High‑Probability Supply & Demand Zones
This page defines what makes a supply or demand zone worth marking. A zone is marked only
when most of the qualities below are clearly present. Weak zones are ignored.
Liquidity Location (Mandatory)
A strong zone must sit where stops are likely resting.
• Above equal highs for shorts
• Below equal lows for longs
• Near session high or session low
• Near Asian range high or low
Zones far from obvious liquidity are low quality.
Zone Freshness
The first reaction is usually the strongest.
• Untouched zones are best
• One clean reaction is acceptable
• Multiple taps reduce probability
Displacement Quality
The move away shows intent.
• Fast impulsive candles
• Large bodies, little overlap
• Clear separation from the zone
• Break of structure or clear direction change
Slow or overlapping price action weakens the zone.
Price Location (Value)
Where the zone sits in the range matters.
• Demand zones near range lows (discount)
• Supply zones near range highs (premium)
• Avoid middle of the range
Mid‑range zones offer poor reward and follow‑through.
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Timeframe Alignment
Good zones respect higher context.
• Zone visible on 15‑minute or higher
• Lower timeframe follows higher‑timeframe direction
• Entries refined on 1‑minute or 5‑minute
Pure low‑timeframe zones are weaker.
Session Importance
Timing affects reliability.
• Best during London session
• Strongest during London–New York overlap
Zones tapped in low‑volume periods lose strength.
First Reaction Strength
The initial response matters.
• Quick move away
• Shallow wicks into the zone
• Immediate follow‑through
Slow or choppy reactions downgrade the zone.
Marking Rule
A zone is marked high probability when:
• Liquidity location is clear
• Plus 3–4 other qualities above are present
Mark no more than two zones per session.
End of Zone Definition