 + $429 = $688
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Practice problem
Problem Statement
Consider the following sequence of deposits
and withdrawals over a period of 4 years. If
you earn a 10% interest, what would be the
balance at the end of 4 years?
$1,210
0
4
2
$1,000 $1,000
3
$1,500
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
$1,210
0
3
2
$1,000
$1,000
$1,500
$1,100
$1,000
$2,100
$2,310
$1,210
-$1,210
+ $1,500
$1,100
$2,710
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
$2,981
Solution
End of
Period
Beginning
balance
Deposit
made
Withdraw
Ending
balance
n=0
$1,000
$1,000
n=1
$1,000(1 + 0.10)
=$1,100
$1,000
$2,100
n=2
$2,100(1 + 0.10)
=$2,310
$1,210
$1,100
n=3
$1,100(1 + 0.10)
=$1,210
$1,500
$2,710
n=4
$2,710(1 + 0.10)
=$2,981
$2,981
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Economic Equivalence
Lecture No.5
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright 2006
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Economic Equivalence
Economic equivalence exists between cash
flows that have the same economic effect
and could therefore be traded for one
another.
Even though the amounts and timing of the
cash flows may differ, the appropriate interest
rate makes them equal.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Equivalence from Personal Financing
Point of View
F
If you deposit P dollars
today for N periods at
i, you will have F
dollars at the end of
period N.
P F
F = P(1+i)N
0
N
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Alternate Way of Defining Equivalence
P
F dollars at the end of
period N is equal to a
single sum P dollars
now, if your earning
power is measured in
terms of interest rate i.
N
F
N
P = F (1+ i)
0
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Practice Problem
At an 8% interest, what is the equivalent worth
of $2,042 now in 5 years?
If you deposit $2,042 today in a savings
account that pays an 8% interest annually.
how much would you have at the end of
5 years?
$2,042
33
=
0
5
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution
F = $2,042(1+ 0.08)
= $3,000
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Interest Formulas for Single
Cash Flows
Lecture No.6
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright 2006
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Types of Common Cash Flows in Engineering
Economics
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Equivalence Relationship Between P and
F
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Single Cash Flow Formula- Compound-Amount
Factor
Single payment
compound amount
factor (growth factor)
Given:
i = 12%
N = 8 ye a rs
P = $5, 000
F = P(1 + i)
F = P( F / P, i, N)
N
0
N
Find: F
F = $5, 000(1 + 0.12)8
= $5, 000( F / P ,12%,8)
= $12, 380
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Practice Problem
If you had $2,000 now and invested it at
10%, how much would it be worth in 8
years?
F=?
i = 10%
0
8
$2,000
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution
G iv e n :
P = $2,000
i = 10%
N = 8 ye a rs
F in d : F
F = $ 2 , 0 0 0 (1 + 0 . 1 0 ) 8
= $ 2 , 0 0 0 ( F / P ,1 0 % , 8 )
= $ 4 , 2 8 7 .1 8
E X C E L com m and:
= F V (1 0 % ,8 ,0 ,2 0 0 0 ,0 )
= $ 4 ,2 8 7 .2 0
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Single Cash Flow Formula PresentWorth Factor
Single payment
present worth factor
(discount factor)
Given:
i = 12%
P = F(1 + i) N
P = F(P / F, i, N)
0
N = 5 y e a rs
F = $ 1,0 0 0
Find:
P = $1, 000 (1 + 0 .12 )
= $1, 000 ( P / F ,12% ,5 )
= $567.40
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Practice Problem
You want to set aside a lump sum amount
today in a savings account that earns 7%
annual interest to meet a future expense in
the amount of $10,000 to be incurred in 6
years. How much do you need to deposit
today?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution
$10,000
0
6
P = $10, 000(1 + 0.07) 6
= $10, 000( P / F , 7%, 6)
= $6, 663
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solving for i
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution
EXCEL Solution using RATE Function
$20 = $10(1 + i ) 5
2 = (1 + i )
i = 14.87%
5
=RATE(5,0,-10,20)=14.87%
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Rule of 72 Number of Years Required
to Double Your Investment
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution Analytical Approach
2P
F = 2 P = P(1 + 0.20) N
2 = 1.2
log 2 = N log1.2
log 2
N=
log1.2
= 3.80 years
N
0
N=?
