DISEC Topic Guide
DISEC Topic Guide
Glossary ______________________________________________________________________
Topic 1
Introduction _____________________________________________________________
Topic 2
Introduction _____________________________________________________________
Bibliography
Topic 1 _________________________________________________________________
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Welcome to DISEC!
Dear Delegates,
Hello and welcome to YMUN Singapore 2024! My name is Rolando Kattan and I will be
Saybrook College at Yale University studying Political Science and Comparative Literature. I am
primarily interested in the postcolonial history of Latin America, especially focusing on the
traces of colonialism in the literature of the region. Outside of class, I compete for Yale’s
collegiate Model UN team, I work as a research assistant in the Yale Center for Effective
Democratic Governance, and I am the president of the Yale International Relations Association.
In my free time, I enjoy reading anything related to my studies, spending time outdoors with
The Disarmament and International Security Committee (DISEC) serves as a vital forum
within the United Nations, addressing global challenges related to disarmament and international
security. DISEC traces its roots to the aftermath of World War II, where the devastating
consequences of conflict spurred international efforts to foster peace and prevent the
including nuclear proliferation and the potential militarization of space, DISEC's role in fostering
dialogue, cooperation, and the formulation of effective global policies has become increasingly
significant. Its deliberations and resolutions impact not only member states but also the broader
maintaining global stability and promoting a world free from the threats posed by the unchecked
proliferation of arms. I chose these topics precisely because of the potential scale of discord they
could cause; in a world of increasing conflict, the threat of world-ending violence looms larger
every day. The goal of this committee–and your task for this conference–is to resolve that threat
I am incredibly excited to meet you all and engage in meaningful, productive debate. My
personal goal is that each delegate will come away from this experience more knowledgeable
about the topics and better prepared for a future of addressing these challenges in the real world.
Welcome again to YMUN Singapore, and I look forward to seeing you all soon.
Sincerely,
Rolando Kattan
Chair of DISEC
Director
Committee History
The Disarmament and International Security Committee (DISEC) traces its origins back
to the establishment of the United Nations (UN) in 1945. Initially known as the First Committee,
it was one of the six main committees created by the UN General Assembly to address specific
global challenges. In the aftermath of World War II, the devastating impact of armed conflict
prompted the international community to prioritize disarmament and the maintenance of global
security. As the Cold War unfolded, the First Committee evolved into the Disarmament
Commission in 1952, reflecting the heightened tensions between major powers and the urgent
need for arms control. Over time, it underwent further restructuring and refinement, eventually
emerging as the Disarmament and International Security Committee (DISEC). The change in
nomenclature reflected a broadened mandate that encompassed not only disarmament but also a
Throughout its history, DISEC has played a crucial role in shaping global policies on
arms control, non-proliferation, and disarmament. It has been a forum for member states to
unconventional weapons. Key milestones include the negotiation and adoption of the Treaty on
the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1968, a landmark agreement that aimed to
prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and foster peaceful uses of nuclear energy.
cooperation, and the development of international norms to mitigate the risks associated with the
global arms race. The committee's history reflects the ever-changing nature of international
security concerns and the ongoing commitment of the international community to work
collectively towards a world free from the scourge of war and the threat of unrestrained
militarization.
Committee Structure
DISEC adheres to a structured format shared by other UN committees. Comprising all
193 member states, each state appoints a delegation, often led by a representative from its
mission to the UN. The committee will be led by the dias, although member states will inform
the flow of debate. The dias and committee members will work together to guide the committee's
proceedings, preside over meetings, and ensure the adherence to established working methods
DISEC operates with a predetermined agenda outlining specific topics or issues for
discussion during a given session. Additionally, the committee may establish subsidiary bodies
focused discussions and negotiations. Regular sessions, held during the annual UN General
Assembly, involve meetings where member states present their positions, engage in debates, and
stance on disarmament and international security matters. These resolutions undergo a process of
debate, amendment, and eventual adoption by the committee. DISEC ideally seeks consensus on
resolutions; however, in cases where agreement cannot be reached, a two-thirds majority vote is
employed for adoption. The resolutions and recommendations generated by DISEC are reported
to the plenary session of the UN General Assembly for further consideration and endorsement.
