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Solutions Chapter 2 Rice Add

The document contains solutions to various probability problems, including calculations for binomial and Poisson distributions. It covers scenarios such as the number of heads in coin tosses, the sum of dice rolls, and the number of successful outcomes in different contexts. Each problem is presented with its respective probability calculations and results.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
3 views12 pages

Solutions Chapter 2 Rice Add

The document contains solutions to various probability problems, including calculations for binomial and Poisson distributions. It covers scenarios such as the number of heads in coin tosses, the sum of dice rolls, and the number of successful outcomes in different contexts. Each problem is presented with its respective probability calculations and results.

Uploaded by

brownsintrlde
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Solutions

Chapter 2 Rice: Additional

1. Ω = {HH , HT , TH , TT }
X = number of heads

x 0 1 2
1 1 1
p(x) 4 2 4

2. Ω = {(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6),


(2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6),
(3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6),
(4,1), (4,2), (4,3), (4,4), (4,5), (4,6),
(5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6),
(6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)}

X = sum of the numbers

x 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
p(x) 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36

3.
9
k k 9 k
i) ∑
x = 0 10
= ∑
10 x = 0
1 = (10) = k
10
thus k = 1

ii) F(4) = P(X ≤ 4)


= P ( X = 0) + P ( X = 1) +  + P ( X = 4)
5
=
10
= 0,5

4. X = number of red balls


 2  2  4
P ( X = 0) = P (G1G 2 ) =    =
 5  5  25
P( X = 1) = P( R 1 G 2 ) + P(G1 R 2 )
 3  2   2  3 
=    +   
 5  5   5  5 
12
=
25

1
P( X = 2) = P( R1 R 2 )
 3  3 
=   
 5  5 
9
=
25

x 0 1 2
4 12 9
p(x) 25 25 25

5. X = number of red balls


P( X = 0) = P(G1G 2 ) = P(G1 ) P(G 2 | G1 )
 2  1 
=   
 5  4 
2
=
20
P( X = 1) = P( R1G 2 ) + P(G1 R 2 )
= P( R1 ) P(G 2 | R1 ) + P(G1 ) P( R 2 | G1 )
 3  2   2  3 
=    +   
 5  4   5  4 
12
=
20
P( X = 2) = P( R1 R 2 ) = P( R1 ) P ( R2 | R1 )
 3  2 
=   
 5  4 
6
=
20

x 0 1 2
1 6 3
p(x) 10 10 10

6. Y = number of clients who sign a contract


P(Y = 0) = (0,8) 2 = 0,64
P(Y = 1) = 2(0,2)(0,8) = 0,32
P(Y = 2) = (0,2) 2 = 0,04

x 0 1 2
p(x) 0,64 0,32 0,04

7.
i) 0,1 + 0,3 + k + 0,1 + 0,05 + 0,05 = 1
k = 0,4

2
ii)
0 x<0
0,1 0 ≤ x <1

0,4 1≤ x < 2

F ( x) = 0,8 2≤ x<3
0,9 3≤ x<4

0,95 4≤ x<5
1 x≥5

iii) p (3,5) = P ( X = 3,5) = 0

iv) F (3) = P ( X ≤ 3) = 0,9

v) F (3,5) = P ( X ≤ 3,5) = 0,9

8. X = number of heads
 1
X ~ Bin 6; 
 2
1 5
 6  1   1 
i) P( X = 1) =      = 0,09375
1  2   2 

ii) P ( X ≥ 4) = P ( X = 4) + P ( X = 5) + P ( X = 6)
6 6 6
 6  1   6  1   6  1 
=    +    +   
 4  2   5  2   6  2 
6
1
=   [15 + 6 + 1]
2
= 0,3438

iii) P ( X < 3) = P ( X = 0) + P ( X = 1) + P ( X = 2)
6 6 6
 6  1   6  1   6  1 
=    +    +   
 0  2  1  2   2  2 
6
1
=   [1 + 6 + 15]
2
= 0,3438

3
9. X = number of games that the team wins
X ~ Bin(5; 0,67)

i) P ( X ≤ 3) = 1 − P ( X ≥ 4)
 5   5 
= 1 −  (0,67 ) (0,33) +  (0,67 ) (0,33) 0 
4 1 5

 4   5 
= 1 − [0,3325 + 0,1350]
= 0,5325

ii) P (1 ≤ X < 3) = P ( X = 1) + P ( X = 2)
 5 5
=  (0,67) 1 (0,33) 4 +  (0,67) 2 (0,33) 2
1   2
= 0,0397 + 0,4889
= 0,5286

10. X = number of tenants late with payments


X ~ Bin(8; 0,12)

