Module V Financial Economics
Module V Financial Economics
Module V
Derivative Markets
Financial Derivatives
Financial derivatives are financial contracts whose value depends on the price of another
asset, called the underlying asset. These underlying assets may include stocks,
commodities such as gold or oil, currencies, or market indices. In simple terms, a
derivative does not have its own independent value; instead, its price changes according
to the value of the underlying asset. Because of this relationship, derivatives are widely
used in modern financial markets for different financial activities.
A simple example can explain this concept clearly. Suppose a farmer and a rice trader
make an agreement today that the trader will buy rice after three months at ₹50 per kg,
regardless of the market price at that time. If the market price becomes ₹60, the trader
benefits; if the price falls to ₹40, the farmer benefits. This type of agreement, where the
value depends on the price of rice, is similar to a financial derivative. In financial
markets, derivatives such as forwards, futures, options, and swaps are used to reduce risk,
speculate on price movements, and improve market efficiency.
A financial derivative is a contract that derives its value from the price movements of an
underlying asset. These instruments are widely used in financial markets for risk
management, speculation, and arbitrage.
Example:
If the price of crude oil increases, a derivative contract linked to crude oil will also
change in value.
Features of Financial Derivatives
1. Derived Value – The value depends on an underlying asset.
2. Contractual Agreement – It is based on an agreement between two parties.
3. Future Settlement – Most derivatives are settled at a future date.
4. Leverage – Investors can control large positions with relatively small capital.
5. Risk Management Tool – Used for hedging against price fluctuations.
Types of Financial Derivatives
1. Forward Contracts
A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a
predetermined price on a specific future date.
Example:
A farmer agrees to sell wheat to a trader after 3 months at ₹2000 per quintal.
2. Futures Contracts
Futures are similar to forwards but are standardized contracts traded on organized
exchanges.
Example:
Stock index futures traded on stock exchanges like NSE.
3. Options
An option gives the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an asset at a
predetermined price.
Two types:
• Call Option – Right to buy
• Put Option – Right to sell
4. Swaps
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange cash flows in the future.
Example:
• Interest rate swaps
• Currency swaps
Uses of Financial Derivatives
Financial derivatives are widely used in financial markets for managing risk and
improving investment opportunities. The main uses of derivatives are:
1. Hedging (Risk Management)
Derivatives help investors protect themselves from price fluctuations in assets such
as stocks, commodities, or currencies. For example, a farmer may use futures
contracts to lock in the price of crops and avoid losses due to falling prices.
2. Speculation
Traders use derivatives to predict future price movements and earn profits. By
using derivatives, investors can take positions in the market with a small initial
investment.
3. Arbitrage
Derivatives help traders take advantage of price differences of the same asset in
different markets. This helps in earning risk-free profit and maintaining price
balance in the market.
4. Price Discovery
Derivative markets help determine the future price of underlying assets based on
demand and supply conditions. This information is useful for investors and
producers.
5. Portfolio Management
Investors use derivatives to adjust and balance their investment portfolios. It helps
reduce risk and improve returns by managing exposure to different assets
Importance of Financial Derivatives
• Protect investors from market risks
• Increase market liquidity
• Help in efficient allocation of financial resources
• Provide opportunities for portfolio diversification
Example (Simple)
Suppose an investor expects the price of a stock to rise. Instead of buying the stock
directly, the investor buys a call option on that stock. If the price increases, the investor
can profit from the derivative contract.
Forward Contracts
A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a fixed
price on a specific future date. The price is decided today, but the actual buying or selling
happens later. These contracts are usually made privately between two parties, so the
terms such as price, quantity, and delivery date can be customized according to their
needs.
For example, a farmer and a trader may agree today that the trader will buy wheat after
three months at ₹2000 per quintal. If the market price becomes ₹2200 after three months,
the trader benefits because he buys at the lower agreed price. If the price falls to ₹1800,
the farmer benefits because he can sell at the higher agreed price. Thus, a forward
contract helps both parties reduce the risk of future price changes.
Meaning of Forward Price
Forward price is the price that two parties agree today for buying or selling an asset at a
future date in a forward contract. Even though the transaction will happen later, the price
is fixed now.
In simple terms, the forward price is mainly based on the current market price (spot price)
of the asset and the cost of holding the asset until the future date, such as interest, storage,
or insurance. So, the forward price usually reflects what the asset might cost in the future
when these holding costs are considered.