The committee's structure and processes are carefully designed to facilitate diplomatic dialogue,
negotiation, and decision-making, providing a vital platform for member states to collaborate on
Introduction
As this committee convenes to discuss nuclear disarmament, the urgency of addressing
this complex and pressing issue is palpable. The specter of nuclear weapons casts a long shadow
over global security, with potential consequences that transcend borders and impact the very
fabric of international relations. The historical context leading up to this committee session is
the need for robust discussions and cooperative strategies. As we stand on the precipice of
uncertainty, it is crucial for delegates to recognize the gravity of the situation and acknowledge
the responsibility placed upon them to navigate through the intricate web of challenges posed by
nuclear proliferation.
landscape of international relations, where the emergence of new nuclear-armed states and the
potential for non-state actors to acquire such capabilities present unprecedented threats. The
delicate balance between national security interests and the imperative to prevent the unbridled
spread of nuclear weapons demands the collective wisdom of the global community. As
delegates step into the committee room, they bring with them the weight of a world grappling
with the implications of recent nuclear tests, the breakdown of disarmament agreements, and
rising tensions among nuclear-armed nations. The urgency lies not just in preventing the
proliferation of these devastating arms but in crafting a collective vision for a world where the
solutions.
The committee session becomes a crucial arena where delegates must transcend
geopolitical differences, engage in earnest dialogue, and collaboratively forge strategies to curb
nuclear proliferation. The consequences of inaction are too dire to ignore, underscoring the
imperative for diplomats to rise above political divides and work towards a safer, more secure
global landscape. The outcome of this session holds the potential to shape the trajectory of
international security, making it a pivotal moment for the global community to demonstrate
resilience, cooperation, and a shared commitment to a world free from the threat of unchecked
nuclear proliferation.
History
Nuclear weapons have long stood as one of the most profound threats to international
peace and security. The devastating aftermath of the nuclear bombings of Hiroshima and
Nagasaki in 1945 prompted immediate global concern, leading to the United Nations (UN)
General Assembly's adoption of resolution 1 in 1946. This resolution called for the elimination
of atomic weapons and laid the foundation for international efforts to curb the proliferation of
nuclear arms.
However, the post-World War II period witnessed a disconcerting trend in the opposite
direction. Between 1945 and 1950, the global count of nuclear weapons surged dramatically
from a mere 2 to a staggering 304. This escalation set the stage for an era of intense nuclear arms
competition, primarily fueled by the geopolitical tensions of the Cold War. The numbers climbed
Efforts to address this perilous situation gained momentum, and the international nuclear
disarmament regime emerged as a critical player in curbing the proliferation of these destructive
arsenals. While substantial progress has been made over the years, with the global stockpile
reduced to fewer than 15,000 warheads by 2017, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists' 2018
nuclear weapons grew globally, underscoring the persistent and evolving threat they pose.
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has also voiced deep concern over the escalating
danger posed by weapons of mass destruction, with a particular emphasis on nuclear weapons.
Presently, nine UN Member States possess nuclear weapons, and several others hold nuclear
weapon-sharing capabilities, further complicating the dynamics of global security. The Treaty on
explosive device that releases energy through nuclear fission. Although nearly all UN Member
international peace and security, nuclear weapon states (NWS) remain reticent to dismantle their
stockpiles. This reluctance is rooted in strategic, tactical, and security considerations that impede
The challenges emanating from this lack of commitment and adherence to the
international nuclear non-proliferation regime profoundly hinder the ability of the international
community to achieve complete and total disarmament. This critical task has been entrusted to
the General Assembly First Committee, mandated with seeking solutions to achieve the
While the First Committee has played a crucial role in making the nuclear
nonproliferation regime one of the most developed aspects of international law, the challenges of
implementation have been apparent. The committee has faced obstacles, particularly highlighted
in recent events such as the challenges encountered in the denuclearization process of the Korean
Peninsula. The international community has also grappled with difficulties in limiting the further
development of nuclear weapons and pursuing good-faith measures for total disarmament,
primarily due to a lack of consensus on the way forward and the inconsistent application of
disarmament requires universal participation, with all NWS contributing actively and
transparently to the process. The international community must confront the existing challenges,
overcome political and strategic differences, and foster a cooperative environment that prioritizes
cooperation in addressing one of the gravest threats to humanity. The journey from the
advancements, and the collective will of the international community to safeguard global peace.
As delegates convene to deliberate on this critical issue, the urgency is not only to comprehend
the historical trajectory but to forge a path forward that ensures a world free from the looming
shadow of nuclear catastrophe. The responsibility lies with the global community to rise above
political differences, transcend national interests, and forge a future where the specter of nuclear
Current Situation
background behind the use of nuclear weapons. Scholars such as Thomas Schelling, Glen
Snyder, Robert Jervis, and Kenneth Waltz extensively explored the political implications of
nuclear weapons during the latter part of the 20th century. To enhance your preparation for this
debate, I recommend reviewing the abstracts of their numerous papers. A thorough grasp of
nuclear theory is crucial for developing a nuanced stance on NPT reform. What follows is a brief
and broad rundown of the guiding principle behind nuclear proliferation—deterrence theory.
