Econdev Chapter 3 Notes
Econdev Chapter 3 Notes
S (13th edition)
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CHAPTER 3: CLASSIC THEORIES OF ECONOMIC Focus: Invest in industrialization and infrastructure.
GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT Improve education and skill training. Support rural-to-
urban migration.
“Every nation strives after development” Criticism: Assumed all countries follow a similar path
Development is more than economic progress; and downplayed external/global influences. This results
it is a multidimensional process that expands in rural neglect and worsen income gaps between city
human freedoms and involves reorganizing and countryside.
economic, social, and institutional systems, as
well as changing attitudes, customs, and beliefs. 3. International-Dependence Revolution (1970s)
o While it often focuses on national A more radical, political and institutional
growth, sustainable development may approach.
also require adjustments in the Underdevelopment is a result of exploitative
international system. global relationships between rich and poor
o This chapter examines the historical and countries.
intellectual evolution of development Viewed underdevelopment as the result of
thought through four major theories, power imbalances:
highlighting their insights, with newer o Between rich and poor countries (core–
models combining elements of the periphery relationships).
classics and further discussions on o Within developing nations (elites vs.
economic growth provided in later masses).
sections. Highlighted structural rigidities, dual
economies, and inequality.
3.1 Classic Theories of Economic Development:
Called for new policies to reduce poverty,
Four Approaches
diversify employment, and redistribute
1. Linear-Stages-of-Growth Model (1950s–1960s) income.
Development seen as a series of stages every Focus: Reduce reliance on foreign imports and
country must pass through. investment. Strengthen domestic industries (“import
Development is mainly about economic growth substitution industrialization”).
through savings, investment, and aid Criticism: Sometimes dismissed the potential benefits
o Inspired by the historical growth paths of market participation and economic growth. May
of developed nations. overblame external forces while ignoring local
o Assumed that if the right mix of capital corruption and inefficiency.
accumulation was achieved,
underdeveloped countries would follow 4. Neo-Liberalism / Neoclassical Counter-Revolution
the same trajectory. (1980s–1990s)
Focus: savings, investment, and foreign aid as the main Reaction against dependence theory.
drivers of growth. Stressed the role of free markets, privatization,
Criticism: Overemphasized capital formation while trade liberalization, and minimal government
ignoring structural, social, and political factors. intervention.
Argued that underdevelopment was caused by
2. Theories and Patterns of Structural-Change excessive state regulation and inefficiency, not
Models (1970s) external exploitation.
Focused on the internal process of Focus: open economies, deregulation, and private
transformation within economies. sector growth.
Used economic theory and statistical analysis to Criticism: Overemphasized market efficiency, neglected
explain how a typical developing country must social equity and government’s role in correcting
shift from agriculture to industry and services. market failures. Economic success comes from free
Emphasized the importance of sectoral markets, open trade, and minimal government
changes, technology adoption, and labor intervention.
migration.
Saw development as more than just growth—it
required restructuring economic and social
systems.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT by Todaro. M and Smith. S (13th edition)
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3.2 Development as Growth and the Linear- Capital fundamentalism (Inspired by Marshall Plan)
Stages Theories Approach emphasized rapid physical capital
Keywords: accumulation as the key driver of growth.
STAGES-OF-GROWTH MODEL OF DEVELOPMENT - A 3.2.1 Rostow’s Stages of Growth
theory of economic development, associated with the
American economic historian Walt W. Rostow, Walt W. Rostow, an American economic
according to which a country passes through sequential historian.
stages in achieving development. Proposed a linear model describing
development in five stages.
HARROD-DOMAR GROWTH MODEL - A functional
Five Stages of Economic Growth
economic relationship in which the growth rate of gross
1. Traditional Society – agrarian, subsistence
domestic product (g) depends directly on the national
economy, limited technology.
net savings rate (s) and inversely on the national
2. Pre-conditions for Takeoff – initial investments,
capital-output ratio (c).
infrastructure, and external influence begin.
CAPITAL-OUTPUT RATIO - A ratio that shows the units 3. Takeoff – period of rapid growth,
of capital required to produce a unit of output over a industrialization, and self-sustaining
given period of time. momentum.
