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LectureNotes Ch02a

The document outlines fundamental concepts in probability and statistics, including experiments, sample spaces, events, and counting sample points. It provides definitions, examples, and rules for calculating probabilities and outcomes in various scenarios. Key topics include the multiplication rule, combinations, and arrangements of items in different contexts.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
10 views46 pages

LectureNotes Ch02a

The document outlines fundamental concepts in probability and statistics, including experiments, sample spaces, events, and counting sample points. It provides definitions, examples, and rules for calculating probabilities and outcomes in various scenarios. Key topics include the multiplication rule, combinations, and arrangements of items in different contexts.
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Outline

Sample Space
Events
Counting Sample
Points
Definitions

• Experiment: any process that generates data


– Observational
– Designed experiment
– Retrospective studies
• Outcomes of a study or investigation
• Chance outcomes
• Data types: numerical data or categorical data
• Observation: any recording of information

2-3
Definition 2.1

2-4
Example

2-5
Example 2:

• An experiment consists of flipping a coin and


then flipping it a second time if a head occurs.
• If a tail occurs on the first flip, then a die is
tossed once.

2-6
Figure 2.1 Tree diagram for
Example 2.2

2-7
Example

• Suppose that three items are selected at random


from a manufacturing process. Each item is
inspected and classified defective, D, or
nondefective, N.

2-8
Figure 2.2 Tree Diagram for
Example 2.3

2-9
• Sample spaces with a large or infinite number of
sample points are best described by a statement
or rule method.
For example:
if the possible outcomes of an experiment are the set of
cities in the world with a population over 1 million, our
sample space is written
S = {x | x is a city with a population over 1 million},
which reads “S is the set of all x such that x is a city with a
population over 1 million.”
2 - 10
Example

• If S is the set of all points (x, y) on the left side


of y= - x + 2 line in a x , y coordinate system
then we write the rule as:

• S = {(x, y) | x + y ≥ 2}.

2 - 11
Example

• If S is the set of all points (x, y) on the boundary


or the interior of a circle of radius 2 with center
at the origin, we write the rule
• S = {(x, y) | x2 + y2 ≤ 4}.

2 - 12
Definition 2.2

For example, in the tossing of a die we might let A be the event that an
even number occurs and B the event that a number greater than 3
shows.

Then the subsets A = {2, 4, 6} and

B = {4, 5, 6} are subsets of the same sample space

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
2 - 13
Definition 2.3

2 - 14
Definition 2.4

Note that both A and B will occur on a given toss if the outcome is an element of
the subset {4, 6}, which is just the intersection of A and B.

2 - 15
Definition 2.5

2 - 16
Definition 2.6

2 - 17
Figure 2.3 Events represented by
various regions

2 - 18
Figure 2.4 Events of the sample
space S

2 - 19
2 - 20
Section 2.3
Counting Sample
Points
Rule 2.1 : Multiplication rule

2 - 22
Example

2 - 23
Example

2 - 24
Figure 2.6 Tree diagram for
Example 2.14

2 - 25
Example

2 - 26
Example

• If a 22-member club needs to elect a chair and a


treasurer, how many different ways can these
two to be elected?

2 - 27
Example

• Suppose, for instance, that a customer wishes to buy a new cell


phone and can choose from n1 = 5 brands, n2 = 5 sets of
capability, and n3 = 4 colors.
• How many different ways can an order take place?
• These three classifications result in n1n2n3 = (5)(5)(4) = 100
different ways for a customer to order one of these phones

2 - 28
Rule 2.2

2 - 29
Example

• Sam is going to assemble a computer by himself. He has the choice of chips


from two brands, a hard drive from four, memory from three, and an
accessory bundle from five local stores. How many different ways can Sam
order the parts?

2 - 30
Example

• How many even four-digit numbers can be formed from the


digits 0, 1, 2, 5, 6, and 9 if each digit can be used only once?

2 - 31
Definition 2.7

2 - 32
Definition 2.8

2 - 33
Theorem 2.1

2 - 34
Theorem 2.2

2 - 35
Example

• In one year, three awards (research, teaching, and service) will be given to a
class of 25 graduate students in a statistics department. If each student can
receive at most one award, how many possible selections are there?

2 - 36
Example

• A president and a treasurer are to be chosen from a student club


consisting of 50 people. How many different choices of officers
are possible if
(a) there are no restrictions;
(b) A will serve only if he is president;
(c) B and C will serve together or not at all;
(d) D and E will not serve together?

2 - 37
Solution

2 - 38
Theorem 2.3

2 - 39
Theorem 2.4

2 - 40
Question

• If the order of the elements within a cell is of no importance:

Consider the set {a, e, i, o, u}. The possible partitions into two cells in which the
first cell contains 4 elements and the second cell 1 element are
• {(a, e, i, o), (u)}, {(a, i, o, u), (e)}, {(e, i, o, u), (a)}, {(a, e, o, u), (i)}, {(a, e, i,
u), (o)}.

2 - 41
Example

• In a college football training session, the defensive coordinator


needs to have 10 players standing in a row.
• Among these 10 players, there are 1 freshman, 2 sophomores, 4
juniors, and 3 seniors.
• How many different ways can they be arranged in a row if only
their class level will be distinguished?

2 - 42
Theorem 2.5

2 - 43
Example

• In how many ways can 7 graduate students be assigned to 1


triple and 2 double hotel rooms during a conference?

2 - 44
Example

• A young boy asks his mother to get 5 Game-BoyTM cartridges


from his collection of 10 arcade and 5 sports games. How many
ways are there that his mother can get 3 arcade and 2 sports
games?

2 - 45
Theorem 2.6

2 - 46

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