Deterrence Theory
In nuclear theory, deterrence theory states that nations with nuclear weapons will not be subject
to attack, especially nuclear attack, because the prospect of a retaliatory nuclear strike is too
terrible to contemplate. This is often the chief reason countries use to justify the possession of
nuclear weapons. Under such guise, deterrence theory advertises nuclear weapons as promoters
of peace, making direct confrontation unthinkable for hostile nations due to the threat of nuclear
annihilation. Deterrence theory relies on the threat of massive and even planetary destruction that
nuclear weapons can achieve. This concept, in nuclear theory, is often referred to as “mutually
assured destruction.” The use of nuclear weapons can leave a radioactive legacy that will last for
generations. It is unlikely that only one bomb would be used in the event of a nuclear
confrontation, which escalates the threat even further. Much of deterrence theory traces its
origins back to Alfred Nobel who, amidst his invention of dynamite, proclaimed that his
invention would “usher a new era of peace for Europe” when both rivals knew they would be
faced with complete annihilation in the event of their confrontation. Deterrence theory thus
advocates for the expansion of nuclear programs for they not only avoid a nuclear war but all
sorts of wars. Lastly, it must be said that the strongest piece of evidence that deterrence theory
Critics argue that the real world is too complex for deterrence theory to work. According to
Wareham, “deterrence may work when everything goes according to plan, there are no surprises,
each side in a stand-off knows exactly what the other is thinking, and leaders act rationally and in
the best interests of their people. This is not the real world but a fantasy world. In the real world
there is confusion (especially in a crisis), mistakes and errors of judgment are made, and there is
ignorance of what the other side is thinking1.” Additionally, there several instances where
deterrence theory has failed to prevent armed conflict between nuclear powers such as when
China entered the Korean War, against nuclear-armed US forces, in 1950 as well as Egypt and
Syria attacking nuclear-armed Israeli forces in the occupied Sinai and Golan Heights in 1973.
several key principles such as rationality, unitary actor assumption, dyads, strategic interactions
1
Nuclear Deterrence Theory – Threat to Inflict Terror,
[Link]/au/journals/FlinLawJl/2013/[Link]. Accessed 24 Jan. 2024.
Deterrence theorists consistently assert that the success of deterrence hinges on the credibility of
a defending state's threat to an attacking state. A threat is considered credible if the defending
state possesses both the military capabilities to inflict significant costs in a conflict and the
conviction to employ its military forces. The four key factors under rational deterrence theory
include the military balance, signaling and bargaining power, reputations for resolve, and the
interests at stake.
Thomas Schelling, an American economist with a background in game theory, revolutionized the
study of international deterrence. His seminal work (1966) challenges the traditional definition of
military strategy as solely the science of victory, asserting that it is equally, if not more, the art of
coercion, intimidation, and deterrence. Schelling contends that the ability to harm another state
serves as a motivating factor for states to influence behavior. Successful deterrence, according to
Schelling, involves using the power to inflict harm as bargaining leverage, particularly when kept
in reserve. In summary, the foundation of deterrence theory lies in the strategic use of the
Many thought that nuclear weapons were a relic of the Cold War. Arguably, they helped keep the
Cold War cold and have prevented direct confrontation between nuclear powers. Today, nine
countries possess nuclear weapons (China, North Korea, France, India, Israel, Pakistan, Russia,
the United Kingdom and the United States). The international landscape has witnessed notable
2
Schelling, T. C. (1966), "2", The Diplomacy of Violence, New Haven: Yale University Press, pp. 1–34
shifts in recent years, marked by the emergence of new actors seeking to acquire or express
interest in nuclear weapons. Notably, Iran has taken significant strides to increase their nuclear
capabilities.
In May 2018, following President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal
(also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)), Iran demonstrated restraint in
escalating its nuclear ambitions in the two years that followed. This, in part, due to Trump’s
willingness to impose extensive economic and financial sanctions. Trump initially decided to
withdraw from the agreement because he claimed that the agreement had failed to restrict Iran’s
arsenal and influence in the region3. According to the U.S. State Department, “On July 14, 2015,
the P5+1 (China, France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States), the
European Union (EU), and Iran reached a JCPOA to ensure that Iran’s nuclear program will be
exclusively peaceful”. Proponents of the deal have claimed that the treaty's main aim was to
prevent conflict between Iran and other hostile regional neighbors, such as Saudi Arabia and
Israel. Despite several condemnations, the US and its European allies have failed to hold Iran
accountable for its breaches of such agreement. President Joe Biden claims that the US would
return to the agreement with its previous conditions so long as Iran complies with the established
terms. Ever since, Iran has enriched its nuclear arsenal to nearly weapon-grade levels, alarming
3
“What Is the Iran Nuclear Deal?” Council on Foreign Relations, Council on Foreign Relations,
[Link]/backgrounder/what-iran-nuclear-deal. Accessed 23 Jan. 2024.