Factors Determining Forward Price
The forward price is determined by the following factors:
1. Spot Price: The current market price of the underlying asset is called the spot price.
The forward price is based mainly on this price.
2. Time to Maturity: The time remaining until the contract expires affects the forward
price. A longer period usually increases the forward price because holding costs increase.
3. Risk-Free Interest Rate: If money is borrowed to buy the asset today, interest must be
paid. Therefore, the interest rate influences the forward price.
4. Cost of Carry: Cost of carry refers to the cost of holding an asset until the future
date, such as:
• Storage cost
• Insurance cost
• Interest cost
These costs increase the forward price.
5. Income from the Asset: If the asset provides income (like dividends from stocks), it
reduces the forward price because the holder of the forward contract will not receive that
income.
Forward Price Formula
The basic formula for determining the forward price is:
𝐹 = 𝑆(1 + 𝑟)𝑡
Where:
• F = Forward price
• S = Current spot price
• r = Risk-free interest rate
• t = Time to maturity
If the asset provides income, the formula becomes:
𝐹 = 𝑆(1 + 𝑟)𝑡 − 𝐼
Where I represents income received during the period.
Example
Suppose:
• Current price of a stock (S) = ₹100
• Interest rate (r) = 10% per year
• Time (t) = 1 year
Forward price:
𝐹 = 100(1 + 0.10) = 110
So, the forward price of the asset after one year will be ₹110.
The forward price of a contract is determined based on the spot price, interest rate, time
to maturity, cost of carry, and income from the asset. Proper determination of forward
price helps maintain market efficiency and prevents arbitrage opportunities.
Futures Contract
A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price on a specific
future date. The price is decided today, but the actual transaction will happen later. Unlike
forward contracts, futures contracts are standardized and traded on organized exchanges,
which makes them more secure and transparent.
Futures contracts are commonly used for assets such as commodities (gold, oil, wheat),
currencies, stocks, and stock market indices. People use futures mainly to protect
themselves from price changes or to make profit from expected price movements. Since
these contracts are traded through exchanges and regulated by authorities, the risk of
default is lower compared to private agreements.
Meaning of Futures Contract
A futures contract is a legally binding agreement between two parties in which one
party agrees to buy and the other agrees to sell an asset at a fixed price on a future date.
Unlike forward contracts, futures contracts are standardized and traded on exchanges,
which reduces the risk of default.
Features of Futures Contracts
1. Standardization: Futures contracts have standardized terms such as quantity,
quality, and delivery date.
2. Exchange Trading: These contracts are traded on organized exchanges like stock
exchanges.
3. Margin Requirement: Both parties must deposit a margin amount as security
when entering into a futures contract.
4. Daily Settlement (Marking to Market): Profits and losses are settled daily based
on market price changes.
5. Clearing House Guarantee: A clearing house acts as an intermediary and
guarantees the performance of the contract.
Types of Futures Contracts
1. Commodity Futures – Based on commodities like gold, oil, or wheat.
2. Currency Futures – Based on exchange rates between currencies.
3. Interest Rate Futures – Based on interest-bearing financial instruments.
4. Stock Index Futures – Based on stock market indices like NIFTY or SENSEX.
Uses of Futures Contracts
1. Hedging – Protects against price risk.
2. Speculation – Traders aim to profit from price changes.
3. Arbitrage – Taking advantage of price differences between markets.
Futures contracts play an important role in financial markets by helping investors
manage risk, improve price discovery, and increase market efficiency. They are
widely used by traders, investors, and businesses to protect against future price
fluctuations.
Where:
• E(Rᵢ) = Expected return of the security
• R_f = Risk-free rate of return
• βᵢ (Beta) = Measure of systematic risk of the security
• R_m = Expected return of the market
• (R_m − R_f) = Market risk premium
Components of CAPM
1. Risk-Free Rate (Rf)
The return on a risk-free investment such as government treasury securities.
2. Market Return (Rm)
The average return expected from the market portfolio.
3. Beta (β)
Beta measures the sensitivity of a security's return to changes in the market.
• β = 1 → Risk equal to market
• β > 1 → Higher risk than market
• β < 1 → Lower risk than market
4. Market Risk Premium
It is the extra return investors expect for taking market risk.
𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚 = (𝑅𝑚 − 𝑅𝑓 )
Example Suppose:
• Risk-free rate = 5%
• Market return = 12%
• Beta of a stock = 1.5
Using CAPM:
𝐸(𝑅𝑖 ) = 5 + 1.5(12 − 5)
𝐸(𝑅𝑖 ) = 5 + 1.5(7)
𝐸(𝑅𝑖 ) = 5 + 10.5 = 15.5%
So, the expected return of the stock is 15.5%.