4. Drive to Maturity – diversification of economy,
NET SAVINGS RATIO - Savings expressed as a
technological progress, wider markets.
proportion of disposable income over some period of
5. Age of High Mass Consumption – advanced
time.
economy, widespread affluence, focus on
NECESSARY CONDITION - A condition that must be consumer goods and services.
present, although it need not be in itself sufficient, for Main Argument
an event to occur. For example, capital formation may All countries must pass through these stages in
be a necessary condition for sustained economic sequence.
growth (before growth in output can occur, there must Underdeveloped nations can achieve growth by
be tools to produce it). But for this growth to continue, following similar paths as advanced nations.
social, institutional, and attitudinal changes may have Strategy for Takeoff
to occur. Mobilization of domestic and foreign savings to
generate investments.
SUFFICIENT CONDITION - A condition that when
Investments are key to accelerating economic
present causes or guarantees that an event will or can
growth.
occur; in economic models, a condition that logically
Theoretical Basis
requires that a statement must be true (or a result must
Relies on the Harrod-Domar Growth Model
hold) given other assumptions
(later known as the AK Model).
Post-World War II focus on low-income countries o Output = A × K (where A = productivity
Interest grew as many nations gained constant, K = capital stock).
independence from colonial rule. Applied in development planning, including
Economists in industrialized countries lacked two-gap and three-gap models.
proper tools to analyze growth in agrarian
societies.
3.2.2 The Harrod-Domar Growth Model
Influence of the Marshall Plan Economies must save part of their income to
Massive U.S. financial and technical aid helped replace old capital and invest in new capital for
Europe recover quickly. growth.
This success inspired the idea that large capital Growth depends on the relationship between
injections could also modernize developing savings (s), investment, and capital efficiency
countries. (c).
Two main assumptions
Economic development requires massive
capital investments.
Historical experience of developed nations
provides a blueprint for development.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT by Todaro. M and Smith. S (13th edition)
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GDP growth rate depends:
o Directly on the national net savings rate 3.2.3 Obstacles and Constraints
(s) → higher savings = more funds for Strategy for Economic Growth
investment = higher growth. Based on the Harrod-Domar Model, the rate of
o Inversely on the capital-output ratio (c) GDP growth (ΔY/Y) depends on:
→ the fewer units of capital needed per o Savings ratio (s): higher savings mean
more funds for investment.
unit of output, the more efficient growth
o Capital-output ratio (c): lower ratio
will be.
means capital is used more efficiently.
Capital-output ratio (c): units of capital
Increasing s while holding c constant will
required to produce one unit of output (lower = accelerate economic growth.
more efficient). Rostow’s “Takeoff” Stage
Net savings ratio (s): proportion of income Defined as the point where countries save 15–
saved and invested. 20% of GDP.
At this level, economic growth becomes self-
The Harrod-Domar Growth Model sustaining, allowing a transition toward
maturity.
Main Obstacle to Growth
Low capital formation in poor countries due to:
o Low domestic savings.
o Limited capacity for investment.
ΔY/Y = growth rate of GDP Example:
s = savings ratio A country targets 7% growth with c = 3, needing
c = capital-output ratio 21% savings.
o If only 15% savings is possible → savings
Right-hand side of Equation: represents the national gap of 6%.
capital-output ratio. - This gap must be filled through
Left-hand side of Equation: represents the rate of foreign aid or foreign private
change or rate of growth of GDP. investment.
Policy Consequences
Example: This model gave rise to the idea of a “capital
If c = 3 and s = 6%, growth = 2% per year. constraint” approach to development.
o If savings rise to 15% (via higher taxes, Justified massive transfers of capital and
foreign aid, or reduced consumption), technical assistance from developed to
developing nations.
growth = 5% per year.
Seen as a “Marshall Plan for the Third World,”
o Takeoff stage (Rostow): occurs when
especially during Cold War politics.
savings reach 15–20% of GDP, enabling Other Ways to Accelerate Growth (Beyond Raising
faster, self-sustaining growth. Savings)
Implications 1. Improve efficiency of capital (lower c):
To accelerate growth: If c decreases from 3 → 2.5:
o Raise savings and investment levels. o With s = 6%, growth rises from 2% →
o Improve efficiency of capital use 3%.
