CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE AND IMPACTS
Climate change = long-term change in
temperature & weather patterns
Driven mainly by greenhouse gas emissions
Recognized globally by IPCC
Major challenge for environment, economy, and
society
KEY TERMINOLOGIES
Impact: Effects of climate change on systems
Vulnerability: Degree of susceptibility to harm
Adaptation: Adjusting systems to reduce damage
Mal-adaptation: Actions that increase
vulnerability
👉 Example: Poor irrigation planning increasing
drought risk
KEY TERMINOLOGY
•Coping: Short-term survival strategies
•Resilience: Ability to recover after shock
•Mitigation: Reducing greenhouse gas
emissions
•Risk: Probability of harmful consequences
KEY TERMINOLOGY
•Hazard: Potential damaging event (flood,
drought)
•Shock: Sudden extreme event
•Variability: Short-term climate fluctuations
•Trend: Long-term climate change pattern
KEY TERMINOLOGY
Exposure: Degree to which a system is
exposed
Sensitivity: How strongly a system reacts
Adaptive Capacity: Ability to adjust to climate
change
👉 Formula concept:
Vulnerability = Exposure + Sensitivity –
Adaptive Capacity
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO
•Based on scientific models (IPCC scenarios)
•Future projections include:
•Temperature rise
•Rainfall changes
•Sea-level rise
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
Increase in Land Surface Temperature
Increase in Sea Surface Temperature
Leads to:
Heatwaves
Glacier melting
Ecosystem changes
RAIN FALL VARIATION
•Irregular rainfall patterns
•Increased:
•Floods
•Droughts
•Impact on agriculture & water
supply
RAIN FALL VARIATION
•Irregular rainfall patterns
•Increased:
•Floods
•Droughts
•Impact on agriculture & water supply
ICE MELTING & SEA-LEVEL RISE
Melting of glaciers (Himalayas critical for Nepal)
Rising sea levels affect coastal regions
Linked to global warming
IMPACT ON AGRICULTURE
Reduced crop yield
Pest and disease increase
Changing growing seasons
👉 Important for Nepal’s economy
IMPACT ON FOREST
Biodiversity loss
Forest fires increase
Species migration
IMPACT ON INFRASTRUCTURE
Damage from floods & landslides
Increased maintenance cost
Risk to roads, bridges, buildings
IMPACT ON WATER RESOURCES
Glacier-fed rivers affected
Water scarcity in dry seasons
Flood risk in monsoon
KEY RESPONSE MEASURES
1. Mitigation
Reduce emissions
Renewable energy
Energy efficiency
2. Adaptation
Climate-resilient agriculture
Disaster preparedness
Water management
INTERNATIONAL DEBATE & NEGOTIATIONS
Climate change is a global political issue
Major agreements:
Paris Agreement
UNFCCC
CLIMATE CHANGE AS ECONOMIC ISSUE
Carbon markets
Climate finance
Developed vs developing country debate
👉 Nepal’s opportunity in carbon trading
WAY FORWARD
Climate change affects all sectors
Understanding key terms is essential
Combination of mitigation & adaptation needed
Global cooperation is critical