Importance of CAPM
• Helps estimate the required rate of return for investors
• Assists in investment decision making
• Useful in portfolio management
• Helps evaluate whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued
The Capital Asset Pricing Model is an important tool in financial management that
explains the relationship between risk and expected return. It helps investors make
better investment decisions by considering the level of risk involved.
Hedging in Futures
Hedging in futures means using futures contracts to protect against the risk of price
changes in the market. Producers, traders, and investors use this method to avoid losses
when prices move unfavorably. By entering into a futures contract, they can fix the price
of an asset today for a transaction that will happen in the future.
In simple terms, hedging helps reduce uncertainty about future prices. For example, a
farmer expecting to sell wheat after three months may sell a futures contract now at a
fixed price. If the market price falls later, the farmer will not suffer a loss because the
selling price was already fixed through the futures contract. Thus, hedging helps reduce
risk and provide price stability.
Meaning of Hedging
Hedging is the process of taking a position in the futures market that is opposite to the
position in the spot market in order to reduce the risk of price changes.
For example, if a trader expects the price of a commodity to fall in the future, they can
sell futures contracts to protect against losses.
Types of Hedging in Futures
1. Long Hedge: A long hedge is used when an investor plans to buy an asset in the
future and wants protection against a possible increase in price.
Example:
A company that needs raw materials after three months buys a futures contract to avoid
the risk of price increase.
2. Short Hedge: A short hedge is used when a person plans to sell an asset in the
future and wants protection against a possible fall in price.
Example:
A farmer expecting to sell wheat after three months sells a futures contract to lock in the
price.
Advantages of Hedging
1. Reduces price risk in the market.
2. Provides price stability for producers and consumers.
3. Helps in financial planning and budgeting.
4. Protects against unexpected market fluctuations.
Example of Hedging
Suppose a farmer expects to harvest wheat in three months and fears that the price may
fall.
• Current price of wheat = ₹2000 per quintal
• The farmer sells a futures contract at ₹2000.
If the market price falls to ₹1800, the farmer's loss in the spot market is offset by profit in
the futures market.
Options
An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the
obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price on or before a specific future date. The
price agreed in the contract is called the exercise price or strike price. This means the
buyer can choose whether to complete the transaction or not.
In simple terms, an option gives a person the choice to buy or sell an asset in the future at
a fixed price. If the market price becomes favorable, the buyer can use the option and
make a profit. If the price is not favorable, the buyer can simply ignore the contract and
avoid further loss, except for the premium paid for the option.
1. Types of Options
There are two main types of options:
1. Call Option
A call option gives the holder the right to buy an underlying asset at a fixed price within a
certain period of time. Investors usually buy a call option when they expect the price of
the asset to increase in the future.
For example, if a trader believes that the price of a stock will rise, they may buy a call
option so they can purchase the stock later at the fixed price agreed in the contract. If
the market price increases, the trader can buy the stock at the lower strike price and make
a profit.
2. Put Option
A put option gives the holder the right to sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price
within a specific period of time. Investors usually buy a put option when they expect the
price of the asset to fall in the future.
For example, if an investor thinks that the price of a stock will decrease, they may buy a
put option so they can sell the stock later at a higher fixed price agreed in the contract. If
the market price falls, the investor can still sell the stock at the higher strike price and
make a profit.
Value of an Option
The value of an option is the price paid by the buyer to obtain the option contract. This
price is called the option premium. It represents the amount an investor pays for the
right to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price in the future.
1. Intrinsic Value: Intrinsic value is the actual value of the option if it is exercised
immediately.
For a call option:
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 𝑆𝑝𝑜𝑡 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 − 𝑆𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑘𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
For a put option:
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 𝑆𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑘𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 − 𝑆𝑝𝑜𝑡 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
2. Time Value: Time value is the additional value of the option due to the time remaining
until expiration. The more time remaining, the greater the chance of favorable price
movement.
𝑂𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 + 𝑇𝑖𝑚𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
Factors Affecting Option Value
1. Current price of the underlying asset
2. Strike price of the option
3. Time to expiration
4. Volatility of the asset price
5. Interest rates
Options are important financial derivatives that provide flexibility to investors. By using
call and put options, investors can manage risk, speculate on price movements, and
improve their investment strategies.