9
9
Michael C. Laskowski*
and
Robert L. Slonim
1. INTRODUCTION
238
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asymptotic auction solution 239
other n − 1 players having the same margin of error (i.e., ei = ej for all i,
j > 1).
In Section 2 we exhibit a profile of n bid functions and prove that it has
two desirable properties. First, it is the unique Nash equilibrium if each of
the bidders is constrained to choose a translation-invariant bid function. A
bid function bi Vi is called translation-invariant if Vi − bi Vi is constant
(i.e., it only depends on the margins of error e1 ; : : : ; en ). As well, in Sec-
tion 2 we define the notion of an asymptotic Nash equilibrium and show that
this profile is the unique (up to almost everywhere equivalence) asymptotic
Nash equilibrium for the more general setting in which each bidder is al-
lowed to choose among all measurable bid functions.
In Section 3 we discuss a number of comparative statics under the as-
sumption that all bidders employ the profile mentioned above. These
are of immediate interest if one considers the assumption of choosing a
translation-invariant bid function to be reasonable. However, our motiva-
tion is deeper. Since the profile is also an asymptotic Nash equilibrium, it
will follow that for each of these statics the direction of each inequality will
hold provided the underlying distribution of the true signal is sufficiently
diffuse.
Finally, in Section 4 we analyze the analogous second-price auction in
which two bidders are given asymmetric information and are constrained
to choose translation-invariant bid functions. We find that there are a con-
tinuum of Nash equilibria for which each bidder has a positive expected
profit and we give a geometric characterization of these equilibria.
The intuition behind the proof of Theorem 2 is that as the interval L; H
grows ever larger (relative to the margins of error e1 ; : : : ; en ) then the
likelihood that any bidder’s signal is near an endpoint approaches zero,
and hence can be ignored in the limit. The proof of this theorem is given
in Appendix B.
3. COMPARATIVE STATICS
1
Kagel and Levin (in press) make similar observations for the two cases they consider,
namely e1 = e2 = · · · = en and e1 = 0; e2 = · · · = en .
asymptotic auction solution 243
bidder enters the auction, while if there is a unique insider then he will in-
crease his bid. In either case, the new bidder will have a positive expected
profit and each of the existing bidders will have smaller expected profits.
Intuitively, the new entrant increases demand, which hurts all existing bid-
ders. Note that the directional impact the new bidder has on an existing
bidder’s bid and expected profit is the same regardless of the accuracy of
the new bidder’s information.
If an existing bidder gets more accurate information (ei decreases), then
it follows from the TIN Profile that his expected bid will not decrease (the
expected bid will strictly increase in all cases except when n = 2 and i = 1).
If there were more than one insider originally, then no other bidder will
change his bid. If there were a unique insider then both he and the bidder
getting more accurate information will increase their expected bids, while
everyone else will keep their bid. When a bidder’s information gets more
accurate, all other bidders’ expected profits decrease. Intuitively, when a
bidder gets more accurate information, he will bid more aggressively, which
will hurt the other bidders.
Whether more accurate information helps a bidder himself is less intu-
itive. If an insider receives more accurate information, or if e1 = e2 and
any bidder’s information gets more accurate, then the expected profit of
the bidder getting more accurate information increases (i.e., ∂Ei∗ /∂ei < 0).
In these situations the expected profit of the bidder getting more accurate
information increases because no other bidder will change his bid. How-
ever, if an outsider gets more accurate information and there is a unique
insider, then the insider’s expected bid will also increase. Somewhat surpris-
ingly, there are examples where the outsider’s expected profit will increase,
examples where his profit will stay the same, and examples where his profit
will decrease with the more accurate information.
One situation where the outsider is always worse off with getting more
accurate information is when there are only two bidders. In this case, it
is easy to show that the outsider’s expected profit monotonically decreases
with more accurate information (i.e., ∂E2∗ /∂e2 > 0). In one limit, as e2 ap-
proaches e1 , the outsider’s expected profit approaches e1 /3. In the other
limit, as e2 approaches infinity e1 , the outsider’s expected profit approaches
e2 /4. The reason the outsider’s expected profit decreases as he receives
more accurate information is that he is becoming a bigger threat to the
insider, causing the insider to bid more, thus permitting smaller profit op-
portunities for both bidders.
Perhaps a more extreme case where better information is harmful is that
of an n-bidder auction with a single perfect insider. Each of the n bidders
has a positive expectation in such an auction. However, if any one of the
outsiders is told the true value (and everyone knows that he was told) then
all n bidders will have an expectation of zero.
