CHAPTER 8
RISK MANAGEMENT
Introduction to Risk
▪ Risk means exposure to adverse consequences due to any uncertain event in future
▪ Risk management means how risks are identified, measured and managed by the
company
▪ Risks varies from company to company, depending on:
• Size of the company (small, medium, large)
• Geographical location / region (single country, multinational, law and order,
economy)
• Growth phase of the company (setup phase, growth phase, maturity phase)
• Business model / strategies (physical, online)
• Financing structure (capital, loan financing, gearing)
Introduction to Risk
Risks also varies from industry to industry.
For e.g., banks are more exposed to financial risks and manufacturing organizations
are more exposed to health & safety risks.
Industry risks depends on:
• Nature of product and industry (e.g., financial industry vs manufacturing industry)
• Investment (e.g., capital-intensive industry)
• Regulations (e.g., higher laws for banks)
• Ecological aspects (e.g., oil & gas industry)
• Technology (hi-tech industry)
Various Types of Risks
Business Risk
• Risk that threatens the survival of the whole business
and can lead to going concern issue. They can arise from
many sources, but mainly due to wrong strategies,
decision or business model.
Financial Risk
• Risk of reduction in revenue or profitability of the
company or adverse effect from the way the business is
financially structured (e.g., high gearing), debt financing
and management of working capital and cash flows.
Credit Risk
• Risk that customers fail to pay their dues on time.
Liquidity Risk
Risk that company does not have sufficient cash to pay off
its current liabilities. This mainly arises from bad working
capital management.
Exchange Rate Risk
Risk of adverse movement in foreign currencies in which
the organization deals with. For e.g., if it is importing raw
material in foreign currency or a foreign customer owes
money in foreign currency.
Interest Rate Risk
Risk of adverse changes in interest rates on borrowings or
interest rates on investments /deposits
Market Risk
Risk of losses from capital markets from adverse changes
of share prices of the company,
e.g., difficulty in raising capital to fund expansion plans
Investment Risk
Risk that the value of investment may fluctuate adversely
Reputation Risk
Risk of harm to organization’s image, brand, goodwill or
reputation including negative publicity and adverse public
sentiments
Health & Safety Risk
Risk of harm, injury, disability, death or adverse health
effects on people (e.g., employees, customers, society)
due to the operations of the company).
Political Risk
Risk of government instability or higher intervention in
business activities
Regulatory Risk
Risk of adverse changes in laws and regulations directly or
indirectly affecting company operations
Legal and Compliance Risk
Risk of breaching any law or regulation leading to fines or
possible shut down of operations
Technology Risk
Risk from changes to technology essential to support the
business e.g., plant and machinery, IT, software, e-
commerce, etc.
Environmental Risk
Risk of liability or losses from any damage to the natural
environment caused by the organization, e.g., risk of oil
spillage by an Oil Company. It includes depletion of scare
resources, disposal of wastages and emission / pollution /
spillage.
Fraud Risk
Risk of fraud by employees, customers, suppliers or other
parties.
Intellectual Property Risk
Intellectual property is the knowledge, skills, designs,
secrets, formula, etc. that the company’s staff has built
over the passage of time. Intellectual property risk is key
employees leave the organization and joining a
competitor.
Probity Risk
Risk of company or its employees’ involvement in
dishonesty, unethical behavior or corrupt Business
practices, e.g., bribery or facilitation payments.
Entrepreneurial Risk
Risk of associated with any new business venture or
opportunity, new products or new markets
TERMINOLOGIES
Risk Awareness, Assessment & Management
Risk awareness means ability to IDENTIFY the risks associated with any activity or investment.
Risk assessment means MEASURING the ‘impact’ and ‘probability’ of each risk and then prioritizing
those risks accordingly.
Risk management means how the risks are IDENTIFIED, MEASURED AND MANAGED by the
company. Risk management is important as it protects the company from unforeseen adverse
events in future. Directors who fail to manage risks are failing in their duties to the shareholders.
Risk Appetite
Risk appetite is the amount of risk an organization is willing to take.
It is assumed that higher risks have higher returns and lower risks
have lower returns.
Risk appetite varies from company to company depending on its
shareholders attitude towards risk.
In other words, the organization needs to decide whether it wants to
be risk averse or risk seeker (called risk attitude – see below).
Risk appetite also affects organization’s Risk Policy and Controls e.g.,
higher the risk appetite, higher the controls needed to manage the
risks and protect the organization from adverse effects.
Risk Attitude
Risk Averse organizations have lower risk appetite as they are
more cautious and wants to minimize risks. Hence, they are
willing to accept lower returns e.g., public sector or charitable
organizations.
Risk Seeker organizations have higher risk appetite as they are
willing to take more risks in expectation of higher returns
Strategic Risks & Operational Risks
Strategic risks arise from the overall strategic position of the company,
such as type of industry and markets, competitors’ strategies, business
model (e.g., Online), etc. They affect the entire organization, hence are
managed at Board level. However, strategic risks take time to affect the
company i.e, it does not have an immediate effect.
