Chapter 8
Chapter 8
Interval Estimation
Solutions
1. a.
2. a. 32 + 1.645 (6 / 50 )
b. 32 + 1.96 (6 / 50 )
c. 32 + 2.576 (6 / 50 )
3. a. 80 + 1.96 (15 / 60 )
Sample mean
n = (7.35)2 = 54
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4. Not found
Margin of error =
Using Excel and the web file TravelTax, the sample mean is and the sample size
40.31 + 1.96(8.5/ )
7. a. Margin of error =
, ,
distribution.
b. Margin of error:
c. Margin of error:
9. +
19,100 + 1.96
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19,100 + 800 ($18,300 to $19,900)
The average cost to repair the smoke and fire damage that result from home fires of all
causes is $11,389. The 95% confidence interval shows the mean cost of fires resulting
x z / 2
10. a. n
3,486 + 1.645
b. 3,486 + 1.96
c. 3,486 + 2.576
The confidence interval gets wider as we increase our confidence level. We need a
wider interval to be more confident that the interval will contain the population mean.
d. Not Found
11. a. .025
b. 1 – .10 = .90
c. .05
d. .01
e. 1 – 2(.025) = .95
f. 1 – 2(.05) = .90
12. a. 2.179
b. –1.676
c. 2.457
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d. Use .05 column, –1.708 and 1.708
13. a.
b.
10 0 0
8 –2 4
12 2 4
15 5 25
13 3 9
11 1 1
6 –4 16
5 –5 25
84
c.
d.
14. , df = 53
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a. 22.5 ± 1.674
b. 22.5 ± 2.006
c. 22.5 ± 2.672
d. As the confidence level increases, there is a larger margin of error and a wider
confidence interval.
15.
19.5 ± 1.669
19.5 ± 1.998
The sample mean years to maturity is 9.7063 years with a standard deviation of
7.9805.
9.7063 ± 2.023
The 95% confidence interval for the population mean years to maturity is 7.1536 to
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12.2590 years.
The sample mean yield on corporate bonds is 3.8854% with a standard deviation of
1.6194.
d. df = 39 t.025 = 2.023
3.8854 ± 2.023
The 95% confidence interval for the population mean yield is 3.3674 to 4.4034%.
df = 49 t.025 = 2.010
6.34 ± 2.010
a. = 22 weeks
d. Skewness = 1.0062, data are skewed to the right. Use a larger sample next time.
19. a. , df = 41
2.02 = 2.13
b.
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32.66 ± 2.13 or $30.53 to $34.79
c. The mean cost for a mid-range meal for two in Tokyo ($40) is not in the 95%
confidence interval for comparable meals in Hong Kong. The mean cost of
20. a.
The point estimate of the mean annual auto insurance premium in Michigan is
$2,551.
b.
2,551 + 2.093
c. The 95% confidence interval for Michigan does not include the national average of
$1,503 for the United States. We would be 95% confident that auto insurance
21.
t.025 = 2.093 df = 19
71 + 2.093
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22. a.
The point estimate of the population mean ticket sales revenue per theater is $23,100.
23,100 +
23,100 + 1,487
The 95% confidence interval for the population mean is $21,613 to $24,587.
b. Mean number of customers per theater = 23,100/8.11 = 2,848 customers per theater
Total box office ticket sales for the weekend = 4,080(23,100) = $94,248,000
23.
z.2025 2 (196
. ) 2 ( 9) 2
n 2
34.57 Use n 35
b. E 32
. ) 2 ( 9) 2
(196
n 77.79 Use n 78
c. 22
25.
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If the normality assumption for the population appears questionable, this should be
b.
Use 49 to guarantee a margin of error no greater than .07. However, the U.S. EIA
c. Use 97
For reporting purposes, the U.S. EIA might decide to round up to a sample size of
100.
a.
b.
c.
d. Sampling 5,403 college graduates to obtain the $100 margin of error would be viewed
28. a.
b.
c.
d. The sample size gets larger as the confidence level is increased. We would not
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recommend 99% confidence. The sample size must be increased by 79 respondents
(267 – 188) to go from 90% to 95%. This may be reasonable. However, increasing
the sample size by 194 respondents (461 – 267) to go from 95% to 99% would
probably be viewed as too expensive and time consuming for the 4% gain in
confidence level.
Use n = 40
b. Use n = 62
Use n = 1537 to guarantee the margin of error will not exceed 100.
b.
p (1 p )
p z.025
c. n
b. .70 + 1.96
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.70 + .0318 or .6682 to .7318
33.
b. Margin of Error
c. Confidence interval:
d. Margin of Error
b.
.23 + 1.96(.0298)
37. a.
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b. Margin of error:
c.
d.
The confidence interval in part c has the smaller margin of error. This is because is
farther away from 0.5 in part c (the point at which the standard error is the largest)
than it is in part d.