8
i) P ( X = 1) =  (0,12)(0,88) 7 = 0,3923
1 

ii) P ( X ≥ 2) = 1 − P ( X ≤ 1)
 8  8  
= 1 −  (0,12)(0,88) 7 +  (0,12) 0 (0,88) 8 
1   0 
= 1 − [0,3923 + 0,3596]
= 0,2481

11. X = number of times target is hit


X ~ Bin(4; 0,8)

 4
i) P ( X = 4) =  (0,8) 4 (0,2) 0 = 0,4096
 4

ii) P ( X ≥ 2) = 1 − P ( X ≤ 1)
 4   4 
= 1 −  (0,8) 0 (0,2) 4 +  (0,8) 1 (0,2) 3 
 0  1  
= 1 − [0,0016 + 0,0256]
= 0,9728

4
12. X = number of successes
X ~ Bin(5; 0,8)

 5
i) P ( X = 5) =  (0,8) 5 (0,2) 0 = 0,3277
 5

5
ii) P ( X = 4) =  (0,8) 4 (0,2) 1 = 0,4096
 4

iii) P ( X < 2) = P ( X = 0) + P ( X = 1)
5  5
=  (0,8) 0 (0,2) 5 +  (0,8) 1 (0,2) 4
0 1 
= 0,00032 + 0,0064
= 0,00672

13. X = number of accidents per month


X ~ Poiss (λ = 3)

e −3 3 5
i) P ( X = 5) = = 0,1008
5!

ii) P ( X < 3) = P ( X = 0) + P ( X = 1) + P ( X = 2)
e −3 3 0 e −3 3 1 e −3 3 2
= + +
0! 1! 2!
= e [1 + 3 + 4,5]
−3

= 0,4232

14.
i) X = number of calls per weekday
X ~ Poiss (λ = 3)
e −3 3 2
P( X = 2) = = 0,2240
2!

ii) X = number of calls in 3 hours


 9 
X ~ Poiss λ = = 0,375 
 24 
P( X > 1) = 1 − P( X ≤ 1)
= 1 − [P( X = 0) + P( X = 1)]
 e −0,375 (0,375) 0 e −0,375 (0,375) 1 
= 1−  + 
 0! 1! 
= 1 − [0,6873 + 0,2577 ]
= 0,055

5
15. X = number of customers per hour
X ~ Poiss(λ = 50)
Y = number of customers in 15 minutes
Y ~ Poiss (λ = 12,5)
e −12,5 (12,5) 20
P(Y = 20) = = 0,0133
20!

16. X = number of flaws per 20 m2


X ~ Poiss (λ = 1)
Y = number of flaws per 10 m2
Y ~ Poiss (λ = 0,5)
e −0,5 (0,5) 0
P(Y = 0) = = 0,6065
0!

17. X = number refused alcohol


 4  5 
  
 2  4  (6)(5)
P( X = 2) = = = 0,3571
9 84
 
 6

18. X = number of bad oranges


P( X ≤ 2) = P( X = 0) + P( X = 1) + P( X = 2)
 4  5   4  5   4  5 
        
 0  5  1  4   2  3 
= + +
9 9 9
     
5 5 5
1 (4)(5) (6)(10)
= + +
126 126 126
= 0,6429

19. X = number that will not fire


P( X ≥ 2) = 1 − P( X < 2)
= 1 − [ P( X = 0) + P( X = 1)]
  3  9   3  9  
       
 0  5  1  4  
= 1−  +
 12  12  
     
  5   5  
 (1)(126) (3)(126) 
= 1−  +
 792 792 
= 1 − 0,6364
= 0,3636

6
20.
 22 − 25 
i) P( X < 22) = P Z < 
 3 
= P( Z < −1)
= 1 − P( Z < 1)
= 1 − 0,8413
= 0,1587

 28 − 25 
ii) P( X > 28) = P Z > 
 3 
= P( Z > 1)
= 1 − P( Z < 1)
= 1 − 0,8413
= 0,1587

 22 − 25 25 − 25 
iii) P(22 < X < 25) = P <Z< 
 3 3 
= P(−1 < Z < 0)
= P(0 < Z < 1)
= P( Z < 1) − P( Z < 0)
= 0,8413 − 0,5
= 0,3413

21.

 2,5 − 3 
i) P( X < 2,5) = P Z < 
 0,5 
= P( Z < −1)
= 1 − P( Z < 1)
= 1 − 0,8413
= 0,1587

 3−3
ii) P( X > 3) = P Z > 
 0,5 
= P( Z > 0)
= 1 − P( Z < 0)
= 1 − 0,5
= 0,5

7
22.