Operational risks arise from normal day-to-day operations and are more
likely to affect some part of the business and not the entire organization,
such as procurement, manufacturing, warehousing, logistics, after sales
service, etc. Operational risks have immediate effects and hence have to
be addressed urgently.
Risk Perception – Objective Risks
& Subjective Risks
Risk perception is the ‘belief’ that a particular
risk may happen.
Some risks can be assessed with high degree of
certainty using historic data and scientific tools;
hence these risks can be ‘objectively’ assessed.
Some risks cannot be assessed objectively, e.g.,
the risk is theoretically present but has never
occurred in the past. For e.g., earthquake or
natural disasters.
It is difficult to assess their probability and
impact. Hence subjective risk perception
presents a dilemma to the Board on how to deal
with such risks, as the costs for mitigating such
risks are high.
Related and Correlated Risk
RELATED RISK CORRELATED RISKS
Related risks mean that two or more risks • Correlation shows the relation between
are related with each other or may have a related risk. Positive correlation means
common cause. that if one risk increases, then the other
risk will increase too (e.g., legal risk vs
E.g., if an organization breaches any law reputational risk).
and pays fine (legal risk), then its
reputation will get adversely affected • Negative correlation means that if one
(reputational risk). risk increases, the other risk decreases
(e.g., As more money is spent on
In this case, legal risk is independent reducing Environmental risk by taking
variable and reputational is dependent loans, there is an increase in the financial
variable. risk facing the company).
Risk Diversification
Risk diversification means that the company spreads risks
across many areas.
Risk can be diversified as follows:
▪ Product diversification (having multiple products)
▪ Industry diversification (operating in more than one
industry, either related or unrelated)
▪ Geographical diversification (variety of cities and countries)
The more the risk diversification, the lessor the impact of a
particular risk.
Risk Capacity
• Risk capacity means having resources
available to deal with risks.
• A company cannot take high risks if they
do not have the resources to deal with
risks.
• Risk capacities includes technical
expertise, financial resources, etc.
ALARP Principle
As Low As Reasonably Practical
• Most risks cannot be eliminated completely.
The primary focus of risk management is to
reduce the risk to a tolerable level. Level of
tolerable risk is a balance between the impact
/ likelihood of risk versus the cost to mitigate
the risk.
• It is the role of the Board to decide the ALARP
level for the business to operate at a safe level
expected by government, customers and
public. The residual risk after ALARP level
should be also be constantly monitored as
risks are dynamic in nature.
Risk Management
• Risk management means how the risks are
IDENTIFIED, MEASURED AND MANAGED by the
company. Risk management is important as it protects
the company from unforeseen adverse events in
future. Directors who fail to manage risks are failing in
their duties to the shareholders.
• Risk management strategy is linked with organizations
corporate strategy. For e.g., if an organization is
seeking rapid growth, it is likely it will have to take
more risks than an organization that is seeking to
maintain its current position.
Risk Management
• Risk management is a continuous process as risks are
dynamic in nature. Risk level changes over time
depending upon the external environment of the
business. Also, it is important to update the
‘probability’ and ‘impact’ analysis so that risk
management strategies can remain up to date and
effective.
Advantages of Risk Management
Risk management lead to extra costs.
However, there is no incremental revenues
from risk management. The advantage of risk
management is indirect in nature, i.e., it helps
in prevention of major exposure, business
interruption and losses.
Advantages of Risk
Management
Following are the advantages of risk management:
▪ Identifies risks which prevents organization from
achieving its objectives
▪ Helps in avoiding or mitigating those risks
▪ Prevents business disruptions or slowing down of
operations
▪ Prevents reputational loss
▪ Prevents penalties
▪ Allows organizations to grow in a controlled and safe
manner
Risk Mitigation Techniques
▪ Embedding risk in organization’s culture
▪ Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) framework
▪ Risk management strategies (TARA Framework) and heatmaps
▪ Risk Registers
▪ Risk committee
▪ Risk manager
▪ Risk audits
Embedding Risk In
Organization’s Culture
Risk awareness is not sufficient at board of
directors’ level only. It needs to be
embedded across the entire organization.
It is not an activity but a mental approach
which should be built into the Org’s culture.
Embedding Risk In Organization’s Culture
Following are the ways in which risk awareness and
management can be embed in an organization:
▪ Commitment from top level (place high importance)
▪ Create a risk focused environment
▪ Have a formal Risk committee
▪ Adopt ERM framework, implement internal controls,
have risk audit
▪ Human resources / employees:
• Include in individual’s job description
• Regular trainings and workshops
• Periodic performance appraisal
Enterprise Risk Management Framework
▪ Most organizations adopt COSO’s ERM Framework to manage their risks
▪ Committee of Sponsoring Organizations (COSO) – Enterprise Risk Management
(ERM) Framework
▪ ERM Framework links business strategies with risk management across all level of
the Organisation. It is designed to identify risks and how to manage them within the
risk appetite of the organization. ERM Framework comprises of EIGHT stages.
