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P&S Module 1

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
4 views20 pages

P&S Module 1

Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Page No.

Date
Moolude -1

bhat

2xioas Gasic eules Ceuss) gpobalit af


ale tue

oter pnedaldeon tala ceoiveo?fron


ese
Poba
on! n- Negafivi fy rio
esneven negabve

2. No n alz otion niom


1

>S= Saniple pace (al! pssibe oteoes)

Kiend (o ndrall,
3. ddhut exelsve even)
-AAUBE) Pa)+ P(s) ?G
cennot hegpen fopefaeo

then Poo babilt eker


: 5cM
has paebad:lhes

S) possible outeones
Saunple space
Events (A,8) Subset aple 2pae
• utually Exclusive Events Cannot
Page No.

Date

Deive Resuls

L. Conaple ment Rule

2. Geueo al Alels tin Rule

Use d shen events dagpen fogehes,

Condi fonal Doobabil&t

Aroba óilt

,
that onothes event has ala cuzel

omla: P(B)> o
PCB)
2an Asf):P(AlG) PCA) >o

Note: hereA oun d ane


depen dent eents

tso iade pen den Qvents hen

P(ALB) P(A)

Sini lar ly, PCoI A) - PCB)


Page No.

Date

Eranpes eonlne/ pnobok:Ct:

Bues fim 1i

odd nm bos Coes be.


Lnd he pecb>b:G heingptoe nben.
Ssuti!

S=fi,2, 3, 4,5, 6?

A: 1, 3,5, B:F2, 3, 53

PCGn) 2/6
P(A)

&ues tion 2i

rtein schooi 20 c the sfuet Joiled in

english
and
,
10%
/5% g ae
e 3ddbntstudents_goiled
1leal 6orh
matieateg
in erps
2nd
e
arhennale,

hat
steen

ke
ae .
alsoAo
selected
sohes
at
lnt r

ssutia:

CElM) P(E0) 2
PM) O,15 3
Page No.

Date

Ques tiu 3i

bad and 6

doroun box
One the tegted and erno to 6e geod.
oeo eis

also gerod?
48
G G

P(GlG P(onG) 5
PCo).

Jheoam
ee heor

find eetod
P(AIB)

Jernan la
-janta
Page No.

Date

Ques timas Baye's


htorenn:

Ques tion 1:

2013 thee oill be -tursee codidates Aorihe


p1e sserX,Y&
poje Z ose. chonees aereis
he paowotjan thepprtims 4: 2:3
Bhe
3he poebabi Gty hat x if selestel
Despechuely
wGWel intoducene subict's
ie~en the h
de partnend is 0.35,Vhe
pro bebility Y&z goi. thes ae
O.32 B .&O nespectively bhat s he poobabi it,

thest there be subjeets


eo 2014,
depaatet

2/4
(1
P(N( 0.35 P CI o.s2 P(N2): O.80

P(NI) PC*) t pPCNI) P)+ PON)2) P(z)


O.35 X 4 0.52x 2

o.155 + 0. 115 O.26

O.5,3.
-iantg
Page No.
Date

Ruestiom 2:

site2
,
Jhere 3 boxes conteinias 1

and 33 blaek bols; 22 wte, 3 ed an


1 lacle bells, 3 hte 1 d
bols boxx cho 3en. o ROUdo o dl

balls
two bas at rondom, Jhe to
Site. Find tue
pao ba bi Cty (hat these came
that Aa qist 5ox.

2 R

1 D vi 2

Ssutio:

P () 1/3 P(0) s /3 P (O)


2Ci P(R4|)

2
Page No.

Date

Ran don van'abe:

vaniak e [Link] olepnols

tagteal outcores digeetay


nunber thon

Suppuseiwe toss a

Possible eutcones
ar'ab le X:

Here because ik walue

epends chance

,an olor variabe


to eueng
KPemos @r
Ranoloi Vania bles:
OiscRe te Rando vaable
Con tinuos Ran lows aia 6le
Aanta
Page No.
Date

Discaete Ranonn Vani'able:

isce te Ranolonm Varia ble takes


tukes auly
Ceun values.
m ber

diseete Ran dom voriableo6abil tius


are alescbe poobabilidy mas Auno h'o

PME gives thepoobabil t that a l'scoe de

sanlom vaable tukes a


Speefie value.

