Module III RCT 2024
Module III RCT 2024
Controlled/Clinical Trials
(RCTs)
Lelisa Sena (PhD)
[Link]@[Link]
lelisajitu@[Link]
Jimma University
Learning outcomes:
3
When should we do a trial?
Trials must have:
▪ a rationale based on prior observational data or biological
evidence;
▪ an explicit, testable, and potentially falsifiable hypothesis;
▪ an uncertainty as to whether an intervention is efficacious
(“equipoise”);
▪ Reasonable expectation that benefits will exceed risk;
▪ An intervention that potentially can be randomized.
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▪ It is possible to clearly measure the
intended results;
▪ Observer bias
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What elements of a trial can be randomized?
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Fig. Design of a randomized controll trial, WHO, 1993
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[Link]-group RCTs: Participants
are randomly assigned to one of two
or more groups, each receiving a
Design different intervention or placebo.
options of
RCTs: ▪ Each group is followed up for the
same period.
2. Crossover RCTs: Participants
receive a sequence of different
treatments (or placebo) in a
random order, with a washout
Design period b/n treatments to prevent
options… carryover effects.
Special forms I- Crossover Studies:
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Design of a Planned Crossover Trial
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3. Factorial RCTs: Participants are
randomly assigned to one of
several groups that receive
Design different combinations of
options …
interventions.
▪This design allows researchers to
study the interaction between
multiple interventions.
Special forms II- Factorial Design:
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4. Pragmatic RCTs: These trials are
designed to evaluate the
effectiveness of interventions in
real-life routine practice
conditions, aiming for a high level
of external validity.
Design ➢Unlike explanatory RCTs, which aim
options… to determine whether an
intervention works under optimal
and controlled conditions, pRCTs
focus on how well an intervention
performs in everyday clinical
practice.
[Link]-World Settings: pRCTs are
conducted in typical clinical
environments with minimal
exclusion criteria, ensuring that the
study population is representative
Key of the patients who will use the
features of intervention in practice.
pRCTs: [Link] Eligibility Criteria: These
trials include a wide range of
participants to reflect the diversity
of the patient population,
enhancing generalizability.
4. Routine Practice Conditions:
Interventions are implemented
and assessed under usual care
conditions, without the strict
protocols and intensive
Key features monitoring often seen in
of pRCTs… explanatory trials.
[Link]: pRCTs allow for
variations in how the intervention is
delivered, reflecting the flexibility
found in real-world clinical practice.
[Link] Services Research:
Assessing the impact of healthcare
policies, programs, or service
delivery models.
[Link] Interventions: Evaluating
Application new treatments, medications, or
of pRCTs… therapeutic approaches in
everyday clinical settings.
[Link] Health Interventions:
Testing the effectiveness of
community-based health initiatives
or preventive measures.
5. Adaptive RCTs: The trial design
allows for modifications to the
trial procedures (e.g., dosage,
sample size) based on interim
Design results.
options …
▪This type of RCT is flexible and can
provide more efficient pathways to
finding effective treatments.
6. Stepped-wedge RCTs: All
participants eventually
receive the intervention but
at different times.
Design ▪This type of trial is useful when
options … it is not feasible or ethical to
withhold the intervention from
the control group for the entire
study period.
7. Non-inferiority RCTs: Designed
to demonstrate that a new
treatment is not worse than an
Design existing treatment by more than
options … a specified margin.
▪This type of trial is common when
the new treatment is expected to
offer other benefits (e.g., fewer
side effects, lower cost).
8. Superiority RCTs: Aim to
demonstrate that one
intervention is superior to
another.
Design ▪ This is the most common type of
options … RCT, used when a new treatment is
expected to be better than the
current standard.
10. Equivalence RCTs: Aim to
show that two treatments
have no significant difference
in efficacy within a predefined
Design
options … margin.
▪This is often used when two
treatments are believed to be
similarly effective.
11. Cluster RCTs: Groups or clusters
of participants (e.g., schools,
communities) are randomly
assigned to different
Design interventions.
options… ▪This type of trial is useful when the
intervention is naturally applied at
the group level.
a. Field Trials
▪In a field trial, the goal is not to study the complications
of an existing disease, but to study the primary
prevention of a disease.
▪For example, experiments of new vaccines to prevent
infectious illness are field trials because the study
participants have not yet been diagnosed with a
particular disease.
▪In a clinical trial, the study participants can be followed
through regular clinic visits, whereas in a field trial, it
may be necessary to contact participants for follow-up
directly at home, workplace, or school.
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b. Community Trials:
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Community Trials...
