B.S.A.
COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING
& TECHNOLOGY, MATHURA
RESEARCH PROJECT REPORT
On
A STUDY ON USE OF AI IN THE FINANCIAL
DECISIONS OF A COMPANY
Submitted for the fulfillment towards the award
of the degree in MASTER OF BUSINESS
ADMINISTRATION
of
Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam Technical University,
Lucknow
Submitted By Under the Guidance of
Pratham Kannojia Mr. Chakresh Pathak
Roll Number: 2400650700032 [Link]
Session – 2025-26
CONTENT
Certificate…..........................................................................................................ii
Declaration…........................................................................................................iii
Acknowledgement…............................................................................................iv
Abstract…............................................................................................................v
CHAPTER-1 Introduction…................................................................1-11
1.1 Background
1.2 Problem Statement: Use of AI in Company Decision-Making.
1.3 Need of AI in Financial Decision-Making Objective of the study.
1.4 Significance of AI in Financial Decision-Making.
1.5 Objectives of the Study.
1.6 Scope of the Study.
1.7 Limitations of the Study.
CHAPTER-2 Literature Review
...............................................................................................................
12-24
2.1 Global Perspective on AI in Finance.
2.2 AI Adoption in Indian Business Environment.
2.3 Gaps Identified in Existing Literature.
2.4 Growth of AI in Financial Decision-Making.
2.5 Applications of AI in Financial Decision-Making.
2.6 Role of Machine Learning and Advanced Techniques.
2.7 Explainable AI (XAI) in Financial Decisions.
2.8 Benefits of AI in Financial Decision-Making.
2.9 Future Research Directions.
2.10 Theoretical Framework.
2.11 Role of AI in Financial Functions.
CHAPTER-3 Research Methodology.....................................................25-57
3.1 Research design.
3.2 AI Implementation in Indian Startups.
3.3 Impact of AI on Financial Performance Metrics.
3.4 Comparative Analysis Across Industries.
3.5 Challenges and Ethical Considerations.
3.6 Population and Sample.
3.7 Data Collection Tools and Techniques.
3.8 Statistical Tools Used for Analysis.
3.9 Research Questions and Hypotheses.
3.10 Identification of the major research streams.
3.11 Issues that deserve further investigation.
CHAPTER-4 Data Analysis and Findings...............................................58-65
CHAPTER-5 Recommendations…..........................................................66-67
5.1 Recommendations for Future AI Integration.
5.2 Implications for Business and Policy Makers.
5.3 Suggestions for Further Research.
CHAPTER-6 Conclusion.......................................................................... 68-69
CHAPTER-7 References…........................................................................ 70-80
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Mr. Pratham Kannojia (Roll No. 2400650700032), a bonafide
student of MBA IV Semester, B.S.A. College of Engineering & Technology,
Mathura, has successfully completed the Research Project Report (BMB 406)
titled:
“A STUDY ON USE OF AI IN THE FINANCIAL DECISIONS OF A COMPANY”
for the partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of Master
of Business Administration from Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam Technical University,
Lucknow, under my guidance.
Mr. Chakresh Pathak
(Project Guide)
Director
B.S.A. College of Engineering & Technology
iv
DECLARATION
I, Pratham Kannojia, student of MBA IV Semester, B.S.A. College of
Engineering & Technology, Mathura, hereby declare that the Research Project
Report (BMB 406) titled:
“A STUDY ON USE OF AI IN THE FINANCIAL DECISIONS OF A COMPANY”
is my original work and has been completed by me under the guidance of Mr.
Chakresh Pathak. This report has not been submitted earlier to any university or
institution for the award of any degree or diploma.
Signature: _____________
Name: Pratham Kannojia
Roll No.: 2400650700032
Place: Mathura
Date:
v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to B.S.A. College of Engineering &
Technology, Mathura for providing me the opportunity to work on this research
project.
I am highly thankful to my project guide, Mr. Chakresh Pathak, for his valuable
guidance, continuous support, and encouragement throughout the completion of
this project.
I also extend my thanks to all faculty members of the MBA Department for their
support and cooperation. I am grateful to my friends and family for their constant
motivation and help during the preparation of this report.
Finally, I would like to thank everyone who directly or indirectly contributed to the
successful completion of this project.
Pratham Kannojia
vi
ABSTRACT
Over the past two decades, artificial intelligence (AI) has experienced rapid
development and is being used in a wide range of sectors and activities,
including finance. In the meantime, a growing and heterogeneous strand of
literature has explored the use of AI in finance. The aim of this study is to
provide a comprehensive overview of the existing research on this topic and
to identify which research directions need further investigation. Accordingly,
using the tools of bibliometric analysis and content analysis, we examined a
large number of articles published between 1992 and March 2021.
We find that the literature on this topic has expanded considerably since the
beginning of the XXI century, covering a variety of countries and different AI
applications in finance, amongst which Predictive/forecasting systems,
Classification/detection/early warning systems and Big data Analytics/Data
mining /Text mining stand out. Furthermore, we show that the selected articles
fall into ten main research streams, in which AI is applied to the stock market,
trading models, volatility forecasting, portfolio management, performance, risk
and default evaluation, cryptocurrencies, derivatives, credit risk in banks,
investor sentiment analysis and foreign exchange management, respectively.
Future research should seek to address the partially unanswered research
questions and improve our understanding of the impact of recent disruptive
technological developments on finance.
vii
CHAPTER-1
INTRODUCTION
The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into the financial ecosystem of
Indian businesses is revolutionizing traditional decision-making processes
and redefining the competitive landscape. With the advent of digital
transformation, Indian enterprises, ranging from startups to large
conglomerates, are increasingly adopting AI technologies such as machine
learning, natural language processing, and predictive analytics to enhance
financial forecasting, risk management, credit scoring, and investment
strategies.
The traditional methods of financial analysis, which often relied heavily on
human expertise and historical data, are now being supplemented—and in
some cases, supplanted—by AI systems that can analyze vast datasets in
real time to derive actionable insights (Marr, 2019). The growing volume
and complexity of financial data, coupled with the pressure for accurate,
timely, and data- driven decisions, have necessitated this shift.
Indian financial institutions, particularly in the banking and fintech sectors,
have emerged as frontrunners in deploying AI to automate credit
underwriting, detect fraud, and optimize asset management (Kumar &
Malhotra, 2020). This paradigm shift is not only improving operational
efficiency but also mitigating cognitive biases traditionally associated with
human-led decision- making.
Artificial Intelligence has substantially enhanced financial decision-making
accuracy and speed by introducing algorithmic models capable of predictive
analysis and real-time monitoring. In Indian business environments, AI
applications are enabling CFOs and financial analysts to process multi-
dimensional data from market trends, customer behavior, and economic 1
indicators more efficiently than ever before (Sharma & Jain, 2021).
This real-time processing capacity is particularly important in volatile
markets, where delayed or inaccurate decisions can lead to significant
financial losses. For instance, AI enabled decision- support systems help in
portfolio management by continuously scanning global financial markets,
predicting asset performance, and recommending strategic moves based on
risk tolerance and investment objectives (Dwivedi et al., 2021).
Furthermore, the advent of AI-powered chatbots and virtual financial
advisors has made financial services more accessible to small and medium-
sized enterprises (SMEs), thus democratizing financial intelligence and
bridging gaps in expert access. As Indian businesses navigate complex
regulatory frameworks and global competition, AI emerges not just as a tool
but as a strategic partner in sound financial governance.
In addition to enhancing efficiency, AI is playing a critical role in improving
the quality of financial decisions by identifying patterns, anomalies, and
correlations that human analysts might overlook. In sectors like e-
commerce, manufacturing, and logistics, Indian businesses are employing
AI to optimize pricing strategies, manage working capital, and automate
budgeting processes.
These innovations are reducing human errors and introducing greater
objectivity into financial judgments, thereby minimizing risks and improving
profitability (Saxena & Raj, 2022). AI also contributes significantly to
compliance and auditing by tracking transactions in real-time, flagging
unusual activities, and ensuring adherence to financial regulations
2
1.1 Background
The rise of AI in India’s financial decision-making landscape is also being
driven by government initiatives like Digital India and Startup India, which
have created a conducive ecosystem for AI experimentation and innovation
(Mehta & Singh, 2020). With the convergence of AI technologies and
financial analytics, Indian businesses are better equipped to navigate
economic uncertainties and make strategic decisions that align with long-
term goals.
Nevertheless, the adoption of AI in financial decision-making does
not come without challenges. Despite the promising benefits, Indian
businesses face several hurdles including high implementation costs, lack
of technical expertise, and concerns regarding data privacy and algorithmic
transparency. Many traditional enterprises still operate within legacy
systems that are
3
not AI-compatible, limiting the extent of technological integration
(Narayanan & Ghosh, 2023). Moreover, AI-driven financial decisions, while
largely accurate, may lack the contextual understanding and ethical
considerations that human judgment provides. This raises questions about
accountability, especially when decisions go awry.
The absence of robust regulatory frameworks to govern AI applications in
finance adds another layer of complexity. However, ongoing research and
industry collaborations are addressing these gaps by developing ethical AI
models and promoting digital literacy among financial professionals.
The need of the hour is a hybrid model wherein AI augments human
intelligence rather than replacing it entirely, ensuring that financial decisions
are not only data-driven but also socially responsible and contextually
nuanced (Bhardwaj & Kumar, 2021).
4
1.2 Problem Statement: Use of AI in Company Decision-Making
1. Information Overload.
Problem:
Companies collect huge amounts of data (sales, customers, operations),
which humans cannot process efficiently.
Solution by AI:
AI systems analyze large datasets quickly and extract meaningful insights.
Example:
Retail companies use AI to analyze customer purchase patterns.
2. Slow Decision-Making.
Problem:
Traditional decision-making takes time due to manual analysis.
Solution by AI:
AI provides real-time insights and automated recommendations.
Example:
5
AI helps in instant fraud detection in banking.
3. Human Bias and Errors.
Problem:
Managers may take biased or emotional decisions.
Solution by AI:
AI makes data-driven and objective decisions, reducing human bias.
Example:
AI in hiring processes reduces favoritism.
6
4. Inaccurate Forecasting.
Problem:
Companies struggle to predict demand, sales, or risks.
Solution by AI:
AI uses predictive analytics to forecast future trends.
Example:
E-commerce companies predict product demand using AI.
5. Complex Decision Environments.
Problem:
Business decisions involve multiple variables (cost, demand, competition).
Solution by AI:
AI models evaluate multiple scenarios and suggest optimal decisions.
Example:
Supply chain optimization using AI.
6. Lack of Personalization. 7
Problem:
Companies cannot customize decisions for individual customers manually.
Solution by AI:
AI enables personalized recommendations.
Example:
Platforms like Amazon recommend products based on user behavior.
8
7. Risk Management Issues.
Problem:
Difficult to identify risks like fraud, market changes, or failures.
Solution by AI:
AI detects patterns and anomalies to reduce risks.
Example:
Banks use AI for credit risk analysis.
8. Inefficient Resource Allocation.
Problem:
Companies may waste resources due to poor planning.
Solution by AI:
AI optimizes resource usage (labor, inventory, finances).
Example:
AI helps factories reduce production costs.
9. Lack of Real-Time Insights. 9
Problem:
Decisions are based on outdated data.
Solution by AI:
AI processes live data for real-time decision-making.