Starting from November 2020, Iran has made significant strides towards achieving a nuclear
weapons capability, taking advantage of the Biden administration's easing of sanctions as part of
its efforts to revive the JCPOA. Tehran has elevated uranium enrichment levels to 20 percent,
percent (considered weapons-grade). Additionally, the Islamic Republic has produced uranium
metal, a substance utilized in nuclear weapon cores, reactivated its underground Fordow
enrichment facility, and put into operation over 6,500 fast-generation centrifuges4.
According to numerous experts, had all parties honored their commitments, the agreement likely
could have effectively achieved its objective for more than a decade. The Joint Comprehensive
Plan of Action (JCPOA) includes time-limited restrictions on Iran's nuclear program. For
instance, centrifuge restrictions were set to be lifted ten years after January 2016, and limits on
Iran's possession of low-enriched uranium would expire after fifteen years. Critics of the deal
raised concerns about these "sunset provisions," arguing that they would merely postpone Iran's
nuclear capabilities while providing sanctions relief for supporting regional terrorism.
Signatories of the JCPOA have faced challenges in revitalizing the mostly inactive agreement.
Talks to reengage the United States and Iran in the deal commenced in April 2021, but the
negotiations have been sporadic. Various factors, including the election of conservative cleric
Ebrahim Raisi as president in Iran, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the 2023 Israel-Hamas
conflict, have complicated the process due to Iran’s involvement in both of these conflicts.
4
Ackerman, Daniel. “10 Things to Know about Iran’s Nuclear Program.” FDD, 14 Nov. 2023,
Non-State Actors
Nuclear security experts consider that non-state actors could get access to nuclear weapons either
weapons of mass destruction by acquiring high levels of uranium or plutonium. Even though
both of these scenarios are improbable, especially the latter one, there are growing concerns and
Pakistani Leaders have given access to their Interservices Intelligence, which maintains intimate
relations with several Jihadist groups and the Taliban. It is also reported that several of Pakistan’s
nuclear scientists have had links to Osama bin Laden or have simply been lost track of by
Western nations. In recent years, however, the most imminent threat of nuclear proliferation to
In 1998, Osama bin Laden declared that acquiring weapons of mass destruction was his Islamic
duty. In the late 1993, Al-Qaeda was discovered attempting to procure uranium in Sudan with the
intention of using it in a makeshift nuclear device. This marks the initial indication of Osama bin
The information about this endeavor is provided by Fadl, who defected from al-Qaeda in 1996
and became an informant for the FBI and CIA. During court testimony, Fadl alleges that the
former Sudanese President Saleh Mobruk actively assisted al-Qaeda in obtaining South
African-origin uranium. Fadl adds that he later learned that the acquired uranium, purchased for
Though Al-Qaeda’s efforts to detonate weapons of mass destruction have failed, Bin Laden
states in an interview with Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir, “I wish to declare that if America
used chemical or nuclear weapons against us, then we may retort with chemical and nuclear
weapons. We have the weapons as a deterrent.” This end has been left to lower rank members of
the terrorist organization. Even though this end has not materialized, it does not mean it is not an
Lastly, we will be covering the most significant milestones made by the international community
to prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and the criticism it has received.
Non-Proliferation Treaty
The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), established in 1968, aimed to curb the spread of
nuclear technology by fostering cooperation among major nuclear and non-nuclear powers.
Despite not completely preventing nuclear proliferation, the NPT gained significance during the
Cold War, setting a precedent for international collaboration to impede the spread of nuclear
5
Mowatt-Larssen, Rolf. “Al Qaeda’s Pursuit of Weapons of Mass Destruction.” Foreign Policy,
Foreign Policy, 25 Jan. 2010,
weapons. Following the Limited Test Ban Treaty in 1963, the U.S. and the Soviet Union pursued
comprehensive arms control agreements, culminating in the Outer Space Treaty and discussions
on a non-proliferation treaty. By the early 1960s, nuclear technology had become more
accessible, prompting concerns about potential widespread proliferation. The NPT addressed
these fears by prohibiting nuclear weapons transfer, requiring non-nuclear states to refrain from
acquiring such weapons, and establishing safeguards under the International Atomic Energy
Agency.
Despite its importance, the NPT faced challenges during development. Initial proposals for a
nuclear technology distribution ban in 1961 took several years to materialize into formal
negotiations. Delicate negotiations centered on balancing interests between the U.S. and the
Soviet Union, and concerns about nuclear NATO plans complicated discussions. The treaty's
success hinged on the willingness of non-nuclear nations to forgo developing nuclear weapons.
