Fm II Chapter Two
Fm II Chapter Two
CHAPTER TWO
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS AND PLANNING
Introduction
Dear learners, the essence of managing risk is making good decisions. Correct decision making
depends on accurate information and proper analysis. Financial statements are summaries of the
operating, investment, and financing activities that provide information for these decisions. But the
information is not enough by themselves and need to be analyzed. Financial analysis is a tool of
financial management. It consists of the evaluation of the financial condition and operating results
of a business firm, an industry, or even the economy, and the forecasting of its future condition and
performance. This Chapter discusses common financial information and performance measures
frequently used by owners and lenders to evaluate financial health and make risk management
decisions. By conducting regular checkups on financial condition and performance, you are more
likely to treat causes rather than address only symptoms of problems.
of the public are protected. Furthermore, it bears the responsibility of prosecuting any offender
of the law, including corporate and consumer law.
7. Competitors: It may seem odd, but existing competitors and new entrants have to consider the
likelihood of their success or failure in trying to conquer the market. Their primary interest lies
in the business ratios of efficiency/productivity and cash, debtor and credit management. For
the industry, it acts as a comparative for better performance of firms and companies of varying
sizes. They also help in establishing a trend of the industry that is normally a guide to new
entrants to study, analyze and perform.
2.2.2. Methods/ Domains of Financial Analysis
thing to be said in their support is that, over the years, Companies confirming to these rules of
thumb tend to go bankrupt somewhat less frequently than those that do not.
Cross-Sectional Analysis- involves the comparison of different firm's financial ratios at the
same point in time. The typical business is interested in how well it has performed in relation to
its competitors. Often, the firm's performance will be compared to that of the industry leader, and
the firm may uncover major operating deficiencies, if any, which, if changed, will increase
efficiency. Another popular type of comparison is to industry averages; the comparison of a
particular ratio to the standard is made to isolate any deviations from the norm. Too high or too
low values reflect symptoms of a problem. Comparing a Company's ratios to industry ratios
provide a useful feel for how the Company measures up to its Competitors. But, it is still true
that company specific differences can result in entirely justifiable deviations from industry
norms. There is also no guarantee that the industry as a whole knows what it is doing.
Time-Series Analysis – is applied when a financial analyst evaluates performance of a firm over
time. The firm's present or recent ratios are compared with its own past ratios.
Comparing of current to past performance allows the firm to determine whether it is progressing
as planned.
1.2.4. Types of Financial Ratios
There are five basic categories of financial ratios. Each represents important aspects of the firm's
financial conditions. The categories consist of liquidity, activity, leverage, profitability and
market value ratios. Each category is explained by using an example set of financial ratios for
Merob Company.
Exercise 2.1
Dear Students! Let us use the financial statements of Merob Company, shown below to investigate
and explain ratio analysis.
Merob Company, Income Statements
Variables 2001 2000
Sales 3,074,000 2,567,000
Less Cost of Goods Sold 2,088,000 1,711,000
Gross Profit 986,000 856,000
Less Operating Expenses
Selling Expenses 100,000 108,000
General and Adm. Expenses 468,000 445,000
Total Operating Expenses 568,000 553,000
Operating Profit 418,000 303,000
Less Interest Expenses 93,000 91,000
Net Profit Before Tax 325,000 212,000
Less Profit Tax (at 29%) 94,250 61,480
Net Income After Tax 230,750 150,520
Less Preferred Stock Dividends 10,000 10,000
Earning Available to Common Shareholders 220,750 140,520
EPS 2.90 1.81
Liquidity refers to, the ability of a firm to meet its short-term financial obligations when and as
they fall due. Liquidity ratios provide the basis for answering the questions: Does the firm have
sufficient cash and near cash assets to pay its bills on time? Current liabilities represent the firm's
maturing financial obligations. The firm's ability to repay these obligations when due depends
largely on whether it has sufficient cash together with other assets that can be converted into cash
before the current liabilities mature. The firm's current assets are the primary source of funds
needed to repay current and maturing financial obligations. Thus, the current ratio is the logical
measure of liquidity. Lack of liquidity implies inability to meet its current obligations leading to
lack of credibility among suppliers and creditors.