244 laskowski and slonim
Expected seller revenue increases whenever a new bidder enters the auc-
tion and in almost all cases when existing bidders get better informed (ei
decreases). This is not surprising, as we noted above that each bidder’s ex-
pected bid is nondecreasing and is usually increasing. However, this does
not necessarily imply that the expected sales price is nondecreasing in all
cases. When any outsider gets better informed, expected revenue unam-
biguously increases. Expected revenue increases in this case as each of the
new bid functions is stochastically larger than the old bid function (the ran-
dom variable X is stochastically larger than Y if PX ≤ a ≤ PY ≤ a
for all a) and the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the sales price
is simply the product of the cdf’s of the bid functions over all bidders.
When an insider gets better informed, expected revenue typically in-
creases, but there are examples where the expected revenue stays the same
and where it decreases. For example, when n = 2, expected revenue de-
creases monotonically as e1 decreases throughout the range from the sym-
metric (e1 = e2 = e) to the perfect information case (0 = e1 < e2 = e).
As e1 decreases, both the insider’s and outsider’s expected bids remain un-
changed at V − e, but the insider’s bid distribution narrows.
However, as evidence that this behavior is anomalous, when n ≥ 3 then
the seller’s expected revenue is strictly increasing as e1 decreases in the
range 0 ≤ e1 ≤ e2 = e3 = · · · = en (i.e., there is one insider and n −
1 symmetric outsiders). Despite this result, one cannot generalize to say
that when n ≥ 3, the seller’s revenue always increases as an insider gets
better informed. For example, when n = 3 and e3 is substantially larger than
e2 , expected revenue will continue to decrease as the insider’s information
increases (this is because the presence of e3 will have essentially no effect
on the insider’s bid, and thus this case reduces to the n = 2 case).
Expected revenue will increase monotonically as all bidders simultane-
ously become better informed. For example, if the expected sales price
is V − f when the bidders have margins of error e1 ; : : : ; en , then the ex-
pected sales price will be V − αf when the bidders have margins of error
αe1 ; : : : ; αen for any 0 < α < 1.
Thus, it may be worthwhile for the seller to spend money to decrease
the uncertainty in estimating the true value in order to tell the bidders. In
contrast, it is not always in the interest of some bidders to obtain more
accurate information. In fact, it may be in the interest of some bidders to
actively avoid obtaining information.
functions, there are many Nash equilibria. This lack of uniqueness con-
trasts with our results on the first-price auction and with the theory of
private value second-price auctions.
Throughout this section we assume there is an item to be auctioned of
some specific value V . We assume that there are two bidders and that the
high bidder wins the auction, but pays the price of the smaller of the two
bids. As in the previous section, we assume that each bidder has a mar-
gin of error ei > 0, that is known to both bidders.2 Each bidder receives a
private signal Vi that is uniformly distributed in the interval V − ei ; V +
ei . As in the earlier sections, we aim to classify the Nash equilibria un-
der the constraint where each bidder is required to choose a translation-
invariant bid function of the form bi Vi = Vi − ci , where ci does not de-
pend on Vi . As in the proof of Theorem 1, it is harmless to assume that
V = 0.
We analyze the auction from the point of view of Bidder i. Once a bid
function bj Vj is chosen, Bidder j’s actual bid can be construed as a ran-
dom variable, uniformly distributed on the interval cj − ej ; cj + ej . For
ease of notation, assume that Bidder j chooses an interval r1 ; r2 (neces-
sarily r2 − r1 = 2ej ). We wish to find an optimal interval s1 ; s2 for Bidder i.
As s2 − s1 = 2ei , we have only one degree of freedom.
Let us dispense with two trivial cases first. Call a bid r1 ; r2 extremely
large if r1 ≥ 0, call it extremely small if r2 ≤ 0 and reasonable if r1 < 0 < r2 .
Clearly, if r1 ; r2 is extremely large, then Bidder j is always bidding more
than the item is worth, so Bidder i never gains by competing. Any interval
s1 ; s2 satisfying s2 ≤ r1 is optimal.
Similarly, if r1 ; r2 is extremely small, then as this is a second-price auc-
tion, Bidder i wants to bid enough to ensure that he always wins the auction.
That is, any interval s1 ; s2 satisfying s1 ≥ r2 will be optimal.
Curiously, it follows from these two paragraphs that any combination
of bids where one is extremely small and the other is extremely large will
be Nash. We will see below that these are the only Nash equilibria where
one bidder makes an extreme bid. These Nash solutions are degenerate as
in each case, one bidder has no chance of winning the auction, so he is
indifferent between bidding and not bidding.