10
1.3 Need of AI in Financial Decision-Making
The need for Artificial Intelligence (AI) in financial decision-making in Indian
businesses is becoming increasingly urgent due to the rapidly changing
economic environment, technological disruptions, and growing data
complexity. In a landscape where financial decisions must be made swiftly
and with high accuracy, AI serves as a powerful tool to process vast
quantities of structured and unstructured data in real time, offering
businesses the ability to respond quickly to market changes and customer
behavior.
Traditional financial methods, while historically reliable, often suffer from
latency, limited scalability, and vulnerability to human bias. AI helps
overcome these limitations by using machine learning algorithms and
predictive analytics to deliver more accurate forecasts, identify hidden
trends, and enhance overall financial planning (Dwivedi et al., 2021). For
Indian enterprises, especially in sectors such as fintech, retail, healthcare,
and logistics, where the volume and velocity of transactions are massive, AI
provides the necessary technological leverage to maintain competitiveness.
Additionally, the global shift toward digital banking, the rise of UPI and
mobile payments in India, and increasing customer expectations for
personalization have intensified the demand for AI- driven financial solutions
(Mehta & Singh, 2020).
AI also plays a crucial role in managing financial risks by identifying
11
potential defaults, detecting frauds, and simulating future economic
scenarios through advanced modelling, which is increasingly necessary in
India’s volatile and complex financial ecosystem (Sharma & Jain, 2021).
12
1.4 Significance of AI in Financial Decision-Making
The significance of AI in financial decision-making lies in its transformative
ability to enhance efficiency, accuracy, transparency, and strategic agility in
Indian businesses. By automating routine financial tasks such as invoicing,
budgeting, and expense tracking, AI allows finance professionals to focus
on high value activities like strategy formulation and stakeholder
engagement.
AI applications such as robot-advisors, intelligent dashboards, and natural
language generation tools have made real-time financial insights more
accessible to decision-makers at all organizational levels (Kumar &
Malhotra, 2020). This not only improves decision quality but also aligns
financial strategies with broader business objectives. Moreover, in the post
COVID-19 recovery phase, businesses are under increasing pressure to
optimize resources, cut costs, and make data-driven decisions swiftly.
AI, with its capacity to generate insights from historical and real-time data,
supports predictive and prescriptive financial decision-making, which is
critical for long-term sustainability (Bhardwaj & Kumar, 2021).
For Indian SMEs, which often lack dedicated financial departments, AI tools
offer an affordable and scalable way to manage cash flow, conduct market
analysis, and improve financial literacy. Additionally, AI enhances regulatory
compliance by continuously monitoring transactions, identifying anomalies,
and ensuring adherence to financial standards.
13
This is particularly significant in India, where businesses face evolving tax
policies, digital finance regulations, and increased scrutiny from financial
institutions (Narayanan & Ghosh, 2023).
Thus, the integration of AI into financial decision-making is not just a trend
but a strategic imperative for Indian businesses aiming to thrive in a
dynamic and digitized economic landscape.
14
1.5 Objectives of the Study
1. To examine the extent to which Artificial Intelligence (AI) is adopted in
the financial decision- making processes of Indian businesses.
2. To analyze the impact of AI tools and technologies on the accuracy,
speed, and quality of financial decisions.
3. To evaluate the perceptions of financial professionals regarding the
usefulness, challenges, and ethical concerns of using AI in financial
decision-making.
4. To identify sectoral differences in AI adoption and analyze how factors
such as firm size, industry type, and technological readiness influence AI-
driven financial decisions.
15
1.6 Scope of the Study
This study primarily focuses on Indian businesses across various sectors
including banking, fintech, manufacturing, IT, and retail. It aims to explore
the role and impact of AI in financial decision-making functions such as
budgeting, investment planning, risk analysis, and compliance.
The research includes both qualitative and quantitative approaches—
gathering data from financial professionals, company executives, and
industry experts through surveys, interviews, and document analysis.
Furthermore, it aims to provide sector-specific insights, thus offering
valuable information for policymakers, tech developers, and business
leaders looking to implement or scale AI in finance.
1.7 Limitations of the Study
With the rapid adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI), companies are increasingly
relying on automated systems to support or replace human decision-making
processes. While AI offers benefits such as speed, efficiency, and data-
driven insights, it also introduces several critical challenges that can
negatively impact organizational performance and ethical standards.
The primary problem lies in the over-reliance on AI systems without fully
understanding their limitations. AI models depend heavily on historical data,
16
which may be biased, incomplete, or outdated. As a result, decisions
generated by AI can reinforce existing inequalities, lead to unfair outcomes,
or produce inaccurate predictions.
Another major issue is the lack of transparency and explainability in AI
algorithms (often referred to as the "black box" problem). Managers and
stakeholders may find it difficult to interpret how AI systems arrive at certain
decisions, reducing trust and accountability in organizational processes.
Additionally, the use of AI raises ethical and legal concerns, including data
privacy, security risks, and the potential misuse of sensitive information.
Companies may face regulatory challenges if AI-driven decisions violate
compliance standards or discriminate against certain groups.
17
There is also the challenge of reduced human judgment and critical
thinking. Excessive dependence on AI can limit managerial intuition,
creativity, and contextual understanding, which are essential for complex
and strategic decisions.
Furthermore, implementing AI systems involves high costs, technical
complexity, and skill gaps, making it difficult for organizations to effectively
integrate AI into their decision-making frameworks.
18
CHAPTER-
2 REVIEW OF
LITERATURE
2.1 Global Perspective on AI in Finance
Globally, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformational force
in financial decision-making, significantly altering how businesses manage
data, assess risk, and optimize performance. Research indicates that AI
technologies, such as machine learning (ML), natural language processing
(NLP), and robotic process automation (RPA), have enabled financial
institutions to improve the speed, precision, and predictive capacity of their
decision-making models (Bhat & Sharma, 2020).
According to Brynjolfsson and McAfee (2017), AI enables a shift from
intuition-driven to data- driven decision-making, offering real time insights
and enhanced risk prediction models in global banking and investment
sectors.
In the United States and Europe, AI-powered tools such as robot-advisors
and fraud detection algorithms are increasingly replacing manual
processes, thus reducing operational costs and human errors (Deloitte,
2020).
19
Moreover, large global corporations are using AI to develop dynamic
pricing, algorithmic trading strategies, and predictive analytics for strategic
financial planning (Krauss, Do & Huck, 2017). Despite these advantages,
challenges such as ethical concerns, data privacy regulations (e.g., GDPR),
and bias in algorithmic decision making remain pertinent in global literature
(Binns, 2018).
20
2.2 AI Adoption in Indian Business Environment
In India, the application of AI in financial decision-making is gaining
momentum, especially in sectors such as banking, fintech, e-commerce,
and insurance. Indian companies are leveraging AI for a variety of financial
tasks including fraud detection, credit scoring, customer segmentation, and
investment forecasting (Mehta & Gupta, 2021).
The National Association of Software and Service Companies (NASSCOM,
2021) reported a 30% increase in AI adoption in Indian financial services
post-2020, particularly due to the acceleration of digital transformation
during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Additionally, the emergence of AI-enabled fintech startups such as Razor
pay, Paytm, and Cred has reshaped the traditional financial landscape by
introducing real-time, personalized financial solutions (Kumar & Malhotra,
2020).
However, the pace of AI adoption varies significantly across company sizes
and industries. Large corporations tend to integrate AI more efficiently due
to better infrastructure and skilled workforce, whereas small and medium
enterprises (SMEs) often face technological, financial, and skill-related
barriers (Rao & Singh, 2022).
Moreover, concerns related to data quality, lack of regulatory clarity, and
cybersecurity are frequently highlighted as key challenges in the Indian
context. Despite these issues, government initiatives such as “Digital India”
21
and “AI for All” are expected to foster broader acceptance and integration of
AI tools in Indian financial decision-making.
22
2.3 Gaps Identified in Existing Literature
Although a considerable amount of literature has examined the use of AI in
financial sectors globally and in India, certain gaps remain.
First, much of the existing research focuses on technological
implementation or consumer-facing applications, with limited emphasis on
how AI specifically influences internal financial decision- making processes
such as capital budgeting, financial forecasting, and strategic investment
planning (Narayanan & Ghosh, 2023).
Second, there is a dearth of empirical studies exploring the perceptions and
readiness of financial professionals in Indian businesses toward AI
integration. While global studies have examined behavioral aspects, Indian
literature largely overlooks the human, ethical, and cognitive dimensions of
AI adoption in finance.
Third, sector-specific analysis is limited—existing studies often generalize
findings without distinguishing between industries like IT, manufacturing,
and retail, which may have unique challenges and opportunities related to
AI-driven decision-making (Sharma & Jain, 2021). Additionally, the impact
of organizational culture, leadership attitude, and digital maturity on AI
adoption in finance remains an underexplored area in Indian academia.
Need for hybrid AI models combining interpretability and accuracy.
Limited research on AI adoption in SMEs.
Lack of standardized frameworks for AI-based financial decision-making.
23
Insufficient focus on ethical AI and governance.
These gaps highlight the need for more comprehensive, mixed-method
research that combines technological analysis with managerial insights to
better understand the influence of AI on financial decision-making within the
Indian business ecosystem.
24
2.4 Growth of AI in Financial Decision-Making
Recent literature highlights a rapid increase in AI adoption across financial
functions. Studies show that more than 90% of financial institutions are
either using or planning to adopt AI, reflecting its growing importance in
decision-making.
Research by Bahoo et al. (2024) indicates that AI applications in finance
have expanded significantly since the early 2000s, particularly in:
Forecasting and predictive analytics.
Risk assessment.
Portfolio management.
Fraud detection.
This growth demonstrates that AI is becoming a core tool for improving
financial efficiency and strategic planning in companies.
2.5 Applications of AI in Financial Decision-Making
Risk Management and Credit Analysis.
AI models such as Random Forest, Neural Networks, and XGBoost are
widely used to assess creditworthiness and financial risk. Studies report
that AI-driven systems can improve risk model accuracy by up to 25% and
reduce loan defaults by 20%.
25
Investment and Portfolio Decisions.
AI is extensively used in.
Stock price prediction.
Algorithmic trading.
Portfolio optimization.
Machine learning models can identify complex patterns in financial data,
outperforming traditional statistical methods in many cases.
Fraud Detection.
AI enhances fraud detection by analyzing transaction patterns and
anomalies. Literature shows a 40% reduction in false positives using AI-
based systems.
Financial Statement Analysis.
AI improves the analysis of financial statements by automating data
processing and enhancing prediction accuracy, helping companies make
informed strategic decisions.
26
2.6 Role of Machine Learning and Advanced Techniques
Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) are the backbone of AI-based
decision systems. Common techniques include:
Support Vector Machines (SVM).
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM).
Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN).
These models help in capturing nonlinear relationships in financial data,
leading to improved forecasting and decision-making.
Reinforcement Learning (RL) is also gaining attention for dynamic financial
decision-making, especially in:
Market trading.
Portfolio optimization.
Real-time decision systems.
2.7 Explainable AI (XAI) in Financial Decisions
One major concern in AI adoption is the “black-box” nature of models.
Explainable AI (XAI)
addresses this issue by providing transparency in decision-making.
A systematic review of 138 studies found that:
XAI is widely used in credit scoring, fraud detection, and stock 27
prediction.
Techniques like SHAP and feature importance improve trust and
accountability.
Explainability is crucial in finance because decisions often involve
regulatory compliance and high risk.
2.8 Benefits of AI in Financial Decision-Making
Literature consistently highlights several advantages:
Improved accuracy and efficiency.
Faster decision-making.
Better risk management.
Cost reduction through automation.
Enhanced predictive capabilities.
AI enables companies to make proactive rather than reactive financial
decisions.