38. a.
b. Margin of error =
c.
b. Use 991
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.52 + .0346 or .4854 to .5546
b. Margin of error =
c. The margin of error is larger in part b. This is because the sample proportion is closer
to .50 in part b than in part a. This also leads to a larger interval estimate in part b.
42. a.
= 1.96(.0226) = .0442
b.
November
Preelection
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95% confidence interval: .67 + .0315 or .6385 to .7015
44. a. x = 326.6674
√ 10 ,00 1) = 241.4165.
45. a. x = 60.3964
d. The 99% confidence interval for the mean sick hours taken last year does not include
the value for the mean sick hours taken two years ago. This suggests that the mean
sick hours taken changed from two years ago to last year.
b. z α/ 2 σ p = 1.96(.0015) = .0029
b. z α/ 2 σ p = 2.576(.0035) = .0090
d. The 99% confidence interval for the proportion of vehicles on U.S. roads does not
include the value for the proportion reported by ABC News. This suggests that the
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proportion of vehicles on U.S. roads that are speeding differs from the proportion
reported by ABC News. However, the sample was taken at 6 P.M. EST on a recent
Tuesday afternoon. We must question whether the drivers on U.S. roads at this time
are representative of all U.S. drivers. If it doesn’t, then our sample suffers from
nonsampling error.
b. Yes. The lower limit for the population mean at Niagara Falls is $233.84, which is
1.990 = 122
b. ± margin of error
c. Because 92 million Americans were age 50 and older, the estimate of total
In dollars, we estimate that $172,316 million dollars are spent annually by Americans
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d. We would expect the median to be less than the mean of $1,873. The few individuals
who spend much more than the average cause the mean to be larger than the median.
51. a. From the sample of 7,044 people who have never been married, the proportion who
Margin of error =
b. From the sample of 7044 people who have never been married, the sample mean
mean number of hours of sleep for people who have never been married is 7.226.
Therefore,
Margin of error =
c. From the sample, we see that 4,437 people had a healthy sleep duration. The mean
number of hours of sleep for those who had a healthy sleep duration is given by
52. a. Using Excel shows that the sample mean and sample standard deviation are
and .
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Margin of error =
b. Using Excel shows that the sample mean and sample standard deviation are
and .
Margin of error =
c. There were 136 employees who had no prescription medication cost for the year:
d. The margin of error in part a is 60.73; the margin of error in part c is 14.69. The
margin of error in part a is larger because the sample standard deviation in part a is
larger. The sample size and confidence level are the same in both parts.
The estimated mean BMI for adults in the U.S. is 27.63. This is less than the standard
established by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.
c. df = 1009 = 1.984
(2.33) 2 (2.6) 2
n 36.7 Use n 37
54. 12
. ) 2 (8) 2
(196
n 6147
. Use n 62
55. 22
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(2.576) 2 (8) 2
n 10617
. Use n 107
22
. ) 2 (675) 2
(196
n 175.03 Use n 176
56. 100 2
p (1 p )
p 196
.
57. a. n
.47 + 1.96
b. .47 + 2.576
b.
59. a. p = .78
Margin of error =
b. p = .45
Margin of error =
c. The margin of error is larger in part b for two reasons: (1) with p = .45, the estimate
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of the standard error is larger than with p = .78, (2) And = 2.576 for 99%
60. a. With 165 out of 750 respondents rating the economy as good or excellent,
= 165/750 = .22
b. Margin of error
= 315/750 = .42
Margin of error
d. The confidence interval in part c is wider. This is because the sample proportion is
closer to .5 in part c.
61. a.
b. p = 520/2017 = .2578
p (1 p )
p 196
.
c. n
.2578 + 1.96
62. a.
b.
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63. a. For the 18–24 age group:
b. The 18–24 age group has the largest margin of error, so the sample size must be large
enough to reduce the margin of error for the 18–24 age group to .05 or less. Using the
This is an increase of 489 people surveyed in each age group. The added cost of the
larger sample size would have to be taken into account before deciding whether the
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smaller margin of error is worth the added cost of obtaining the data.
p (1 p )
p 196
.
b. 1993
.3101 + 1.96
c.
No, the sample appears unnecessarily large. The .02 margin of error reported in part b
65. a. x = 42.5926
66. a. x = 34.9872
d. The 99% confidence interval for the mean hours worked hours during the past week
does not include the value for the mean hours worked during the same week one year
ago. This suggests that the mean hours worked taken changed from last year to this
year.
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67. a. p = 18,233/42,296 = .4311
b. z α/ 2 σ p = 1.96(.0024) = .0047
The 95% confidence interval for the proportion of reports filed from Florida that dealt
with instances of fraud does not include the value for the proportion filed by the
entire country. This suggests that the proportion of instances of fraud in Florida
b. z α/ 2 σ p = 1.64(.0025) = .0040
d. The 90% confidence interval for the proportion of California bridges that are deficient
does not include the value for the proportion of deficient bridges in the entire country.