After two years of negotiations, concessions from nuclear powers persuaded many non-nuclear
states to sign the treaty, which included provisions against nuclear weapons transfer and
However, notable non-signatories included France, China, and several states close to nuclear
capability, like Argentina, Brazil, India, Israel, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa. While
the NPT is lauded for its role in mitigating nuclear proliferation, its effectiveness is challenged
by the absence of key signatories and subsequent nuclear developments in some non-signatory
states6.
6
U.S. Department of State, U.S. Department of State,
[Link]/milestones/1961-1968/npt. Accessed 23 Jan. 2024.
Criticism and the Path Forward…
Many have called the NPT a conspiracy to keep the nuclear weaponry in the hands of a few
states. The International Court of Justice, in its advisory opinion on the Legality of the Threat or
Use of Nuclear Weapons, stated that "there exists an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring
to a conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects under strict and
effective international control". The main critic is that nuclear states fail to uphold this principle
in good faith when planning their national policies regarding the use and expansion of nuclear
weapons. As a result, The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), or the Nuclear
Weapon Ban Treaty, is the first legally binding international agreement to comprehensively
prohibit nuclear weapons with the ultimate goal being their total elimination. Among the
countries voting for the treaty's adoption were South Africa and Kazakhstan, both of which
Bloc Positions
1. Proponents of Strict Disarmament Timelines:
b. Advocates for a rapid and strictly defined timeline for nuclear disarmament.
consequences.
b. Argues for a more gradual approach to disarmament, taking into account security
steps.
global stability.
c. Argues that nuclear weapons act as a deterrent against potential aggression and
disarmament efforts.
5. Nuclear-Free Zone Advocates:
environment.
nuclear materials.
Questions to Consider
1. How can countries balance the urgency of nuclear disarmament with the need for a
cautious and verifiable approach, considering the diverse perspectives within the
committee?
verification?
3. In what ways can the committee address the concerns of nuclear deterrence advocates
4. How can diplomatic solutions and strategic arms reduction treaties be strengthened to
effectively address the challenges posed by non-compliance and potential security risks in
5. What role can economic sanctions play in discouraging nuclear weapons development,
and how can the committee ensure their targeted and effective implementation?
6. How might the establishment of nuclear-free zones contribute to regional stability, and
what challenges may arise in the negotiation and implementation of such zones?
cooperative measures can be taken to prevent their access to nuclear materials and reduce
2. [Link]
3. [Link]
ction/
4. [Link]
5. [Link]
6. [Link]
-of-nuclear-weapons/
7. [Link]
dices/[Link]
Topic 2: Preserving the Peace: Regulating the
Militarization of Space
Introduction
In an era marked by rapid technological advancements and evolving geopolitical
dynamics, the question of preserving global peace has extended beyond terrestrial borders into
the vast expanse of space. The topic of "Preserving the Peace: Regulating the Militarization of
Space" holds a pivotal place in international discourse as nations grapple with the implications of
deploying military capabilities beyond Earth's atmosphere. The once uncharted territory of space
has become a frontier for strategic competition, raising profound questions about the responsible
satellites and weapon systems, in orbit or on celestial bodies. As space becomes integral to
communication, surveillance, and navigation, the dual-use nature of satellite technology has
blurred the lines between civilian and military applications. The escalating interest in
space-based assets for national security purposes has sparked concerns about the potential
weaponization of this celestial arena, threatening the delicate equilibrium that governs
international relations.
Against this backdrop, regulating the militarization of space has become paramount. The
international community faces the challenge of establishing norms, frameworks, and treaties that
ensure the responsible use of space while preventing the weaponization of Earth's orbit. As
nations pursue advancements in space capabilities, the need for transparency, cooperation, and
adherence to international agreements becomes increasingly urgent. This topic invites a critical
examination of the evolving role of space in the global security landscape and underscores the
necessity of diplomatic initiatives to preserve peace in the cosmic realm. Delegates must
confront the complex intersection of technological innovation, national security imperatives, and
the shared responsibility to safeguard the peace and stability of our planet from the potential
Around three paragraphs introducing the topic. Set the stage for delegates from immediately
before whatever brought about the committee session and include the relevance of the topic and
urgency of coming to a solution. You will get into the details later in this topic guide. (~300
words)
History
To say that the space exploration of the mid-20th century carried out by the US and Soviet Union
primary aim was military is an overstatement, however, both world powers saw this race as an
opportunity to showcase their missile and ballistic capabilities. Ever since, the space has served
as fertile ground for military spacecrafts and communication satellites. In the 21st century, we
are faced with a complex paradigm towards space and its military potential.