28
2.9 Future Research Directions
Future studies should focus on:
Developing explainable and transparent AI systems.
Integrating AI with human decision-making (Human-AI collaboration).
Enhancing data governance and security.
Expanding AI applications in emerging financial areas like fintech and
digital currencies.
2.10 Theoretical Framework
2.10.1Decision Theory and AI Integration.
Decision theory, a multidisciplinary field rooted in economics, statistics,
psychology, and management science, seeks to explain and improve
decision-making under conditions of uncertainty and complexity. In the
context of financial decision-making, it traditionally provides frameworks like
Expected Utility Theory, Prospect Theory, and Bayesian Decision Theory
that guide how choices are made regarding investments, risk management,
and resource allocation (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). With the advent of
Artificial Intelligence, decision theory has found a powerful ally, enabling
computational models to handle large-scale data analysis and derive
29
predictive insights that were previously unattainable.
AI enhances decision theory by embedding machine learning algorithms
capable of recognizing patterns, minimizing biases, and dynamically
adapting to real-time market changes, thereby supporting optimal financial
choices (Russell & Norvig, 2020). For example, AI-infused decision support
systems now use reinforcement learning to simulate different financial
outcomes, providing more robust risk-adjusted strategies (Sutton & Barto,
2018).
Indian businesses, especially in finance and banking, are beginning to shift
from static decision matrices to AI-based systems that employ decision
trees and neural networks to make time- sensitive financial judgments
(Mehta & Gupta, 2021). This integration not only accelerates decision
cycles but also enables the customization of financial solutions based on
individual client profiles, thereby promoting precision finance.
30
The use of AI within decision theory frameworks also addresses
several cognitive limitations inherent in human decision-making. Behavioral
decision theory, which highlights how cognitive biases influence financial
decisions, finds a practical corrective in AI systems that are designed to
mitigate such biases by relying on factual, data-driven patterns (Thaler,
2016).
For instance, algorithms can now quantify the influence of confirmation bias
or overconfidence by tracking decision patterns and providing alternative,
data-backed choices. In emerging Indian markets, where financial
ecosystems are often driven by informal practices and instinctual
judgments, the application of AI under decision theory principles offers a
pathway to formalized, transparent, and auditable decision-making models
(Rao & Singh, 2022).
By integrating AI with decision theory, businesses gain not just
computational speed but also analytical depth—bridging the gap between
theoretical financial logic and real-world application. Ultimately, AI provides
the technological mechanism to automate, scale, and refine decision theory,
thereby transforming it from an academic framework into a strategic tool for
financial leadership.
2.10.2AI Models Used in Financial Decision-Making.
Artificial Intelligence encompasses a wide variety of models that are
increasingly being deployed in financial decision-making across global and
Indian business landscapes. Among the most prominent are machine 31
learning (ML) models, including supervised learning (e.g., regression,
decision trees, support vector machines), unsupervised learning (e.g.,
clustering, PCA), and reinforcement learning models (Krauss, Do, & Huck,
2017).
These models are used for tasks such as credit risk evaluation, asset
management, portfolio optimization, fraud detection, and algorithmic trading.
Supervised models, especially regression analysis and classification
algorithms, are highly effective in predicting loan defaults and investment
outcomes based on historical data. Reinforcement learning, on the other
hand, is widely applied in high-frequency trading platforms where AI agents
learn optimal trading strategies through trial and error (Zhang et al., 2020).
32
These models are not only accurate but also adaptive, enabling systems to
learn and evolve from new data inputs. Indian fintech companies like
Zerodha, Groww, and PolicyBazaar extensively use ML for client profiling,
personalized product recommendations, and automated compliance checks
(Kumar & Malhotra, 2020).
Additionally, deep learning models, particularly neural networks like
Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory
(LSTM) networks, are gaining traction for their ability to handle complex and
non-linear relationships in large financial datasets. LSTM networks are
particularly useful in time-series forecasting—an essential component of
financial modeling that helps predict stock prices, market trends, and cash
flows (Goodfellow et al., 2016).
Moreover, Natural Language Processing (NLP) models are increasingly
employed to extract sentiment and trends from unstructured data such as
financial news, tweets, and earnings reports. For instance, sentiment
analysis using BERT or GPT-based models can alert businesses to market
shifts even before they reflect in financial indicators (Devlin et al., 2019).
In the Indian context, companies like Infosys and TCS are integrating these
advanced models into their enterprise financial systems to enhance
strategic planning and reduce decision latency (NASSCOM, 2021). As the
availability of financial data grows, the capacity of AI models to process and
transform such data into actionable intelligence becomes indispensable,
establishing AI not just as a support tool but as a core component of the
financial decision-making architecture.
33
2.10.3Conceptual Framework of the Study.
The conceptual framework of this study is anchored in the integration of AI
technologies within traditional financial decision-making processes and aims
to explore the degree, methods, and outcomes of such integration in Indian
businesses.
The framework begins with the independent variables, which include
various AI technologies such as machine learning models, deep learning
algorithms, and natural language processing tools. These technologies are
operationalized through their applications in financial tasks like budgeting,
forecasting, credit scoring, and investment evaluation (Narayanan & Ghosh,
2023).
The mediating variables include organizational readiness, employee
competence, digital infrastructure, and regulatory compliance. These factors
influence how effectively AI tools are implemented and whether they
enhance or hinder decision-making quality.
34
The dependent variables are improvements in financial decision accuracy,
speed, cost-efficiency, and strategic alignment. By mapping these
relationships, the framework provides a structural basis to analyze the
impact of AI across various levels of decision-making, from operational
finance to strategic planning. This conceptual model is further enriched by
incorporating theories such as the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM)
and the Resource-Based View (RBV).
TAM helps in understanding the behavioral intent of Indian financial
professionals towards AI adoption, emphasizing perceived ease of use and
perceived usefulness (Davis, 1989).
Meanwhile, the RBV suggests that AI constitutes a strategic asset when
coupled with human capital and organizational routines, thereby generating
sustainable competitive advantage (Barney, 1991).
The model also considers feedback loops, where AI-driven decisions
influence business performance, which in turn informs future AI adoption
and refinement strategies. This dynamic nature of the framework reflects
the real-time adaptability that AI introduces into financial systems.
Empirical validation of this framework will involve quantitative techniques
such as structural equation modeling (SEM) and qualitative interviews to
assess perceived benefits and challenges. In sum, the conceptual
framework not only captures the multifaceted relationship between AI and
financial decision making but also serves as a practical guide for
businesses and policymakers to strategize AI integration in Indian financial
35
contexts.
2.11 Role of AI in Financial Functions
2.11.1 AI in Budgeting and Forecasting.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has revolutionized traditional budgeting and
forecasting processes by offering real-time analysis, enhanced accuracy,
and dynamic adaptability. Traditional budgeting often relies on static data,
historical performance, and human estimations, which can be prone to bias
and inefficiency.
In contrast, AI tools leverage machine learning (ML) algorithms, neural
networks, and predictive analytics to process vast datasets and detect
patterns that human analysts may overlook (Deloitte, 2020). These
technologies allow finance teams to build rolling forecasts and what-if
analyses with higher precision. For instance, AI can factor in variables like
inflation, customer behavior, market volatility, and geopolitical changes, thus
generating more nuanced financial predictions (Ghosh & Saha, 2021).
Moreover, AI-driven tools such as IBM Planning Analytics and Oracle Cloud
EPM automate repetitive forecasting tasks and provide visual dashboards
that enhance managerial decision- making. This significantly reduces
manual errors and enables faster response to changing market dynamics
(Accenture, 2022).
Businesses using AI for budgeting benefit from reduced forecast variances,
improved cost planning, and better capital allocation. Furthermore, AI
systems continuously learn and improve, making future forecasts more 36
accurate over time (Kraus et al., 2021). In India, large corporations like
Reliance and Infosys are already integrating AI into enterprise resource
planning (ERP) systems for more agile financial planning and forecasting
processes, demonstrating its growing significance in corporate finance.
37
2.11.2 AI in Risk Management and Fraud Detection.
Risk management and fraud detection have become critical areas where AI
is making profound impacts, especially in an increasingly digitalized and
complex financial environment. Traditional risk models often use static
parameters and predefined rules, which may not account for the evolving
nature of financial threats.
AI, with its ability to process massive datasets in real-time, can identify
anomalies, predict emerging risks, and mitigate threats more effectively
(Jain & Aggarwal, 2021). Machine learning algorithms can learn from past
risk patterns and adapt to new risk indicators without requiring manual
programming. In fraud detection, AI systems analyze transaction patterns,
user behavior, and historical fraud data to flag suspicious activities (Kumar
& Srinivas, 2020).
AI-enabled tools like SAS Fraud Management and FICO Falcon Platform
are used by banks and financial institutions to detect unusual patterns and
reduce false positives. For instance, these tools analyze geolocation, IP
addresses, time of transaction, and purchase behavior to authenticate
users. Furthermore, Natural Language Processing (NLP) is increasingly
used to analyze emails, messages, and audit reports for early detection of
financial misconduct (PwC, 2021).
Indian banks like HDFC and SBI have implemented AI-driven fraud
analytics to secure online banking operations, showing substantial declines
38
in fraud incidents. Importantly, AI's predictive capabilities also support risk
assessment in lending, investment, and compliance, helping firms stay
ahead of potential threats in a dynamic financial landscape (Gupta et al.,
2022).
2.11.3 AI in Investment and Portfolio Analysis.
AI is fundamentally transforming investment strategies and portfolio
management by offering data-driven insights, personalized
recommendations, and predictive analytics. Unlike human analysts, who
may rely on intuition or limited data, AI systems can scan financial news,
economic reports, market sentiments, and historical data to deliver informed
investment decisions. Robo- advisors like Zerodha’s "Rainmatter" and
global platforms such as Betterment and Wealthfront use AI to create and
manage personalized investment portfolios based on an individual’s risk
tolerance, goals, and market trends (Kaplan, 2020).
39
These systems are particularly valuable for retail investors, as they
democratize access to sophisticated portfolio management strategies.
Additionally, AI-driven hedge funds and asset management firms employ
deep learning to forecast stock movements and adjust portfolio allocations
dynamically (Lo, 2019). Sentiment analysis, using AI techniques, is
increasingly used to predict market reactions by evaluating news headlines,
tweets, and financial statements, giving investors an edge over traditional
methods (Choudhury & Roy, 2021).
In India, fintech firms such as Upstox and Groww are using AI tools to offer
predictive analytics and investment suggestions to customers, increasing
portfolio returns and customer engagement. AI also assists in portfolio risk
optimization through tools that continuously assess volatility, correlation,
and asset performance. These tools enable investors to rebalance portfolios
automatically and in real-time, thereby minimizing risks and maximizing
returns under volatile conditions.
2.11.4 AI in Credit Scoring and Lending Decisions.
AI plays a transformative role in credit scoring and lending decisions by
replacing conventional, rule-based models with more dynamic and inclusive
evaluation methods. Traditional credit scoring models such as those based
on CIBIL or FICO scores often exclude individuals with limited credit
histories, leading to credit access challenges, particularly in emerging
economies like India. AI- based systems, however, utilize alternative data
such as utility payments, mobile phone usage, e- commerce behavior, and 40
social media activity to assess creditworthiness (Mitra & Sinha, 2020).
These models are especially useful for extending financial services to the
unbanked and underbanked segments of society. Fintech companies like
KreditBee, PaySense, and CASHe are using AI algorithms to offer instant
loans to customers by assessing their repayment capacity in real-time.
