Daily Equity Market Analysis Report
Daily Equity Market Analysis Report
The top contributors that pulled the NIFTY index upwards on August 6, 2012, were HDFC Bank, ONGC, Reliance Industries, HDFC, and NTPC, contributing significantly with a total of 41.92 points. Conversely, companies like Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, Tata Steel, ITC, and ICICI Bank pulled the index down with a combined negative impact of 56.51 points. Despite the efforts of the leading positive contributors, the negative influences from the other entities outweighed them, contributing to the overall moderate losses on the index .
On August 6, 2012, the S&P CNX Nifty fell by 0.23%, CNX Nifty Junior by 0.41%, and CNX 100 by 0.26%, indicating a broader negative trend across major sectorial indices. The CNX IT index gained 0.47%, showing positive movement in the information technology sector. Conversely, the BANK NIFTY dropped by 0.62%, and the CNX Midcap decreased by 0.15%, signaling weakness in banking and midcap stocks .
Based on the F&O trade statistics, the turnover for index futures was Rs 10,308.85 crores, whereas for stock futures, it was higher at Rs 11,947.12 crores. This suggests a greater trading interest or activity in stock futures compared to index futures. Additionally, the put-call ratio for index options was 1.09, indicating a relatively balanced sentiment, whereas the ratio was lower at 0.54 for stock options, suggesting a more bearish sentiment on individual stocks compared to the overall index .
The metal sector was one of the biggest losers in the market session on August 6, 2012, which negatively impacted the overall market performance. With significant declines in companies like Sterlite Industries and Tata Steel, which showed reductions in price by 2.48% and 2.20% respectively, the sector contributed to pulling the NIFTY and other indices down. This negative performance likely dampened investor sentiment and contributed to the day's market losses .
Based on the NIFTY's technical view provided in the document, the recommended strategy is to 'Sell on Highs.' The report suggests a trend of consolidation with resistance levels identified at 5280 and support levels between 5160 and 5150, which implies that market participants should sell when the market reaches higher price points .
On August 2, 2012, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) had a net buying activity with a net value of 90.5 crores after buying securities worth 1,539.21 crores and selling worth 1,448.71 crores. Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) were net sellers, with a net selling activity amounting to 199.40 crores, as they bought securities worth 727.89 crores and sold worth 927.29 crores .
Global market cues significantly influenced domestic indices on the reported trading day. The green performance of European markets, especially with DAX leading, and the rise in Dow Futures by 115 points suggested a positive sentiment from developed markets, which might have mitigated some of the declines in Indian indices. In contrast, the negative performance of most Asian markets potentially exerted downward pressure. Domestic indices likely reflected a combination of these global cues alongside local market forces, resulting in moderate losses despite the mitigating influence from stronger European markets .
The Indian market ended with moderate losses because the Nifty lost 12 points and the Sensex lost 26 points on August 6, 2012. This was partly due to the decline in sectors such as metal, auto, and banking, which were the biggest losers, while sectors like realty and FMCG also contributed to pulling the indices down. Despite some gains in IT, oil & gas, and healthcare sectors, these were not enough to offset the overall downward trend .
The technical daily pivot points for the NIFTY, such as R2 at 5256 and S1 at 5180, indicate key resistance and support levels. The suggested market strategy is 'Sell on Highs,' which aligns with the pivot analysis as selling near resistance points like R2 can be a strategic move to maximize gains if the market fails to break through these levels. The emphasis on consolidation and defined resistance points further supports this strategy .
The mixed performance trends on August 6, 2012, can be attributed to various sector-specific factors and market conditions. While metal, auto, and banking sectors faced declines due to reasons which might include global commodity prices, domestic policy concerns, or financial regulatory impacts, the IT, oil & gas, and healthcare sectors witnessed gains possibly due to positive earnings reports, technological innovations, or defensive sector positioning. External factors such as international market influences, especially from Europe being positive and most Asian markets being red, also likely played a role in sector performance disparity .