Ac S An Bar ........ Ount1ng: Video 9A of 3)
Ac S An Bar ........ Ount1ng: Video 9A of 3)
088
~ ~~-
ac<s "' '
2081
@Albrooksall
an
•
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2050
2078
Bar . . . . ount1ng
~
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Al Brooks 2072
@Albrooksall
@Albrooksall
K K ...
• In bear, high of bar I
@Albrooksall
• These are actual pullbacks on
lower time frames
r,
@Albrooksall
• These are actual PBs on i
lower time frames
Ii?
@Albrooksall
2064 00
2062.00
2060 00
2058.00
PB since fell below low k
2056.00
time frame
Stop 2052.00
1.00 11.30 12.00 12:30 13:00 2/11 07.00 07:30 08:00 08"30 09.00 09·30 1 0.00 10"30 11 00 11 30
.o1~
@Albrooksall
2084 00
~Tt+ 9~t
9~r9
Once PB grows to 20 or more bars,
it is Trading Range (TR)
1]~11+
2056 00
1 00 11 30 1200 1230 1300 2/11 0700 0730 0800 0830 01100 01130 1000 1030 11 00 11 .30
@Albrooksall
market pulls back, and goes sideways to down
E?•
- - - Stop
o+t
□+~
- - Stop Once bulls confident that bears
will fail to reverse bull trend,
bulls buy again
Now have tighter stop
Often rally
@Albrooksall
above resistance
in bear
Often fall
below support
Deep PB to DB HL MTR
in bull
Held slightly above prior low
50%
@Albrooksall
Traders buy 50% PB in bull trend 50% I
50%
@Albrooksall
Bulls gave up
Parabolic Wedge Top Created big bear BO
)
Opening Reversal Always In Short
,/ +hl~
@Albrooksall
Always In Long
Buy close
Buy for any reason
PB from rally fell to below bottom of bull BO
Bulls will buy reversal up into TR
TR
[Link] BrooksPriceAction .com Slid e 11
k :
H3
■ Method to help traders Bulls will buy BO
find PB entries above High 3 Bull Flag
High 4 and
■ Trend often resumes after PB big High 2
@Albrooksall
that has just one leg
@Albrooksall
ABC A C
■ Triangle is PB with 3 legs
in one direction (5 or more total)
3 5
A C
■ Don't worry that most patterns 3
1 2
are not perfect
ABC Bull Flag
buy entry
ABC
[Link] BrooksPriceAction .com Slide 13
PB in Bull Ends: Bar Goes above High of Prior Bar
k k
■
@Albrooksall
Can get another 1- 2 legs down
1 2
If get 4 or more legs down,
then probably reversal, not PB
4
■
1-2
If get 4 or more legs up,
@Albrooksall
Can get another 1- 2 legs up
@Albrooksall
@Albrooksall
3
usually has bear bar 2
1
@Albrooksall
(High 1 buy setup, High 1 reversal,
High 1 Bull Flag)
k H1 k H1 H1 H1
■ Bar that goes above
is High 1 entry bar
k k H1 k
@Albrooksall
of pullback in strong bull
H1
• May become small leg
in larger pullback Hl
@Albrooksall
• The prior bar is the
High 2 buy signal bar Hl
H2
k H2 k
+
H2
@Albrooksall Hl
H2
@Albrooksall
-H l -
HL Hl
Hl
,. ¢ .J.. T "T"., + • .J..
