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Principles of Exposure, Dose, and Response


Jonathan M. Links, PhD
Johns Hopkins University

Section A
Overview and Definitions

Definitions: Exposure and Agent

Exposure
Any condition which provides an opportunity for an
external environmental agent to enter the body
Agent
Any chemical, biological, or physical material capable of
eliciting a biological response
Different than the vector carrier (air, soil, water, food)

Definitions: Dose and Response

Dose
The amount of agent actually deposited within the body
Typically, the distinction between exposure and dose is
blurred, although in reality, significantly different doses
can result from the same exposure
Response
The biological response to an agent

Exposure-Response Paradigm

Exposure

Source

Dose

Response

Host

Adverse
Health Effect

Humans

Disease

Transport
Air, Water,
Soil, Food

Risk Assessment and Management

Risk assessment
The determination of the probability that an adverse
effect will result from a defined exposure
Risk management (science and value judgements)
The process of weighing policy alternatives and selecting
the most appropriate intervention strategy based on the
results of risk assessment and social, economic, and
political concerns
Factors influencing environmental health problems and their
solutions are both technical/scientific and non-scientific in
character!

Risk Assessment Activities


1. Hazard identification
Characterize the innate toxic effect of the agent
2. Exposure assessment
Measure or estimate the intensity, frequency, and
duration of human exposure to the agent
3. Dose-response assessment
Characterize the relationships between varying doses
and incidences of adverse effects in exposed populations
4. Risk characterization
Estimate the incidence of health effects under the
various actual conditions of human exposure

Exposure Assessment

Characterization of the exposure setting


Identification of the exposure pathway
Quantification of exposure

Exposure = Intensity x Frequency x Duration


Exposure = How much x How often x How long

Patterns of Exposure

10

Vectors for Exposure

Adapted by CTLT from Moeller, D. W.

11

Air: Liquid and Solid Suspensions

Aerosols
Characterized by particle size, which influences physical
interactions (coagulation, dispersion, sedimentation,
impaction)
Aerodynamic properties depend on dimensions, shape
and density
X Dustmechanical division of bulk material
X Smokecondensation of combustion products
X Mistmechanical shearing of a bulk liquid
X Fogcondensation of water vapor on atmospheric
nuclei
X Smogcombination of smoke and fog

12

Air: Gases and Vapors

True solutions
Present as discrete molecules; vapors are the gaseous
phase of a substance that is normally a solid or liquid at
room temperature
Generally form mixtures so dilute that physical properties
(e.g., density, viscosity) are indistinguishable from those
of clean air
All molecules of a given compound dispersed in air are
essentially equivalent in their size and capture properties

13

Water and Soil

Chemical contaminants in solution or as hydrosols


Immiscible solid or liquid particles in suspension; liquid
particles in suspension = emulsion (water equivalent of
an aerosol)
Dissolved contaminants
Solids, gases, and suspended particles
Behavior is like that of water
Soil
Intrinsic biological or physical agent
Chemical contaminants

14

Food

Toxic agents can be acquired during production, harvesting,


processing, packaging, transportation, storage, cooking,
serving
Agents are naturally occurring toxicants or those that become
toxicants on conversion by chemical reactions (with other
constituents or additives) or by thermal or microbiological
conversion

15

Examples of Exposure

Contaminated groundwater
Ingestion (drinking water)
Dermal contact (bathing)
Inhalation of VOCs (during showering)
Contaminated surface water
Incidental ingestion or dermal absorption of chemical or
biological contaminant

16

Examples of Exposure

Contaminated surface soil


Ingestion or dermal absorption of contaminants
Contaminated food
Ingestion of contaminated muscle tissue or vegetables
and fruits grown in contaminated soil or covered with
contaminated dust
Contaminated air
Inhalation of fugitive dusts or VOC emissions by nearby
residents or on-site workers

17

Issues in Understanding Exposure

Distinction between agents and vectors


Time activity patterns
What did agent do in environment with time?
What did host do in environment with time?
Homogeneous versus heterogeneous exposures
Mixed exposure scenario
Difficult to quantitate putative agent
Factors influencing biodistribution
Same exposure may not yield the same dose

18

Hierarchy of Exposure Data or Surrogates


Types of Data
1. Quantitative personal dosimeter
measurements

Approx. to Actual Exposures


Best

2. Quantitative ambient measurements in


vicinity of residence or activity
3. Quantitative surrogates of exposure,
e.g., estimates of drinking water or
food consumption
4. Residence of employment in proximity
of source of exposure
5. Residence or employment in general
geographic (e.g., county) of site or
source of exposure

Adapted from Moeller, D. W.

Poorest

19

Section B
Dose-Response Relationships

Dose-Response Relationships

Quantitatively characterize the association between previous


exposure to an environmental agent and subsequent
development of disease
Frequently stuck with exposure-response relationships
Association versus cause and effect
Plausible biologic mechanism (one prerequisite for cause
and effect)

21

Important Issues

Distinction between exposure and dose


Exposure is outside the body
Dose is inside the body
Definition of response
Change in structure or function, morbidity, or mortality
X Define and characterize endpoint

22

Important Issues

Challenges in obtaining dose-response relationships


Characterization of exposure or dose
Assessment of response
Selection of dose-response model to fit the observed data

23

Issues in Understanding Response

Acute versus delayed onset


Latent period confounds many epidemiologic studies
Short-term versus chronic disease
Irreversibility
Spontaneous incidence
Function of age
Tease out agent-produced component from background
Hundreds of causes of nonspecific effects