(reduced “c”). o With s = 15%, growth rises from 5% →
Emphasizes capital accumulation as the main 7.5%.
driver of growth. 2. Reduce depreciation (δ):
Limitations
Assumes labor is abundant (not always true).
Ignores institutional, social, and political
factors.
SG = often expressed in terms of gross savings
Long-run growth also requires technological
Δ = rate of capital depreciation
progress (reduces “c” over time).
Lowering δ by 1% directly increases GDP growth by 1%.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT by Todaro. M and Smith. S (13th edition)
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portion of the rural labour force whose marginal
3.2.4 Necessary Versus Sufficient productivity is zero or negative.
Conditions: Some Criticisms of the
Stages Model PRODUCTION FUNCTION - A technological or
engineering relationship between the quantity of a
Saving and investment are necessary for good produced and the quantity of inputs required to
growth but not sufficient by themselves. produce it.
Why the Marshall Plan Worked in Europe?
Europe already had the right conditions to use AVERAGE PRODUCT - Total output or product divided
capital effectively: by total factor input (e.g., the average product of
o Well-functioning markets (money and labour is equal to total output divided by the total
commodities). amount of labour used to produce that output).
o Good transport and infrastructure.
o Educated and skilled workers. MARGINAL PRODUCT - The increase in total output
o Strong motivation to rebuild. resulting from the use of one additional unit of a
o Efficient government institutions. variable factor of production (such as labour or capital).
Why It Failed in Many Developing Countries? In the Lewis two-sector model, surplus labour is
Rostow and Harrod-Domar assumed poor defined as workers whose marginal product is zero.
nations had the same readiness as Europe.
In reality, many lacked: SELF-SUSTAINING GROWTH - Economic growth that
o Strong institutions and good continues over the long term based on saving,
governance. investment, and complementary private and public
o Skilled managers and workers. activities.
o Ability to plan and manage projects. PATTERNS-OF-DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS - An attempt
Overlooked Factor to identify characteristic features of the internal
Growth can also come from improving capital process of structural transformation that a “typical”
efficiency (lowering the capital-output ratio, c). developing economy undergoes as it generates and
This means using investments more effectively, sustains modern economic growth and development.
not just increasing savings.
Analyze how underdeveloped economies
transform their economic structure from
3.3 Structural-Change Models predominantly traditional agriculture to a more
Keywords: modern, diversified industrial and service based
economy.
STRUCTURAL-CHANGE THEORY - The hypothesis that o Purpose: To explain the mechanisms
underdevelopment is due to underutilisation of behind economic development. Guide
resources arising from structural or institutional factors policymakers in managing economic
that have their origins in both domestic and transitions for long-term development.
international dualism. Development therefore requires Approach
more than just accelerated capital formation.
Uses neoclassical price theory (resource
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION - The process of allocation through markets).
transforming an economy in such a way that the Uses modern econometrics (statistical analysis)
contribution to national income by the manufacturing to study the transformation process.
sector eventually surpasses the contribution by the Key Models
agricultural sector. More generally, a major alteration 1. Two-Sector Surplus Labour Model (W. Arthur
in the industrial composition of any economy. Lewis)
Focuses on moving surplus labor from
LEWIS TWO-SECTOR MODEL - A theory of
agriculture to modern industry.
development in which surplus labour from the
traditional agricultural sector is transferred to the 2. Patterns of Development (Hollis B. Chenery &
modern industrial sector, the growth of which absorbs coauthors)
the surplus labour, promotes industrialisation, and Examines empirical evidence of structural
stimulates sustained development. changes as countries develop.
3.5 The Neoclassical Counter-Revolution: Market OPEN ECONOMY - An economy that practises foreign
Fundamentalism
trade and has extensive financial and nonfinancial
Keywords: contacts with the rest of the world.
NEOCLASSICAL COUNTER-REVOLUTION - The 1980s 3.5.1 Challenging the Statist Model: Free
resurgence of neoclassical free-market orientation Markets, Public Choice, and Market-
Friendly Approaches
toward development problems and policies, counter to
the interventionist dependence revolution of the
1970s. In the 1980s, conservative governments in the
US, UK, Canada, and West Germany pushed a
FREE MARKETS - The system whereby prices of neoclassical counterrevolution against heavy
commodities or services freely rise or fall when the state control in developing countries.
buyer’s demand for them rises or falls or the seller’s Supported by the World Bank and IMF, this
supply of them decreases or increases. movement promoted free markets instead of
state planning.