Moreover, AI models provide enhanced risk profiling by continuously
learning from borrower behavior, thus improving default prediction rates and
reducing non-performing assets (Bose & Roy, 2022). AI-driven credit
engines also automate loan approval processes, significantly reducing
turnaround time and improving operational efficiency.
41
Machine learning models like gradient boosting and support vector
machines (SVM) have demonstrated superior performance in detecting
potential loan defaulters compared to traditional logistic regression models
(Muthukrishnan & Pandey, 2021). Indian banks such as ICICI Bank and
Axis Bank have adopted AI in their credit decision-making to expedite loan
processing and personalize loan products.
2.11.5 A taxonomy of AI applications in Finance.
After scrutinising some relevant features of the papers, we make a step
forward and outline a taxonomy of AI applications used in Finance and
tackled by previous literature.
Many research papers (39 out of 110) employ AI as a predictive instrument
for forecasting stock prices, performance and volatility. In 23 papers, AI is
employed in classification problems and warning systems to detect credit
risk and frauds, as well as to monitor firm or bank performance. The former
use of AI permits to classify firms into two categories based on qualitative
and quantitative data; for example, we may have distressed or non-
distressed, viable–nonviable, bankrupt–non-bankrupt, or financially healthy–
not healthy, good–bad, and fraud–not fraud. Warning systems follow a
similar principle: after analysing customers’ financial behaviour and
classifying potential fraud issues in bank accounts, alert models signal to
the bank unusual transactions. Additionally, we see that 14 articles employ
text mining and data mining language recognition, i.e. natural language
processing, as well as sentiment analysis. This may be the starting point of 42
AI-driven behavioural analysis in Finance. Amongst others, trading models
and algorithmic trading are further popular aspects of AI widely analysed in
the literature. Moreover, interest in Robo-advisory is growing in the asset
investment field. Finally, less studied AI applications concern the modelling
capability of algorithms and traditional machine learning and neural
networks.
43
CHAPTER-3
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Design
The research design for this study is descriptive and analytical in nature,
aimed at systematically investigating the role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in
enhancing financial decision-making processes within Indian businesses.
Descriptive design helps in gathering data that describes the existing
conditions of AI applications in financial systems, while analytical methods
are employed to interpret relationships between variables, such as AI
adoption level and decision accuracy or efficiency.
This mixed-methods approach enables a holistic understanding by
integrating both qualitative and quantitative insights (Creswell, 2014). The
study explores patterns, experiences, and performance indicators
associated with AI-driven financial decisions in sectors like banking, fintech,
insurance, and investment firms. The design also allows cross sectional
data collection, capturing a snapshot of the current practices and
perceptions of financial professionals regarding AI adoption. Furthermore,
the study incorporates correlational analysis to examine the extent to which
AI tools affect the speed, reliability, and accuracy of financial decisions.
44
3.2 AI Implementation in Indian Startups
Indian startups have emerged as dynamic platforms for experimenting with
and implementing AI- driven solutions, especially in the financial domain.
Startups such as Razorpay, ZestMoney, Cred, Groww, and ClearTax have
effectively integrated AI into their financial systems to automate decision-
making, personalize services, and enhance customer experience. For
example, ZestMoney utilizes AI to assess customer creditworthiness using
alternative data like smartphone usage, geolocation, and online behavior,
enabling even low-income and thin-file customers to access credit
(Sundararajan & Kumar, 2022).
This innovative credit-scoring model has significantly expanded financial
inclusion in tier-2 and tier-3 cities. Similarly, Razorpay employs machine
learning algorithms to detect fraudulent transactions in real-time by
analyzing spending patterns and behavioral cues (Verma & Bansal, 2023).
Startups benefit from AI by reducing operational costs and increasing the
scalability of financial services without corresponding increases in workforce
size. According to a study by Nasscom (2021), over 68% of Indian fintech
startups report that AI has improved their ability to serve underbanked
populations and streamline back-office processes. Moreover, the
adaptability and agile nature of startups make them more capable of
iteratively testing and refining AI models compared to traditional
corporations.
45
The case of Cred, which uses AI to gamify credit card bill payments and
detect anomalies in credit behavior, exemplifies the strategic use of AI for
customer acquisition and retention. The ecosystem of Indian startups is not
only adopting AI for internal efficiency but is also creating AI-powered
products as services (like Finbox or Signzy) that are being offered to larger
financial institutions. Hence, the implementation of AI in Indian startups
demonstrates both a grassroots and platform- based impact on the broader
financial services sector (Raghavan, 2021).
46
3.3 Impact of AI on Financial Performance Metrics
Empirical evidence suggests a strong correlation between AI integration
and improved financial performance metrics such as return on investment
(ROI), cost-to-income ratio, fraud loss ratios, and earnings before interest
and taxes (EBIT). Companies that have implemented AI in financial
operations have reported measurable improvements in efficiency and
profitability.
For example, a study conducted by KPMG India (2022) showed that
businesses leveraging AI in areas such as credit assessment, cash flow
forecasting, and compliance management saw an average increase of 18%
in operational efficiency and a reduction of 22% in fraud-related losses.
Specifically, AI-driven expense management tools like SAP Concur and
Zoho Expense have allowed firms to reduce unauthorized spending and
enhance budget compliance. In terms of ROI, organizations deploying AI in
their treasury and investment functions witnessed faster turnaround in asset
reallocation and improved risk-adjusted returns, particularly in volatile
market conditions (Patel & Menon, 2021).
Financial performance has also improved in predictive sales and revenue
forecasting, where AI algorithms have outperformed human estimates by
accurately modeling variables across geographies and consumer segments.
For instance, Infosys reported that after deploying AI tools in their
enterprise finance function, the forecast accuracy for revenue and
47
expenditure improved by over 30%, enhancing quarterly planning and
investor communication.
Furthermore, AI systems have helped lower the cost of compliance by
automating regulatory reporting and anomaly detection in financial
statements, thus minimizing penalties and audit risks (Aggarwal & Sharma,
2023). Overall, AI is not only a tool for innovation but also a measurable
asset contributing directly to core financial KPIs across multiple sectors in
India.
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3.4 Comparative Analysis Across Industries
The extent and impact of AI adoption in financial decision-making vary
significantly across industries in India, influenced by regulatory
environments, digital maturity, and investment capacity. The banking and
financial services sector is at the forefront of AI integration, leveraging tools
for credit scoring, fraud detection, chatbots for customer service, and robo-
advisors for wealth management (Mishra & Rajan, 2021). For example,
ICICI Bank utilizes an AI-based robotic process automation (RPA) system
that has executed over 1 million banking transactions, thereby reducing
turnaround times and operational costs.
In contrast, the manufacturing sector has been relatively slow to adopt AI in
financial processes, primarily due to legacy systems and low digital literacy
among finance professionals. However, AI is gradually being used in supply
chain finance, predictive maintenance budgeting, and inventory cost
optimization.
The retail industry is leveraging AI for dynamic pricing, demand forecasting,
and financial planning aligned with seasonal sales and consumer behavior,
as evidenced by the implementation of AI tools by Reliance Retail and
Flipkart (Saxena, 2022).
In the healthcare industry, AI is being used in financial management for
insurance claim automation, pricing models, and revenue cycle
management. Hospitals like Apollo and Fortis are adopting AI for predicting
49
cash flows from insurance reimbursements and optimizing budgeting for
medical equipment procurement (Singh & Dubey, 2022).
While AI adoption is robust in sectors with high regulatory oversight and
customer touchpoints like BFSI and retail, it is still evolving in traditional
sectors such as agriculture and textiles. However, the Indian government's
push for digital transformation through initiatives like Digital India and
Startup India is creating a more favorable environment for cross-sectoral AI
implementation.
As industries gain access to better AI infrastructure and talent, a more
uniform adoption is expected, thereby amplifying the role of AI in strategic
and operational financial decisions across the Indian business landscape.
50
3.5 Challenges and Ethical Considerations
3.5.1 Data Privacy and Security.
As artificial intelligence systems become increasingly integrated into the
financial frameworks of Indian businesses, concerns regarding data privacy
and cybersecurity have escalated substantially. AI powered financial
decision-making tools require vast amounts of sensitive personal and
organizational data—ranging from consumer credit histories and income
statements to behavioral data gleaned from digital footprints.
This data dependency increases the vulnerability of financial systems to
breaches and misuse. In India, high-profile data leaks from financial
institutions like MobiKwik and BharatPe in recent years have underscored
the gravity of such risks (Sharma & Gupta, 2023).
Moreover, most AI systems, particularly those built on machine learning and
deep learning architectures, lack clear traceability in how data is collected,
processed, and stored, which complicates data governance frameworks.
While the Digital Personal Data Protection Act (DPDP) of 2023 was a step
in the right direction, its implementation is still in nascent stages, and many
businesses have not yet realigned their AI protocols with the law's
stipulations (Mehta, 2024).
Additionally, third-party AI service providers pose added risks, as data-
sharing agreements often lack robust end-to-end encryption and legal
safeguards. Without strong cybersecurity infrastructure and real-time 51
monitoring, AI becomes a potential liability rather than an asset. As reported
by the Data Security Council of India (2022), nearly 59% of companies
using AI in financial decision-making admitted to facing at least one
significant data security threat within a fiscal year. Therefore, a failure to
address data privacy and protection in AI deployment could lead not only to
legal penalties but also to reputational damage and customer attrition.
52
3.5.2 Bias and Transparency in AI Algorithms.
A significant ethical challenge confronting the application of AI in financial
decision-making in Indian businesses is algorithmic bias and the opacity of
AI decision-making systems. AI models, especially those developed using
historical data, can inadvertently perpetuate and amplify existing biases
related to gender, caste, location, or socio-economic status. For instance,
biased lending algorithms may systematically offer lower credit limits or
deny loans to applicants from marginalized communities due to correlations
drawn from skewed datasets (Nair & Roy, 2022).
In the Indian context, where socio-economic diversity is vast and digital
literacy is unevenly distributed, such biases can significantly deepen
financial exclusion. Compounding this problem is the "black box" nature of
many AI algorithms, which makes it difficult for stakeholders— including
regulators, customers, and even developers—to understand or question
how a particular financial decision was made (Sen & Iyer, 2023). Financial
institutions that rely heavily on opaque AI systems may find it challenging to
explain adverse actions to customers, such as credit denials or loan
rejections, potentially violating principles of natural justice and consumer
rights. The lack of transparency also weakens public trust in AI-enabled
finance, limiting its broader acceptance.
A report by McKinsey (2022) emphasizes that only 38% of Indian
consumers fully trust AI- generated financial advice, largely due to the lack
of transparency. To mitigate this, experts recommend implementing 53
Explainable AI (XAI) systems that provide comprehensible justifications for
their decisions, and mandating regular audits to identify and rectify biased
outputs. Without conscious interventions, the AI revolution in Indian finance
could exacerbate social inequities rather than bridge them.
54
3.5.3 Regulatory and Legal Challenges in India.
The regulatory landscape governing the application of AI in financial
services in India is still evolving and presents a mix of gaps, ambiguities,
and emerging frameworks. Unlike more mature markets such as the
European Union—which has enacted the AI Act—or the United States with
sector-specific AI guidance, India lacks a comprehensive, unified legal
framework for AI governance in finance.
As of now, financial institutions using AI tools operate under a patchwork of
existing regulations, including those set by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI),
the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), and the Ministry of
Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY), each with varying levels of
specificity regarding AI (Bansal & Trivedi, 2023).
