Practical No.
1 - Seasonal Indices by Simple Average Method
Q.5. Use the simple average method to compute seasonal indices for the given data:
| Quarter | 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 |
|---------|------|------|------|------|------|------|
|I | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| II | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| III | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| IV | 3.6 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
Q.6. Obtain the monthly indices for the following data on production of commodity by simple average method:
| Month | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 |
|------------|------|------|------|
| January | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| February | 15 | 18 | 19 |
| March | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| April | 18 | 20 | 20 |
| May | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| June | 19 | 19 | 21 |
| July | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| August | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| September | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| October | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| November | 16 | 17 | 15 |
| December | 19 | 18 | 19 |
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Practical No. 10 - Time Series Analysis
Title: Time Series (Trend by moving average & least square method, seasonal indices by simple average method)
Class: [Link].-I
Department: Statistics
Roll No.: _______
Date: _______
Q.1. Calculate
i) Three yearly moving averages
ii) Five yearly moving averages
And plot trend values on same graph for the given data:
| Year (X) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|----------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|----|
| Sales (Y)|10 |10 |12 |10 |15 |20 |22 |20 |23 | 22 |
Q.2. Calculate Four yearly centered moving averages for the given data:
| Week (X) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|----|----|----|
| Profit (Y) |52 |73 |75 |74 |73 |72 |76 |80 |75 | 76 | 76 | 72 |
Q.3. Fit a straight line trend by method of least square and obtain trend values.
| Year (X) | 1985 | 1987 | 1989 | 1991 | 1993 |
|----------------|------|------|------|------|------|
| Production (Y) | 18 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
Estimate the production in 1990. Also plot the trend values and actual values on the same graph.
Q.4. The following data reveals the sterling assets of the Reserve Bank of India (in Crores of Rs.). Fit a straight line
trend by least square method and estimate the figure in 1976.
| Year (X) | 1966 | 1967 | 1968 | 1969 | 1970 | 1971 |
|--------------|------|------|------|------|------|------|
| Assets (Y) | 83 | 92 | 71 | 90 | 160 | 191 |