A. Current Ratio: - Measures a firm’s ability to satisfy or cover the claims of short term
creditors by using only current assets. That is, it measures a firm’s short-term solvency or
liquidity.
The current ratio is calculated by dividing current assets to current liabilities.
Current Ratio =
For 2001, Quick Ration for Merob Company will be: 1,223,000- 289,000 = 1.51
620,000
Interpretation: Merob has 1birr and 51 cents in quick assets for every birr current liabilities.
As a very high or very low acid test ratio is assign of some problem, a moderately high ratio is
required by the firm.
Therefore, the Average Age of Inventory for Merob Company for the year 2001 is:
365 days = 51 days
7.09
This tells us that, roughly speaking, inventory remain in stock for 51 days on average before it is
sold. The longer period indicates that, Merob is keeping much inventory in its custody and, the
company is expected to reassess its marketing mechanisms that can boost its sales because, the
lengthening of the holding periods shows a greater risk of obsolescence and high holding costs.
The accounts receivable turnover for Merob Company for the year 2001 is computed as under.
Accounts receivable turnover ratio = 3,074,000 = 7.08
434,000*
Average Accounts Receivable is the accounts receivable of the year 2000 plus that of the year
2001 and dividing the result by two.
So, 434 = 503,000 + 365,000/ 2 = 434,000*
Interpretation: Merob Company collected its outstanding credit accounts and re-loaned the
money 7.08 times during the year.
Reasonably high accounts receivable turnover is preferable.
A ratio substantially lower than the industry average may suggest that a Company has:
More liberal credit policy (i.e. longer time credit period), poor credit selection, and
inadequate collection effort or policy.
A ratio substantially higher than the industry average may suggest that a firm has;
More restrictive credit policy (i.e. short term credit period), more liberal cash discount offers
(i.e. larger discount and sale increase), more restrictive credit selection.
D. Average Collection Period: Shows how long it takes for account receivables to be cleared
(collected). The average collection period represents the number of days for which credit sales
are locked in with debtors (accounts receivables).
Assuming 365 days in a year, average collection period is calculated as follows.
The average Collection period for Merob Company for the year 2001 will be:
365 days/7.08 =51 days or
College of BECO & Department of ACFN By: Abatneh M.(MSc) Page 8
tniciancm acicnaniF - 2019/2020
Purchase is estimated as a given percentage of cost of goods sold. Assume purchases were 70%
of the cost of goods sold in 2001.
G. Total Asset Turnover- Measures a firm’s efficiency in management its total assets to
generate sales.
Total Assets Turnover = Net sales
Net total assets
The Total Assets Turnover for Merob Company for the year 2001 is as follows.
3,074,000 = 0.85
3,597,000
Interpretation: - Merob Company generates birr 0.85 (85 cents) in net sales for every birr
invested in total assets. A high ratio suggests greater efficiency in using assets to produce sales
where as, a low ratio suggests that Merob is not generating a sufficient volume of sales for the
size of its investment in assets.
Caution- with respect to the use of this ratio, caution is needed as the calculations use historical
cost of fixed assets. Because, of inflation and historically based book values of assets, firms with
newer assets will tend to have lower turnovers than those firms with older assets having lower
book values. The difference in these turnovers results from more costly assets than from
differing operating efficiencies. Therefore, the financial manager should be cautious when using
these ratios for cross-sectional comparisons.
[Link]. Leverage Ratios
Leverage ratios are also called solvency ratio. Solvency is a firm’s ability to pay long term debt
as they come due. Leverage shows the degree of ineptness of firm.
There are two types of debt measurement tools. These are:
A. Financial Leverage Ratio: These ratios examine balance sheet ratios and determine the
extent to which borrowed funds have been used to finance the firm. It is the relationship of
borrowed funds and owner capital.
