CHAPTERS 9 - 10-11 TECH-ACTIVE SAC PROBABILITY - COUNTING METHODS - BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS. MULTIPLE CHOICE (18 marks) Question 1 The probability of rolling a1 followed by a 2 or 3 in two rolls of a fair die is: A B, 2 abaleg be gle gl Question 2 Given events M and N are mutually exclusive, Pr() = Pr(W) and Pr(M UN)’ = 0: Pr(M') = 0.25 03 as 06 7s Poo RP Question 3 The independent chances of a windy day (W) and a sunny day (S) are 0.3 and 0.8 respectively. Find the chance that next Wednesday will be windy but not sunny. A. 0.04 B. 0.06 c. 0.09 D. 0.24 E. 0.60 Question 4 Given events Mand N are independent with Pr(M|N) = 0.3, Pr(M) = A 03 B. 07 P(N) Di Pr(NIM) E, Cannot be determined from the given informationQuestion 5 A box contains 3 red cards and 2 blue cards. Four cards are selected without replacement ‘The probability that 2 red cards followed by 2 blue cards (in that order) are selected is: ad Bi c Ei Question 6 The independent chances of Jason and Henry being on time for school are 0.9 and 0.8 respectively. Find the chance that at least one of the two boys are late for school, AL 072 B. 064 Cc. 028 D. 0.16 E. 0.02 ‘Question 7 Suppose 62% of people surveyed like Vegemite but only 42% like Marmite, 30% like both Vegemite and Marmite. Given a particular person likes Marmite, what is the chance that they also like Vegemite?Questions 8 and 9 refer to the following information There are two events 4 and B in a sample space. An incomplete probability table shows some of the probabilities for the possible outcomes as follow. 4 a B 04 02 Question 8 Using this information, we can conclude that Pr( A) + Pr B) =0.6 A B.—Aand Bare mutually exclusive cP ANB') =0.2 D. and Bare independent. p Pa'uB)=08 Question 9 ‘The probability Pr( AUB) is: A 0S B06 c 02 D. 04 EO Question 10 LL cricketers are to be put in batting order. Ifthe captain has chosen to bat last, how many different batting orders are possible? Question 11 Suppose Australia has a probability of $5% of beating India ina cricket game. Ifthere are five games in atest series, then the probability that Australia wins exactly 2 games is: {s' 12, 3 A Ghose (0.45) B. (0.55)(0.45) c. [SllossiossyD. (0.55)* (0.55) x (Sos ‘Question 12 A bicycle lock has 5 slots each with a digit from 0 to 9. For example, 24740, How many different lock codes are possible? ‘A. More than a billion (10?) B, Between a million and a billion (10%and10°) C. Between a thousand and a million (10%and10*) D. Between a hundred and a thousand (10and10*) E. Less than a hundred (10) Question 13 Car number plates in a certain country are made up of two letters of the alphabet followed by a four-digit number. Example: MD 6919 How many number plates will have no repeating letters and no repeating digits? (The alphabet contains 26 different letters.) AL px "Cy B. *P,x Py Px PCy D. rx Py EB. 21x "py Question 14 Of 6 blue coloured and 5 red coloured counters, 3 are chosen at random. What is the chance that the counters are all one colow? Boa ce vs ed Question 15. A six-digit number is formed using some of the digits: 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9How many even numbers are possible given digits may be repeated? A. 823543, B. 352947 c. 50421 D. 7560 E, 5040 Question 16 Of the following random variables, the one which is most likely to have a binomial distribution is: ‘A. The maximum daily temperature in January B. The number of people in the bus C. The number of people who vote Greens in a sample of 100 voters. D. The number of times the phone rings each day E. The number of times the phone rings before it is answered Question 17 ‘How many ways can the letters: AABCCCDEEE be arranged in a straight line? A. 5040 B. 8400 25200 D. 50400 E. 3628800 Question 18 Ella takes a bus to get to school. ‘The probability that she misses the early bus to school is 0.1, Whether she misses the early bus to school one day is independent of whether she misses it on another day. Given that over the last thirty occasions Ella attended school she missed the early bus less than five times, then the probability that she missed it exactly twice is equal to AL 0.2267 B 0.2456 c 02761 D. 0.2939 E. 0.8245EXTENDED RESPONSE QUESTIONS (32 marks) Tastructions: = Answer each question in the space provided = Show all working. = _CAS and references are allowed Question 1 (2+ 142=5 marks) 70% of people attending a charity event identify as female (F), the rest identify as not female (F*). OF those who identify as female, 20% donate money to the charity (D), and of those who don’t identify as female, 15% donate money to the charity a. Draw up and label a tree diagram (2 marks) b. What percentage of people attending the charity event donate to the charity (1 mark) . Given a person has donated, what is the chance that they identify as female (give your answer correct to 4 decimal places) (2 marks)Question 2 (17 marks) ‘Students in a class are each given a coin and a fair die. Kate is in this class and she experiments by tossing the coin and then rolling the die. a. Drawatree diagram to represent the possible outcomes for Kate’s experiment. 1 mark b. Using the abbreviations H for head, T for tail, together with the numbers I -6, list the sample space for Kate's experiment. 1 mark ¢. Find the probability that Kate obtains i, atail and an odd number. 1 mark a tail and a number less than three, 1 markLet A be the event that Kate obtains a tail and an odd number. Let B be the event that Kate obtains a tail and a number less than three. d. Find i Pr(AUB) 2 marks Pr(4|B)_ marks In this class of 13 boys and 11 girls, 17 completed the required work in class and the rest, which included 5 boys, did not complete it. Complete the Karnaugh map Ca) c 7 ror B {how many girls had not completed the work. 1 mark if, the probability that a randomly selected student in the class was a girl who had completed the work. 1 mark fii, the probability that a randomly selected student in the class had completed the work given they were a boy. T mark‘The students work in groups and in Kate's group there are four boys and three gitls (this includes Kate). f. —_Inhow many different ways can this group be arranged in a straight line if i, there are no restrictions. mark i, the girls and boys alternate, 1 mark ili, the four boys stand together. I mark Two of the students in Kate’s group are randomly chosen to report on the group's work. g Find the probability that these two students are both girls. 1 mark different genders. 2 marksQuestion 3 (1+2+3=6marks) FullyFitis an intemational company that owns and operates many fitness centres (gyms) in several countries. At every one of FullyFit’s gyms, each member agrees to have his or her fitness assessed every month by undertaking a set of exercise called S. There is a five-minute time limit on any attempt to complete § and if someone completes S in less than three minutes, they are considered fit. At FullyFit’s Melbourne gym, it has been found thatthe probability that any member will complete S in less than three minutes is 5. This is independent of any other member. Ina particular week, 20 members of this gym attempt is S. Use the binomial distribution to answer the next three questions 8) State in words what X represents in the binomial distribution as well as what n and p are. b) Find the probability, correct to four decimals places, that at least 10 of these 20 members will complete Sin less than three minutes. ©) Given that atleast 10 of these 20 members complete $ in less than three minutes, what is the probability, correct to three decimal places, that more than 15 of them complete $ in less than three minutes?Question 4 For the probability distribution given in the table, calculate: (1+1+2=4 marks) x 0 T z Pr (X=x) ‘007 lz 036 24 a. Find thevalue of x (1 mark) b. Pr (11) (1 mark) (2 marks)