This suggests that the proportion of California bridges that is deficient differs from
Even though the IRC report indicates that California has a large proportion of the
nation’s deficient bridges, California has a large total number of bridges, so the
proportion of bridges in California that are deficient is smaller than the proportion of
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Case Solutions
Income
purchase
We can conclude with 95% confidence that the mean age of subscribers to Young
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Professional is between 29.72 and 30.50 years of age. And we can conclude with 95%
confidence that the mean household income of subscribers is between $71,079 and $77,840.
We can conclude with 95% confidence that the proportion of subscribers with broadband
access is between 57.75% and 67.13% and that the proportion of subscribers with
4. Young Professional should be a good advertising outlet for online brokers. We see that
most of the subscribers have financial investments exclusive of their homes (the mean
amount is $28,538), and some have substantial amounts of investments (several have
more than $100,000 in investments). Another factor to consider is the number of stock,
bond, and mutual fund transactions. The mean number is approximately six per year, and
several subscribers make significantly more transactions than that. Finally, a large
proportion of subscribers have broadband access (the sample proportion is .6244), and
5. The survey results allow us to estimate that the mean age of subscribers is 30.12 years
and that 53.41% of subscribers have children. Given the age of subscribers, it is
reasonable to assume that their children are young. Thus, we conclude that subscribers to
Young Professional would be a good target market for companies selling educational
6. A variety of answers are possible here, but the survey results clearly show that articles
about investing would appeal to many readers. Articles about real estate and architecture
would probably appeal to those subscribers planning to make real estate purchases.
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articles on parenting and child care.
NGV Days The number of days to sell the No Gulf View condominium
Descriptive Statistics: GV List, GV Sale, GV Days, NGV List, NGV Sale, NGV Days
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NGV List 148.0 322.0 174.9 241.0
3. Gulf View condominiums are the more expensive units as usually anticipated. A Gulf
View condominium lists for a mean price of $474,000 and a median price of $437,000. A
No Gulf View condominium lists for a mean price of $212,800 and a median price of
$212,500. The Gulf View condominiums are more than twice as expensive as the No
The standard deviation of the list price for Gulf View condominiums is $197,300;
the standard deviation of the list price for No Gulf View condominiums is $48,900. Thus,
The most expensive list price is for a Gulf View condominium at $975,000, and
A box plot shows that the No Gulf View condominiums do not have any outliers.
A similar box plot shows the highest four Gulf View list prices are outliers: one each at
$885,000 and $895,000 and two at $975,000. These show 4/40 or 10% of the Gulf View
The mean number of days to sell a condominium is slightly better for Gulf View
condominiums than for No Gulf View condominiums (106 days vs. 135 days). On
average, selling a Gulf View condominium takes slightly more than three months and
selling a No Gulf View condominium takes a little more than four months. The quickest
sale was a Gulf View condominium that sold in less than a month (28 days). The slowest
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sale was for a No Gulf View condominium that took almost a year to sell (338 days).
Gulf View condominiums with a mean list price of $474,000 and a mean sale
price of $454,200 sell on average $474,000 – $454,200 = $19,800 (4.2%) below list
price. No Gulf View condominiums with a mean list price of $212,800 and a mean sale
price of $203,200 appears to sell on average $212,800 – $203,200 = $9,600 (4.5%) below
list price. There is only a small percentage difference in list and sale price for the two
types of condominiums.
In summary, Gulf View condos are substantially more expensive and tend to sell
slightly faster. The discount off the list price is roughly 4.0% to 4.5% for both Gulf View
With n = 40, the margin of error is $59,600. To reduce the margin of error to
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With n = 18, the margin of error is $21,800. To reduce the margin of error to
7. From part 3, a Gulf View condominium sells on average 4.2% below its list price.
The estimated selling price is $589,000 × .958 = $564,262. Using the mean days,
From part 3, a No Gulf View condominium sells on average 4.5% below its list
price.
The estimated selling price is $285,000 × .955 = $272,175. Using the mean days,
Midpoint Count
25000 1 *
35000 6 * * * * * *
45000 1 *
55000 5 * * * * *
65000 11 * * * * * * * * * * *
75000 8 * * * * * * * *
85000 9 * * * * * * * * *
95000 3 * * *
105000 1 *
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115000 3 * * *
125000 1 *
135000 1 *
MIN MAX Q1 Q3
The 95% confidence interval for the population mean is 66,264 to 80,416, which
indicates there is a 95% confidence that this interval contains the population mean.
The mean is 73,340, and the median is 72,705. The first quartile of 59,881 shows
25% of the repairs occurred with fewer than 60,000 miles on the vehicle. Also, the
histogram shows seven (14%) repairs occurred with fewer than 40,000 miles. These data
tend to support the conclusion of early transmission failures for this automobile
manufacturer.
To bring the precision for the population mean to within 5,000 miles, a sample
z.2025 2 (196
. ) 2 (24,899) 2
n 95.3 or 96
E2 (5,000) 2
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2. the proportion of all automobiles that experience the transmission failures, and
With this information, we could make comparative statements about how the
However, with the data available, the manufacturer in question appears to have problems
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