FREE-MARKET ANALYSIS - Theoretical analysis of the
o Underdevelopment is not caused by rich
properties of an economic system operating with free
countries exploiting poor ones (as
markets, often under the assumption that an
dependence theory claimed), but by too
unregulated market performs better than one with
much government control, corruption,
government regulation.
and inefficiency in developing countries.
PUBLIC-CHOICE THEORY (NEW POLITICAL ECONOMY o The solution: let the “invisible hand” of
APPROACH) - The theory that self-interest guides all the market work through competition,
individual behaviour and that governments are trade, and private investment.
inefficient and corrupt because people use government
to pursue their own agendas.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT by Todaro. M and Smith. S (13th edition)
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Three main strands developed/ Approach 3. Technology as key – Long-term growth mainly
depends on technological progress, which the
1. Free-Market Approach
model treats as exogenous (coming from
Advocated minimal government, trusting the
outside the system, not explained by the model
invisible hand to guide growth
itself).
Markets are efficient on their own.
4. Convergence idea – Poor countries can catch up
Prices guide production and investment.
to rich ones if they:
Government intervention only creates
o Save and invest more,
distortions.
o Control population growth, and
Example: Success of East Asian economies like
o Gain access to new technologies.
South Korea and Taiwan (though not purely laissez-
However, this “catch-up” (convergence)
faire).
is conditional—it only happens if the
2. Public-Choice Approach (New Political Economy)
right policies and conditions are in place.
Warned that government officials often act in
5. Open vs. closed economies –
their own self-interest, leading to corruption
o Closed economies (little trade, no
and inefficiency.
foreign investment) with low savings
o Governments are often corrupt and self-
grow slowly and remain poorer.
serving.
o Open economies (with trade and
o Politicians and bureaucrats use
investment inflows) can grow faster, as
resources for personal gain (e.g., bribes,
foreign capital and ideas raise
rent-seeking).
productivity.
Citizens use influence for special favors.
Implication
Minimal government is best.
According to this theory, developing countries
3. Market-Friendly Approach
should liberalize markets and attract foreign
Accepted that the state has a role, but only in
investment to speed up growth. Government
limited areas such as infrastructure, health, and
restrictions that block investment and
education, or in correcting market failures.
technology flows will slow development.
Recognizes that markets in developing
countries have imperfections.
3.5.3 Conclusions and Implications
Government should play a supportive role—
investing in education, health, infrastructure, Different views of underdevelopment
and creating a good climate for business. Dependence theorists: Poverty in poor
Accepts that market failures (like lack of countries is caused mainly by external forces
information, environmental problems, or (exploitation by rich nations).
coordination failures) exist, so selective Neoclassical theorists: The problem is
interventions may help. internal—too much government control,
corruption, and bad policies.
3.5.2 Traditional Neoclassical Growth
Free markets vs. reality
Theory
In theory, free markets are more efficient than
The neoclassical growth theory, especially the state intervention.
Solow model, explains how countries grow and But in many developing countries, real markets
why some remain richer than others. It don’t work like in rich nations:
emphasizes savings, investment, labor, and o Information is limited.
technology as the main drivers of growth. o Markets are fragmented.
Key Points: o Many economies are still partly non-
1. Beyond Harrod-Domar – Unlike the older monetized.
Harrod-Domar model (which focused only on o Monopolies are common.
capital), the Solow model adds labor and o The “invisible hand” often benefits the
technology as growth factors. rich, leaving the poor behind.
2. Diminishing returns – Adding more labor or Usefulness of neoclassical theory
capital alone eventually produces smaller gains. Supply-and-demand principles are still valuable
But when combined, they can still sustain for setting fair prices and improving resource
growth. allocation.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT by Todaro. M and Smith. S (13th edition)
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Governments can also use prices as tools to
encourage socially beneficial outcomes.
Main challenge
Both markets and governments can fail in poor
countries due to inequality, rigid institutions,
and political realities.
Development is not about choosing only free
markets or only government control. Instead,
each country needs local solutions suited to its
context.
3.6 Classic Theories of Development: Reconciling
the Differences