MANIPULATION ALGORITHM
Asia Session + 3 Filters + Daily Bias
Decode what institutions do before London opens every day
XAUUSD | Private Research | Backtest Before Live Trading
SECTION 1: THE CORE CONCEPT
Every day on Gold — institutions follow a predictable mathematical sequence. They manipulate price during
the Asia session to hunt retail stop losses. Then they execute the real move at London open in the
OPPOSITE direction. This algorithm decodes that sequence using three mathematical filters.
Why This Works Retail traders park stops at obvious highs and lows. Institutions know exactly
where those stops are. They push price to those levels during low-liquidity Asia
hours — collect the stops — then reverse hard at London open when liquidity
returns. This is not random. It is a consistent mathematical pattern.
Retail Trader Sees Algorithm Sees
Random price movement in Asia Deliberate manipulation to hunt stops
Confusing reversal at London open Predictable real move after manipulation
Stopped out on correct bias Entry opportunity after manipulation completes
Unpredictable market Mathematical sequence every single day
SECTION 2: MODEL 0 — MATHEMATICAL DAILY BIAS
(MDB)
Before any analysis — run MDB every morning. This tells you which direction to trade today. Takes 5
minutes maximum.
Step 1 — CPR: Close Position Ratio
CPR = (Prev Close - Prev Low) / (Prev High - Prev Low) x 100
CPR Result Meaning Score
Above 70% Price closed near top — Bullish +1
30% to 70% Neutral close 0
Below 30% Price closed near bottom — Bearish -1
Step 2 — TDMS: Three Day Momentum Score
TDMS = Day1 Score + Day2 Score + Day3 Score (Bullish day = +1,
Bearish = -1)
TDMS Signal Score
+3 or +2 Strong Bullish momentum +1
+1 Mild bullish 0
0 Neutral 0
-1 Mild bearish 0
-2 or -3 Strong Bearish momentum -1
Step 3 — WOB: Weekly Open Bias
WOB = Current Price - Weekly Open Price
WOB Result Bias Score
Positive (above WO) Bullish +1
Within 50 pips of WO Neutral 0
Negative (below WO) Bearish -1
500+ pips away from WO Mean reversion risk — reduce confidence 0
Step 4 — DBCS: Daily Bias Confluence Score
DBCS = CPR Score + TDMS Score + WOB Score
DBCS Final Bias Action
+3 Strong Bullish BUY setups only — full size
+2 Bullish BUY setups — normal size
+1 Mild Bullish BUY setups — reduced size
0 Neutral NO TRADE — sideline
-1 Mild Bearish SELL setups — reduced size
-2 Bearish SELL setups — normal size
-3 Strong Bearish SELL setups only — full size
Worked Example CPR: Close 4388, Low 4099, High 4536 = 66% = 0. TDMS: Mar21 -1, Mar22 -1,
— March 23, 2026 Mar23 -1 = -3 = -1. WOB: 4318 - 4491 = -173 = -1. DBCS = 0 + (-1) + (-1) = -2.
STRONG BEARISH. Gold dropped 6% that day. Algorithm was correct.
SECTION 3: THE 3-FILTER MANIPULATION DETECTION
SYSTEM
After MDB confirms daily bias — watch the Asia session. When the first big leg appears — run these 3 filters
immediately.
Filter 1 — 3-Day Majority Bias
Look at last 3 daily candles. 2 or more DOWN = Bearish. 2 or more UP
= Bullish.
Condition Signal
3-Day Bearish + First leg UP MANIPULATION — real move DOWN
3-Day Bullish + First leg DOWN MANIPULATION — real move UP
3-Day Bearish + First leg DOWN Possibly real move — low confidence
Mixed 3 days No clear signal — skip
Filter 2 — Asia Session Time Window
First big leg must occur between 22:00 - 02:00 GMT for highest
probability
Time GMT IST Manipulation Probability
22:00 - 00:00 03:30 - 05:30 100% in dataset
00:00 - 02:00 05:30 - 07:30 67% in dataset
02:00 - 06:00 07:30 - 11:30 33% — use with caution
After 07:00 After 12:30 London open — different rules
Filter 3 — Pip Size Qualification
First big leg must be 600+ pips for institutional manipulation
confirmation
Pip Size Interpretation
Below 300 pips Too small — normal noise — not manipulation
300-599 pips Borderline — use only if filters 1 and 2 very strong
600-1000 pips Valid manipulation size — proceed
1000+ pips Strong institutional manipulation — high confidence
SECTION 4: COMPLETE DAILY WORKFLOW
NIGHT Before sleep — note previous day High, Low, Close. Calculate CPR. Note if bullish or bearish.
