Scribd
Upload
38 views4 pages

Weekly Agricultural Report: April 2014

The document provides a weekly agricultural report from the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange for the week ending April 10, 2014. It summarizes weather conditions, including abundant rain in northeast Argentina and parts of Paraguay, as well as a temperature drop and potential frosts in several regions. Crop reports estimate soybean harvest is 14% complete with some delays and potential yield losses due to heavy rain. Corn harvest is 16.5% complete with delays from rain. Sunflower harvest is 95.9% complete and sorghum harvest is 16.3% complete with some delays.

Uploaded by

api-164524372
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
38 views4 pages

Weekly Agricultural Report: April 2014

The document provides a weekly agricultural report from the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange for the week ending April 10, 2014. It summarizes weather conditions, including abundant rain in northeast Argentina and parts of Paraguay, as well as a temperature drop and potential frosts in several regions. Crop reports estimate soybean harvest is 14% complete with some delays and potential yield losses due to heavy rain. Corn harvest is 16.5% complete with delays from rain. Sunflower harvest is 95.9% complete and sorghum harvest is 16.3% complete with some delays.

Uploaded by

api-164524372
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN E XCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Apr. 10, 2014


CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias: NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero. NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa. Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba. Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros. S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires. Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante. Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires. SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa. SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis. Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK BUENOS AIRES GRAINS EXCHANGE

April 10th, 2014


AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: APRIL 10 TO 16, 2014: PRECIPITATIONS IN THE NORTH OF THE AGRICULTURAL AREA AND A SHARP TEMPERATURE DROP FOLLOWED BY A MODERATE RISE IN TEMPERATURES.

OUTLOOK SUMMARY
At the end of its passage, the storm front which began in the preceding days will bring abundant precipitations over the northeast of Argentina and most part of Paraguay. The rest of the area, however, will report moderate to scarce values. The front will be followed by a sharp temperature drop with likelihood of local frosts in the mountain range area, the east of San Luis, the south of Crdoba, the south of Santa Fe, the northeast of La Pampa, the south of Entre Rios, most of Buenos Aires and several areas in Uruguay. Later , northerly winds will return moderately raising temperatures over most part of the agricultural area.

SOYBEAN
In spite of the rains, there was harvest progress in the last seven days in several regions of the central strip. This is due to the fact that the storm front affected different areas at different times, allowing for some harvest fieldwork to go on. Up to date, the harvest is estimated to have covered 14 % of the suitable surface, reporting a weekly advance of only 4.5 %, and a YOY delay of -10 %. Overall, a little less than 2.8 MHA were collected, yielding an average of 3.2 Tn/Ha nationwide, and accruing a partial volume of 9 MTN. The rainfalls accumulated during the weekend exceeded 200 milimeters in several areas of Cordoba, Santa Fe, Entre Ros and Buenos Aires, reaching over 300 milimeters in some cases. This volume of water produced hydric excess on many plots.

It is important to point out that not only the hydric saturation of the fields is hampering the harvest, but also the lack of proper conditions to access rural roads, which reduces the expectations of productivity this season. However, several plots are expected to drop out of the season, and many others will report yield losses, preventing us from improving the current estimate of 54,500,000 tons. If necessary, such estimation will be adjusted in the next few weeks, once the harvest is resumed and the damage can be better assessed. In the North Belt area, the harvest progress has covered 44 % of the suitable surface, yielding an average of 3.24 Tn/Ha. Over the South Belt, 20.4 % of the area was collected, yielding an average of 3.3 Tn/Ha. The mid-north of Cordoba, as well as the south of the same province, reported average harvest yields in excess of 3.0 Tn/Ha in both areas.