The arms race in space is not new. At the dawn of the Cold War, the US enjoyed a comfortable
military advantage over the Soviet Union, and the Soviet Union sought to offset that advantage
by all means possible. Intercontinental missiles provided an avenue for the Soviet Union to gain
a military edge over the US. Thus, in 1957, President Eisenhower presented a proposal of
accompanying the scientific space endeavours with an arms control agreement. The idea was for
international inspectors to establish whether all the objects sent to space would serve exclusively
peaceful ends and scientific purposes. The concept aimed at having global inspectors determine
if all items launched into space were intended solely for peaceful and scientific uses.
The Soviet Union rejected Eisenhower’s proposal. At the time, the Soviet Union gained the
temporary upper hand in space affairs, being the first country to put a satellite into orbit and
Eisenhower’s proposal, where they would agree to his treaty if the US gave up its military bases
around the world. The proximity of these bases to Soviet territory allowed the US to pose a
nuclear threat to the Soviet Union without the need of an intercontinental missile. The Soviet
Union would thus agree to the US’ proposal if the US would forfeit its military bases around the
world. With the United States unwilling to do so, the deal fell stagnant on both ends and never
went through. The US, proceed to catch up with space technology throughout the 1950s.
At last, in 1967, the United Nations adopted the Outer Space Treaty in 1967 after various UN
resolutions. This treaty prohibited the placement of nuclear and other weapons of mass
destruction in space, as well as military tests and installations on celestial bodies. However, it did
not address several other military activities in space, such as the detonation of weapons of mass
destruction, the passage of missiles through space (whether conventional or weapons of mass
destruction), and the deployment of conventional weapons in space. The 1972 Anti-Ballistic
Missiles Treaty limited land-launched missile defense systems to one location on each side,
prohibiting space-based systems. In 1979, talks on anti-satellite weapons failed, and both nations
the US’s standing in the space arms raise but for many reasons failed. For starters, the public
interest and urgency to gain military advantage over space had significantly diminished in the
US. The Soviet Union had proposed a ban on the militarization of space, and nuclear tensions
were easing. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, the recommendations on space missiles were
In 2001, President George W. Bush unilaterally terminated the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missiles
(ABM) Treaty, reigniting discussions about an arms buildup in space. The U.S. contends that its
now scaled-down missile defense program targets rogue states like North Korea or Iran.
However, Russia and China view it as a strategy to undermine their nuclear second-strike
capabilities. Notably, in 2007, China and the U.S. demonstrated satellite destruction capabilities
by shooting down their own satellites from the ground or sea. This showcased the potential for
any state with rocket launch capabilities to possess satellite destruction capabilities. The
termination of the ABM Treaty by the U.S. in 2001 has raised concerns about the militarization
of space, with geopolitical interpretations varying on the intentions behind missile defense
programs7.
Current Situation
The termination of the Anti-Ballistic Missiles (ABM) Treaty marked the first time the US had
withdrawn from a major international arms treaty. This also marked the creation of the Missile
Defense Agency, a branch of the U.S. Department of Defense tasked with creating a thorough
defense system against ballistic missiles. Its inception can be traced back to the Strategic
7
“Brief Historical Outline of Space Arms Control: War and Peace.” Brief Historical Outline of Space Arms
Control | War and Peace, [Link]/en/m7/articles/m7-13. Accessed 23 Jan. 2024.
Defense Initiative (SDI), initiated by Ronald Reagan in 1983. George Bush, at the time, justified
such action under the premise that the US necessitated a defense mechanism against rogue states
that had now acquired nuclear capabilities, such as North Korea and Iran. This was also meant to
Former Secretary of Defense, William Perry, articulated much of the fears of the international
“Our chief peril is that the poised nuclear doom, much of it hidden beneath the seas and in
remote badlands, is too far out of the global public consciousness. Passivity shows broadly.
Perhaps this is a matter of defeatism and its cohort, distraction. Perhaps for some it is largely a
most primal human fear of facing the “unthinkable.” For others, it might be a welcoming of the
illusion that there is or might be an acceptable missile defense against a nuclear attack. And for
many it would seem to be the keeping of faith that nuclear deterrence will hold indefinitely—that
leaders will always have accurate enough instantaneous knowledge, know the true context of
events, and enjoy the good luck to avoid the most tragic of military miscalculations.8”
Much of the fear boiled down to a destabilization of the nuclear order. By acquiring defense
technologies, world powers would no longer be deterred to initiate a nuclear attack. The concept
8
Brown, Jerry. “A Stark Nuclear Warning: Jerry Brown.” The New York Review of Books, 27 Mar. 2022,
[Link]/articles/2016/07/14/a-stark-nuclear-warning/.
Russian Response
Following the withdrawal, the newly elected Russian President, Vladimir Putin, took action by
however, emphasized that there was no immediate threat resulting from the U.S. withdrawal.