24

Dose-Response Models

Model
A mathematical description of the relationship between
exposure or dose and response
The mathematical model or function may be plotted on
a graph (with exposure or dose on the x-axis and
response on the y-axis)

25

Dose-Response Curve

10
Response

8
6
4
2
0
0

10

Dose

26

Stochastic (Random) Model

Risk (probability) of response is a function of dose


Assumes no threshold
No dose is safe
Any dose increases the risk (not severity)
For example, cancer
X Implies that any exposure increases the risk of
cancer, with larger exposures producing a greater
risk (but not a bigger tumor)

27

Stochastic (Random) Process

10

Risk

8
6
4
2
0
0

10

Dose
28

Non-Stochastic (Deterministic) Model

Severity of response is a function of dose


Assumes a threshold
A safe dose exists
Examples
X Radiation
Cataractogenesis
Mental retardation following in utero irradiation
X Chloracne

29

Severity

Non-Stochastic (Deterministic) Process

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0

10

Dose
30

Major Issues in the Choice of a Model

Random or deterministic model


Actual mathematical function
The shape of the curve
Presence or absence of a threshold
An exposure or dose below which there is no effect

31

Response

Dose-Response Curve

10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Linear relationship
(risk = dose)

Quadratic relationship
(risk = 0.1 dose + 0.1 dose 2)
0

10

Dose
32

Response

Dose-Response Curve

10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Linear relationship
(risk = dose)

Quadratic relationship
(risk = 0.1 dose + 0.1 dose 2)
0

10

Dose
33

Dose-Response Curve

Response

100%

Carcinogens
All other chemical
agents

Dose
34

Dose-Response Curve

Response

Observable
Range

Range of Inference

Dose
35

Additivity

Response

160

A and B

120
80

40

A
0
0

10

20

30

30

50

60

70

80

90 100

Dose
36

Synergism

300
Response

250

A and B

200
150
100

B
A

50
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90 100

Dose
37

Lung Cancer and Asbestos

Lung cancer and asbestos compared with the risk of dying


from lung cancer for a nonsmoker not exposed to asbestos
Nonsmoking asbestos worker

Smokers not exposed to asbestos

11

Smoking asbestos workers

53

Asbestos workers smoking 1 pack/day

87
0

20

40

60

80

100

Times Higher
Source: Report of the Surgeon General, 1985.

38

Lung Cancer Incidence/1000


Person-Years

Lung Cancer and Radon

10
Lung Cancer Incidence/1000
Person-Years

8
6

Smokers

4
2

Non-Smokers

0
0

300

600

900

1200 1500 1800 2100

Total Radon Exposure (Working Level Months)

Adapted from: Archer, Gillam, Wagoner. (1976). NY Acad Sci, 271.

39

Section C
The Toxicological Paradigm, the Public Health Paradigm, and
the Environmental Health Paradigm

Toxicological Paradigm
Exposure
Internal dose
Susceptibility
Genetic factors

Exposure/Dose
Relationships

Biologically effective dose


Early biologic effects
Altered structure and function

Biological
Responses

Clinical disease
41

Sequence Leading to Neoplasia


Procarcinogen
Direct carcinogen

Ultimate
carcinogen

Initiated
cell

Preneoplastic
lesion

Malignant
tumor

Clinical
cancer

Exposure

Internal dose

Biologically
effective dose

Direct carcinogen
Procarcinogen

Transfer

Direct carcinogen
Procarcinogen

Bioactivation

Relapse and
secondary tumors

Ultimate carcinogen
Genotoxic
Epigenetic

42

Toxicological Paradigm, Neoplasia, and Intervention

43

Lung Cancer in the United States

Lung cancer accounts for more 25% of all cancer deaths


Lung cancer deaths have increased about 30% in men and
200% in women over the age of 65 since 1973
Women took up smoking decades later than men
Most lung cancer deaths are the result of cigarette smoking

44

Steps in Lung Cancer Mortality Reduction: 1

Identify risk factors and associated factors


Identify and characterize susceptible groups
Identify the effects of secondhand smoke (ETS)
Understand the role of tobacco smoke in carcinogenesis
Understand intermediate stages of the carcinogenic process

45

Steps in Lung Cancer Mortality Reduction: 2

Design early diagnostic procedures


Understand the effects of secondhand smoke
Understand the addictive nature of nicotine
Design effect-risk communication strategies
Design effective smoking cessation techniques
Promote negative social feedback mechanisms
Design ventilation systems to reduce ETS
Regulate the sale of cigarettes
Tax the sale of cigarettes

46

Public Health Paradigm

Behavioral and
Engineering

Regulatory
Process

Identify risks

Understand role
of tobacco

Design risk
communication
strategy

Regulate sales

Identify
susceptibles

Understand
carcinogenesis
and design early
diagnostics

Design smoking
cessation
techniques

Tax sales

Identify ETS
effects

Understand ETS
effects

Design
ventilation
systems

Epidemiology

Mechanistic
Research

Understand
nicotine
addiction

47

Public Health and Environmental Health Paradigms

48

Key Points: Exposure, Dose, and Response

Exposure
Refers to any condition which provides an opportunity for
an external environmental agent to enter the body
Dose
Refers to the amount of agent actually deposited within
the body
Response
Refers to the biological effect of the agent

49

Key Points: Paradigms

The relationship between previous exposure to an


environmental agent and subsequent development of clinical
disease can be represented as a six-stage toxicological
paradigm
Consideration of the toxicological paradigm leads to a
general public health paradigm, which can be directly
related to a corresponding environmental health paradigm
The activities or stages in this paradigm may be broadly
grouped into risk assessment and risk management

50

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