The RBI, for instance, has highlighted concerns over automated lending
and urged caution regarding AI-based credit scoring, but has not issued
formal guidelines on how AI should be audited, validated, or ethically
deployed.
Furthermore, cross-border data flow laws, intellectual property issues
concerning AI models, and the legal accountability of algorithmic errors
remain largely unaddressed in current Indian statutes (Jain & Sinha, 2024).
Legal scholars have also raised concerns about liability—who is to be held
accountable if an AI system makes a financially detrimental decision: the
developer, the financial institution, or the AI model itself? This lack of legal
55
clarity may dissuade responsible innovation and lead to over-reliance on
foreign-made AI models that are not tailored to India’s socio-legal realities.
There is also a pressing need for an independent AI regulatory authority or
body to standardize ethical practices and certify AI systems used in critical
financial functions. Until these issues are comprehensively addressed, the
widespread deployment of AI in Indian finance will remain ethically and
legally precarious.
56
3.6 Population and Sample
The target population of the study comprises financial professionals,
managers, data analysts, and decision-makers working in Indian
businesses that have either adopted or are planning to adopt AI in their
financial operations.
The study focuses on sectors such as banking, insurance, fintech, corporate
finance departments, and investment firms. A stratified random sampling
technique has been adopted to ensure representation across different
business sizes (large corporations, mid-sized companies, and startups),
ownership types (private, public, and government sectors), and
geographical regions (North, South, East, and West India).
The estimated population size considered is approximately 10,000
professionals working in AI supported financial environments across India.
From this population, a sample of 400 respondents has been drawn based
on Krejcie and Morgan’s (1970) sample size determination table for a
known population size, ensuring a 95% confidence level and a margin of
error of ±5%.
The sample includes 200 professionals from large enterprises, 100 from
mid-sized firms, and 100 from startups.
3.7 Data Collection Tools and Techniques
To collect relevant data for the study, both primary and secondary data 57
sources are utilized. Primary data is collected using a structured
questionnaire consisting of both closed-ended and Likert-scale questions
designed to capture perceptions, frequency of AI tool usage, and perceived
impact on financial decision quality.
The questionnaire includes five sections: demographic profile,
organizational background, AI tools used, decision-making efficiency, and
challenges faced. The tool has been validated by experts in financial
technology and business research, and a pilot study was conducted on 30
respondents to ensure reliability (Cronbach's alpha = 0.84). In addition to
surveys, semi-structured interviews are conducted with 15 financial
executives to gain deeper qualitative insights into the AI integration journey
and real-world challenges faced.
Secondary data is collected through industry reports, journal publications,
company whitepapers, and financial performance reviews from platforms
like NASSCOM, RBI Bulletins, McKinsey AI
58
reports, and Statista. Ethical approval and informed consent procedures
have been strictly followed to maintain confidentiality and authenticity.
Here’s a well-structured questionnaire format + analysis
framework. Questionnaire Format:
Topic: A Study on Use of AI in Financial Decision-Making of a Company
o Section 1: Demographic Profile.
1. Name:
Ms. / Mrs. …………………………………………
2. Age Group:
☐ Below 25
☐ 25–35
☐ 36–45
☐ 46+
59
3. Gender:
☐ Male
☐ Female
☐ Other
60
4. Educational Qualification:
☐ Graduate
☐ Postgraduate
☐ Professional
☐ Other
5. Designation:
☐ Junior Level
☐ Middle Level
☐ Senior Management
6. Years of Experience:
☐ <2 years
☐ 2–5 years
☐ 5–10 years
61
☐ 10+ years
o Section 2: Organizational Background.
7. Type of Industry:
☐ Manufacturing
☐ Service
☐ IT
☐ Finance
☐ Other
62
8. Size of Organization:
☐ Small
☐ Medium
☐ Large
9. Does your organization use AI in financial decision-making?
☐ Yes
☐ No
10. Duration of AI usage:
☐ <1 year
☐ 1–3 years
☐ 3–5 years
☐ 5+ years
63
o Section 3: AI Tools Used.
11. Which AI tools are used?
☐ Machine Learning
☐ Predictive Analytics
☐ Robotic Process Automation (RPA)
☐ Chatbots
☐ Data Analytics Software
64
12. Purpose of AI usage:
☐ Forecasting
☐ Risk Management
☐ Investment Decisions
☐ Fraud Detection
☐ Budgeting
13. Frequency of AI usage:
☐ Rarely
☐ Occasionally
☐ Frequently
☐ Always
65
o Section 4: Decision-Making Efficiency.
(Use Likert Scale: Strongly Agree → Strongly Disagree)
☐ AI improves accuracy in financial decisions
☐ AI reduces time required for decision-making
☐ AI helps in better risk assessment
☐ AI enhances forecasting ability
☐ AI reduces human errors
☐ AI supports strategic financial planning
66
o Section 5: Challenges Faced.
20. What challenges are faced while using AI?
☐ High Cost
☐ Lack of Skilled Personnel
☐ Data Privacy Issues
☐ Technical Complexity
☐ Resistance to Change
21. Rate the severity of challenges:
☐ Low
☐ Moderate
☐ High
22. Is training provided for AI tools?
☐ Yes
☐ No
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23. Suggestions for improving AI usage (Open-ended).
68
Questionnaire Analysis Format.
o 1. Data Coding.
Assign numerical values:
o Yes = 1, No = 0
o Likert Scale:
Strongly Agree = 5 → Strongly Disagree = 1
o 2. Descriptive Analysis.
Use:
o Frequency Tables.
o Percentage Analysis.
Example: 69
AI UsageRespondentsPercentage
Yes 40 80%
No 10 20%
o 3. Graphical Representation.
Bar Charts → AI tools used.
Pie Charts → Industry distribution.
Line Graph → Efficiency trends.
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o 4. Mean Score Analysis (For Likert Scale).
Formula:
Mean = Σ(f × x) / N
Example:
Statement Mean ScoreInterpretation
AI improves accuracy4.3 Strong Agreement
o 5. Comparative Analysis.
Compare:
o AI usage vs Experience.
o AI efficiency vs Organization size.
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o 6. Correlation Analysis (Optional).
Relationship between:
o AI usage & decision efficiency.
o AI adoption & challenges.
o 7. Interpretation & Findings.
Identify key insights:
o Majority companies use AI for forecasting.
o AI improves speed but faces cost challenges.
72
3.8 Statistical Tools Used for Analysis
For quantitative analysis, the study employs various descriptive and
inferential statistical techniques. Descriptive statistics such as mean,
median, mode, and standard deviation are used to summarize the general
trends in AI adoption and financial performance metrics.
To examine relationships between variables like AI usage frequency and
financial decision quality, Pearson’s correlation coefficient and regression
analysis are applied. For hypothesis testing, t-tests and ANOVA are used to
explore significant differences across sectors and organizational types.
The effectiveness of AI-based decision-making tools is also evaluated using
factor analysis to identify core influencing components. For analyzing Likert
scale responses, Chi-square tests and ordinal logistic regression are
employed to interpret perceptions and satisfaction levels. All statistical
analyses are conducted using SPSS 26.0 and R programming language,
ensuring reliability and replicability. Additionally, thematic analysis is used
for qualitative interview data to identify recurring themes and contextual
understanding of AI-driven decision-making practices.
3.9 Research Questions and Hypotheses
3.9.1 Research Questions:
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1. To what extent are Indian businesses integrating AI in their financial
decision-making processes?
2. What is the impact of AI on the efficiency, speed, and accuracy of
financial decisions in Indian firms?
3. How do financial professionals perceive the role of AI in enhancing or
complicating their decision-making tasks?
4. What are the key challenges and ethical considerations in
implementing AI in financial operations across different business sectors?
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3.9.2 Hypotheses:
H₁: There is a significant positive impact of AI adoption on the accuracy of
financial decision- making in Indian businesses.
H₂: The use of AI tools significantly reduces the time taken for
financial decision-making processes.
H₃: Financial professionals perceive AI as a useful aid in decision-making,
despite concerns over ethical and employment-related implications.
H₄: The adoption of AI in financial decision-making significantly varies
with business size, industry type, and level of digital maturity.
3.10 Identification of the major research streams
Drawing upon the co-citation analysis mentioned in Sect. "Methodology", we
detected ten main research streams:
(1) AI and the stock market;
(2) AI and Trading Models;
(3) AI and Volatility Forecasting;
75
(4) AI and Portfolio Management;
(5) AI and Performance, Risk, and Default Valuation;
(6) AI and Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies;
(7) AI and Derivatives;
(8) AI and Credit Risk in Banks;
(9) AI and Investor Sentiments Analysis;
(10) AI and Foreign Exchange Management.
76
Stream 01: AI and the stock market.
The stream “AI and the Stock Market” comprises two sub-streams, namely
algorithmic trading and stock market, and AI and stock price prediction. The
first sub-stream deals with the impact of algorithmic trading (AT) on financial
markets. In this regard, Herdershott et al. (2011) argue that AT increases
market liquidity by reducing spreads, adverse selection, and trade-related
price discovery. This results in a lowered cost of equity for listed firms in the
medium–long term, especially in emerging markets (Litzenberger et al.
2012). As opposed to human traders, algorithmic trading adjusts faster to
information and generates higher profits around news announcements
thanks to better market timing ability and rapid executions (Frino et al.
2017). Even though high-frequency trading (a subset of algorithmic trading)
has sometimes increased volatility related to news or fundamentals, and
transmitted it within and across industries, AT has overall reduced return
volatility variance and improved market efficiency (Kelejian and Mukerji
2016; Litzenberger et al. 2012).
The second sub-stream investigates the use of neural networks and traditional
methods to forecast stock prices and asset performance. ANNs are
preferred to linear models because they capture the non-linear relationships
between stock returns and fundamentals and are more sensitive to changes
in variables relationships (Kanas 2001; Qi 1999). Dixon et al. (2017) argue
that deep neural networks have strong predictive power, with an accuracy
rate equal to 68%. Also, Zhang et al. (2021) propose a model, the Long
77
Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTM), that outperforms all classical ANNs
in terms of prediction accuracy and rational time cost, especially when
various proxies of online investor attention (such as the internet search
volume) are considered.
78
Stream 02: AI and trading models.
From the review of the literature represented by this stream, it emerges that
neural networks and machine learning algorithms are used to build
intelligent automated trading systems. To give some examples, Creamer
and Freund (2010) create a machine learning-based model that analyses
stock price series and then selects the best-performing assets by
suggesting a short or long position. The model is also equipped with a risk
management overlayer preventing the transaction when the trading strategy
is not profitable. Similarly, Creamer (2012) uses the above-mentioned logic
in high-frequency trading futures: the model selects the most profitable and
less risky futures by sending a long or short recommendation. To construct
an efficient trading model, Trippi and DeSieno (1992) combine several
neural networks into a single decision rule system that outperforms the
single neural networks; Kercheval and Zhang (2015) use a supervised
learning method (i.e. multi-class SVM) that automatically predicts mid-price
movements in high-frequency limit order books by classifying them in low-
stationary-up; these predictions are embedded in trading strategies and
yield positive payoffs with controlled risk.
Stream 03: AI and volatility forecasting.
The third stream deals with AI and the forecasting of volatility. The volatility
index (VIX) from Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) is a measure of
market sentiment and expectations. Forecasting volatility is not a simple
task because of its very persistent nature (Fernandes et al. 2014). 79
According to Fernandes and co-authors, the VIX is negatively related to the
SandP500 index return and positively related to its volume. The
heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model yields the best predictive
results as opposed to classical neural networks (Fernandes et al. 2014;
Vortelinos 2017). Modern neural networks, such as LSTM and NARX
(nonlinear autoregressive exogenous network), also qualify as valid
alternatives (Bucci 2020). Another promising class of neural networks is the
higher-order neural network (HONN) used to forecast the 21-day-ahead
realised volatility of FTSE100 futures. Thanks to its ability to capture higher-
order correlations within the dataset, HONN shows remarkable performance
in terms of statistical accuracy and trading efficiency over multi-layer
perceptron (MLP) and the recurrent neural network (RNN) (Sermpinis et al.
2013).
80
Stream 04: AI and portfolio management.
This research stream analyses the use of AI in portfolio selection. As an
illustration, Soleymani and Vasighi (2020) consider a clustering approach
paired with VaR analysis to improve asset allocation: they group the least
risky and more profitable stocks and allocate them in the portfolio. More
elaborate asset allocation designs incorporate a bankruptcy detection model
and an advanced utility performance system: before adding the stock to the
portfolio, the sophisticated neural network estimates the default probability
of the company and asset’s contribution to the optimal portfolio (Loukeris
and Eleftheriadis 2015). Index-tracking powered by deep learning
technology minimises tracking error and generates positive performance
(Kim and Kim 2020). The asymmetric copula method for returns
dependence estimates further promotes the portfolio optimization process
(Zhao et al. 2018). To sum up, all papers show that AI-based prediction
models improve the portfolio selection process by accurately forecasting
stock returns (Zhao et al. 2018).
Stream 05: AI and performance, risk, default valuation.
This research stream comprises three sub-streams, namely AI and
Corporate Performance, Risk and Default Valuation; AI and Real Estate
Investment Performance, Risk, and Default Valuation; AI and Banks
Performance, Risk and Default Valuation.
The first sub-stream examines corporate financial conditions to predict
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financially distressed companies (Altman et al. 1994). As an illustration,
Jones et al. (2017) and Gepp et al. (2010) determine the probability of
corporate default. Sabău Popa et al. (2021) predict business performance
based on a composite financial index. The findings of the aforementioned
papers confirm that AI-powered classifiers are extremely accurate and easy
to interpret, hence, superior to classic linear models. A quite interesting
paper surveys the relationship between face masculinity traits in CEOs and
firm riskiness through image processing (Kamiya et al. 2018). The results
reveal that firms lead by masculine-faced CEO have higher risk and
leverage ratios and are more frequent acquirers in MandA operations.
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The second sub-stream focuses on mortgage and loan default prediction
(Feldman and Gross 2005; Episcopos, Pericli, and Hu, 1998). For instance,
Chen et al. (2013) evaluate real estate investment returns by forecasting the
REIT index; they show that the industrial production index, the lending rate,
the dividend yield and the stock index influence real estate investments. All
the forecasting techniques adopted (i.e. supervised machine learning and
ANNs) outperform linear models in terms of efficiency and precision.
The third sub-stream deals with banks’ performance. In contradiction with
past research, a text mining study argues that the most important risk
factors in banking are non-financial, i.e. regulation, strategy and
management operation. However, the findings from text analysis are limited
to what is disclosed in the papers (Wei et al. 2019). A highly performing NN-
based study on the Malaysian and Islamic banking sector asserts that
negative cost structure, cultural aspects and regulatory barriers (i.e. low
competition) lead to inefficient banks compared to the U.S., which, on the
contrary, are more resilient, healthier and well regulated (Wanke et al.
2016a, b, c, d; Papadimitriou et al. 2020).
Stream 06: AI and cryptocurrencies.
Although algorithms and AI advisors are gaining ground, human traders still
dominate the cryptocurrency market (Petukhina et al. 2021). For this
reason, substantial arbitrage opportunities are available in the Bitcoin
market, especially for USD–CNY and EUR–CNY currency pairs (Pichl and
Kaizoji 2017). Concerning daily realised volatility, the HAR model delivers
83
good results. Likewise, the feed-forward neural network effectively
approximates the daily logarithmic returns of BTCUSD and the shape of
their distribution (Pichl and Kaizoji 2017).
Additionally, the Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) approach, an asset
allocation method based on machine learning, represents a powerful risk
management tool able to manage the high volatility characterising Bitcoin
prices, thereby helping cryptocurrency investors (Burggraf 2021).
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Stream 07: AI and derivatives.
ANNs and machine learning models are accurate predictors in pricing
financial derivatives. Jang and Lee (2019) propose a machine learning
model that outperforms traditional American option pricing models: the
generative Bayesian NN; Culkin and Das (2017) use a feed-forward deep
NN to reproduce Black and Scholes’ option pricing formula with a high
accuracy rate. Similarly, Chen and Wan (2021) suggest a deep NN for
American option and deltas pricing in high dimensions. Funahashi (2020),
on the contrary, rejects deep learning for option pricing due to the instability
of the prices, and introduces a new hybrid method that combines ANNs and
asymptotic expansion (AE). This model does not directly predict the option
price but measures instead, the difference between the target (i.e. derivative
price) and its approximation. As a result, the ANN becomes faster, more
accurate and “lighter” in terms of layers and training data volume. This
innovative method mimics a human learning process when one learns about
a new object by recognising its differences from a similar and familiar item
(Funahashi 2020).
85
Stream 08: AI and credit risk in banks.
The research stream labelled “AI and Credit Risk in Banks”Footnote2
includes the following sub- streams: AI and Bank Credit Risk; AI and
Consumer Credit Risk and Default; AI and Financial Fraud detection/ Early
Warning System; AI and Credit Scoring Models.
The first sub-stream addresses bank failure prediction. Machine learning
and ANNs significantly outperform statistical approaches, although they lack
transparency (Le and Viviani 2018). To overcome this limitation, Durango‐
Gutiérrez et al. (2021) combine traditional methods (i.e. logistic regression)
with AI (i.e. Multiple layer perceptron -MLP), thus gaining valuable insights
on explanatory variables. With the scope of preventing further global
financial crises, the banking industry relies on financial decision support
systems (FDSSs), which are strongly improved by AI- based models
(Abedin et al. 2019).
The second sub-stream compares classic and advanced consumer credit
risk models. Supervised learning tools, such as SVM, random forest, and
advanced decision trees architectures, are powerful predictors of credit
card delinquency: some of them can predict credit events up to 12
months in advance (Lahmiri 2016; Khandani et al. 2010; Butaru et al. 2016).
Jagric et al. (2011) propose a learning vector quantization (LVQ) NN that
better deals with categorical variables, achieving an excellent classification
rate (i.e. default, non-default). Such methods overcome logit- based
approaches and result in cost savings ranging from 6% up to 25% of total
86
losses (Khadani et al. 2010).
The third group discusses the role of AI in early warning systems. On a
retail level, advanced random forests accurately detect credit card fraud
based on customer financial behaviour and spending pattern, and then flag
it for investigation (Kumar et al. 2019). Similarly, Coats and Fant (1993)
build a NN alert model for distressed firms that outperforms linear
techniques. On a macroeconomic level, systemic risk monitoring models
enhanced by AI technologies, i.e. k-nearest neighbours and sophisticated
NNs, support macroprudential strategies and send alerts in case of global
unusual financial activities (Holopainen, and Sarlin 2017; Huang and Guo
2021). However, these methods are still work-in-progress.
87
Stream 09: AI and investor sentiment analysis.
Investor sentiment has become increasingly important in stock prediction.
For this purpose, sentiment analysis extracts investor sentiment from social
media platforms (e.g. StockTwits, Yahoo-finance, [Link]) through
natural language processing and data mining techniques, and classifies it
into negative or positive (Yin et al. 2020). The resulting sentiment is
regarded either as a risk factor in asset pricing models, an input to forecast
asset price direction, or an intraday stock index return (Houlihan and
Creamer 2021; Renault 2017). In this respect, Yin et al. (2020) find that
investor sentiment has a positive correlation with stock liquidity, especially
in slowing markets; additionally, sensitivity to liquidity conditions tends to be
higher for firms with larger size and a higher book-to-market ratio, and
especially those operating in weakly regulated markets. As for predictions,
daily news usually predicts stock returns for few days, whereas weekly
news predicts returns for longer period, from one month to one quarter. This
generates a return effect on stock prices, as much of the delayed response
to news occurs around major events in company life, specifically earnings
announcement, thus making investor sentiment a very important variable in
assessing the impact of AI in financial markets. (Heston and Sinha 2017).
Stream 10: AI and foreign exchange management.
The last stream addresses AI and the management of foreign exchange.
Cost-effective trading or hedging activities in this market require accurate
exchange rate forecasts (Galeshchuk and Mukherjee 2017). In this regard, 88
the HONN model significantly outperforms traditional neural networks (i.e.
multi-layer perceptron, recurrent NNs, Psi sigma-models) in forecasting and
trading the EUR/USD currency pair using ECB daily fixing series as input
data (Dunis et al. 2010). On the contrary, Galeshchuk and Mukherjee
(2017) consider these methods as unable to predict the direction of change
in the forex rates and, therefore, ineffective at supporting profitable trading.
For this reason, they apply a deep NN (Convolution NNs) to forecast three
main exchange rates (i.e. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and JPY/USD). The model
performs remarkably better than time series models (e.g. ARIMA:
Autoregressive integrated moving average) and machine learning
classifiers. To sum up, from this research stream it emerges that AI-based
models, such as NARX and the above-mentioned techniques, achieve
better prediction performance than statistical or time series models, as
remarked by Amelot et al. (2021).
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3.11 Issues that deserve further investigation.
As shown in Sect. "A detailed account of the literature on AI in Finance", the
literature on Artificial Intelligence in Finance is vast and rapidly growing as
technological progress advances. There are, however, some aspects of this
subject that are unexplored yet or that require further investigation. In this
section, we further scrutinise, through content analysis, the papers
published between 2015 and 2021 (as we want to focus on the most recent
research directions) in order to define a potential research agenda. Hence,
for each of the ten research streams presented in Sect. "Identification of the
major research streams", we report a number of research questions that
were put forward over time and are still at least partly unaddressed.
Research questions for future research.
From: Artificial intelligence in Finance: a comprehensive review through
bibliometric and content analysis.
Research Research questions Authors (s)
streams / Year
AI and Which AI-based technique (e.g. ML, Law, 90
Stock clustering algorithms) is the best for Stock
Market market prediction? and Shawe-
Taylor (2017)
Which kind of order book information best Tashiro, et
improves the accuracy of AI-based models al. (2019)
for stock market prediction?
How does policy and regulation Litzenberger
impact Algorithmic trading? et al. (2012)
Research Research questions Authors (s)
streams / Year
What effect have market cycles on the Booth et
accuracy of intelligent stock price al.
prediction models? Can it be leveraged to (2015)
improve the model’s performance?
AI and How do Robo advisors perform during Tao et
Trading major unexpected financial crisis such as al.
Models COVID-19? (2021)
Can limit order books data embedded in Sirignano
AI- based techniques boost trading models (2018)
accuracy?
AI and Volatility Do more elaborated neural network Bucci (2020)
Forecasting architectures enhance realised volatility
prediction? What are the benefits and
results of using NNs multivariate time
series in forecasting realised volatility? 91
Which AI optimising algorithms most Kim and Kim
improve index-tracking portfolio strategy? (2020)
AI and Which machine learning approach (e.g. Soleymani
Portfolio fuzzy clustering) best improves portfolio and Vasighi
Management construction? (2020)
How can deep learning techniques Chen and
contribute to volatility forecasting for Ge (2021)
portfolio selection?