+·•++~•¢~+T•+"T"~T
t-t-
Protective stop
@Albrooksall
■ Example, look for High 2 Bull Flag DB Bull Flag
H2 is a H2 Bul l Flag
1 2
■ It is two-legged,
1 2 3
sideways to down pullback (ABC) H2
ABC
Bulls buy just above bull bar,
betting on trend resumption up,
H2
after BO above High 2 Bull Flag
@Albrooksall
+
Hl
Hl
H2
Hl
H3
0
Count number of H3
buy signal bars H2
Hl
H2 Count number
H3
of legs down
Buy reversal up
@Albrooksall
Wedge, so High 3 bottom
@Albrooksall
High 4 reversal
i
H4
• Beyond that, stop counting Hl
TR or bear H4
H3
@Albrooksall
(Low 1 sell setup, Low 1 reversal,
Low 1 Bear Flag) L1 L1 L1
@Albrooksall
L.2
Low 2, Low 3, and Low 4
reversals Ll Tc
Ll
L2 L3 L4 T
@Albrooksall
• lle5
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@Albrooksall •
2080
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2 072
ac<s 2082
@Albrooksall
an~
•
2080
2 078
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Al -
Brooks
------------~- ~ 2 072
@Albrooksall
■ High 4 and Low 4 Consecutive reversals 13
H4 L4
@Albrooksall
context is good
Tc
■ All Wedge Tops and
Wedge Bear Flags
T
are Low 3 sell setups Wedge Bear Flag,
L3 so Low 3 Bear Flag
L3
[Link] · [Link]
Broo k sPrice · Slide 2
H3 H3
@Albrooksall
context is good
@Albrooksall
2nd Leg Up likely
DB, so
9 High 2 Bull Flag
'tlri 1.w+)l BO PB buy signal
Wedge LH MTR
H2
@Albrooksall
Correct stop for bulls is
below bottom of bull leg
If exit, buy again on reversal up
Protective stop
+-
@Albrooksall
!
1
Sell BO below
OT Bear Flag
..___
'\_ ·~99T t 1
often strong ~ Measured Move target
MM down
@Albrooksall
prior Lower High in bear channel
- - - - - - - - - ,t9•+9~
1
Sell Climax
Sell vacuum down
to MM target
OT reversal
If 1st reversal down, usually MTR Once clear bear trend with prior Lower High,
See video on Major Trend Reversals OT Bear Flag
@Albrooksall
o+--•!O•T- ,_.a.. 6 1 t
~ ~ •~- •~1•Q• '
Once clearly a bear trend, L2 L2
Ll
A OT is a bear flag
H2
Hl H2
Big bull breakout,
but bad follow-through and still LH, Every DB in bull, is
and Expanding Triangle High 2 buy setup
Bulls need HL to confirm reversal Here, DB HL MTR
@Albrooksall OT early in
bear trend is
OT LH MTR
Slide
■ Double Top Bear Flags, and 2
Double Bottom Bull Flags
@Albrooksall
■ High 4 and Low 4 consecutive reversals 13
H4 L4
@Albrooksall
so 2 or 3 legs down likely
Bear BO and failed bottom so reset the count
J,.. l
T H2
H3
H2 H5 H6 Hl H2
H4 HS
Buy the new H2, or just look to buy HS or HG
Consecutive bottom attempts, have higher probability of reversal
2 3
Tight Bear Channel, with many bear bars closing on lows
k Buying reversal above weak buy signal bar
has low probability of profit
L2
@Albrooksall
Exit below Low 2 Bear Flag,
or below Wedge Bottom
✓
H2 ✓
H3
Buy reversal up H2
' Buy reversal up
HS
High 4 and Low 4 setups are same as
Elliott Wave double zig zag
H4 L4
[Link] [Link] Slide 14
H4 H2+H2
Dt @Albrooksall Hl
H2
Bear BO so failed H2 buy signal
Hl
H3 H2
H4
Many bulls will begin count over
+ Other bulls will assume still pulling back,
to H3 or H4 bull flag
H3 H4
H2 0.1
H2 buy triggered by 0.1 pip BO
@Albrooksall Hl
H2 -
H2 /'
Bear BO so failed H2 buy Hl
H3
to H3 or H4 bull flag
H3 H4
[Link] BrooksPriceAction .com Slide 16
Strong Bear Trend: Never Look for Bottoms
80%
80% of reversals fail in strong trends
Channel too tight for major reversal
Only get minor reversal, which is bear flag
Ll BO on higher time frame
Ll
@Albrooksall
Ll
Hl
H1 H2
Hl
L3 L2
L4 L5 L6 L5 L6
st
Consecutive tops can be Low 4, 5, or 6 When 1 reversal attempt is Wedge, it is a L 3