Subsequently, on May 24, 2002, Russia and the United States signed the Strategic Offensive
Reductions Treaty in Moscow. This agreement called for reductions in deployed strategic nuclear
warheads but did not specify cuts to total stockpiled warheads, lacking any enforcement
mechanism.
In a move mirroring the U.S. withdrawal, on June 13, 2002, the U.S. officially exited the ABM
Treaty, prompting Russia to announce its discontinuation of the START II treaty the following
day, despite it not being in force. In 2017 interviews with Oliver Stone, President Putin disclosed
that both Bill Clinton and George W. Bush had, without evidence, attempted to persuade Russia
Fast forward to March 1, 2018, Putin, in an address to the Federal Assembly, unveiled the
development of advanced "super weapons" in response to the U.S. withdrawal from the ABM
Treaty. An anonymous U.S. official dismissed Putin's claims as exaggerated. Putin, attributing
the decision to increase Russia's nuclear capabilities to counterbalance the U.S., expressed this
claiming efforts to partner with the West were unaccepted, characterizing it as one of America's
In January 2007, China triggered international concern by deliberately destroying one of its
satellites, generating hazardous space debris and raising fears of an emerging space arms race.
Despite China's subsequent declaration of a halt to similar tests a month later, the incident
showcased the nation's advancing space capabilities and its ability to defend against satellite
surveillance during wartime. The delayed official response fueled uncertainty, prompting
inquiries into the motives behind China's actions and casting doubt on the authenticity of its
The ASAT test highlighted the broader discussions surrounding anti-satellite weapons,
emphasizing their potential to disrupt a nation's intelligence collection and military operations.
China's 2007 ASAT test, following multiple failed attempts, prompted suspicions about the
civilian government and military leadership, given the unexpected success of the test. CFR
Fellows proposed multifaceted motivations, including military concerns over a prospective U.S.
9
Schwirtz, Michael, et al. “Putin’s War: The inside Story of a Catastrophe.” The New York Times, The
New York Times, 17 Dec. 2022,
[Link]/interactive/2022/12/16/world/europe/[Link].
space-based missile defense system neutralizing China's nuclear arsenal, leading to a call for a
ban on space weapons. This incident underscored China's growing military prowess, particularly
its ability to target satellites critical to U.S. intelligence and precision weaponry, raising concerns
about potential disruptions to essential daily functions dependent on global positioning satellites
(GPS). Furthermore, China's diplomatic efforts, aligned with Moscow, seek a treaty to ban the
deployment of weapons in space, reflecting unease with U.S. dominance and aiming to restrict
American activities in space. China's decade-long investment in its space program, featuring
diverse satellite types, launching vehicles, and lunar exploration plans, further highlights its
commitment to modernizing the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and expanding its influence in
space exploration10.
Operation Burnt Frost, conducted in 2008, aimed to intercept and destroy the non-functioning
U.S. National Reconnaissance Office satellite, USA-193. The Missile Defense Agency
carrying over 1,000 pounds of hazardous hydrazine propellant, thus safeguarding human life.
Launched from the USS Lake Erie on February 21, 2008, the mission, utilized a heavily
modified Standard Missile-3 (SM-3) to shoot down the satellite. The SM-3 successfully
intercepted its target within minutes of launch, accomplishing its mission. Although effective, the
operation faced scrutiny, particularly from China and Russia. The operation faced significant
10
“China’s Anti-Satellite Test.” Council on Foreign Relations, Council on Foreign Relations,
[Link]/backgrounder/chinas-anti-satellite-test. Accessed 23 Jan. 2024.