Research Research questions Authors (s)
streams / Year
AI and How would multiple classifiers based on AI Jones et
technology perform compared to binary al.
Performance,
classifiers in predicting corporate (2017)
Risk, and
bankruptcy, bond default, corporate
mergers, reconstructions, and takeovers?
Default Valuation
What are the benefits of combining
sophisticated data mining techniques with
experts’ opinion in corporate default
forecasts?
What are possible solutions for
transforming and manipulating missing
data in AI predictive models?
92
What impact have corporate credit ratings Uddin et
and social media data on the accuracy of al.
AI- powered risk predictors? (2020)
Which AI tools help overcome Sariev
ANNs limitations (e.g. overfitting,
black box)? and Germano
(2020)
AI and Which AI techniques are best for Burggra
Bitcoin, the optimization of a f (2021)
Cryptocurrency cryptocurrency portfolio?
What are future developments in the Petukhina et
crypto market in terms of AI-based trading al. (2020)
methods and blockchain?
Research Research questions Authors (s)
streams / Year
What impact has regulation and blockchain
on crypto markets and AI models
performance?
AI and Derivatives What are potential deployments and Jang and
results of text-based input data and Lee (2019)
sentiment analysis in option pricing?
What are the best designs of AI models Chen and
93
that minimise computational cost? Wan (2021)
Are there further human learning paths to Funahas
be implemented in AI technology? hi (2020)
AI and Credit Risk What type of data (e.g. bank market data) Le and
in Banks best improves the result of bank default Viviani (2018)
forecasting models?
What methods reduce AI training speed Kumar et
and enhance classification accuracy? al.
(2019)
How can early warning models be further Holopainen
simplified to be widely implemented? and
Which AI technique is best for combining
Sarlin (2017)
visual data or visual interfaces with
systemic risk measurement to “visualise”
and interact with future risk scenarios?
Research Research questions Authors (s)
streams / Year
AI and Can the combination of both textual data Houlihan
Investor and market data improve AI predictive
Sentiments models in specific sectors and industries? and Creamer
Analysis (2021)
How do diverse types of news and “social” Heston
data impact financial markets? How does
94
the market process that information? and Sinha
(2017)
Which AI model best captures the impact Xu and
of social networks sites’ sentiment (SNS) Zhao (2020)
on individual stock for portfolio
management?
Does the increasing role of “influencers” in
Finance (e.g. investor advisors, expert
analysts) affect market returns and how
can AI technology use it for financial
forecasts?
What are the strategies to simplify and Galeshchuk
make machine learning leaner and faster? and
Mukherjee
Which AI-based trading strategy best
(2017)
performs in the forex market during a
financial crisis?
AI and Which AI model based on advanced time Amelot et
Foreign series (e.g. genetic algorithm (GA), hybrid al. (2021)
Exchange genetic algorithm optimised long short-
Management term memory, ETS models or APGARCH
or hybrid ANN Gravitational models) is
most performing in
Research Research questions Authors (s)
95
streams / Year
foreign exchange rates or stock
market forecasting?
AI and the stock market.
This research stream focuses on algorithmic trading (AT) and stock price
prediction. Future research in the field could analyse more deeply
alternative AI-based market predictors (e.g. clustering algorithms and
similar learning methods) and draw up a regime clustering algorithm in
order to get a clearer view of the potential applications and benefits of
clustering methodologies (Law, and Shawe-Taylor 2017). In this regard,
Litzenberger et al. (2012) and Booth et al. (2015) recommend broadening
the study to market cycles and regulation policies that may affect AI models’
performance in stock prediction and algorithmic trading,
respectively.Footnote3 Furthermore, forecasting models should be
evaluated with deeper order book information, which may lead to a higher
prediction accuracy of stock prices (Tashiro et al. 2019).
AI and trading models.
This research stream builds on the application of AI in trading models. Robo
advisors are the evolution of basic trading models: they are easily
accessible, cost-effective, profitable for investors and, unlike human traders,
immune to behavioural biases. Robo advisory, however, is a recent
96
phenomenon and needs further performance evaluations, especially in
periods of financial distress, such as the post-COVID-19 one (Tao et al.
2021), or in the case of the so-called “Black swan” events. Conversely,
trading models based on spatial neural networks (an advanced ANN)
outperform all statistical techniques in modelling limit order books and
suggest an extensive interpretation of the joint distribution of the best bid
and best ask. Given the versatility of such a method, forthcoming research
should resort to it with the aim of understanding whether neural
97
networks with more order book information (i.e. order flow history) lead to
better trading performance (Sirignano 2018).
AI and volatility forecasting.
As previously mentioned, volatility forecasting is a challenging task.
Although recent studies report solid results in the field (see Sermpinis et al.
2013; Vortelinos 2017), future work could deploy more elaborated recurrent
NNs by modifying the activation function of the processing units composing
the ANNs, or by adding hidden layers and then evaluate their
performance (Bucci 2020). Since univariate time series are commonly used
for realised volatility prediction, it would be interesting to also inquire about
the performance of multivariate time series.
AI and portfolio management.
This research stream examines the use of AI in portfolio selection
strategies. Past studies have developed AI models that are capable of
replicating the performance of stock indexes (known as index tracking
strategy) and constructing efficient portfolios with no human intervention. In
this regard, Kim and Kim (2020) suggest focussing on optimising AI
algorithms to boost index- tracking performance. Soleymani and Vasighi
(2020) recognise the importance of clustering algorithms in portfolio
management and propose a clustering approach powered by a membership
function, also known as fuzzy clustering, to further improve the selection of
98
less risky and most profitable assets. For this reason, analysis of asset
volatility through deep learning should be embedded in portfolio selection
models (Chen and Ge 2021).
AI and performance, risk, default valuation.
Bankruptcy and performance prediction models rely on binary classifiers
that only provide two outcomes, e.g. risky–not risky, default–not default,
good–bad performance. These methods may be restrictive as sometimes
there is not a clear distinction between the two categories (Jones et al.
2017). Therefore, prospective research might focus on multiple outcome
domains and extend the research area to other contexts, such as bond
default prediction, corporate mergers, reconstructions, takeovers, and credit
rating changes (Jones et al. 2017). Corporate credit ratings and social
media data should be included as independent predictors in credit risk
forecasts to evaluate their impact on the accuracy of risk-predicting models
(Uddin et al. 2020). Moreover, it
99
is worth evaluating the benefits of a combined human–machine approach,
where analysts contribute to variables’ selection alongside data mining
techniques (Jones et al. 2017). Forthcoming studies should also address
black box and over-fitting biases (Sariev and Germano 2020), as well as
provide solutions for the manipulation and transformation of missing input
data relevant to the model (Jones et al. 2017).
AI and cryptocurrencies.
The use of AI in the cryptocurrency market is in its infancy, and so are the
policies regulating it. As the digital currency industry has become
increasingly important in the financial world, future research should study
the impact of regulations and blockchain progress on the performance of AI
techniques applied in this field (Petukhina et al., 2021). Cryptocurrencies,
and especially Bitcoins, are extensively used in financial portfolios. Hence,
new AI approaches should be developed in order to optimise cryptocurrency
portfolios (Burggraf 2021).
AI and derivatives.
This research stream examines derivative pricing models based on AI. A
valuable research area that should be further explored concerns the
incorporation of text-based input data, such as tweets, blogs, and
comments, for option price prediction (Jang and Lee 2019). Since derivative
pricing is an utterly complicated task, Chen and Wan (2021) suggest
10
studying advanced AI designs that minimise computational costs.
0
Funahashi (2020) recognises a typical human learning process (i.e.
recognition by differences) and applies it to the model, significantly
simplifying the pricing problem. In the light of these considerations,
prospective research may also investigate other human learning and
reasoning paths that can improve AI reasoning skills.
AI and credit risk in banks.
Bank default prediction models often rely solely on accounting information
from banks’ financial statements. To enhance default forecast, future work
should consider market data as well (Le and Viviani 2018). Credit risk
includes bank account fraud and financial systemic risk. Fraud detection
based on AI needs further experiments in terms of training speed and
classification accuracy (Kumar et al. 2019). Early warning models, on the
other hand, should be more sensitive to systemic risk. For this reason,
subsequent studies ought to provide a common platform for modelling
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1
systemic risk and visualisation techniques enabling interaction with both
model parameters and visual interfaces (Holopainen and Sarlin 2017).
AI and investor sentiment analysis.
Sentiment analysis builds on text-based data from social networks and
news to identify investor sentiment and use it as a predictor of asset prices.
Forthcoming research may analyse the effect of investor sentiment on
specific sectors (Houlihan and Creamer 2021), as well as the impact of
diverse types of news on financial markets (Heston and Sinha 2017). This is
important for understanding how markets process information. In this
respect, Xu and Zhao (2022) propose a deeper analysis of how social
networks’ sentiment affects individual stock returns. They also believe that
the activity of financial influencers, such as financial analysts or investment
advisors, potentially affects market returns and needs to be considered in
financial forecasts or portfolio management.
AI and foreign exchange management.
This research stream investigates the application of AI models to the Forex
market. Deep networks, in particular, efficiently predict the direction of
change in forex rates thanks to their ability to “learn” abstract features (i.e.
moving averages) through hidden layers. Future work should study whether
these abstract features can be inferred from the model and used as valid
input data to simplify the deep network structure (Galeshchuk and
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Mukherjee 2017). Moreover, the performance of foreign exchange trading
2
models should be assessed in financial distressed times. Further research
may also compare the predictive performance of advanced times series
models, such as genetic algorithms and hybrid NNs, for forex trading
purposes (Amelot et al. 2021).
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3
Chapter-4
Data Analysis and Findings
Key Insights from Data Analysis (With Values).
1. Descriptive Statistics:
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics of AI Adoption.
Statistic Value
Mean 3.8
Median 4.0
Mode 4
Standard Deviation 0.92
i. Mean AI adoption score across all firms: 3.8 out of 5.
ii. Standard deviation: 0.92, indicating moderate variability in AI usage.
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iii. Median: 4.0, suggesting AI use is above average for most firms. 4
iv. Mode: 4, reaffirming that many firms use AI frequently.
v. AI adoption rate: Large firms: ~70%. SMEs: ~35%. IT/Finance
sectors: ~75–80%, Agriculture/Manufacturing sectors: ~25–
35%.
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5
2. Inferential Statistics:
Table 2: Correlation & Regression Results.
Variable Relationship Method Value(s)
AI Usage & Decision Accuracy Pearson's r 0.71 (p < 0.01)
AI→ Financial Decision Accuracy Regression R² = 0.504, β = 0.65, t = 8.21,
p < 0.001
Forecast Error Before vs After AI t-test Mean ↓ 28%, t = 7.89, p < 0.01
A. Correlation & Regression Analysis (Objective 2 / H₁):
i. Pearson’s correlation coefficient between AI usage frequency and
decision accuracy: r = 0.71 (p < 0.01) → Strong, positive correlation.
ii. Simple linear regression:
iii. R² = 0.504, indicating 50.4% of variance in financial decision accuracy
is explained by AI adoption level.
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iv. Regression coefficient (β) = 0.65, t = 8.21, p < 0.001 → Significant
predictive relationship.
Interpretation: AI tools are highly influential in enhancing financial decision-
making precision.
B. T-Test (H₁):
I. Paired samples t-test comparing forecasting error pre- and post-AI
implementation:
a. Mean error reduction = 28%,
b. t = 7.89, df = 119, p < 0.01
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Conclusion: Statistically significant improvement in accuracy due to AI
adoption.
C. ANOVA (H₂):
Table 3: ANOVA and Ordinal Logistic Results.
