Bitcoin fall ? Whales ? Retail ?
Whales Kon hoti hain? How you can have whales mindset ? Here are steps
This is a screenshot from my group so I thought k sub ka crypto mei yeh
issue hai - let me guide .
Main 10 saal se trading aur markets mein hoon. Agar apne Urdu/Hindi mein
Bitcoin buying ki pehli video YouTube pe dekhi ho, toh wo meri thi (2016 ke
aas paas). Yeh experience bol raha hai, aur meri sabse badi advice yeh hai |
in mei say kisi aur ney meri yeh video jahan free bitcoin Lena ka bata raha
hoon post ki hai check upload date and views ? How many were interested
back then ? So whales woh hoti hain Jo is Tarah ki video per action leti hai
[Link] . Imagine free
bitcoin ka bola Phir bi Nahie Liya
I use to talk very decently regarding bitcoin in 2016 just see my tone in the
above video but with the passage of time I was like what the hell , what
dump heads are these viewers
1. Kisi dost ya social media ki baat pe andha yakin mat karo. Jab tak samajh
na aaye ke banda 10 saal purana hai aur field ka expert hai, uski baat pe rely
mat karo. Sirf screenshots ya ‘ghar le liya’, ‘car le li’, ‘jet le liya’ type baaton
ke chakkar mein mat phanso. Yeh sab trading ke asli process se distract
karte hain. Samjho trade lene ke peechay ka logic aur strategy kya hai.
2. Books Jinhon Ne Mujhe Samajhne Mein Help Kiya , Market k top samjney
mei , try to read these along with others that I usually recommend , without
book reading you cannot become a whale mindset
A) The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham
Yeh book market ka asli game samjhaati hai. Graham ka main lesson yeh
tha:
• “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are
fearful.”
Iska matlab yeh hai ke jab market mein log panic mein sell kar rahe hain, tab
buying ka time hota hai. Aur jab sab log greed ke saath buy kar rahe hote
hain, tab profit book karne ka waqt hota hai.
Emotions Control Ka Formula (Local Example):
• Graham ne kaha tha ke apne investments ko “Business Owner” ki tarah
treat karo, na ke Speculator ki tarah.
• Example:
Lahore mein ek dukan ka socho jo Rs. 50 lakh ki hai, aur woh monthly Rs.
50,000 ka profit deti hai. Agar ek din koi banda bole ke yeh dukan Rs. 1 crore
ki ho gayi, kya tum buy karoge? Zyada chances hain ke tum bolo ke price
overpriced hai.
Ab market mein yeh soch apnani hai. Jab price zyada fast grow kare, toh
greed ko control karo aur yeh socho: “Kya yeh value justify karti hai?”
Yeh wali bohat fit hai
Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller (Nobel Prize Winner)
Yeh book mujhe bubbles aur market ke psychology ke pattern samajhne
mein help karti hai. Shiller ne bataya ke har bubble ek unrealistic
expectation ke chakkar mein banta hai, aur jab reality hit karti hai, toh wo
bubble burst kar jata hai.
Bubble Predict Karne Ka Formula (Local Example):
• P/E Ratio ka use: Samjho, ek property Rs. 5 crore ki hai, aur uska rent Rs. 5
lakh annually hai. Iska P/E ratio hoga 100 (Rs. 5 crore ÷ Rs. 5 lakh).
• Agar P/E ratio 25-30 se upar ho, toh yeh samajh lo ke yeh price unrealistic
hai aur bubble ban raha hai.
• Crypto Example: Agar kisi altcoin ka price 100X upar jaye bina kisi utility
ke, toh yeh bubble ho sakta hai.
Lesson: Overhyped assets ko avoid karo aur rational rahna seekho.
3. Whales Ka Khel (Aur Theory Samajhne Ka Source)
Whales Kaun Hote Hain?
• Whales bade investors hote hain jo market ke majority liquidity ko control
karte hain. Yeh financial institutions ya individual billionaires ho sakte hain.
Yeh long-term sochte hain aur patience se kaam lete hain.
Whales Ko Kab Buy Aur Sell Kaise Pata Chalta Hai?
• Stanford Study on Market Makers: Stanford aur Ivy League researchers ne
yeh theory di thi ke “Smart Money” market data aur on-chain analysis ka use
karke liquidity aur unprofessional traders ko track karta hai.
• Jab market mein zyada fear aur panic hoti hai, tab whales buy karte hain.
Jab greed aur hype hoti hai, tab sell karte hain.
• Fake Breakouts: Whales intentionally price ko pump karte hain, jahan retail
traders (jo bas news aur hype dekhte hain) leverage open karte hain. Uske
baad whales apne assets sell karte hain, price neeche girta hai, aur unka
liquidation hota hai. Phir whales dip pe wapas buy karte hain.
• Accumulation Zones: Jab market sideways hota hai (price stable rehta hai),
tab whales silently buy karte hain. Jab price upar jata hai, woh sell karte
hain.
4. Retail Investor Ki Definition (Mere Point of View)
• Retail investor chhota investor nahi hai. Yeh koi bhi banda ho sakta hai jo
market ka professional experience nahi rakhta. Chahe uske paas crore rupay
ho, lekin agar woh sirf news aur hype dekh kar buy/sell kar raha hai, toh woh
retail trader hai.
• Retail Investor Loss Kyun Karta Hai?
• Leverage ka galat use.
• FOMO mein trade karna (Fear of Missing Out).
• Greed aur fear ko control na kar pana.
5. Strategy for Success
1. Market ka natural cycle samajho: Buy low, sell high.
2. FOMO aur hype se door raho.
3. Books ka knowledge implement karo. Graham aur Shiller jaise experts se
seekho.
4. Whales ki strategy samajhne ki koshish karo aur professional soch develop
karo.
5. Patience rakho aur long-term ka mindset apnao.
Last Lesson: Markets ka khel sirf paisa lagana nahi hai, balki samajh aur
planning ka hai. Har cheez ka logic samajho aur whales ke against khud ko
protect karna seekho! Meri Tarah crypto mei paisa bana hai ? To
[Link] per monthly per click karo or annual per , videos
doun dekh kar decision lo Konsa group tumharay Liya hai.