MORNING Calculate TDMS (last 3 days). Check Weekly Open. Calculate DBCS. Know today's bias.
DQF Calculate 5-day average range. Today's range / average. If above 1.5 = anomaly day = close
CHECK charts.
ASIA Monitor 22:00-02:00 GMT. Is a big move forming? Which direction?
WATCH
FILTER 1 Check 3-day majority bias vs first leg direction. Same direction = less likely manipulation.
FILTER 2 Confirm time is within 22:00-02:00 GMT window for highest probability.
FILTER 3 Measure first leg pip size. Must be 600+ pips for institutional confirmation.
CONFIRM 3 filters matched? Manipulation confirmed. Real move = OPPOSITE direction at London open.
WAIT Do NOT enter during Asia manipulation. Wait for London open (07:00 GMT / 12:30 IST).
ENTRY London open — 23.6% retracement of manipulation leg = entry zone. 1M confirmation candle.
SL & TP SL = 10 pips beyond manipulation extreme. TP = manipulation size x 3 minimum (1:6+ RR).
JOURNAL Record everything — DBCS, filters, entry, SL, TP, result. Data builds accuracy over time.
SECTION 5: PREDETERMINED SESSION BIAS
Once daily bias is confirmed and manipulation is detected — session bias is automatically predetermined for
the rest of the day.
Session GMT Role
Asia 22:00-02:00 Manipulation zone — watch only
London Pre-Market 06:00-07:00 Setup phase — prepare entry
London Kill Zone 07:00-09:00 REAL MOVE STARTS —
primary entry window
NY Open 13:00-14:00 Continuation or secondary entry
London Close 16:00-17:00 Partial close or trail stop
Session Rule If manipulation happened in Asia and real move started at London open — DO
NOT look for counter-trend trades during NY session. Bias is set for the day.
Trade only with the predetermined bias direction.
SECTION 6: ENTRY MATHEMATICS AFTER
MANIPULATION
Entry Zone = Manipulation Extreme + (Manipulation Size x 0.236)
Stop Loss = Manipulation Extreme + (Manipulation Size x 0.05)
Take Profit = Entry + (Manipulation Size x 6.18)
Worked Example:
Level Calculation Price
Manipulation High Asia spike high 4,569
Manipulation Low Return point 4,440
Manipulation Size 4569 - 4440 129 pips / 1290 pips
Entry Zone 4569 - (1290 x 0.236) 4,264 pips from high
Stop Loss 4569 + (1290 x 0.05) 64 pips above high
TP at 6.18x 1290 x 6.18 7,972 pips from entry
Risk Reward TP / SL 1:6+ minimum
SECTION 7: QUICK REFERENCE CARD
Formula Calculation
CPR (Close - Low) / (High - Low) x 100
TDMS Sum of last 3 days (+1 bull, -1 bear)
DBCS CPR + TDMS + WOB score
DQF Today's range / 5-day avg range
Manipulation Filter 3-day bias + time 22-02 GMT + 600+ pips
Entry Manip extreme + (size x 0.236)
Stop Loss Manip extreme + (size x 0.05)
Take Profit Entry + (Manip size x 6.18)
Break-even at 1:6 1/(1+6) = 14% win rate needed
The Algorithm in Asia session manipulation + 3-day opposite bias + 600+ pips + 22:00-02:00
One Sentence GMT = Real move opposite direction at London open. Enter at 23.6%
retracement. Target 6x manipulation size.
Critical Warning This system is based on 16 days of data. DO NOT trade real money until you
have completed a minimum 6-month backtest. Paper trade first. Collect data.
Verify accuracy. Then and only then — teach students.