SOYBEAN HARVEST 2013/14 Season Hectareage (Ha) Porcentage Hectares Zone Sown Lost Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested I NOA 1.130.000 1.130.000 0,0 II NEA 1.860.000 1.860.000 0,0 III Ctro N Cba 2.480.000 30.000 2.450.000 8,0 194.849 IV S Cba 1.481.000 60.000 1.421.000 6,9 98.357 V Ctro N SFe 1.155.000 20.000 1.135.000 13,4 152.497 VI Ncleo Norte 3.635.000 70.000 3.565.000 44,3 1.578.731 VII Ncleo Sur 2.820.000 60.000 2.760.000 20,4 561.978 VIII Ctro E ER 1.231.000 25.000 1.206.000 6,0 72.487 IX N LP-OBA 1.590.000 34.000 1.556.000 7,7 119.489 X Ctro BA 570.000 20.000 550.000 2,2 11.921 XI SO BA-S LP 410.000 410.000 0,0 XII SE BA 1.581.000 1.581.000 0,0 XIII SL 160.000 160.000 0,0 XIV Cuenca Sal 200.000 6.000 194.000 3,7 7.212 XV Otras 47.000 47.000 0,0 TOTAL 20.350.000 325.000 20.025.000 14,0 2.797.521

As of: Apr. 10, 2014 Yield Production (qq/Ha) (Tn) 0,0 0,0 33,7 655.979 30,2 296.554 29,5 449.631 32,4 5.116.655 33,1 1.860.976 21,8 158.129 34,2 408.653 20,0 23.841 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 36.060 0,0 32,2 9.006.476

CORN
The rains observed during the last seven days have delayed the commercial corn harvest fieldwork. The Pampa region was the most affected by the large amount of rain water. Up to date, only 16.5 % of the surface was collected, reporting a YOY delay of 11.7 %. Overall, almost 560 thousand hectares were harvested, accruing a volume of 4.1 million tons, and yielding an average of 7.3 Tn/Ha nationwide. The most significant harvest progress was observed in the areas of Crdoba, mid-north of Santa Fe and Entre Ros. On the other hand, we must point out that there are flooded areas such as the belts (North and south), the center of Santa Fe, west and center of Buenos Aires, as well as Entre Ros and La Pampa. Although the losses can not be measured so far, the rainfalls are believed to have caused damage in many locations. However, the corn fields in the north tip of the agricultural region present very good conditions. The NE area is expecting productivities way above historical averages. In the NW area, more precisely in Salta, although the harvest expectations are good, the rains fell in an heterogeneous manner, producing differences in the condition of the cereal crop, in the districts of Orn, Metn, Anta and Rosario de la Frontera. The north margin offers optimal crop conditions, except in the district of Anta, where the rains of March were scarce during the critical yielding period of the corns. Finally, the mid-north of Cordoba presents optimal conditions for late sowing materials, estimating productivities above historical averages in the area. Upon this scenario, we maintain our current projection of 24,000,000 TN; this estimate is subject to modifications in future reports, due to the losses of yield potential caused by the floods. Otherwise, the productivity should be around -11 % below the harvest of last season (2012/13 27 MTN).

CORN HARVEST 2013/14 Season Zone I NOA II NEA III Ctro N Cba IV S Cba V Ctro N SFe VI Ncleo Norte VII Ncleo Sur VIII Ctro E ER IX N LP-OBA X Ctro BA XI SO BA-S LP XII SE BA XIII SL XIV Cuenca Sal XV Otras TOTAL

Sown 282.000 302.000 580.000 410.000 136.000 360.000 320.000 151.000 424.000 218.000 100.000 90.000 130.000 48.000 19.000 3.570.000

Hectareage (Ha) Porcentage Hectares Lost Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested 3.000 279.000 0,0 6.000 296.000 3,9 11.480 7.500 572.500 3,7 21.200 17.000 393.000 4,0 15.575 20.000 116.000 41,4 48.000 7.000 353.000 46,2 163.060 9.000 311.000 40,9 127.050 11.000 140.000 49,4 69.168 20.000 404.000 14,8 59.696 9.500 208.500 13,3 27.720 8.000 92.000 7,3 6.700 5.000 85.000 0,0 3.500 126.500 5,0 6.300 3.500 44.500 16,8 7.460 3.000 16.000 28,8 4.600 133.000 3.437.000 16,5 568.009

As of: Apr. 10,2014 Yield Production (qq/Ha) (Tn) 45 51.660 75 159.000 72 112.140 55 264.000 85 1.386.010 88 1.118.040 46 318.173 70 417.872 72 199.584 50 33.500 58 36.540 65 48.490 45 20.700 73,3 4.165.709

