Chapter 05
Chapter 05
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• Future Value and Compounding. • One of the basic problems faced by the financial manager is
how to determine the value today of cash flows expected in
• Present Value and Discounting.
the future.
• More about Present and Future Values. • Time value of money refers to the fact that a dollar in hand
today is worth more than a dollar promised at some time in
the future.
• Instead of compounding the money forward into the future, We need to know the PV of $400 in one year at 7 percent. Proceeding as in
the previous
we discount it back to the present.
example:
• To discount is to calculate the present value of some future
amount. Present value × 1.07 = $400
We can now solve for the present value:
• Present value of $1 to be received in one period if generally
Present value = $400 × (1/1.07) = $373.83
given as follows:
Thus, $373.83 is the present value. Again, this means that investing this
PV=$1 1 1 r $1 1 r amount for one year at 7 percent will give you a future value of $400.
PRESENT VALUES FOR MULTIPLE PERIODS 1 PRESENT VALUES FOR MULTIPLE PERIODS 2
The present value of $1 to be received t periods into the future at a discount rate of r Suppose you need $1,000 in three years. You can earn 15% on your money. How
is: much do you have to invest today? (In other words, what is the present value of
$1,000 in three years at 15%?)
PV $1 1 1 r $1 1 r
t t
PV 1 r FVt Because the proposed investment pays out only $400, it is not as good as other [Link]
t
have. Another way of seeing the same thing is to notice that the present value of $400 in three
years at 10 percent is:
PV FVt 1 r FVt 1 1 r
t t
$400 1 1 r $400 1.13 $400 1.331 $300.53
t
• The (final) result above is called the basic present value equation This tells us that we have to invest only about $300 to get $400 in three years, not $335. We will
return to this type of analysis later on.
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PV FVt 1 r
t
More formally, from the basic present value equation, the present value (the amount
you must put up today) is $1,250. The future value (what the present value grows to)
is $1,350. The time involved is one period, so we have:
There are only four parts to this equation: the present value
$1.250 $1.350 1 r
1
(PV), the future value (FVt), the discount rate (r), and the life of
1 r $1,350 $1, 250 1.08
the investment (t).
• Given any three of these, we can always find the fourth. • r = .08, or 8%
• In this simple case, of course, there was no need to go through this calculation. But
as we describe next, it gets a little harder with more than one period.
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DETERMINING THE DISCOUNT RATE: AN DETERMINING THE DISCOUNT RATE: AN
EXAMPLE 1 EXAMPLE 2
Assume we are offered an investment that costs us $100 and will double our 1. Use a financial calculator.
money in eight years. To compare this to other investments, we would like to • PV = -100, FV = 200, N = 8; Solve for I/Y = 9%
know what discount rate (That is, rate of return, or return) is implicit in these
numbers. 2. Solve the equation for 1 + r by taking the eighth root of both sides.
• Here, PV = $100, FV = $200 (double our money), and an 8-year life • Because this is the same thing as raising both sides to the power of ⅛ or
1 r 2, 000
200
The future value factor is thus 100. You can verify that the
N = 200, PV = -1,000, FV = 2,000,000; Solve for I/Y = 3.87 implicit rate is about 9.65 percent.
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FINDING THE NUMBER OF PERIODS WAITING FOR GODOT
Suppose we are interested in purchasing an asset that costs $50,000. We currently You’ve been saving up to buy the Godot Company. The total
have $25,000. If we can earn 12 percent on this $25,000, how long until we have the
$50,000? cost will be $10 million. You currently have about $2.3 million. If
We can again manipulate the basic present value equation to solve for the number of
you can earn 5 percent on your money, how long will you have
periods: to wait? At 16 percent, how long must you wait?
• PV = $25,000, FV = $50,000, and I/Y = 12% At 5 percent, you’ll have to wait a long time. From the basic
Basic equation takes one of the following forms: present value equation:
$25,000 $50,000 1.12t $2.3million $10 million 1.05t
$50,000 $25,000 1.12t 2
1.05t 4.35
We have a future value factor of 2 for a 12 percent rate, so we now need to solve for t
• Per Table A.1, you will see that a future value factor of 1.9738 occurs at six periods; t = 30 years
it will thus take about six years
• At 16 percent, things are a little better. Verify for yourself that
To get an exact answer, we can use our financial calculator
it will take about 10 years.
• I/Y = 12, PV = -25,000, FV = 50,000; Solve for N = 6.1163
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[Link]: IV. The Basic Present Value Equation Giving the Relationship between Present Value
• PV = Present value, what future cash flows are worth today. and Future Value:
• FVt = Future value, what cash flows are worth in the future.
PV FVt 1 r
t
• r = Interest rate, rate of return, or discount rate per period—typically, but not •
always, one year.
• t = Number of periods—typically, but not always, the number of years.
• C = Cash amount.
II. Future Value of C Invested at r Percent for t Periods:
FVt C 1 r
t
•
1 r
t
• The term is called the present value factor.
PV C 1 r
t
•
• The term 1 1 r
t
is called the present value factor.
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SELECTED CONCEPT QUESTIONS
• What do we mean by the future value of an investment?
• What does it mean to compound interest? How does
compound interest differ from simple interest?
• What do we mean by the present value of an investment?
• The process of discounting a future amount back to the
present is the opposite of doing what? END OF CHAPTER
• What is the basic present value equation?
CHAPTER 5
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