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Module 2 of ECON 311 focuses on the supply side of macroeconomics, particularly labor and leisure decisions. It covers concepts such as labor market equilibrium, efficiency wages, and the impact of taxes and transfers on employment. The module aims to apply a general equilibrium framework to analyze macroeconomic issues and predict outcomes using numerical examples.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
0 views64 pages

Module+2+Lecture+Slides

Module 2 of ECON 311 focuses on the supply side of macroeconomics, particularly labor and leisure decisions. It covers concepts such as labor market equilibrium, efficiency wages, and the impact of taxes and transfers on employment. The module aims to apply a general equilibrium framework to analyze macroeconomic issues and predict outcomes using numerical examples.

Uploaded by

yil693
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

ECON 311: Advanced

Macroeconomics
Module 2: Supply Side. Labour and Leisure

Olga Sudareva1
1 Department of Economics, University of Auckland

Module 2
Outline

1 Recap

2 Applications — Labour and leisure

3 Unifying consumption and labour

4 Labour market equilibrium

5 Efficiency wages

6 Taxes and transfers


ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 2/62
Section 1
Recap
Intertemporal optimisation

• So far we have examined how agents make consumption decisions


across time when they are budget constrained.
• We looked at a simple, two-period model to learn about the
discount factor, the effects of interest and taxes.
• In this lecture, we will apply the same kind of reasoning about
present and future tradeoffs to the supply side to understand
labour-leisure decisions.

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Module reading

Main
• Labour and Leisure: Kurlat, Ch. 7, pp. 127–143 [1]

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Learning outcomes

• Apply general equilibrium framework to understand different


macroeconomic issues such as long run growth, fluctuations,
employment, and inflation.(Capability 3.1 and 3.2)
• Analyse macroeconomic problems and identify possible
solutions.(Capability 1.1, 1.2, 2.2, 4.1, 4.2 and 5.1)
• Use numerical examples in macroeconomic models to predict
outcomes, including different government policy
scenarios.(Capability 3.2 and 4.2)

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Section 2
Applications — Labour and leisure
Some stats

• Heterogeneity
• across countries, and
• over time.
• In NZ, unemployment
reported at 2% in early
1900s; peaked in 1990s
at almost 12%.

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More stats

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More stats

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More stats

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How do we know levels of employment?

• The usual way is to conduct surveys.


• Stats NZ runs a Quarterly Employment Survey of 18,000 participants.
• Individuals are classified into
1 Employed if they have worked in the past 4 weeks;
2 Unemployed if they did not work during the past 4 weeks but actively
looked for a job or will start a job within 4 weeks of their prior job;
3 Out of the labour force if they did not work and did not look for a job
in the past 4 weeks.

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Employment definitions

• From this classification, we obtain:

Labour force = Employed + unemployed.


Labour force
Participation rate = .
Population
Employed (1)
Employment rate = .
Population
Unemployed
Unemployment rate = .
Labour force

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What do the measures mean?

• High unemployment rates are typically viewed as a problem.


• By definition, unemployment means there are people who want to
be employed but have not been able to find work.
• But it does not tell the full story.
• Searching for a job is a productive use of time.
• Many economic models and evidence from the business and
psychology literature show that finding a good match is important.

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What do the measures mean?

• Also important to consider those who are counted as “out of the


labour force” but are simply discouraged workers.
• To avoid the distinction, we could instead focus on the employment
rate, since it considers the population at large.
• Is high employment always a good thing?
• There are many reasons why people may choose not to work (family
care, study, health).

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A model of the labour market

• To understand how shocks and policies affect the macroeconomy, it


is important to have a sense of individuals’ responses to changing
labour market conditions.
• Introduce a worker, Lucy, with preferences

U (c, l) = u(c) + v(l). (2)

• c stands for consumption and l stands for leisure.

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A model of the labour market

10 20

9 19

8 18

17
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Figure 1: Utility from consumption Figure 2: Utility from leisure

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Model elements

• Lucy has 1 unit of time so the amount of time spent working is

L = 1 − l. (3)

• In this model, we are going to assume the wage rate, w, is


exogenously determined (outside of the model).
• Lucy’s budget constraint for consuming is

c ≤ w(1 − l). (4)

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Model elements

• Lucy has 1 unit of time so the amount of time spent working is

L = 1 − l. (5)

• In this model, we are going to assume the wage rate, w, is


exogenously determined (outside of the model).
• Lucy’s budget constraint for consuming is

c ≤ w(1 − l). (6)

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Worker’s problem

• Lucy solves the following optimisation problem

maxu(c) + v(l)
c,l

s.t. (7)
c ≤ w(1 − l).