B. Coverage Ratio: These ratios measure the risk of debt and calculated by income statement
ratios designed to determine the number of times fixed charges are covered by operating
profits. Hence, they are computed from information available in the income statement. It
measures the relationship between what is normally available from operations of the firm’s
and the claims of outsiders. The claims include loan principal and interest, lease payment and
preferred stock dividends.
A.1, Debt Ratio: Shows the percentage of assets financed through debt. It is calculated as:
This indicates that the firm has financed 45.7 % of its assets with debt. Higher ratio shows more
of a firm’s assets are provided by creditors relative to owners indicating that, the firm may face
some difficulty in raising additional debt as creditors may require a higher rate of return (interest
rate) for taking high-risk. Creditors prefer moderate or low debt ratio, because low debt ratio
provides creditors more protection in case a firm experiences financial problems.
A.2. Debt -Equity Ratio: express the relationship between the amount of a firm’s total assets
financed by creditors (debt) and owners (equity). Thus, this ratio reflects the relative claims of
creditors and shareholders’ against the asset of the firm.
The Debt- Equity Ratio for Merob Company for the year 2001 is indicated as follows.
Debt- Equity ratio = 1,643,000 = 0.84 or 84 %
1,954,000
The times interest earned ratio for Merob Company for the year 2001 is:
418,000 = 4.5 times
93,000
This ratio shows the fact that earnings of Merob Company can decline 4.5 times without causing
financial losses to the Company, and creating an inability to meet the interest cost.
[Link] Ratio: The problem with the times interest eared ratio is that, it is based on
earning before interest and tax, which is not really a measure of cash available to pay interest.
One major reason is that, depreciation, a non cash expense has been deducted from earning
before Interest and Tax (EBIT). Since interest is a cash outflow, one way to define the cash
coverage ratio is as follows:
This ratio indicates the extent to which earnings may fall with out causing any problem to the
firm regarding the payment of the interest charges.
Interpretation: Merob Company generates around 14 cents operating profit for each of birr sales.
C. Net Profit Margin: This ratio is one of the very important ratios and measures the
profitableness of sales. It is calculated by dividing the net profit to sales. The net profit is
obtained by subtracting operating expenses and income taxes from the gross profit. Generally,
non operating incomes and expenses are excluded for calculating this ratio. This ratio measures
the ability of the firm to turn each birr of sales in to net profit. A high net profit margin is a
welcome feature to a firm and it enables the firm to accelerate its profits at a faster rate than a
firm with a low profit margin. It is calculated as:
D. Return on Investment (ROI): The return on investment also referred to as Return on Assets
measures the overall effectiveness of management in generating profit with its available assets,
i.e. how profitably the firm has used its assets. Income is earned by using the assets of a business
productively. The more efficient the production, the more profitable is the business.
The return on assets is calculated as:
Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income
Total Assets
The return on assets for Merob Company for the year 2001 is:
230,750 = 6.4 %
3,597,000
Interpretation: Merob Company generates little more than 6 cents for every birr invested in assets.
E. Return on Equity: The shareholders of a company may Comprise Equity share and
preferred share holders. Preferred shareholders are the shareholders who have a priority in
receiving dividends (and in return of capital at the time of widening up of the Company). The
rate of dividend divided on the preferred shares is fixed. But the ordinary or common share
holders are the residual claimants of the profits and ultimate beneficiaries of the Company. The
rate of dividends on these shares is not fixed. When the company earns profit it may distribute all
or part of the profits as dividends to the equity shareholders or retain them in the business it self.
But the profit after taxes and after preference shares dividend payments presents the return as
equity of the shareholders.
Therefore, the earning per share of Merob Company for the year 2001 is:
EPS = 220,750 = birr 2.90 per share
76,262 shares
Interpretation: Merob Company earns birr 2.90 for each common shares outstanding.
Market Value Ratio:
Market value or valuation ratios are the most significant measures of a firm's performance, since
they measures the performance of the firm's common stocks in the capital market. This is known
as the market value of equity and reflects the risk and return associated with the firm's stocks.