SUNFLOWER
The harvest of sunflower reached 95.9 % of the surface nationwide. Overall, more than 1.3 million hectares were collected, and the average yield posted 1.62 Tn/Ha; the volume accrued is in excess of 2.1 million tons. Consequently, the harvest reported last week an advance of 10.4 %, as well as a YOY increase of 1 %. The heavy rains observed in most of Buenos Aires and La Pampa, as well as other areas, have delayed the progress of the harvest of the remaining plots. Prior to the rains in the north of La Pampa-west of Buenos Aires, producers were able to harvest the plots that reached commercial ripeness. The harvest has also finished in the center of Buenos Aires. The average yield is around 2.0 Tn/Ha. In the southwest of Buenos Aires and south of La Pampa, the productivities are relatively low, compared to the historical averages in each area. Consequently, if the weather is good during the next few weeks, the harvest of sunflower will be finished. Upon the above scenario, we maintain our production estimate at 2,300,000 tons.

SUNFLOWER HARVEST 2013/14 Season Hectareage (Ha) Porcentage Zone Sown Lost Harvestable Harvested (%) I NOA II NEA 230.000 23.000 207.000 100,0 III Ctro N Cba 3.000 350 2.650 100,0 IV S Cba 22.000 400 21.600 100,0 V Ctro N SFe 150.000 1.500 148.500 100,0 VI Ncleo Norte 7.000 150 6.850 100,0 VII Ncleo Sur 9.000 200 8.800 100,0 VIII Ctro E ER 5.000 350 4.650 100,0 IX N LP-OBA 100.000 9.000 91.000 100,0 X Ctro BA 45.000 1.350 43.650 100,0 XI SO BA-S LP 420.000 22.000 398.000 97,0 XII SE BA 380.000 5.300 374.700 88,0 XIII SL 30.000 2.400 27.600 100,0 XIV Cuenca Sal 75.000 3.000 72.000 99,0 XV Otras 4.000 200 3.800 100,0 TOTAL 1.480.000 69.200 1.410.800 95,9

Hectares Harvested 207.000 2.650 21.600 148.500 6.850 8.800 4.650 91.000 43.650 386.060 329.736 27.600 71.280 3.800 1.353.176

As of: Apr. 10, 2014 Yield Production (qq/Ha) (Tn) 11,5 238.050 20,0 5.300 18,0 38.880 18,0 267.300 22,0 15.070 26,0 22.880 13,5 6.278 22,0 200.200 20,0 87.300 11,5 443.969 20,0 659.472 18,0 49.680 21,5 153.252 19,0 7.220 16,2 2.194.851

GRAIN SORGHUM
The harvest is moving slowly over the sorghum plots sown around late October. Therefore, 16.3 % of the surface was collected, reporting a fortnightly advance of 7.8 %, and a YOY delay of -6.6 %. Overall, around 175 thousand hectares were harvested, yielding an average of 4.4 Tn/Ha nationwide, accruing a volume in excess of 700 thousand tons. The harvest covered the early seedings of the provinces of Crdoba, Santa Fe, Entre Ros, and the NE area. On the other hand, the late sown plots in the NE areas, mid-north of Cordoba, and Santa Fe, continue to enjoy very good conditions, and the yields expected are still above historical results.

As regards the condition of the plots in the SW of Buenos Aires and south of La Pampa, the analysts report important losses of area due to the thermo-hydric stress registered during the last few months. The rest of the sown area is at the milk grain stage, in regular to bad conditions, and prone to sustain damages due to frosts. Upon this scenario, we maintain our estimate nationwide at 4,300,000 tons. Such number represents a fall of -4.5 % as compared to the previous cycle, which finished at 4.5 MTN.