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Worker’s problem

Figure 3: Consumption-leisure bundle


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Lagrangian

• The Lagrangian for this problem is

L(c, l, λ) = u(c) + v(l) − λ[c − w(1 − l)] (8)

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First-order conditions

• The first-order conditions are

u 0 (c) − λ = 0 (9)
v 0 (l)
v 0 (l) − λw = 0 ⇔ 0 = w. (10)
u (c)

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Optimality

• Equation (10) describes how Lucy trades off dedicating time to


market work or to leisure activities.
• At the margin, Lucy must be just indifferent between allocating an
extra unit of time to labour or leisure activities.
• In Figure 3, the slope of the indifference curve is the marginal rate of
v 0 (l)
substitution u 0 (c) which, at the optimal allocation, is equal to the
slope of the budget constraint, w.

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Effects of an increase in wages

• Suppose that Lucy gets a promotion .


• How does an increase in w affect Lucy’s optimal labour-leisure
allocation and well-being? This is an important macroeconomic
question that factors into many policy decisions.
• The new budget constraint still crosses (1, 0) but has a steeper
slope.
• As with any price change, this leads to income and substitution
effects.

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Effects of an increase in wages

income effect

substitution effect

Figure 4: Increase in wages.

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Section 3
Unifying consumption and labour
Consumption and work

• So far we have considered consumption-savings and


consumption-leisure as separate problems.
• What happens in the (more realistic) case where we need to decide
how much to save which also affects our labour-leisure trade-offs?
• Let’s revisit Lucy’s problem.

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A dynamic model

• Lucy solves the following problem:

max u(c1 ) + v(l1 ) + β[u(c2 ) + v(l2 )]


c1 ,l1 ,c2 ,l2

s.t. (11)
1 1
c1 + c2 ≤ w1 (1 − l1 ) + w2 (1 − l2 ).
1+r 1+r

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A dynamic model

• There are four decision variables in this problem: consumption in


each period and leisure in each period.

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A dynamic model

• There are four decision variables in this problem: consumption in


each period and leisure in each period.

Q : What is the Lagrangian for this problem?

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A dynamic model

• The first-order conditions are given by

u 0 (c1 ) − λ = 0 (12)
v 0 (l1 ) − λw1 = 0 (13)
1
βu 0 (c2 ) − λ =0 (14)
1+r
1
βv 0 (l2 ) − λw2 =0 (15)
1+r
1 1
c1 + c2 − w1 (1 − `1 ) − w2 (1 − `2 ) = 0 . (16)
1+r 1+r

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A dynamic model

• We can summarise the previous conditions as follows

v 0 (lt )
= wt for t = 1, 2 (17)
u 0 (ct )
u 0 (c1 ) = β(1 + r)u 0 (c2 ). (18)

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A dynamic model

• Equation (17) is equivalent to (10) but generalised over time. Lucy is


indifferent at the margin between devoting a unit of time to leisure
or work, given wage w.
• Equation (18) is the familiar Euler condition: no matter how income is
obtained, Lucy distributes consumption optimally across time.
• While these conditions are similar to the separate cases, analysing
these decisions jointly lets us ask new questions.

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A dynamic model

• Suppose wages rise temporarily. How does Lucy respond?


• Solve for labour supply (L1 = 1 − l1 ) in equation (17).

v 0 (l1 ) = w1 u 0 (c1 )
⇒ l1 = (v 0 )−1 (w1 u 0 (c1 )) (19)
⇒ L1 = 1 − (v 0 )−1 (w1 u 0 (c1 )).

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A dynamic model

• (v 0 )−1 denotes the inverse of v 0 .


• Since the marginal utility of leisure is decreasing, (v 0 )−1 is also a
decreasing function.
• We know from our consumption optimisation that a temporary rise
(w1 rises but w2 does not) affects equation (19) via consumption, c1 ,
which rises more when the wage increase is permanent.

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A dynamic model

• Compared with a permanent rise in wages, a temporary rise will see


a lower c1 which leads to a higher u 0 (c1 ) (from diminishing returns) ⇒
lower (v 0 )−1 (since (v 0 )−1 is a decreasing function) ⇒ lower l1 ⇒
higher L1 .
• Therefore, Lucy’s labour supply rises more in response to a
temporary increase in wages than a permanent rise.

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 36/62


A dynamic model

• Why? If a wage rise is temporary, Lucy doesn’t feel much richer


so the income effect is weak and the substitution effect dominates.
Lucy sells more time as it becomes temporarily expensive.
• Think about this in terms of Uber’s surge pricing strategy!

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 37/62


Section 4
Labour market equilibrium
Competitive market

• We know from price theory that in perfectly competitive markets,


firms demand labour up to the point where the marginal product of
labour equals the wage rate.
• The equation
w = FL (K , L), (20)
gives us the labour demand curve.
• The demand curve tells us how much labour the firm is willing to hire.

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 39/62


Competitive market

• The demand for labour comes from a firm run by Ryan.