These measures are based, in part, on information that is not necessarily contained in financial
statements – the market price per share of the stock. Obviously, these measures can only be
calculated directly for publicly traded companies.
A. Price- Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The price earning ratio is an indicator of the firm's growth
prospects, risk characteristics, shareholders orientation corporate reputation, and the firm's level
of liquidity.
The P/E ratio can be calculated as:
The price per share could be the price of the share on a particular day or the average price for a
certain period.
College of BECO & Department of ACFN By: Abatneh M.(MSc) Page
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Assume that Merob Company's common stock at the end of 2001 was selling at birr 32.25, using
its EPS of birr 2.90, the P/E ratio at the end of 2001 is:
= 32.25/ 2.90 = 11.10
This figure indicates that, investors were paying birr 11.10 for each 1.00 of earnings.
Though not a true measure of profitability, the P/E ratio is commonly used to assess the owners'
appraisal of shares value. The P/E ratio represents the amount investors are willing to pay for
each birr of the firm's earnings. The level of P/E ratio indicates the degree of confidence (or
Certainty) that investors have in the firm's future performance. The higher the P/E ratio, the
greater the investor confidence on the firm's future. It is a means of standardizing stock prices to
facilitate comparison among companies with different earnings.
B. Market Value to Book Value (Market-to-Book) Ratios
The market value to book value ratio is a measure of the firm's contributing to wealth creation in
the society. It is calculated as:
While ratio analysis can provide useful information concerning a company’s operations and
financial condition, it does have limitations that necessitate care and judgments. Some potential
problems are listed below:
1. Many large firms operate different divisions in different industries, and for such companies it
is difficult to develop a meaningful set of industry averages. Therefore, ratio analysis is more
useful for small, narrowly focused firms than for large, multi divisional ones.
2. Most firms want to be better than average, so merely attaining average performance is not
necessarily good as a target for high-level performance, it is best to focus on the industry
leader’ ratios. Benchmarking helps in this regard.
3. Inflation may have badly distorted firm’s balance sheets - recorded values are often
substantially different from “true” values. Further, because inflation affects both depreciation
charges and inventory costs, profits are also affected. Thus, a ratio analysis for one firm over
time, or a comparative analysis of firms of different ages, must be interpreted with judgment.
4. Seasonal factors can also distort a ratio analysis. For example, the inventory turnover ratio for
a food processor will be radically different if the balance sheet figure used for inventory is the
one just before versus just after the close of the coming season.
5. Firms can employ “window dressing” techniques to make their financial statements look
stronger.
6. Different accounting practices can distort comparisons. As noted earlier, inventory valuation
and depreciation methods can affect financial statements and thus distort comparisons among
firms. Also, if one firm leases a substantial amount of its productive equipment, then its assets
may appear on the balance sheet. At the same time, the ability associated with the lease
obligation may not be shown as a debt. Therefore, leasing can artificially improve both the
turnover and the debt ratios.
7. It is difficult to generalize about whether a particular ratio is “good” or “bad”. For example, a
high current ratio may indicate a strong liquidity position, which is good or excessive cash,
which is bad (because excess cash in the bank is a non-earning asset).
Similarly, a high fixed asset turnover ratio may denote either that a firm uses its assets
efficiently or that it is undercapitalized and cannot afford to buy enough assets.
8. A firm may have some ratios that look “good” and other that look “bad”, making it difficult to
tell whether the company is, on balance, strong or weak. However, statistical procedures can
be used to analyze the net effects of a set of ratios. Many banks and other lending
organizations use discriminate analysis, a statistical technique, to analyze firm’s financial
ratios, and then classify the firms according to their probability of getting into financial
trouble.
9. Effective use of financial ratios requires that the financial statements upon which they are
based are accurate. Due to fraud, financial statements are not always accurate; hence
information based on reported data can be misleading. Ratio analysis is useful, but analysts
should be aware of these problems and make adjustments as necessary.