Eight Stages of ERM Framework
1. Control Environment
Commitment from top level. Risk management
should be embedded in company’s culture and
values .
2. Objective Setting
Company’s risk appetite / ALARP level to be
determined in line the business strategies
3. Event Identification
Make list of all possible risks (both external as
well as internal risks)
Eight Stages of ERM Framework
4. Risk Assessment
Assess the impact and probability of each risks
and prioritize them in accordance with Expected
Value (EV)
5. Risk Response
Decides appropriate action to each risk based on
EV (e.g., TARA Model)
6. Control Activities
Implement risk responses and actions effectively
Eight Stages of ERM Framework
7. Information & Communication
Regular training of employees and
communication with key stakeholders
8. Monitoring
Undertake ERM process regularly so that
changes in risks can be incorporated / updated
Risk Management
Strategies
(TARA Model)
Transference: Transfer risk to third party, e.g.,
HIGH
insurance, outsourcing or franchising
REDUCE AVOID
PROBABILITY
Avoidance: Eliminate risk by totally avoiding
activities which causes risk
Reduction: Reduce the exposure to risks by ACCEPT TRANSFER
implementing controls
LOW
Acceptance: Accept the consequence of the risk, LOW HIGH
IMPACT
should it happen. Normally adopted for small risks
Heat Maps
• A heat map is a diagrammatic presentation
of the various risks faced by the
organization.
• It shows all risks in one picture and helps
organization in prioritizing and focusing on
high risks.
Risk Register
• A risk register is a formal document which
lists all the risks which a company faces,
along with its possible impact and
probability.
• This list helps to prioritize risks and to decide
which risks need most attention. The
register can then be used as an objective
and consistent basis to manage risk,
committing sufficient resources as necessary
and providing a holistic view of how risk is
being managed throughout organization.
Risk Committee
• The Risk Committee is responsible for
oversight of the risks which the company
faces and ensuring that a sound system of
risk management and internal controls exists
to deal with those risks.
• Risk Committee comprises of majority of
NEDs with some Executive directors, as
specialist expertise of Executive directors
can benefit the committee.
Roles of the Risk Committee
Relating to Risk Management Process
▪ Implement formal risk management process / ERM framework
▪ Advice board on risk appetite and ALARP levels
▪ Embed risk management in organization culture
▪ Identify key risks and recommend risk management procedures and controls
▪ Monitor overall risk exposure of the company and ensure it remains within limits set by the board
▪ Ensure risk management procedures and controls are effective
▪ Informing board and shareholders of any significant change to company’s risk profile
▪ Monitor performance of Risk Manager
Roles of the Risk Committee
Relating to Internal Controls
▪ Review and implement internal control systems, policies and procedures
▪ Assess effectiveness of internal controls
▪ Review Internal Controls Report sent to Shareholders
▪ Provide early warning to the board of emerging weakness in the internal control system
Advantages of Having a Separate Risk Committee:
▪ More focused and specialized
▪ More time can be spent by committees as full board has limited time
▪ Higher involvement by NEDs (e.g., in audit or remuneration committees)
▪ Board can focus more on strategic and business matters
▪ Increases shareholder confidence
Risk Manager
A risk manager is a person whose main role is to manage the entire risk management process
of the organization. He/she reports to Risk Committee.
Key tasks include:
▪ Establishing overall risk management policies, systems and controls
▪ Suggesting risk appetite and ALARP levels to the Risk Committee
▪ Implementing risk management framework (COSO) and risk management strategies (TARA)
▪ Updating risk registers
▪ Embedding risk management in the organizational culture
▪ Compliance with risk management related regulations and statutes
▪ Reporting
Risk Audits
A Risk audit provides an independent assessment
of the risk management process and controls in
place.
Risk audits can be done by external firm as well
as internal audit department.
Some regulations require mandatory risk audits
(e.g., SOX).
Risk Audits
Risk Audits includes four stages:
1. Risk identification
(e.g., maintenance of risk registers)
2. Risk assessment (impact & probability)
3. Review of controls (effectiveness of internal controls
put in place to mitigate the risk)
4. Report (issue report to management commenting on
the quality and effectiveness of the risk management
process and identifying shortcomings /
recommendations)
Risk Audits
Risk audit by an external firm (as compared to internal
audit dept) is more beneficial due to:
▪ More independence
▪ Fresh pair of eyes
▪ Brings external experience and best practices
▪ Avoid familiarity threat
▪ Enhance shareholder’s confidence
Benefits of Accepting
Some Risks
Look for more
Assess Very
&
Competitive
In order to grab new opportunities and increase
Advantage
Carefully
build on these
profitability, some extra risks need to be taken.
Organizations are now seeking higher risks to
Accept All
benefit from higher rewards. Avoid
opportunities
Hence risk management is being used to take
higher risks to increase the probability of positive Low High
outcomes and profitability.
Risk
Take Calculated Risks.
Follow Your Passion.
#HelpOneAnother #Care,NotScare #HelpOne Another #Care,NotScare