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Tutorial 07

The document presents a tutorial problem involving probability calculations for drawing cards from a standard 52-card deck. It outlines the process to find the probabilities of drawing exactly 3 aces, exactly 2 kings, and the combined probability of either event occurring. The calculations utilize combinations and the inclusion-exclusion principle to derive the necessary probabilities.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views3 pages

Tutorial 07

The document presents a tutorial problem involving probability calculations for drawing cards from a standard 52-card deck. It outlines the process to find the probabilities of drawing exactly 3 aces, exactly 2 kings, and the combined probability of either event occurring. The calculations utilize combinations and the inclusion-exclusion principle to derive the necessary probabilities.

Uploaded by

pzhamza5669
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Created by:

Dr. Aamir Rashid, Associate Professor, EED UET Taxila.

Tutorial Problem 7. We draw the top 7 cards from a well-shuffled standard 52-card
deck. Find the probability that:
(a) The 7 cards include exactly 3 aces.
(b) The 7 cards include exactly 2 kings.
(c ) The probability that the 7 cards include exactly 3 aces. or exactly 2 kings, or
both.

Problem Setup

1. Define the Sample Space (Ω): The experiment consists of drawing 7 cards from a
well-shuffled 52-card deck. The order in which the cards are drawn does not
matter. Therefore, the total number of possible outcomes is the number of
combinations of 7 cards chosen from 52.

52
Total Outcomes = ( )
7

Since the deck is well-shuffled, we assume every combination is equally likely,


which allows us to use the Discrete Uniform Probability Law (probability equals the
number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of outcomes).

(a) Probability that the 7 cards include exactly 3 aces

Let A be the event that exactly 3 aces are drawn. To find the number of ways this can
happen, we break the selection into two stages using the basic counting principle:

1. Choose the aces: We must choose 3 aces out of the 4 available in the deck. There
are (43) ways to do this.

2. Choose the remaining cards: We must choose the remaining 4 cards from the 48
cards in the deck that are not aces. There are (48
4
) ways to do this.

Multiplying these gives the total number of favorable outcomes:

(43)(48
4
)
P (A) =

(52

7)

(b) Probability that the 7 cards include exactly 2 kings

Let B be the event that exactly 2 kings are drawn. We use the exact same logic as in
part (a):

1. Choose the kings: We must choose 2 kings out of the 4 available. There are (42) ​

ways to do this.

2. Choose the remaining cards: We must choose the remaining 5 cards from the 48
48
cards that are not kings. There are ( 5 ) ways to do this.

Multiplying these gives the total number of favorable outcomes:

(42)(48 )
P (B) = 52 5
​ ​

(7)

(c ) Probability of exactly 3 aces, or exactly 2 kings, or both

We are looking for the probability of the union of events A and B , denoted as P (A ∪
B). According to the properties of probability laws, we use the inclusion-exclusion
formula:

P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) − P (A ∩ B)

We already have P (A) and P (B). We just need to calculate P (A ∩ B), which is the
probability of getting exactly 3 aces AND exactly 2 kings.

4
1. Choose the aces: Choose 3 aces out of 4 → (3) ways. ​

4
2. Choose the kings: Choose 2 kings out of 4 → (2) ways. ​

3. Choose the remaining cards: We have chosen 5 cards so far. The remaining 2
cards must be chosen from the cards that are neither aces nor kings. Since there
are 4 aces and 4 kings, there are 52 − 8 = 44 such cards. There are (44
2 ) ways to

do this.

The probability of both events occurring is:

(43)(42)(44
2
)
P (A ∩ B) =
​ ​ ​

(52

7) ​
Now, substituting everything back into the union formula:

(43)(48 ) (4)(48
4 + 2
) (4)(4)(44
5 − 3 2 2
)
P (A ∪ B) =
​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​

(52

7)

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