P
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution - Rule of 72
Approximating
how long it will
take for a sum of
money to double
72
N
interest rate (%)
72
=
20
= 3.6 years
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Number of Years Required to Double an Initial
Investment at Various Interest Rates
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Uneven Payment Series
$25,000
$5,000
$3,000
0
1
How much do you need
to deposit today (P) to
withdraw $25,000 at n
=1, $3,000 at n = 2,
and $5,000 at n =4, if
your account earns
10% annual interest?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
$25,000
Uneven
Payment Series
$5,000
$3,000
0
1
P
$25,000
$5,000
$3,000
0
1
0
1
P2
= $22, 727
P4
P1
P1 = $25, 000( P / F ,10%,1)
P2 = $3, 000( P / F ,10%, 2)
= $2, 479
P = P1 + P2 + P4 = $28, 622
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
P4 = $5, 000( P / F ,10%, 4)
= $3, 415
Interest Formulas Equal
Payment Series
Lecture No.7
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright 2006
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Equal Payment Series
F
0
A
P
0
N
0
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Equal Payment Series Compound Amount
Factor
F
A
0
2
N
A
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Process of Finding the Equivalent Future
Worth, F
A(1+i)N-2
A
A
A(1+i)N-1
(1
+
i
)
1
N 1
N 2
F = A(1+ i) + A(1+ i) +"+ A = A
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Another Way to Look at the Compound
Amount Factor
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Equal Payment Series Compound Amount
Factor (Future Value of an Annuity)
F
0
3
N
(1 + i ) N 1
F=A
i
= A( F / A, i , N )
Example:
Given: A = $5,000, N = 5 years, and i = 6%
Find: F
Solution: F = $5,000(F/A,6%,5) = $28,185.46
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Validation
$5,000(1+ 0.06) = $6,312.38
F =?
$5,000(1+ 0.06)3 = $5,955.08
$5,000(1+ 0.06) = $5,618.00
2
i = 6%
0
$5,000(1+ 0.06)1 = $5,300.00
$5,000(1+ 0.06) = $5,000.00
$28.185.46
0
$5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Finding an Annuity Value
F
0
3
N
A=?
i
A= F
N
(1 + i) 1
= F ( A / F , i, N )
Example:
Given: F = $5,000, N = 5 years, and i = 7%
Find: A
Solution: A = $5,000(A/F,7%,5) = $869.50
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Handling Time Shifts in a Uniform Series
F=?
First deposit occurs at n = 0
i = 6%
0
$5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Annuity
Due
F5 = $5,000(F / A,6%,5)(1.06)
= $29,876.59
Excel
Solution
Beginning period
=FV(6%,5,5000,0,1)
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Sinking Fund Factor
F
0
i
L
O
A = FM
P
(
1
)
1
+
i
N
Q
N
3
N
= F( A / F, i, N)
Example: College Savings Plan
Given: F = $100,000, N = 8 years, and i = 7%
Find: A
Solution:
A = $100,000(A/F,7%,8) = $9,746.78
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Excel Solution
Given:
F = $100,000
i = 7%
N = 8 years
$100,000
Current age: 10 years old
Find:
0
1
=PMT(i,N,pv,fv,type)
=PMT(7%,8,0,100000,0)
=$9,746.78
A=?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
i = 8%
Example 3.15 Combination of a Uniform Series
and a Single Present and Future Amount
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution: A Two-Step Approach
Step 1: Find the required
savings at n = 5.
Step 2: Find the required
annual contribution (A)
over 5 years.
FC =$500(F/ P,7%,5) =$701.30
FRequired Savings =$5,000$701.30 =$4,298.70
A= $4,298.70(A/ F,7%,5)
= $747.55
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Comparison of Three Different
Investment Plans Example 3.16
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution:
Investor A:
Balance at the end of 10 years
F65 = $2,000(F / A,9.38%,10)(1.0938)(F / P,9.38%,31)
$33,845
= $545,216
Investor B:
F65 = $2,000( F / P,9.38%,31) (1.0938)
$322,159
= $352,377
Investor C:
F65 = $2, 000( F / P,9.38%, 41) (1.0938)
$820,620
= $897,594
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
How Long Would It Take to Save $1
Million?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Loan Cash Flows
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Capital Recovery Factor
P
i(1 + i)
A= P
N
(1 + i) 1
= P( A / P, i, N )
N
A=?