Kamala Harris Self-imposed Ban on Direct-ascent Anti-satellite Missile Tests
Vice President Kamala Harris announced that the United States will impose a self-imposed ban
on direct-ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) missile tests that generate orbital debris. Harris, who chairs
the National Space Council, emphasized the dangers of such tests, pointing to Russia's 2021 and
China's 2007 tests as serious threats to space security and sustainability. The U.S. decision aims
to set an international example for responsible space behavior and encourage other nations to
follow suit. Harris highlighted the risks these missile tests pose to space activities, urging for a
Harris's announcement received mixed reactions, with experts praising it as a step toward
ensuring space safety and sustainability. They emphasized the importance of establishing
international norms for responsible behavior in space. Critics, particularly Republicans, viewed
the decision as unilateral, voluntary, and unnecessary. Rep. Doug Lamborn expressed concerns
that the U.S. commitment not to conduct ASAT tests could give China and Russia an advantage
in space, creating a false equivalence. Despite criticisms, proponents argue that the U.S. ban sets
a specific commitment example and aims to lead by encouraging other nations to join in
The convergence of space and cyberspace poses unprecedented challenges to national security, as
both domains become increasingly interdependent. The intricate connection between outer space
and the internet, with space assets relying on internet-based networks and vice versa, demands a
ill-prepared for this intersection, heightening national security risks. To address these challenges,
dimensions to cybersecurity concerns. Space activities, crucial for global services like the Global
Positioning System (GPS), are vulnerable to cyber threats that may escalate due to heightened
militarization. Current international laws and diplomatic efforts have not effectively addressed
Path Forward
At the forefront of addressing the intricate challenges posed by the convergence of space and
cyberspace are space agencies, poised to assume a pivotal role in crafting cybersecurity
demands not only domestic collaboration but a concerted effort to engage with the burgeoning
private sector, where the commercial space industry is rapidly expanding. Legislative initiatives
amplifying the cybersecurity endeavors led by the industry. This legislative support is
particularly crucial as the commercial space sector undergoes unprecedented growth, presenting
the complexities of space cybersecurity. Multilateral frameworks, such as NATO, provide fertile
ground for fostering cooperative endeavors in this domain. Moreover, countries should actively
seek out bilateral forums dedicated to in-depth discussions on the nuanced intricacies of space
transcends the confines of conventional cybersecurity discourse and underscores the urgency for
a sophisticated and adaptive framework capable of safeguarding the intertwined realms of outer
The prevailing concern among the majority of United Nations member states centers on the
potential arms race stemming from the weaponization of outer space. Advocates for a
multilateral treaty, the Prevention of an Arms Race in Outer Space (PAROS), receive resounding
support annually in the UN General Assembly, with the exception of the United States and Israel,
which consistently abstain. The PAROS resolution urges states, especially those with space
capabilities, to refrain from actions conflicting with its objectives and actively contribute to its
goals, seeking to enhance the legal framework governing outer space and prevent the deployment
measures (TCBMs) resolution proposed by Russia and China. While TCBMs are recognized as
positive steps toward fostering trust and cooperation, they are acknowledged as not replacing a
legally-binding PAROS treaty. Seen as an initial step, TCBMs are part of a gradual approach to
prevent the weaponization of outer space. Initiating a Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) in
2010, the General Assembly explores TCBMs to enhance space security, signaling ongoing
international efforts to address the complexities of preventing outer space weaponization amidst
Bloc Positions
1. United States and Allies Bloc:
i. Key Points:
2. Advocates for the responsible use of space for both civilian and
military purposes.
11
Outer Space - Reaching Critical Will,
[Link]/images/documents/Resources/Factsheets/[Link]. Accessed 24 Jan.
2024.
Position: Stresses the need for an international treaty on the prevention of an arms
weaponization of space.
weaponization.
3. Non-Aligned Bloc:
2. Calls for the peaceful use of outer space and the prevention of an
space.
activities.
militarization.
Questions to Consider
1. How can the international community assess the potential impact of space militarization
4. How should the international community address the dual-use nature of space
applications?
5. What confidence-building measures (CBMs) can be implemented to foster trust among
6. In what ways can the Prevention of an Arms Race in Outer Space (PAROS) treaty be
strengthened, and how can nations be encouraged to join and comply with it?
7. How can space and cybersecurity policies be integrated to address the growing challenges
2. [Link]
3. [Link]
4. [Link]
5. [Link]
ons-to-join/
6. [Link]
Bibliography
Topic 1
Ackerman, Daniel. “10 Things to Know about Iran’s Nuclear Program.” FDD, 14 Nov. 2023,
[Link]/analysis/2023/11/14/10-things-to-know-about-irans-nuclear-program/.
Mowatt-Larssen, Rolf. “Al Qaeda’s Pursuit of Weapons of Mass Destruction.” Foreign Policy,
[Link]/2010/01/25/al-qaedas-pursuit-of-weapons-of-mass-destruction/.
[Link]/publications/products/arbeitspapiere/trt_dp_format_ks.pdf. Accessed 24
Jan. 2024.
[Link]/publications/products/arbeitspapiere/trt_dp_format_ks.pdf. Accessed 24
Jan. 2024.
Schelling, T. C. (1966), "2", The Diplomacy of Violence, New Haven: Yale University Press, pp.
1–34
Topic 2
“Brief Historical Outline of Space Arms Control: War and Peace.” Brief Historical Outline of
Space Arms Control | War and Peace, [Link]/en/m7/articles/m7-13. Accessed 23 Jan. 2024.
Brown, Jerry. “A Stark Nuclear Warning: Jerry Brown.” The New York Review of Books, 27 Mar.
2022, [Link]/articles/2016/07/14/a-stark-nuclear-warning/.
[Link]/images/documents/Resources/Factsheets/[Link]. Accessed
24 Jan. 2024.
Schwirtz, Michael, et al. “Putin’s War: The inside Story of a Catastrophe.” The New York Times,
[Link]/interactive/2022/12/16/world/europe/[Link].