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FCFE Stable Growth Model Overview

This model values a stable firm using free cash flows to equity (FCFE) rather than dividends, which may differ. It assumes perpetual stable growth and uses user inputs like earnings, capital spending, debt ratio and cost of equity to calculate the FCFE. This FCFE and the growth rate are then used in the Gordon Growth Model to determine the stock value of $40.97. Warnings are shown if inputs are inconsistent with assumptions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views5 pages

FCFE Stable Growth Model Overview

This model values a stable firm using free cash flows to equity (FCFE) rather than dividends, which may differ. It assumes perpetual stable growth and uses user inputs like earnings, capital spending, debt ratio and cost of equity to calculate the FCFE. This FCFE and the growth rate are then used in the Gordon Growth Model to determine the stock value of $40.97. Warnings are shown if inputs are inconsistent with assumptions.

Uploaded by

api-3763138
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

FCFE Stable Model

FCFE STABLE GROWTH MODEL

This model is designed to value the equity in a stable firm on the basis of
free cashflows to equity, especially when they are
different from dividends paid.

Assumptions in the model:


1. The firm is in steady state and will grow at a stable rate forever.
2. The firm does not pay out what it can afford to in dividends, i.e., Dividends ≠ FCFE.

User defined inputs


The user has to define the following inputs to the model:
1. Current Earnings per share
2. Capital Spending and Depreciation per share
3. Change in working capital per share
4. Desired debt level for financing working capital and capital spending needs.
5. Cost of Equity or Inputs to the CAPM (Beta, Riskfree rate, Risk Premium)
6. Expected Growth Rate in free cashflows to equity forever.

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FCFE Stable Model

Please enter inputs to the model:


Current Earnings per share = $5.45 (in currency) {You can input all the numbers for the aggregate company, if you so desire}

Capital Spending/share = $2.00 (in currency)


Depreciation / share = $1.75 (in currency) Aswath Damodaran:
If you set your perpetual
Chg. Working Capital/share = $0.60 (in currency) growth rate at any number
Desired debt financing ratio = 29.97% ( in percent) greater than zero, this
should be no.
Do you want to offset capital expenditures by depreciation in the future? No (Yes or No)
The reinvestment rate based upon your inputs is computed to be 10.96% Aswath Damodaran:
Do you want to recompute this reinvestment rate based upon fundamentals? Yes Your reinvestment rate
should be consistent with
If yes, enter the return on equity that you expect this firm to have in perpetuity 12% your growth rate
assumptions. If you answer
Desired debt financing ratio = 29.97% ( in percent)
yes to this question, you
should enter the return on
equity below.
Are you directly entering the cost of equity? (Yes or No) No
If yes, enter cost of equity = (in percent)
If no, enter the inputs for the CAPM
Beta of the stock = 1.1
Riskfree rate = 7% (in percent)
Risk Premium= 5.50% (in percent)

Expected Growth Rate = 6% (in percent) The expected growth rate for a stable firm

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FCFE Stable Model

cannot be significantly higher than the nominal


growth rate in the economy in which the firm
operates. It can be lower.

Warnings:

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FCFE Stable Model

This is the output from the Gordon Growth Model


Firm Details: from inputs on prior page
Current Earnings per share = $5.45
-(1- Desired debt fraction) * 70.03%
(Capital Spending - Depreciation) $3.29 $2.30
-(1- Desired debt fraction) * 70.03%
∂ Working Capital $0.60 $0.42
Free Cashflow to Equity = $2.73

Cost of Equity = 13.05%


Expected Growth rate = 6.00%

Gordon Growth Model Value = $40.97

Growth rate Value


Value vs. Expected Growth
10.00% $98.28 $120.00
9.00% $73.34
8.00% $58.28 $100.00
7.00% $48.19
6.00% $40.97 $80.00
Value of Stock

5.00% $35.54
4.00% $31.31 $60.00
3.00% $27.93
2.00% $25.15
$40.00

$20.00

$0.00 Page
9.00% 7.00% 5.00% 3.00%
10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00%
$80.00

Value of Stock
$60.00
FCFE Stable Model
$40.00

$20.00

$0.00
9.00% 7.00% 5.00% 3.00%
10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Expected Growth Rate

Page

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