RR = 1.7
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▪ C-RCTs are a type of randomized
controlled trial in which groups or
Community clusters of individuals, rather than
Cluster individual participants, are randomly
Randomized assigned to different intervention arms.
Trials ▪ This design is often used in PH research
(C-RCTs): and other fields where interventions are
applied at the group level (e.g., schools,
communities, workplaces) rather than to
individuals.
[Link] Instead of Individuals:
In C-RCTs, entire clusters (e.g.,
communities, schools, clinics) are
randomized to receive the
Key intervention or control. This
features of approach is particularly useful
C-RCTs: when individual randomization is
impractical or when the
intervention is delivered at the
group level.
2. Minimizes Contamination: By
randomizing clusters rather
than individuals, C-RCTs help
to prevent contamination,
Key features where individuals in the
of C-RCTs: control group might be
indirectly exposed to the
intervention.
3. Analysis of Group Effects:
The analysis focuses on
the effect of the
intervention on the
Key clusters, accounting for
features intra-cluster correlation
of C-RCTs (similarities among
individuals within the
same cluster).
[Link] Health Interventions: For example,
evaluating the impact of a new sanitation
program on reducing disease incidence
across different villages.
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c. Clinical Trials
▪A clinical trial is a prospective research study that is
aimed at testing the effectiveness of a new
intervention, usually by comparing it to another
established treatment or to no treatment (a placebo).
▪The ‘intervention’ can be a drug, a medical device, a
surgical procedure or any other therapy aimed at
improving health in some way.
▪Most clinical trials have two or more ‘arms’ (‘multiple-
arm’ studies), but a clinical trial can also have one arm
(‘single-arm’ study).
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Design and conduct of clinical trials:
1. Define the source population
2. Define the study population
▪ Check weather the proposed experimental population is
sufficiently large to achieve the required sample size for
the trial.
▪ Choose population that will experience a sufficient
number of endpoints to permit meaningful comparison
▪ Likelihood of obtaining complete and accurate follow-up
information for the period of trial.
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Design and conduct of clinical trials…
3. Allocation of study groups:
▪ Allocation into either group must be done by random.
✓ known and unknown potential confounders will be
equally distributed between the groups.
✓ Randomization can provide a degree of assurance about
the comparability of the study groups that is simply not
possible in any observational design.
✓ Should be done at last possible moment, after eligibility
criteria has been determined and informed consent has
been obtained
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➢Blinding is a method used to
reduce bias by concealing the
assignment of interventions from
Blinding in one or more parties involved in
RCTs: the trial.
1. Open-label
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Generation of allocation sequence:
❖Restricted randomization:
▪ Blocking
▪ Done to ensure equal balance of arms throughout all portions
of the study
▪ For example, blocks of six would have 3 active/3 control
▪ Block size itself can/should vary
❖Stratified randomization
▪ Individuals are identified based on important covariates (sex, age,
etc.) and then randomization occurs within the strata
❖Dynamic or adaptive methods (not common)
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Dynamic adaptive randomization:
▪Takes into account the participants already
randomized
▪Adjusts the probability boundary based on this
information
▪Takes into account overall balance, stratification level
balance and stratum balance simultaneously
▪Can accommodate various allocation ratios and
number of treatment groups
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▪The dynamic adaptive sampling
method is a sophisticated
approach used in various
research fields, including
clinical trials, ecological studies,
Dynamic
and social science research.
adaptive…
▪This method involves adjusting
the sampling strategy based on
interim results or ongoing data
collection.
[Link]: The sampling strategy
evolves based on real-time data. This
allows researchers to allocate resources
more efficiently and focus on the most
informative parts of the population.
[Link]: The method is flexible and
Key can be tailored to specific research
features : goals, populations, and changing
conditions during the study period.
[Link]: By continuously refining the
sampling process, the dynamic adaptive
method aims to maximize the
information gained while minimizing
costs and effort.
[Link] Trials: In adaptive clinical trials,
interim analyses may lead to modifications
in the trial design, such as changing the
sample size, altering the randomization
ratio, or dropping less effective treatment
arms.
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Allocation concealment…
▪ Allocation concealed: the authors were deemed to have
taken adequate measures to conceal allocation to study
group assignments from those responsible for assessing
patients for entry in the trial;
➢The level of risk (higher the risk, more frequent the follow up)
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Loss to follow up:
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Analyses:
▪Intent-to-treat
▪ Analyze all persons randomized, even if some do not
receive the intervention or drop out before completion of
treatment.