Let us now turn to the case where Bidder j’s interval r1 ; r2 is rea-
sonable. Assume that Bidder i bids x. If x ≥ r2 then his expected profit
is −r1 + r2 /2. If r1 ≤ x ≤ r2 , then his expected profit given that he
wins the auction is −r1 + x/2, so his unconditional expected profit is
−r1 + x/2x − r1 /r2 − r1 . Clearly, if x ≤ r1 then his expected profit is
0, as he cannot win the auction. Thus, his expected profit by choosing an
2
The case where one ei = 0 is similar. The case where e1 = e2 = 0 is degenerate.
246 laskowski and slonim
2. Any pair of bid functions where one is extremely large and the other
is extremely small is a Nash equilibrium.
3. If one bid function is reasonable and the pair is Nash, then the other
bid function is also reasonable and the intersection of the two intervals is
centered at the true value of the item. In this case, both bidders have a positive
expected profit.
One can draw many conclusions from this theorem. Clearly, there is a
large collection of Nash equilibria, so if this auction were to actually be
held, there would be tension about which Nash equilibrium to choose. It
turns out that this auction has a temporal aspect, whose effect dominates
the relative sizes of the margins of error.
Somewhat surprisingly, it is to either bidder’s advantage to announce his
intentions first. Clearly, either bidder can trivialize the auction by announc-
ing his intention to make an extreme bid. If one bidder announces that he
will make an extremely low bid, then he will not make a profit at any Nash
solution. It is more interesting to consider the effect of Bidder i announc-
ing his intention to bid bi = Vi + ei , i.e., he is choosing the interval 0; 2ei .
This leaves Bidder j with no chance of making a profit. His optimal bids
are exactly the set of extremely small bids. Each of these guarantee that
Bidder i will make a profit of at least ej , while ensuring that Bidder j will
lose the auction.
Even if the rules of the auction preclude making extreme bids, Bidder i
can do well by announcing his intention to bid bi = Vi + di , where di is in-
finitessimally less than ei . In this case, Bidder j has a unique optimal bid,
namely bj = Vj + ei − di + ej . However, in this case, Bidder i’s expected
profit is infinitessimally less than ej , while Bidder j’s expected profit, al-
though positive, is infinitessimally small.
5. CONCLUDING REMARKS
The nature of the auction at equilibrium in our model differs in two im-
portant respects from previous models that assume a bidder with superior
information. First, in equilibrium all bidders earn positive expected profits
in our model whereas in previous models all bidders other than the bidder
with superior information earn zero expected profit. Second, the seller’s
expected revenue increases if any bidder (except possibly the insider) be-
comes more informed (and all bidders know he becomes more informed) in
our model whereas in previous models the seller’s revenue decreases when
a bidder becomes more informed (and all bidders know he becomes more
informed).
Analysis of the analogous second-price common-value auction with two
bidders reveals that there are a continuum of Nash equilibria in which
both bidders have positive expected profits. In contrast, earlier models of
second-price, common-value auctions (e.g., Milgrom, 1979) that assume the
existence of a bidder with superior information result in every other bidder
receiving an expected profit of zero at the equilibrium.
cj ≤ −ej . In this case, his bid bj = Vj − cj would always be at least the true
value of 0, and would be positive with positive probability. Consequently,
the sum of the expectations of the bidders’ profits over all n bidders would
be negative. But this implies that some bidder has negative expectation,
so c1 ; : : : ; cn cannot be Nash. Thus, every bidder with ej > 0 will bid
cj > −ej . In particular, there is a positive probability that the maximum
bid among those bidders with ej > 0 will be negative. So, in the remaining
case where e1 = 0, there is a small b > 0 so that if Bidder 1 bids b1 = −b,
his expectation will be positive. In particular, if c1 ; : : : ; cn is Nash, then
c1 > 0. Note that this argument breaks down if there are two bidders with
ei = ej = 0.
Since cj > −ej , Pbj ≤ 0 > 0 for all j. It follows that Gi 0 > 0 for all i.
Substituting into (2), Ei ei > 0 whenever ei > 0 and there is some c such
that E1 c > 0 whenever e1 = 0. As c1 ; : : : ; cn was assumed to be Nash,
Ei ci > 0 for all i. Further, as each Ei b is differentiable, we must have
Ei0 ci = 0. However, since Gi 0 > 0 and Gi is nondecreasing, Ei0 b > 0
for all b satisfying −ei < b < ei , so ci ≥ ei .
To proceed further, let us focus on one way that two of the conditions
above could fail to be satisfied. Assume that we are looking at Bidder i and
that each of the opponents have chosen their bid functions, so in particular
Gi x is defined. We say that b is flawed with respect to Gi if Ei b = 0
or Ei0 b < 0. We call a profile c1 ; : : : ; cn stable if each ci ≥ ei and no ci
is flawed with respect to Gi . From above, if c1 ; : : : ; cn is Nash then it is
stable. Also, it follows from (3) that e1 ; : : : ; en is stable.
The motivation for these definitions is that stability, unlike the notion
of being a Nash equilibrium, is preserved under passing to subauctions. In
the first lemma we explicitly compute the conditions under which a profile
c1 ; c2 can be stable for a two-bidder auction. The second lemma implies
that stability is preserved under subauctions.
Lemma A.1. If c1 ; c2 is stable in a two-bidder auction then c2 = e2 and
e1 ≤ c1 ≤ e2 .
Proof. We prove this in the case where e1 > 0 and leave the simpler
case to the reader. As there are only two bidders, Gi x = Pb3−i ≤ x for
i = 1; 2.
First, suppose by way of contradiction that c1 ≥ c2 and c1 > e2 . We claim
that c1 is flawed with respect to G1 . Due to the trichotomy of G1 , we argue
by cases.
If c1 ≥ e1 + e2 + c2 then E1 c1 = 0 as the integrand is always 0.
If e2 − e1 + c2 ≤ c1 < e1 + e2 + c2 , then for all b in this interval
Z c2 +e2
4e1 e2 E1 b = ue2 + c2 − u du:
b−e1
asymptotic auction solution 251
In this case, E1 b is a quadratic in b taking its maximum at e2 + c2 /2 <
c1 . Thus, E10 c1 < 0.
Next, suppose c2 > e2 . From our condition above this implies c2 > c1 . We
show that c2 is flawed with respect to G2 in two cases. If c2 ≥ e1 + e2 + c1
then E2 c2 = 0 as the integrand is always 0. Also, if c1 < c2 < e1 + e2 + c1
then for all b in this interval
Z e1 +c1
4e1 e2 E20 b = ue1 + c1 − u du
b−e2
and if ei = 0 then
0
EG b = Gi −b − bG0i −b
= Ki −bHi −b − bKi Hi 0 −b
0
≤ Ki −bEH b < 0:
bidder, assuming that the other bidders employ the TIN Profile. For any
bid function g, let
µ
E k g = Ei k b1 ; : : : ; bi−1 ; g; bi+1 ; : : : ; bn :
Similarly, let E k y Vi denote the conditional expected value of Bidder i
assuming he bids y upon seeing a private signal of Vi , where V is drawn
uniformly in the interval −k; k (and the opponenents employ the TIN
Profile). We begin with two observations.
• As the density of V is uniform on −k; k and the conditional density
of Vi V is uniform on V − ei ; V + ei , the conditional density of V Vi is
uniform whenever Vi lies in the interval −k + ei ; k − ei .
• Thus, it follows from Theorem 1 that for any k and for any Vi in
the interval −k + ei ; k − ei , E k y Vi attains a unique maximal value at
y = bi Vi .
In fact, as E k is continuous, there is a continuous function T such that
T 0 = 0 and for all > 0,
y − bi Vi > T implies E k y Vi − E k bi Vi Vi < −: (6)
Now let g be any measurable function that does not agree with bi almost
everywhere (i.e., g and bi disagree on a set of positive measure). We will
show that E k g < E k bi for all but finitely many k. First, since the true
value V is always within en of the signal Vi , we may assume that gx −
bi x ≤ 3en for all x. In what follows, we write E k g Vi for the more
precise E k gVi Vi (and we write E k bi Vi for E k bi Vi Vi ). Note that
Z Z k−ei
E k g = E k g Vi hVi dVi + E k g Vi hVi dVi ;
J −k+ei
is negative.
Since g disagrees with bi on a set of positive measure, we can choose M0 ,
δ > 0, and a set A ⊆ −M0 ; M0 of measure δ such that gx − bi x > δ
for all x ∈ A. Choose γ such that T γ < δ, let = γδ/21en 2 and let
B = x: gx − bi x ≥ . The argument now splits into two cases.
254 laskowski and slonim
3en 21e2n γδ
3en + 4en =
≤ < :
2k 2k 2k
On the other hand, since the density of V Vi is uniform for all Vi in
−k + ei ; k − ei , the property of T given in (6) implies
Z k−ei
E k g Vi − E k bi Vi · hVi dVi
−k+ei
1 Z k
≤ E g Vi − E k bi Vi · hVi dVi (9)
2k A
1 Z −γδ
≤ −γ dVi =
2k A 2k
Thus, E k g < E k bi follows from the inequalities (7), (8), and (9).
asymptotic auction solution 255
1 Z
≤ E k g Vi − E k bi Vi dVi
2k C
1 −4e2 ei
≤ mC−ρ < ;
2k k
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