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Security Analysis Essentials Explained

The document summarizes key points from several books about security analysis and stock market investing. It discusses the importance of collecting relevant facts about companies, such as their business, financials, stock prices and dividends. It also outlines different types of risk in investing and rewards. The document describes frameworks for assessing investor risk tolerance and making investment decisions. Finally, it discusses common valuation ratios, financial performance analysis, and different stock selection techniques including value line methods and active vs. passive equity strategies.

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100% found this document useful (2 votes)
25 views3 pages

Security Analysis Essentials Explained

The document summarizes key points from several books about security analysis and stock market investing. It discusses the importance of collecting relevant facts about companies, such as their business, financials, stock prices and dividends. It also outlines different types of risk in investing and rewards. The document describes frameworks for assessing investor risk tolerance and making investment decisions. Finally, it discusses common valuation ratios, financial performance analysis, and different stock selection techniques including value line methods and active vs. passive equity strategies.

Uploaded by

mahmudratul85
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

DICE and EITEMAN picking some issue of security analysis in their book ‘The

Stock Market’. The first steps in security analysis are a collection of facts. The
problem at this point is to know which facts are important. Obviously one can go for
collecting facts about company. Most analysis agrees that facts about the following are
[Link] is the nature of the company’s business? What is the financial plan of the
company? What are the records of earnings per share? What is the company’s dividend
record? What is the high and low price-earnings ratio for the company’s common stock
for the past decade? What is the current price of the company’s stock and how does it
compare with past high and low quotations? This list does not exhaust the important
questions; it merely mentions a few which every analyst would consider essential. But
unfortunately there is a tendency for many investors to act as if the mere collection of a
mass of statistical data means security analysis. The investor must bear in mind that all
the facts and figures he collects must ultimately be resolved to one of the following three
words: buy, sell, or hold. This resolution of a mass of data to one word is accomplished
by the application of investment principles.

N.J. Yasaswy explain the risk return trade off in his book ‘Stock Market
Analysis-for the Intelligent Investor’. He briefly discuss the risk-return trade-off
among a variety of equity stocks available to investors. Investment management is
essentially a money game in which you have to balance the risks and returns. The risks
associated with investments are five-fold. These are Inflation risk(The falling value of
the taka erodes the purchasing power of your money)Interest rate risk(Interest rates may
change owing to changes in the economic situation)Default risk (The risk of not getting
back your principal and interest)Business risk(The risk of business cycles and
uncertainties of business)Socio-political risk(The risks of change of government change
of social attitudes).On the other hand the rewards come in the form of-Safety of the
principal sum invested, Reguler payment of interest and dividends, Liquidity, premature
encashment or loan facilities, salability,etc,Scope for capital appreciation, i.e .bonus
issues, high market prices, Hassle-free transactions ,i.e., no trouble in buying and
selling,encashment of dividend and interest warrants,etc.

N.J. Yasaswy also derive a framework for intelligent stock market [Link] first
critical analysis to be made is regarding your ability and willingness to take risks.
Different investors have different risk preferences. Investment decisions should be
developed according to these risk preferences. Low risk takers (They should invest in
super stocks and aim at long term gains only. They should adopt a buy and hold
strategy),Medium risk takers(They should invest in emerging blue chips and aim at
medium term (1-3 years). They should adopt a reasonably aggressive strategy),High risk
takers(they should invest in turn around stocks and aim at short-term gains only {around
1 year}. Adopting a very bold investment strategy, they should go bargain-hunting).
N.J. Yasaswy derive the type of decisions you have to make in equity
[Link] decision (Analyze whether it is an opportune time for equity
investment based on the economy and industry), 2. Micro decision[three silent issue of
equity investment; a)Pinpointing a company; you have to pick the right company based
on financial criteria or non-financial criteria such as management reputation, past track
record, future plans etc. b) Deciding on the right price; decide whether its stock is
attractive at the prevailing price. Is it over priced, is it under priced, or is the price just
right? c) deciding on the right time; ascertain when it is the right time to buy a particular
stock. a good understanding of share price movement charts may help in timing your
purchase], [Link] decisions; having invested in the shares of a particular
company, you should not fall in love with them. The disinvestment process is the mirror-
image of an investment decision, 4. Portfolio decisions; prudent investors never put all
their money in just one or two scripts because the risk of such concentration is too high.

In their book, they discuss market indicator. There are two common ratios which are used
as indicators of stock market values. Price earnings ratio: the simple relationship
between current or expected earnings per share and the current market price of the stock
is often quoted by both management and owners. The ratio is also called the earnings
multiple, and it is used as an indicator of how the stock market is judging the company’s
earnings performance and prospects. The calculation is quite straightforward, and relates
current market prices of common shares to the most recent available earnings per share
on an annual [Link] to book ratio: This indicator relates current market value on
a per share basis to the stated book value of owners equity on the balance sheet, also on a
per share basis. The market to book ratio leaves much to be desired as a measure of
performance for many of the reasons mentioned in earlier discussions of other ratios.

They will briefly address the following key points to integration of Financial performance
analysis;1. careful definition of the issue being analyzed and the view point to be taken,
2. Identifying a combination of primary and secondary measures and tools, 3. Identifying
key value drivers that affect performance, [Link] performance data over time, both
historical and prospective,5. Finding comperative indicators and supplementary
information,6. Using past performance as a clue to future expectations., 7. Recognizing
systems issues and pbstacles to optimal performance.