Masthemateally

erandon
úibleX. 6ecomes value

X nber eals 2 cou doses


Possi ble valwes 0,1, 2

1 2

table PME (ans)


Page No.
Date

Exonples:

frun 6ad etanaesnaixel


o8anges
16
Eiad pobatiik stihatioa.
Sad 3anges doawn
6G

[Link] eo9)
l6c, x c,

20c2 0C2

Cumulatve ls kibutin
fhe keao?

S= 'HH HTTH TT

e. heod)

Cumulatve
dis tibutin
Junctian
-Ajanta
Page No.

Date

Poopen tes 7as Feene hion

P(X"%) "1

Con inuous don Vaa6e.


Roin

hnunusRanaonn
Con b
Varo be
a'able
in terrval.

values coun able

Poobabiiy Densit

voeoble

descaibeo Densiey, ne hon


esing

PAF faot olescn bes

pobabit isstibeateol Ovens values.

deoteol
-Ajanta
Page No.
Date

discaede vaables:

Posbabi lity value fable

ieasia 6es

on der CUse
?ebab:
PDF:

Paobabiy betoeem arevalues

Pooper

ndesr
-janta
Page No.
Date

Exapes:
0f S1
2 1 S2

then dind [Link]

lhon:

2>2

2x-h-2

shoa
<1
15 2 2

(-)2
Hence ven 1c%)
Page No.

Date

Masthamathcal Expecá tion

Masthema heal Crpc auerasealue


he
eanlon 2xpermsen ter
peadng
es
also callel: •Expececl Valeg
.Mean
Ranolon varia 5/e
Average

|OExpecta fianor Discvete Random

E(x) %>(x 2)

meanin • ewpy eoch value


•Aolol all esults

A(x) " x2PCx"a)


Expee fafin (ontinuous Ranolowm Variable

-dae.
Page No.
Date

Exanples

pefed _aluee nu bes


d a:( 4eo6lnedl ia asile
ole.

1 2 3 4

+ 4
G 6

3 +

21 =.5
=
Page No.

Date

Yasiance

Vaanee uch tue values

ase een Cauunage).

VaiQnck

Geneselfumu la
Var(x) :El(X-u)
hmen
axpecia
os+ coron
-Ajantg
Page No.
Date

Binonial Disthibution

discaete poobabik
paoba bi Ct listibutian wsed o Ainel te
certen unbo
SuceesS dxed uéeg &ials.

Aoo babibt Mas Functam CPME):

n-22

dene, PG)- pd.h4


eaety
ntool tera/

3Uccees

success

>Mean
men

-AP

here)
Sacees.
-Ajantg
Page No.

Date

GinonalOs dbel
vaniance.

hee, 1-
Exanple:

ossed ogeher Pinsl te


2eba6i// etny o hesla

2
sstuhon P =

3-2
P(2)

3
2!1!
3.
Paga No.

Date

Aoisson Dishibutios

Jhe Poi sson Dis tributionis iscoete obabiGk


distibu tion wed totind tha
cer tain nbes
nunber eueas occuRningin
ixeelnferval i~ne area /eepfhioa
vou ei

Probabilit Mass Func ian CbME)


pobabiiy foneula fer poisSon
istibu tion

A(x)

ADheae 2o. 0ccue ?er

OCCUTences
e2.718

-Hean Poiss on
mean

Varionce Poiss on
vaanee is

dexia tioi
Page No.

Date

Exomalei

dsts podiceoin .cen tain manu faearing


paNEeM an outdo be defectiueind the

-obabGt ho ia
chosen at andon
olefec tiie

Ssu tion:

2!

Be

Find
wi be
tuses
defee tiue
200
fues xpeienre show hat 2.
defec tive.

ssutia: O,02 - h2o0 A


4
1>:002 x200

-' 2! 3! 5!
Page No.

Date

Nosma! Distoibution!

JheNomal Distibu hion coAtiauou


Aoba biity distalbu tion thatorms a be ll

shaped Cutve.

Peo babit Desi ty Function (PDE:


Density
hdouela notra/ 'stibuhoy is:

1 -(-)
heae L Value Ganclon

vaia ble
nmean

stendland deviaton
2.718

eon Nosnal
mean

Vaianèe Noal st&on

Var (x) 2

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