• Since F (K , L) is concave in L, the demand curve is downward
sloping.
• For example, if F (K , L) = K α L1−α , then

w = (1 − α)K α L−α
(21)
⇒ L = (1 − α) α Kw − α .
1 1

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 40/62


Competitive market

• On Lucy’s side (the supplier of labour), we can find the labour supply
curve. Let consumption and leisure payoffs take the following
functional form:
c1−σ
u(c) = 1−σ
(22)
v(l) = − l)
1+
−θ
1+
(1  . (23)

• θ and  are parameters.

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 41/62


Competitive market

• Marginal utility from consumption and leisure are

u 0 (c) = c −σ (24)
v 0 (l) = θ(1 − l) .
1
 (25)

• Substituting these into (10), we get

θ(1 − l) 
1

= w. (26)
c −σ

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Competitive market

• Substituting for c from the budget constraint, we obtain

θ(1 − l) 
1

= w. (27)
[w(1 − l)]−σ

• Expression (27) defines the relationship between w and the labour


Lucy provides.

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Competitive market

• Equation (27) defines the relationship between Lucy’s willingness to


work and the wage rate.
• The supply curve is upward sloping if σ < 1 (which implies the
substitution effect dominates).
• It is downward sloping if the income effect of wage rises dominates,
leading Lucy to work less when wages rise.
• A downward-sloping labour supply curve is called backward
bending.

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Labour market equilibrium

Labour demand

Labour supply

Figure 5: Wage-working hours determination

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Increase in productivity

• Suppose there is a technological shift (e.g. ChatGPT) that raises the


marginal product of labour, MPL.
• Equation (20) tells us that at any given wage w, Ryan’s firm will want
to hire more workers.
• In the case where the substitution effect dominates, this leads Lucy
to be willing to supply more labour, resulting in a higher proportion
of working hours and a higher equilibrium wage rate.

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Increase in productivity

Figure 6: Effect of an increase in MPL

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Section 5
Efficiency wages
An example

• 5 January 1914: Henry Ford


announces $5 per day
programme, raising minimum
pay from $2.34 to $5.
• The result? Decreased worker
turnover by 35.4%, decreased
absenteeism by 7.5%.
• The reason: The efficiency
wages dramatically increased
the opportunity cost of being
fired.

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Efficiency wages

• Efficiency wages are a level of wages paid to workers above the


minimum wage to retain a skilled and efficient workforce.
• The idea is that workers must be incentivised to remain productive
and highly skilled workers (who are expensive to replace) to not quit.

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 50/62


Section 6
Taxes and transfers
Adding taxes and transfers

• How will a worker’s decision change in response to a change in tax


policy?
• Let’s keep tax simple:
• τ is the tax rate on worker income.
• T is a transfer that the worker gets from the government.
• The transfer represents unemployment benefits, food assistance,
pensions, etc.

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 52/62


Adding taxes and transfers

• The worker’s budget constraint is

c ≤ w(1 − l)(1 − τ ) + T . (28)

• Let’s study this from the worker’s perspective, taking τ and T as


given.

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Adding taxes and transfers

• The effect of each of these is illustrated below.

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Adding taxes and transfers

• Taxes lower the slope of the budget constraint: from the worker’s
perspective, the price at which he can sell his time to obtain
consumption is the after-tax wage: w(1 − τ ).
• The effect of higher transfers is a pure income effect. Prices have
not changed but the worker is richer as a result of the transfers,
allowing him to enjoy higher consumption and leisure.

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 55/62


Adding taxes and transfers

• Therefore, the effect of higher tax rates is just like the effect of lower
wages. Both substitution and income effects come into play.

Q : What is the first order condition for the household’s one-


period labour-leisure optimisation problem?

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 56/62


Adding taxes and transfers

• Therefore, the effect of higher tax rates is just like the effect of lower
wages. Both substitution and income effects come into play.

Q : What is the first order condition for the household’s one-


period labour-leisure optimisation problem?

A: The worker’s optimal allocation satisfies:

v 0 (l)
= w(1 − τ ). (29)
u 0 (c)

ECON 311 O Sudareva Module 2 56/62


Section 7
Further reading and TLDR
Extra reading

• Adding taxes and transfers (Kurlat [1] Ch. 7.2 pp. 135-137).
• Labour and search (Kurlat [1] Ch. 7.5 pp. 144-146).

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TLDR

1 The tradeoff individuals face between working and enjoying leisure


time depends on wages and the shape of utility from work and play.
2 An increase in wages causes a reallocation that both increases
individual utility and results in substitution and income effects.
3 A competitive labour market equilibrium results in a wage rate
equal to the marginal product of labour at a supply optimally set
by the household which trades off leisure and work.

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TLDR (math edition)

U
1 Unemployment rate: LF
2 Employment rate: EP
v 0 (lt )
3 Optimal labour allocation: u 0 (ct )
= wt
4 Euler equation: u 0 (ct ) = β(1 + r)u 0 (ct+1 ).

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Section 8
References
References I

[1] Pablo Kurlat. A course in modern macroeconomics. Self-published, Pablo Kurlat,


2020. ISBN: 9781073566716.

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