Example: Paying Off an Educational Loan
Given: P = $21,061.82, N = 5 years, and i = 6%
Find: A
Solution: A = $21,061.82(A/P,6%,5) = $5,000
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Example 3.17 Loan Repayment
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Solution:
Using Interest Factor:
A = $250,000( A/ P,8%,6)
= $250,000(0.2163)
= $54,075
Using Excel:
= PMT(i, N, P)
= PMT(8%,6, 250000)
= $54,075
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Example 3.18 Deferred Loan
Repayment
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
A Two-Step Procedure
P ' = $250, 000( F / P,8%,1)
= $270, 000
A ' = $270, 000( A / P,8%, 6)
= $58, 401
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Present Worth factor Find P, Given A,
i, and N
(1+i) 1
P= A
N
i(1+i)
= A(P/ A,i, N)
N
P=?
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Example 3.19 Louise Outings Lottery
Problem
Given:
A = $280,000
i = 8%
N = 19
Find: P
Using interest factor:
P =$280,000(P/A,8%,19)
= $2,689,008
Using Excel:
=PV(8%,19,-280000)
= $2,689,008
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Interest Formulas
(Gradient Series)
Lecture No.8
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright 2006
Linear Gradient Series
L
i(1+ i) iN 1O
P = GM
P
N i (1+i) Q
N
= G(P / G, i, N)
Gradient Series as a Composite Series of a Uniform
Series of N Payments of A1 and the Gradient Series of
Increments of Constant Amount G.
Example Present value calculation for a
$2,000
gradient series
$1,000
$1,250 $1,500
$1,750
0
1
P =?
How much do you have to deposit
now in a savings account that
earns a 12% annual interest, if
you want to withdraw the annual
series as shown in the figure?
Method 1: Using the (P/F, i, N) Factor
$2,000
$1,000
$1,250 $1,500
$1,750
0
1
P =?
$1,000(P/F, 12%, 1) = $892.86
$1,250(P/F, 12%, 2) = $996.49
$1,500(P/F, 12%, 3) = $1,067.67
$1,750(P/F, 12%, 4) = $1,112.16
$2,000(P/F, 12%, 5) = $1,134.85
$5,204.03
Method 2: Using the Gradient Factor
P1 = $1,000(P / A,12%,5)
.
= $3,60480
P2 = $250(P / G,12%,5)
P = $3,604.08 + $1,59920
.
= $5,204
= $1,599.20
Gradient-to-Equal-Payment Series
Conversion Factor, (A/G, i, N)
Example 3.21 Find the Equivalent
Uniform Deposit Plan
Solution:
Given: A1 =$1,000,G=$300,i =10%,and, N =6
Find: A
A=$1,000+$300(A/ G,10%,6)
=$1,000+$300(2.22236)
=$1,667.08
Example 3.22 Declining Linear Gradient
Series
Solution:
F = F1 F2
Equivalent Present Worth at n = 0
= A1(F / A,10%,5) $200(P/ G,10%,5) (F / P,10%,5)
=$1,200(6.105) $200(6.862)(1.611)
=$5,115
Types of Geometric Gradient
Series
g > 0
Present Worth Factor
R|A L1(1+g) (1+i) O, if i g
P
P = S MN
i g
Q
|TNA /(1+i),
if i = g
N
Example 3.23 Annual Power Cost if
Repair is Not Performed
Solution Adopt the new compressed-air
system
1 (1 + 0.07)5 (1 + 0.12)5
POld = $54, 440
0.12 0.07
= $222, 283
PNew = $54, 440(1 0.23)( P / A,12%,5)
= $41,918.80(3.6048)
= $151,109
Example 3.24 Jimmy Carpenters
Retirement Plan Save $1 Million
What Should be the Size of his first
Deposit (A1)?
1 (1 + 0.06) (1 + 0.08)
= A1
0.08 0.06
= A1 (72.6911)
20
F20
= $1, 000, 000
$1, 000, 000
A1 =
72.6911
= $13, 757
20
Unconventional Equivalence
Calculations
Lecture No. 9
Chapter 3
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright 2006
Equivalent Present Worth Calculation Brute
Force Approach using Only P/F Factors
Equivalent Present Worth Calculation
Grouping Approach
$200
$150 $150 $150 $150
$100 $100 $100
$50
0
1
PG r o u p
= $ 5 0 ( P / F ,1 5 % ,1)
= $ 4 3 .4 8
PG r o u p
= $ 1 0 0 ( P / A ,1 5 % , 3 )( P / F ,1 5 % ,1)
= $ 1 9 8 .5 4
PG r o u p
= $ 1 5 0 ( P / A ,1 5 % , 4 )( P / F ,1 5 % , 4 )
= $ 2 4 4 .8 5
PG r o u p
= $ 2 0 0 ( P / F ,1 5 % , 9 )
= $ 5 6 .8 5
P = $ 4 3 .4 8 + $ 1 9 8 .5 4 + $ 2 4 4 .8 5 + $ 5 6 .8 5
= $ 5 4 3 .7 2
Unconventional Equivalence Calculations A
Personal Savings Problem
Situation 1: If you make
4 annual deposits of
$100 in your savings
account which earns a
10% annual interest,
what equal annual
amount (A) can be
withdrawn over 4
subsequent years?