Fisher And Jordan in their book, Security Analysis and Portfolio


Management,they mention how to select a suitable common stock by the value line
[Link] methods are described in three steps. First( decide on the degree of risk you
are willing to consume), Second( pick out from among the stocks wiyh acceptable safety
ranks those whose current dividend yields appear attractive to you, Third( having picked
a list acceptable interms of safety and current yield, cull out from that list the stocks
ranked 1{highest} and 2{above average} for performance in the next 12 months. Select
one of these and hold it until its ranks falls to 3{average} or lower{4 or 5}. Then sell and
replace it with another.
Fisher And Jordan also explain alternative stock selection technique . They says
Equity investment strategy has two major categories. Active equity management and
passive equity management. In the Active equity management there are severel ways
to select the alternative stock. these are [Link] stock approach( the basic premise of
the growth stock approach is that those companies who have above average earnings
growth over a period of time will tend to produce stock values that will lead to above
average returns for the investor. Therefore, the analyst must select those stocks that have
historically had the highest above average earnings growth), [Link] stock
( practitioners of this approach are sometimes called managers seeking high yield. They
tend to look for companies that have either high dividend yields, low market-to-book-
value ratios, or low price earnings ratios),[Link] capitalization approach( this new
approach is to seek investment in smaller companies that have potential to grow
rapidly),[Link] timer approach(Under this approach the analyst merely attempts to
mirror the performance of the market). On the other hand, in the passive equity
strategy is basically a buy and hold approach to stocks.

Reference:

1. The Stock Market (3rd edition)….Charles Amos Dice and Wildford


Jhon Eiteman. (page No: 421-433)
2. Stock Market Analysis-for the Intelligent Investor….. N.J. Yasaswy.
(Page No:26-41&166-173).
3. Security analysis and portfolio management ( 6th Edition)…
[Link] and [Link]. (Page No:196-203& 258-261)

Common questions

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Macro decisions involve assessing whether it is an opportune time for equity investment based on the economy and industry trends . Micro decisions include: pinpointing a favorable company using financial and non-financial criteria, deciding on the stock’s price attractiveness, and timing the purchase {Source 2]. These decisions are crucial as they encompass both broad economic conditions and specific company evaluations, ensuring a comprehensive investment strategy that maximizes potential returns and minimizes risks .

Past performance data provides a historical context for a company’s operational and financial stability, serving as a baseline for analyzing trends and making future predictions . Comparative indicators allow for benchmarking against industry standards or competitors, highlighting relative strengths and weaknesses . Together, these tools help identify key value drivers and performance issues, enabling more accurate forecasting and strategic adjustments to optimize future expectations and enhance decision-making .

The value line method emphasizes ranking stocks by safety and performance, promoting a disciplined trading pattern of acquiring high-ranking stocks and selling when ranks fall . This method offers a structured approach to minimize emotional biases in trading, ensuring that decisions are data-driven and systematic. However, its reliance on rankings may overlook qualitative factors like sudden industry shifts or economic changes, potentially limiting its responsiveness to unanticipated market dynamics and new opportunities outside historical performance models .

N.J. Yasaswy proposes a framework that begins with assessing the investor’s ability and willingness to take risks and then aligning investment decisions accordingly . Low-risk takers should focus on stable 'super stocks' for long-term gains. Medium-risk investors could invest in emerging blue chips for medium-term benefits with a moderately aggressive strategy. High-risk investors should target 'turnaround' stocks for short-term profits, adopting bold strategies such as bargain-hunting . This framework accounts for diverse risk preferences by providing tailored investment approaches for each risk category.

The price-earnings ratio indicates the market’s evaluation of a company’s earnings performance and growth prospects by comparing current earnings to the market price of stock . It shows how much investors are willing to pay for a dollar of earnings. The market-to-book ratio compares the market value to book value, evaluating how the market perceives the company’s asset value . Both ratios help assess whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued, influencing investment decisions by signaling potential shares' performance and market expectations .

N.J. Yasaswy identifies five key risks: inflation risk, interest rate risk, default risk, business risk, and socio-political risk . These risks affect investment decisions as investors need to assess their ability and willingness to tolerate each type of risk. Low-risk investors may choose stable companies, while high-risk investors may pursue stocks with potential for short-term gains despite the uncertainties, thus influencing the overall investment strategy and approach .

Fisher and Jordan describe the value line method, which involves assessing risk tolerance, evaluating current dividend yield, and selecting top-ranked stocks for performance . Alternatives include active management strategies like the growth stock approach, seeking stocks with above-average earnings growth, and the undervalued stock approach, focusing on high yields and low price ratios. They also discuss passive strategies like the buy and hold approach . These methods differ in their reliance on historical growth patterns, valuations, or market trends, catering to diverse investor goals and risk appetites .

Dice and Eiteman outline essential questions for security analysis, which include: the nature of the company's business, the financial plan, records of earnings per share, dividend record, high and low price-earnings ratio for the past decade, and the current stock price compared to past quotations . These questions assist in understanding the company's financial health, market performance, and future prospects, ultimately aiding in resolving whether to buy, sell, or hold the stock based on informed investment principles .

Disinvestment decisions serve as the counterpart to investment decisions, emphasizing the importance of selling shares at optimal times rather than holding them out of emotional attachment . It involves evaluating the current performance and future prospects to decide when to liquidate holdings . This process is integral to maintaining a balanced portfolio, ensuring that it continues to meet the investor’s risk and return criteria by aligning with the evolving market conditions and investment objectives .

Active management involves selecting stocks with the intention of outperforming market indices through strategies like growth stock picking, undervalued stock searching, and market timing . This approach requires constant analysis and decision-making based on ongoing market assessments. In contrast, passive management relies on buying and holding a diversified portfolio, mirroring a specific index with minimal trading, expecting returns in line with the market performance . Active management aims for higher returns at the cost of higher risk and expenses, while passive management focuses on consistent, lower-risk outcomes .

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