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Topic 2 Solutions

The document provides solutions to various probability problems, including calculations for warranty repairs, conditional probabilities related to gender and enjoyment, and joint probabilities for watching TV. It also discusses independence of events and collective exhaustiveness. The document concludes with combinatorial calculations for sequences and arrangements.

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4 views2 pages

Topic 2 Solutions

The document provides solutions to various probability problems, including calculations for warranty repairs, conditional probabilities related to gender and enjoyment, and joint probabilities for watching TV. It also discusses independence of events and collective exhaustiveness. The document concludes with combinatorial calculations for sequences and arrangements.

Uploaded by

6y7zzszdwd
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Topic 2: Basic Probability Solutions

Q1
Needs warranty- U.S. Non-U.S. Total
related repair
Yes 0.025 0.015 0.04
No 0.575 0.385 0.96
Total 0.600 0.400 1.00

a) P(needs warranty repair) = 0.04

b) P(needs warranty repair and manufacturer based in U.S.) = 0.025

c) P(needs warranty repair or manufacturer based in U.S.)


=P(needs warranty repair) + P(manufacturer based in U.S.)
- P(needs warranty repair and manufacturer based in U.S.)
= 0.04 + 0.6 – 0.025 = 0.615

d) P(needs warranty repair or manufacturer not based in U.S.)


=P(needs warranty repair) + P(manufacturer not based in U.S.)
- P(needs warranty repair and manufacturer not based in U.S.)
= 0.04 + 0.4 - 0.015 = 0.425

Q2
P (not enjoy and female) 36 / 500
a) P(not enjoy | female) = = = 0.1333
P ( female) 270 / 500

P(male and enjoy ) 126 / 500


b) P(male | enjoy) = = = 0.35
P(enjoy ) 360 / 500

230
c) P(male) = = 0.46
500
From part (b), P(male | enjoy) = 0.35
P(male) ≠ P(male | enjoy)
=> enjoy shopping and gender are not independent
Q3
a) Let H: husband watch TV, H : husband do not watch TV
W: wife watch TV, W wife do not watch TV
 P(H) = 0.6 , P(W | H) = 0.4,
P(W ∩ H )
P(W | H) =
P( H )
∴ P(W ∩ H) = P(W | H)P(H) = (0.4)(0.6) = 0.24

b)  P(W | H ) = 0.3 , P( H ) = 1-0.6 =0.4


P(W ∩ H ) = P(W | H ) P( H ) = (0.3)(0.4) = 0.12
∴ P(W) = P(W ∩ H) + P(W ∩ H ) = 0.24 + 0.12 = 0.36

Q4
a) 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝐵𝐵) = 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 | 𝐵𝐵) × 𝑃𝑃(𝐵𝐵) = 0.4 × (1 − 0.75) = 0.1
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴) = 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝐵𝐵) − 𝑃𝑃(𝐵𝐵) + 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝐵𝐵) = 0.45 − 0.25 + 0.1 = 0.3
𝑃𝑃(𝐵𝐵′ 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝐴𝐴) 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴)−𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝐵𝐵) 0.3−0.1 2
𝑃𝑃(𝐵𝐵 ′ | 𝐴𝐴) = 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴)
= 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴)
= 0.3
= 0.6667 or 3

b) 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 | 𝐵𝐵) = 0.4 ≠ 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴)


Hence 𝐴𝐴 and 𝐵𝐵 are not independent events

OR
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 ) × 𝑃𝑃(𝐵𝐵) = 0.3 × 0.25 = 0.075 ≠ 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝐵𝐵)
Hence 𝐴𝐴 and 𝐵𝐵 are not independent events

c) 𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴) + 𝑃𝑃(𝐵𝐵) = 0.3 + 0.25 = 0.55 ≠ 1


Hence 𝐴𝐴 and 𝐵𝐵 are not collectively exhaustive events

Q5
310 = 59049 sequences

Q6
(5)(7)(4)(5) = 700 burgers

Q7
10!
4!(10−4)!
= 210 ways

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