Unconventional Equivalence Calculations
An Economic Equivalence Problem
Situation 2:
What value of A
would make the two
cash flow
transactions
equivalent if i =
10%?
Method 1: Establish the Economic
Equivalence at n = 0
Method 2: Establish the Economic
Equivalence at n = 4
Multiple Interest Rates
F=?
Find the balance at the end of year 5.
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
0
1
$400
$300
$500
Solution
n = 1:
$300( F / P , 5% ,1) = $315
n = 2:
$315( F / P , 6% ,1) + $500 = $833.90
n = 3:
$833.90( F / P , 6% ,1) = $883.93
n = 4:
$883.93( F / P , 4% ,1) + $400 = $1, 319.29
n = 5:
$1, 319.29( F / P , 4% ,1) = $1, 372.06
Cash Flows with Missing Payments
P=?
9 10
11 12 13
14 15
0
$100
i = 10%
Missing payment
Solution
P=?
$100
9 10
Add $100 to
offset the change
11 12 13
14 15
0
$100
i = 10%
Pretend that we have the 10th
Payment in the amount of $100
Approach
P=?
$100
9 10
11 12 13
0
$100
i = 10%
Equivalent Cash Inflow = Equivalent Cash Outflow
14 15
Equivalence Relationship
P+$100(P/ F,10%,10) = $100(P/ A,10%,15)
P+$38.55 = $760.61
P = $722.05
Unconventional Regularity in Cash Flow
Pattern
$10,000
i = 10%
1
10 11 12 13 14
0
C
Payments are made every other year
Approach 1: Modify the Original Cash
Flows
$10,000
i = 10%
1
10 11 12 13 14
A = $10, 000( A / P ,10%,14)
= $1, 357.46
Relationship Between A and C
$10,000
i = 10%
1
10 11 12 13 14
0
C
$10,000
i = 10%
1
10 11 12 13 14
Solution
i = 10%
A =$1,357.46
A = $10,000( A/ P,10%,14)
= $1,357.46
C = A(F / P,10%,1) + A
=1.1A+ A
= 2.1A
= 2.1($1,357.46)
= $2,850.67
Approach 2: Modify the Interest Rate
Idea: Since cash flows occur every other
year, let's find out the equivalent compound
interest rate that covers the two-year period.
How: If interest is compounded 10%
annually, the equivalent interest rate for twoyear period is 21%.
(1+0.10)(1+0.10) = 1.21
Solution
$10,000
i = 21%
1
1
2
3
3
5
4
7
5
9
10 11 12 13 14
0
C
C = $10,000( A / P,21%,7)
= $2,850.67
Example 3.25 At What Value of C would
Make the Two Cash Flows Equivalent?
V1 = $100(F / A,12%,2) +$300(P/ A,12%,3) = $932.55
V2 = C(F / A,12%,2) +C(P/ A,12%,2)(P/ F,12%,1) = 3.6290C
3.6290C = $932.55
C = $256.97
Example 3.26 Establishing a College
Fund
Solution: Establish the Economic
Equivalence at n = 18
Example 3.27 Calculating an Unknown
Interest Rate with Multiple Factors
Establish an economic Equivalence at n =7
Linear Interpolation to Find an Unknown
Interest Rate
Linear Interpolation
( F / A, i, 7 )
=1
( P / A , i ,1 3)
6%
( F / A, i, 7 )
( P / A , i ,1 3)
0 .9 4 8 2
?
7%
1 .0 0 0 0
1 .0 3 5 5
1 0 .9 4 8 2
i = 6 % + (7 % 6 % )
1 .0 3 5 5 0 .9 4 8 2
= 6 .5 9 3 4 %
Using the Goal Seek Function to Find the
Unknown Interest rate