Each top attempt has 2 or 3 legs, If 2nd reversal attempt is L 2, get L 5 sell signal
so each is either Low 2 or Low 3 If 2 nd attempt is also wedge, get L 6 sell signal
2 3
Sell the new L 2, or just look to sell L 5 or L 6
L2 L3 LS
L4
Consecutive top attempts, have
@Albrooksall
L2
Ll higher probability of reversal
L2 L5 L6
L3 t
L2
Ll
T
Strong bull BO above Wedge,
so 2 or 3 legs up likely
Bull BO and failed top, so reset the count
2 3
@Albrooksall
above Wedge Top Ll L2
~
L2
Ll
tt
Sell reversal
down
Tight Bull Channel, with many big bull bars closing on highs
Selling reversal down, has low probability of profit
L4
L2
L3
@Albrooksall
Ll
L2
Ll L2
Breakout, so failed L2 sell
Many bears will begin count over
Other bears will assume still
pulling back to L3 or L4 Bear Flag
L3 L4
[Link] [Link] Slide 20
L4 L2+L2
L4
L3
L2
Ll
L2
@Albrooksall
Ll
L6
LS
L4 . it-•.~-
L3 • 1 1 1 l),.----
L2 a+.tcJ++......,. H1
@Albrooksall
Now TR, and not strong trend
Hl
L4 L2
L2 L3
Ll
0
@Albrooksall
Hl
Hl
@Albrooksall
H2
Hl
Hl H1
++ After every new BO,
start count over again with H1
Look to buy pullback after every new leg
@Albrooksall
• High 4 and Low 4 consecutive reversals 13
• 066
@•!•ii
2 082
@Albrooksall •
2 080
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Al Brooks
2 072
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♦X•!:ii
2,082
@Albrooksall
•
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Al Brooks 2072
■
@Albrooksall
Countertrend traders exit on High or Low 2
H2 L2
14
@Albrooksall
H3
@Albrooksall
H3
tt H3
@Albrooksall
H3
@Albrooksall
Bull channel in bear trend is a PB {bear flag)
More likely to get bear breakout
If grows to 20 or more bars, it is an Endless Pullback
Odds of bear BO fall to about same as for bull BO
{50% for each)
20 k
50%
[Link] [Link] Slide 5
Endless PB in Bull Trend: New Bear Trend
@Albrooksall
Hl H2 H3
H
4
Hl H2 T•
Bear breakout,
.,. 9 and follow through
Always In Short
• tr° Possible Measuring Gap
9 24 k 24 bar PB after bull BO
T
Endless PB
50% chance of bear BO
Q
50%
Slide
■ Endless pullback 2
■
@Albrooksall
Countertrend traders exit on High or Low 2 14
60 H2
5 60 min H2
5 min Trading Range buy setup
@Albrooksall Hl
H2
@Albrooksall 0
L2
1 1 min L3 Wedge
L3 sell setup
5 L1
@Albrooksall
5 min Ll L2 L3
5 min Ll 1 min L2
sell setup
Ll
@Albrooksall
@Albrooksall
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2 + + Hl
0 Hl H2
@Albrooksall
• Countertrend traders exit on High or Low 2
H2 L2
14
@Albrooksall
H1
■ They will not let it
go against them twice (H 2)
H2 Hl H2
@Albrooksall
•If short, buy to exit
Exit short if
High 2 triggers,
• If flat, buy to get long
especially since
H2
Hl bull signal bar
@Albrooksall
■ Market goes up to find sellers
@Albrooksall
L2
Low 2 triggers
■ If long, sell to exit Some bulls will buy / (Micro DT,
failed bear br eakout, > Micro Wedge)
■ If flat, sell to get short or above bull bar
Bears will short,
and they will win,
since bear trend
@Albrooksall
L2
■ Market goes down to find buyers Ll
@Albrooksall
Exit shorts when H2 buy signal triggers in bull trend
I
Strong buy signal, so exit shorts
Strong trends always form Wedge reversals, but 80% fail
H2
k
80%
@Albrooksall (
Exit shorts when H2
buy signal triggers
in bull trend
Bulls will buy
strong buy signal
H2
@Albrooksall
• Countertrend traders exit on High or Low 2 14
J 085
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2 082
@Albrooksall •
2-080
2 078
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Al Brooks
2 072