GRAIN SORGHUM HARVEST 2013/14 Season Hectareage (Ha) Porcentage Hectares Zone Sown Lost Harvestable Harvested Harvested I NOA 24.000 24.000 0,0 II NEA 245.000 1.600 243.400 17,5 42.595 III Ctro N Cba 134.000 134.000 16,0 21.440 IV S Cba 44.000 400 43.600 9,0 3.924 V Ctro N SFe 205.000 1.300 203.700 23,5 47.870 VI Ncleo Norte 40.000 100 39.900 14,0 5.586 VII Ncleo Sur 20.000 20.000 0,0 VIII Ctro E ER 85.000 2.000 83.000 52,0 43.160 IX N LP-OBA 45.000 45.000 0,0 X Ctro BA 8.000 8.000 0,0 XI SO BA-S LP 120.000 120.000 0,0 XII SE BA 7.000 7.000 0,0 XIII SL 52.000 52.000 0,0 XIV Cuenca Sal 29.000 29.000 35,0 10.150 XV Otras 22.000 22.000 0,0 TOTAL 1.080.000 5.400 1.074.600 16,3 174.725

As of: 10/04/2014 Yield Production (qq/Ha) (Tn) 37 157.602 50 107.200 45 17.658 42 201.052 61 33.795 46 198.536 50 50.750 43,9 766.593

Buenos Aires, April 10, 2014

Buenos Aires Grains Exchange

Common questions

Powered by AI

By April 2014, heavy rains significantly delayed the corn harvest in Argentina, leading to only 16.5% of the surface being collected, marking a year-over-year delay of 11.7%. This disruption affected the Pampa region the most, where large amounts of rain halted fieldwork, but better conditions persisted in northern agricultural areas, expecting above-average productivities .

In March 2014, rainfall distribution varied significantly across regions, leading to differential impacts on crop yields. Areas like the NE presented favorable conditions with expected productivity above historical averages. In contrast, regions such as Anta in the NW experienced insufficient rain during critical periods, potentially reducing yields and affecting the overall agricultural output negatively .

The heterogeneous condition of cereal crops in NW Argentina, particularly in Anta, was primarily due to uneven rainfall distribution. While other regions experienced favorable conditions, Anta suffered from scarce rains in March during the critical yielding period, preventing uniform crop development and affecting yields negatively compared to other parts of the NW region .

Heavy rains in April 2014 caused significant hydric excess on many plots, which hampered soybean harvesting by saturating the fields and making rural roads inaccessible. This situation led to dropped plots and yield losses, preventing any improvement in the current harvest estimate of 54.5 million tons. The rains affected different areas at varying times, allowing some progress but generally resulting in a 10% year-over-year delay .

The North Belt's higher harvest progress of 44% as compared to the South Belt's 20.4% reflects the uneven effects of weather patterns across regions. The North Belt's higher average yields of 3.24 Tn/Ha contribute more significantly to overall production, raising expectations. However, delayed harvesting in the South Belt and subsequent yield losses may negatively impact the total estimated production of 54.5 million tons for the season if conditions do not improve shortly .

In mid-north Cordoba, the corn production prospects are highly positive, with estimates suggesting yields above historical averages. This expectation is attributed to the optimal conditions favoring late sowing materials and the absence of flooding or significant adverse weather impacts, contrasting with challenges faced in other regions .

The sunflower harvest in Buenos Aires and La Pampa regions reached 95.9% completion despite delays caused by heavy rains. Producers harvested plots that reached commercial ripeness before the rains, particularly in the north of La Pampa-west of Buenos Aires and the center of Buenos Aires, maintaining an average yield of 2.0 Tn/Ha. The adverse conditions led to a slight reduction compared to historical averages in these areas .

After the storm front passes, a sharp temperature drop is expected, followed by local frosts in multiple regions including the mountain range area, east of San Luis, and several places in Buenos Aires. These conditions could hinder plant growth and damage late-stage crops. However, a subsequent moderate rise in temperatures driven by returning northerly winds might improve conditions for the remaining harvest period .

Delayed sorghum harvesting due to thermo-hydric stress, particularly in the SW of Buenos Aires and south of La Pampa, implies potential area loss and reduced yields. This delay, coupled with the frosts postulating further damage to areas at the milk grain stage, suggests a likely decrease in productivity and challenges in meeting the nationwide estimate of 4.3 million tons, a 4.5% decline from the previous cycle .

In the NE region, the weather conditions were favorable, with productivities expected to exceed historical averages. However, in the NW region, while the harvest expectations were generally good, the rains fell unevenly across districts like Orán, Metán, Anta, and Rosario de la Frontera, affecting crop conditions. In particular, Anta experienced scarce March rains during the critical yielding period, potentially impacting yields negatively .

You might also like