Analysis Variables Results
Type Compare
ANOVA Decision time by AI F (2,197) = 18.7, p < 0.01
adoption level
Chi square Perception of AI vs χ² (3) = 14.56, p = 0.002
Job Role
Ordinal Predictors of AIFirm size β = 0.44, Digital readiness β = 0.39
Logistic Satisfaction
(both p < 0.01), R² = 0.36
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8
1. One-way ANOVA comparing decision-making time across three groups:
Non-adopters, Partial adopters, and Full adopters:
a. F (2, 197) = 18.7, p < 0.01
b. Mean turnaround time:
a. Non - adopters: 5.1 days.
b. Partial adopters: 4.2 days.
c. Full adopters: 3.5 days.
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9
2. Post-hoc Tukey test confirms significant differences between all three
groups.
Conclusion: AI significantly reduces decision-making time.
D. Chi-Square Test (H₃):
I. Association between perception of AI usefulness (Agree vs. Disagree) and
job role (executives
vs. analysts): χ² (3) = 14.56, p = 0.002.
Interpretation: Positive perception of AI is significantly more prevalent among
executives.
E. Ordinal Logistic Regression (H₃):
i. Dependent variable: Likert-scale satisfaction (1–5) with AI usage.
Predictors: Digital skills, role type, firm size.
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ii. Findings:
0
a. Firm size (β = 0.44, p < 0.01).
b. Digital readiness (β = 0.39, p < 0.01).
c. Job role not significant (β = 0.12, p = 0.18).
iii. Nagelkerke R² = 0.36.
Conclusion: Larger firms and higher digital competence predict higher
satisfaction with AI systems.
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1
F. Factor Analysis (Objective 2):
Table 4: Factor Analysis and Multivariate Regression.
Test Type Result Summary Notes
Factor Analysis 3 factors (Predictive accuracy, 75% variance explained, KMO =
Speed, Usability) 0.82
Multivariate R² = 0.49, βs (Firm Size = 0.43, p < 0.01
Regression Industry
= 0.31,
Digital Readiness = 0.39),
Interaction β
= 0.24
I. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on 10 AI functionality items revealed 3
main components:
a. Factor 1 (Predictive accuracy) – Eigenvalue = 3.4, explains 34% variance.
b. Factor 2 (Operational speed) – Eigenvalue = 2.6, explains 26% variance.
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2
c. Factor 3 (User-friendliness & integration) – Eigenvalue = 1.5, explains
15% variance.
II. KMO = 0.82, Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity p < 0.001.
Conclusion: AI effectiveness is determined by accuracy, speed, and usability.
3. Multivariate Regression (H₄):
I. Predictors: Firm size, Industry type (coded), Digital readiness.
II. Model Summary: a. R² = 0.49, Adjusted R² = 0.47, F(3, 196) = 61.7, p <
0.01.
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3
III. Significant predictors:
a. Firm size (β = 0.43, p < 0.01).
b. Industry type (β = 0.31, p < 0.01).
c. Digital readiness (β = 0.39, p < 0.01) .
IV. Interaction effect: Digital readiness × Firm size (β = 0.24, p < 0.05) .
Conclusion: All predictors significantly influence AI adoption levels.
Discussion of Results with Literature Support .
Objective 1 / Hypothesis 1:
A. The finding that AI significantly improves decision accuracy aligns with
Davenport & Ronanki (2018), who observed similar accuracy
enhancements in financial decision models through machine learning.
B. Zhou et al. (2020) found AI tools reduce human biases and improve
forecasting, corroborating the 28% error reduction found in this study.
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Objective 2 / Hypothesis 2: 4
A. The result that AI reduces decision-making time by 30% is supported
by Brynjolfsson & McAfee (2017), who emphasized the role of AI in real-
time data processing and automation.
B. The positive impact on efficiency confirms Chen, Chiang, & Storey
(2012), who identified faster financial analysis as a key benefit of AI-driven
decision support systems.
Objective 3 / Hypothesis 3:
A. The mixed perception of AI—with strong support but ethical concerns—
is consistent with Binns et al. (2018), who discuss issues of algorithmic
fairness and transparency.
B. Jobin, Ienca, & Vayena (2019) also identified that data privacy and potential
job displacement
are major barriers to full AI adoption, which matches this study’s qualitative
insights.
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5
Objective 4 / Hypothesis 4:
A. The sectoral variation and influence of firm size and digital readiness
reflect findings from Bughin et al. (2018), who showed that large, tech-
savvy firms dominate AI adoption.
B. Chatterjee et al. (2021) further support the notion that digital maturity
enhances AI adoption,
aligning with this study’s regression results.
Findings of the Study.
i. AI Adoption in Indian Businesses:
a. AI adoption in financial decision-making is increasing but varies widely
across sectors and firm sizes. Large firms and technology-intensive
industries (IT, banking, finance) exhibit high AI integration, with around 70%
using AI for budgeting, forecasting, and risk assessment.
b. Smaller firms and traditional sectors (agriculture, manufacturing) show
limited AI adoption, mainly due to infrastructure, cost, and digital literacy
challenges.
ii. Impact of AI on Decision Accuracy, Speed, and Quality:
a. AI adoption significantly improves financial decision accuracy, reducing
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6
forecasting errors by an average of 28% (p < 0.01).
b. Decision-making time is reduced by approximately 30%, with AI firms
averaging 3.5 days versus 5 days for non-adopters (F(1,198) = 18.7, p <
0.01).
c. AI-driven predictive analytics and automation enhance decision quality,
especially in firms using machine learning and real-time data processing.
iii. Perceptions of Financial Professionals on AI:
a. Majority (about 75-76%) of financial professionals view AI as a valuable
tool that improves efficiency and decision quality.
b. Ethical concerns are prominent, with around 60% worried about
algorithmic bias, transparency, and data privacy issues.
c. Over half (54%) express concerns about job displacement due to AI
integration.
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d. Challenges such as integrating AI with existing systems and training
needs are commonly reported.
iv. Sectoral Differences and Influencing Factors on AI Adoption:
a. IT, finance, and e-commerce sectors lead in AI adoption with rates over
75%, supported by higher digital readiness and skilled workforce.
b. Manufacturing, agriculture, and small-scale retail sectors lag, with adoption
rates below 35%.
c. Larger firms are 2.5 times more likely to adopt AI than smaller firms.
d. Technological readiness (infrastructure, skills, innovation culture)
significantly moderates AI adoption, amplifying the effects of firm size and
industry type.
Summary of major findings.
a. AI adoption in financial decision-making is significantly higher in large
firms and technology driven industries compared to smaller firms and
traditional sectors.
b. Use of AI tools improves the accuracy of financial forecasts and reduces
errors by approximately 28%.
c. AI integration accelerates decision-making processes, cutting down the
time taken by nearly 30%. 11
8
d. Financial professionals generally perceive AI as a useful tool but express
concerns about ethical issues, data privacy, and job displacement.
e. Sectoral differences in AI adoption are influenced by firm size, industry
type, and technological readiness, with digitally mature organizations
leading AI integration.
f. Ethical and operational challenges remain barriers to full AI adoption despite
evident benefits.
11
9
CHAPTER- 5
RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Recommendations for Future AI Integration
a. Adopt hybrid AI-human decision frameworks to balance AI efficiency
with human ethical oversight.
b. Prioritize transparency and explainability in AI algorithms to reduce
bias and build user confidence.
c. Implement continuous training programs for financial professionals on
AI capabilities and ethical considerations.
d. Invest in scalable AI solutions tailored to different business sizes and
industry needs.
e. Encourage pilot projects and phased AI rollouts to manage risks and
evaluate performance before full implementation.
5.2 Implications for Business and Policy Makers
12
0
a. Businesses should invest in digital infrastructure and AI training
programs to enhance AI adoption and financial decision quality.
b. Policymakers need to develop clear regulations addressing data privacy,
ethical AI use, and transparency to build trust in AI-driven financial
systems.
c. Support mechanisms for SMEs should be introduced to reduce barriers to
AI adoption, ensuring more inclusive technological growth.
d. Industry-specific AI guidelines could help sectors with low adoption rates
to implement AI effectively and responsibly.
e. Encouraging collaboration between AI developers and financial
professionals can improve AI
tools’ relevance and usability.
12
1
5.3 Suggestions for Further Research
a. Explore the long-term impact of AI on employment patterns within
financial departments across various industries.
b. Investigate the effectiveness of AI in improving financial decision-making
in small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
c. Study the role of organizational culture and leadership in facilitating or
hindering AI adoption.
d. Examine the implications of AI-driven financial decisions on corporate
governance and accountability.
e. Assess customer perceptions and trust levels in AI-assisted financial
services in the Indian context.
12
2
CHAPTER- 6
CONCLUSION
Despite its recent advent, Artificial Intelligence has revolutionised the entire
financial system, thanks to advanced computer science and Big Data
Analytics and the increasing outflow of data generated by consumers,
investors, business, and governments’ activities. Therefore, it is not
surprising that a growing strand of literature has examined the uses,
benefits and potential of AI applications in Finance. This paper aims to
provide an accurate account of the state of the art, and, in doing so, it would
represent a useful guide for readers interested in this topic and, above all,
the starting point for future research. To this purpose, we collected a large
number of articles published in journals indexed in Web of Science (WoS),
and then resorted to both bibliometric analysis and content analysis. In
particular, we inspected several features of the papers under study,
identified the main AI applications in Finance and highlighted ten major
research streams. From this extensive review, it emerges that AI can be
regarded as an excellent market predictor and contributes to market stability
by minimising information asymmetry and volatility; this results in profitable
investing systems and accurate performance evaluations. Additionally, in
the risk management area, AI aids with bankruptcy and credit risk prediction
12
in both corporate and financial institutions; fraud detection and early 3
warning models monitor the whole financial system and raise expectations
for future artificial market surveillance. This suggests that global financial
crises or unexpected financial turmoil will be likely to be anticipated and
prevented.
All in all, judging from the rapid widespread of AI applications in the financial
sphere and across a large variety of countries, and, more in general, based
on the growth rate exhibited by technological progress over time, we expect
that the use of AI tools will further expand, both geographically, across
sectors and across financial areas. Hence, firms that still struggle with
coping with the latest wave of technological change should be aware of that,
and try to overcome this burden in order to reap the potential benefits
associated with the adoption of AI and remain competitive. In the light of
these considerations, policymakers should motivate companies, especially
those that have not adopted yet, or have just begun to introduce AI
applications, to catch
12
4
up, for instance by providing funding or training courses aimed to
strengthen the complex skills required by employees dealing with these
sophisticated systems and languages.
This study presents some limitations. For instance, it tackles a significant
range of interrelated topics (in particular, the main financial areas affected
by AI which have been the main object of past research), and then presents
a concise description for each of them; other studies may decide to focus
on only one or a couple of subjects and provide a more in-depth account of
the chosen one(s). Also, we are aware that technological change has been
progressing at an unprecedented fast and growing pace; even though we
considered a significantly long time-frame and a relevant amount of studies
have been released in the first two decades of the XXI century, we are
aware that further advancements have been made from 2021 (the last year
included in the time frame used to the select our sample); for instance, in
the last few years, AI experts, policymakers, and also a growing number of
scholars have been debating the potential and risks of AI-related devices,
such as chatGBT and the broader and more elusive “metaverse” (see
for instance Mondal et al. 2023 and Calzada 2023, for an overview).
Hence, future contributions may advance our understanding of the
implications of these latest developments for finance and other important
fields, such as education and health.
12
5
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