What is Inflation ?
Inflation is a sustained increase in the general price level
of goods/services in an economy over a period of time.
An increase in the average price level of all products in
an economy.
There is no unanimity among economist regarding the
origin, causes and effects of inflation.
1. Demand pull inflation
Demand-pull inflation arises when the total demand for
goods and services (i.e. 'aggregate demand') increases to
exceed the supply of goods and services (i.e. 'aggregate
supply') that can be sustainably produced.
But why does aggregate demand rise?
Classical economists attribute this rise in aggregate
demand to money supply.
If the supply of money in an economy exceeds the
available goods and services, DPI appears.
1. Demand pull inflation
Keynesians argue that there can be an autonomous
increase in aggregate demand or spending.
Such as a rise in consumption demand or investment or
government spending or a tax cut or a net increase in
exports (i.e., C + I + G + X – M) with no increase in
money supply.
1. Reasons for Demand pull inflation
Rise in employment (income)
Population growth
Rise in fiscal deficit (deficit financing)
Increase public expenditure
Decrease in taxes
Increase in exports
Credit expansion
2. Cost push inflation
It occurs when there is fall in the level of supply.
This is due to increase in the cost of production.
Cost of production can rise due to an increase in the
prices of raw materials, wages, etc.
High cost of production leads to high prices of
commodities.
2. Reasons for cost puch inflation
Artificial scarcity of goods (Hoarding)
Cost of production (corporate tax)
Scarcity of factors of production
Natural calamities
Increase in exports (ex. India- rice)
War
Global rise in prices
• Others causes of Inflation
1. Demand-cum-Cost Inflation
2. Development Inflation
3. Wage – Price Spiral
4. Quantity of Money
International Data on Inflation
and Money Growth
Inf lation rate10,000
Democratic Republic
(percent,
logarithmic Nicaragua of Congo
scale) A ngola
1,000 Georgia
Brazil
100 Bulgaria
10
Kuwait Germany
1 USA
Canada
Oman Japan
0.1
0.1 1 10 100 1,000 10,000
Money supply growth (percent, logarithmic scale
HOW
TO
CONTROL
INFLATION
Measures to Control Inflation
A. Monetary Measures
1. Bank Rate
2. Open Market Operations
3. Minimum Reserve Ratio
4. Selective Credit Control
1. Bank Rate
2. Open Market Operations
3. Minimum Reserve Ratio
4. Selective Credit Control
RBI adopts these measures to influence certain sectors.
The central bank divert the flow of credit from
unproductive (inflation-prone) sectors to the
productive (growth oriented) sectors.
B. Fiscal Measures
1. Increase in Taxation
2. Reduction in Public Expenditure
3. Public Borrowing
4. Control of Deficit Financing
i. FRBM Act (3% GDP)
C. Direct Controls
Price Control
– Price Floor
– Price Ceiling
Rationing
– Food items (rice, wheat, etc.)
D. Other Measures
Raising the Level of Output
Proper Wage Policy
Population Control
Promotion of Savings
Thank You