 55 − 60 
i) P( X < 55) = P Z < 
 5 
= P( Z < −1)
= 1 − P( Z < 1)
= 1 − 0,8413
= 0,1587

 54 − 60 58 − 60 
ii) P(54 < X < 58) = P <Z< 
 5 5 
= P(−1,2 < Z < −0,4)
= P(0,4 < Z < 1,2)
= P( Z < 1,2) − P( Z < 0,4)
= 0,8849 − 0,6554
= 0,2295

23.
 2,3 − 3 
i) P( X < 2,3) = P Z < 
 0,5 
= P( Z < −1,4)
= 1 − P( Z < 1,4)
= 1 − 0,9192
= 0,0808

 3,5 − 3 
ii) P( X > 3,5) = P Z > 
 0,5 
= P( Z > 1)
= 1 − P( Z < 1)
= 1 − 0,8413
= 0,1587

24.

i) P( X < b) = 0,66276
 b − 25 
P Z <  = 0,66276
 3 
b − 25
= 0,42
3
b = 26,26

8
ii) P( X < b) = 0,06681
 b − 25 
P Z <  = 0,06681
 3 
 (b − 25) 
P Z > −  = 0,06681
 3 
 (b − 25) 
P Z < −  = 0,93319
 3 
(b − 25)
− = 1,5
3
b = 20,5

25. P( X > 240) = 0,0228


 240 − µ 
P Z >  = 0,0228
 40 
 240 − µ 
P Z <  = 0,9772
 40 
240 − µ
=2
40
µ = 160

26. P( X < 15) = 0,18943


 15 − µ 
P Z <  = 0,18943
 3,4 
 (15 − µ ) 
P Z > −  = 0,18943
 3,4 
 (15 − µ ) 
P Z < −  = 0,81057
 3,4 
(15 − µ )
− = 0,88
3,4
µ = 17,992

27. P( X < 90,5) = 0,0667


 90,5 − µ 
P Z <  = 0,0667
 σ 
 (90,5 − µ ) 
P Z > −  = 0,0667
 σ 
 (90,5 − µ ) 
P Z < −  = 0,9333
 σ 
(90,5 − µ )
− = 1,5
σ

9
90,5 − µ = −1,5σ
µ = 90,5 + 1,5σ ……1
P( X > 100,25) = 0,04
P( X < 100,25) = 0,96
 100,25 − µ 
P Z <  = 0,96
 σ 
100,25 − µ
= 1,75
σ
100,25 − µ = 1,75σ
µ = 100,25 − 1,75σ …… 2
From 1 and 2
90,5 + 1,5σ = 100,25 − 1,75σ
3,25σ = 9,75
σ =3
µ = 100,25 − 1,75(3) = 95
Thus X ~ N (95; 9)

28. P( X > 100) = 0,9222


 100 − µ 
P Z >  = 0,9222
 σ 
 (100 − µ ) 
P Z < −  = 0,9222
 σ 
(100 − µ )
− = 1,42
σ
100 − µ = −1,42σ
µ = 100 + 1,42σ ……1
P( X > 130) = 0,14007
P( X < 130) = 0,85993
 130 − µ 
P Z <  = 0,85993
 σ 
130 − µ
= 1,08
σ
µ = 130 − 1,08σ …… 2
From 1 and 2
100 + 1,42σ = 130 − 1,08σ
2,5σ = 30
σ = 12
µ = 130 − 1,08(12) = 117,04
Thus X ~ N (117,04; 144)

10
29.

 72 − 68 
i) P( X > 72) = P Z > 
 3 
= P(Z > 1,3333)
= 1 − P( Z < 1,3333)
= 1 − 0,9082
= 0,0918
Number = 300(0,0918) = 27,54 ≈ 28

 69 − 68 73 − 68 
ii) P(69 < X < 73) = P <Z< 
 3 3 
= P(0,3333 < Z < 1,6667)
= P( Z < 1,6667) − P( Z < 0,3333)
= 0,9525 − 0,6293
= 0,3232
Number = 300(0,3232) = 96,96 ≈ 97

30.

i) P( X > b) = 0,15
P( X < b) = 0,85
 b − 76 
P Z <  = 0,85
 15 
b − 76
= 1,04
15
b = 91,6

ii) P( X > b) = 0,90


 b − 76 
P Z >  = 0,90
 15 
 (b − 76) 
P Z < −  = 0,90
 15 
(b − 76)
− = 1,28
15
b = 56,8

11
31. X = − ln X = g ( X )
X = e −Y = g −1 (Y )

d −1
f Y ( y) = g ( y ) f X ( g −1 ( y ))
dy
d −y
= e f X (e − y )
dy
Γ(a + b) − y a −1
= − e−y
Γ(a )Γ(b)
e ( ) (
1− e−y ) b −1

Γ(a + b) − y − ay y
=
Γ(a )Γ(b)
e e e 1− e−y (
b −1
)

Γ(a + b) − ay
=
Γ(a )Γ(b)
(
e 1− e − y )
b −1
, 0< y<∞

12

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