Probability
1. Read the events below and write their letters into the correct category in the table.
A. A solid heavy rock will float when dropped into a bucket of water
B. Selecting a boy’s name from a hat that contains 10 boy’s names and 10 girl’s names
C. It will rain at least once somewhere in the world tomorrow
D. Rolling a number greater than 1 on a standard six-sided die
E. Winning a major lottery jackpot with a single ticket
F. Pulling a red ball out of a that contains 8 blue balls and 2 red balls
2. Circle true or false for each statement.
a) The probability of rolling a 7 on a single standard six-sided die is 0
True / False
b) If you pick a card from a standard deck, the events “picking a red card” and “picking
a heart” are mutually exclusive.
True / False
c) In a bag with 5 green marbles and 5 blue marbles, the chance of picking a green
marble is “even chance”
True / False
3. On each of these spinners, write numbers to show that getting a 3 will always happen,
will not happen and might happen.
It will happen. It will not happen. It might happen.
4. Cards numbered 1 to 10 are placed in a hat.
Kuma takes a card. Use words from your probability line to describe the likelihood that
she picks:
a) The number 7_______ e) A number less than 3_______
b) An even number________ f) A number between 2 and
c) A number greater than 6_______ 9_______
d) The number 12_______ g) A number less than 12________
5. There are ten towels dryinf in the sun. You take one without looking.
Are the statements true or false?
a) It is impossible to take a red towel
b) It is likely that you will take a towel with a diamond pattern
c) It is certain that you will take a plain grey towel
d) It is less likely to pick a plain white than a plain grey towel
e) It is equally likely to pick a checkered towel as it is to pick a plain grey towel
6. Look at the following picture.
a) What is the probability of rolling 3? _____
b) What is the probability of rolling more than 4? _____
c) What is the probability of rolling less than 5? _____
d) What is the probability of rolling an even number? _____
e) What is the probability of rolling a prime number? _____
f) What iss the probability of rolling an odd number? _____
g) What is the probability of rolling a 3 or a 6? _____
h) What is the probability of rolling an even prime number? _____
7. Daniel has a bag of ten marbles. The marbles have the numbers 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 5
and 6 on them. Daniel is going to pick a marble at random.
a) Mark on the probability scale below the probability that he picks a 3.
b) Mark on the probability scale below the probability thet he picks a 6.
c) Mark on the probability scale below the probability that he picks an even number.
d) Mark on the probability scale below the probability that he picks a 1.
8. The diagram shows a fair spinner.
a) Mark on the probability scale below with an arrow to show the probability of landing
on orange.
b) Mark on the probability scale below with an arrow to show the probability of landing
on red.
c) Mark on the probability scale below with an arrow to show the probability of landing
on purple.
9. There is an even chance of a baby elephant being male or female. Use a coin to
simulate how many male and female elephants could be born in the national park this
year.
Key
__________ = male elephant
__________ = female elephant
In yout simulation:
a) How many male elephants are born? ______
b) How many female elephants are born? ______
c) How many elephants are born in total? ______
10. Place a paper clip under apencil in the centre of the circle.
a) Is the spinner more likely to land on yellow or blue?
Explain your thinking.
b) Try ten spins. Describe what happened.
11. Look at the following picture.
a) What is the chance of the spinner landing on a 6?
b) What is the chance of the spinner landing on a 3?
c) Write an event of your own.
What is the chance of it happening?
12. Imagine that there is an arrow on this spinner.
You have five chances to spin it.
How likely is it that you will get a total of less than 50?
Explain your reason.
13. Look at the following picture.
a) How likely is it that you will find a domino with a total of more than 10 if you close
your eyes and point to one?
Explain your answer.
I think
b) Try it. Describe what happened.