▪ Least biased and most conservative
▪As treated (“per protocol”)
▪ Analyze only those who actually complete the treatment
▪ Potentially biased by selection of the most compliant and
often lowest risk population
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Statistical methods:
▪ Outcomes at fixed points in time
▪ Proportion with outcome at each follow-up
▪ Logistic or log-binomial regression
▪ Odds ratio (OR) or prevalence rate ratio (PRR)
intervention/control
▪ Events in-person time
▪ Rate of outcomes per 100 person-years
▪ Poisson regression, incidence rate ratio (IRR) intervention/control
▪ Time-to-event
▪ Time from enrollment until outcome
▪ Cox proportional hazard regression, hazards ratio (HR)
▪ Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, log-rank test
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Stopping rules:
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Requirements for modification or
termination of an ongoing trial:
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Requirements for modification…
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Ethical challenges of c-RCTS …
▪Identifying all of these individuals as ‘research
participants’ to whom the conventional ethical norms
and standards of clinical research trials are applied, may
well mean that the CCRT is no longer either logistically or
financially feasible.
▪Thus RECs have to balance the aims and objectives of the
study carefully (and the importance thereof, in a public
health context) with the need to protect
the rights and interests of individuals and community
members.
82
Ethical challenges of c-RCTS …
▪The notion of ‘informed consent’ within the context
of a CCRT is particularly challenging, as some form of
‘consent’ should be sought at several levels:
▪Gatekeeper or guardian consent: refers to the entity
that ‘delivers the community’, namely that gives
permission for researchers to undertake the research
in the selected community.
▪Often the ‘gatekeeper’ is the government and/or the
local health authority.
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Ethical challenges of c-RCTS …
▪Community consent or engagement: The notion of
‘community consent’ is a misleading one, which is best
avoided.
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Ethical challenges of c-RCTS …
▪Household consent: Many CCRTs involve accessing
households.
▪This presents several ethical challenges as it may be
unclear as to what defines ‘a household’, as well
as whom is entitled to consent to household access.
▪(Is ‘the household’ those living under one roof, or on
one property, or eating out of one pot, or family
members?
▪Does the concept of ‘the household’ also include any
lodgers?)
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Ethical challenges of c-RCTS …
▪ Individual consent: Even after all the above consents
have been obtained, as appropriate, obtaining individual
consent from those identified as ‘research participants’ is
still mandatory.
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Sample size estimates for Individually
randomized trials
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▪A situation in which the
investigator lacks full control
over the allocation and/or
timing of intervention but
nonetheless conducts the study
Quasi as if it were an experiment,
experimental allocating subjects to groups.
design:
▪Inability to allocate subjects
randomly is a common situation
that may be best described as a
quasi-experiment.
Quasi-experimental study designs…
▪Quasi-experiments aim to demonstrate causality
between an intervention and an outcome.
▪Quasi-experimental studies can use both pre-
intervention and post-intervention measurements as
well as non-randomly selected control groups;
▪A quasi-experimental design DOES NOT permit the
researcher to control the assignment of participants to
conditions or groups.
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Why QUASI-EXPERIMENTS?
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Types of Quasi-Experimental Designs
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Types of Quasi-Ex’tal Designs …
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Types of Quasi-Ex’tal Designs …
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Types of Quasi-Ex’tal Designs …
▪Longitudinal Designs:
➢The quasi-independent variable is time; nothing
has occurred from one observation to the next
except for the passage of time
➢Mostly used by developmental psychologists to
study age-related changes in how people think, feel,
and behave.
➢Developmental changes in memory, emotions, self-
esteem, personality, etc.
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Types of Quasi-Ex’tal Designs …
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Types of Quasi-Ex’tal Designs …
Cross-sectional Designs drawback:
Age is confounded with generation.
▪Examples:
▪Texting ability by age (10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 year old
persons)
▪ Younger people are faster texting
▪ Does texting speed decrease with age?
▪ Or are there generational effects
▪ with experience with texting?
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Threats to Internal Validity of RCT:
1. Ambiguous temporal precedence: Lack of
clarity about whether intervention occurred
before outcome;
2. Selection: Systematic differences over
conditions in respondent characteristics that
could also cause the observed effect;
3. History: Events occurring concurrently with
intervention could cause the observed effect;
4. Maturation: Naturally occurring changes over
time could be confused with a treatment effect;
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Threats to Internal Validity…
5. Regression to the mean: When units are selected for their extreme
scores, they will often have less extreme subsequent scores, an
occurrence that can be confused with an intervention effect;
6. Attrition: Loss of respondents can produce artifactual effects if that
loss is correlated with intervention;
7. Testing: Exposure to a test can affect scores on subsequent
exposures to that test;
8. Instrumentation: The nature of a measurement may change over
time or conditions;
9. Interactive effects: The impact of an intervention may depend on
the level of another intervention
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Points to consider while designing: