MBF 720
MBF 720
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MBF 720: FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 11
Course Guide
Course Writers:
Dr. Ishola Rufus Akintoye
Dept. of Economics
University of Ibadan
Content Editor:
Dr. Sabastian Seddi Maimako
Dept of Management Sciences
University of Jos
Course Coordinator:
Mr. Emmanuel . u. Abianga
School of Business and Human Resource Management
National Open University of Nigeria
Victoria Island, Lagos
Programme Leader:
Dr. O J. Onwe
School of Business and Human Resource Management
National Open University of Nigeria
Victoria Island, Lagos
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National Open University of Nigeria
Headquarters
14/16 Ahmadu Bello Wway
Victoria Island
Lagos
Abuja Office
No 5 Dar es Salam Street
Off Aminu Kano Crescent
Wuse II, Abuja
Nigeria
e-mail: centralinfo@[Link]
URL: [Link]
Published by
National Open University of Nigeria
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CONTENTS PAGE
Introduction………………………………………………..
What You will Learn in this Course……………………….
Course Aim………………………………………………...
Course Objectives………………………………………….
Course Materials……………………………………………
Study Units…………………………………………………
The Assignment File……………………………………….
Tutor-Marked Assignment…………………………………
Final Examination and Grading……………………………
Summary……………………………………………………
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Introduction
MBF 720: Financial management II is a semester work of three credit units. It will
be available to all students taking the [Link] programme in the school of business
and human resource management.
The course guide tells you what this course MBF 720 is all about, the materials to
ensure you get the best and success. Other information contained in the course
includes how to make use of your time and the information on tutor marked
assignments. There will be tutorial classes. Full details concerning this will be
conveyed to you at the appropriate time.
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This course consists of concept of cost of capital, capital structure theory,
dividend theory and policy, concept of operating and financial leverages,
capital structure and the value of a firm, concept of projects, how feasible
and viable a project is, project planning and appraisal. It also includes the
risk and returns of projects, portfolio theory, how to finance small and
medium scale enterprises and study on international financial management
that will expatiate on the importance of this course in managing funds and
finances in organizations.
Course Aims
This course will expose you to the concept of cost of capital, capital
structure theory, dividend theory and policy, how to analyze project ideas,
portfolio theory and how to finance small and medium scale enterprises so
that it can be applied to our various businesses, enterprises and
organizations.
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9. Discussing what goes on in international financial management.
Course Objectives
Course Materials
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• Study Units
• Textbooks
• The Assignment File
Study Units
There are 16 units of this course which you should study carefully:
Module 1
Module 2
Module 3
There will be an assignment in each unit. The exercises are tailored to help you
have a full understanding of the course. Practice these assignments carefully, it
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will help you assess the course critically, consequently increasing your knowledge
of the course.
Tutor-Marked Assignment
In doing the tutor-marked assignments, you should apply what you have learnt in
the content of the study units.
These assignments which are four in number are expected to be turned in to your
tutor for grading. They constitute 30% of the total score.
At the end of the course, you will write an examination. It will attract the
remaining 70%. This makes the total final score to be 100%.
Summary
MBF 720: Financial management II shows you some of the objectives and need
and benefits financial management. Most importantly it shows you how to handle
finances and how to manage them know matter how small.
At the end of this course, you would have learnt how to make proper use of funds
and finances of an organization so as to achieve maximum results whether in small
scale, medium scale and large scale enterprise.
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Course Writers:
Dr. Ishola Rufus Akintoye
Dept. of Economics
University of Ibadan
Content Editor:
Dr. Sabastian Seddi Maimako
Dept of Management Sciences
University of Jos
Course Coordinator:
Mr. Emmanuel . u. Abianga
School of Business and Human Resource Management
National Open University of Nigeria
Victoria Island, Lagos
Programme Leader:
Dr. O J. Onwe
School of Business and Human Resource Management
National Open University of Nigeria
Victoria Island, Lagos
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UNIT 1: COST OF CAPITAL
CONTENTS:
1.0 Introduction
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1.1 Objectives
2.1 Cost of Equity Capital (Ke)
2.2 Cost of Retained Earnings (Kr)
2.3 Cost of Preferred Capital (Kp)
2.4 Cost of Debt (Kd)
2.5 Weighted Average Cost of Capital
2.6 Convertible Loan Stocks
3.0 Conclusion
4.0 Summary
5.0 Tutor Marked Assignment (TMA)
6.0 Further Reading/References
1.1 INTRODUCTION
In the NPV (Net Present Value) method, an investment project is accepted if it has
positive NPV. The projects NPV is calculated discounting its cashflows by the
cost of capital referred to as discounting rate. However, in the IRR (Internal Rate
of Return) method, the investment project is accepted if it has an IRR that is
higher/greater than the cost of capital.
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Meanwhile, the capital composition of a company is very essential. The capital
structure of a typical company will include the following types of long term
capital:
a) Ordinary (Equity) Share Capital
b) Preference Share Capital
c) Retained Earnings
d) Debentures and Bonds
e) Term Loans from Financial Institutions and Banks.
This is the ordinary shareholders required rate of return which equates the present
value of the expected dividends with the market value of the share. It can also be
defined as the minimum rate of return that a company must earn on the equity
share capital financial portion of an investment project to maintain the market
price of the shares. Different methods are used in calculating cost of equity. These
include:
a) Dividend Yield Method
b) Dividend Growth Model
c) Price Earning Method
d) Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
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Dividend Yield Method
Under this method, cost of equity is seen as the discounting rate that equates the
present value of all expected future dividends per share with the current market
price or the net proceeds of the sale of a share. Dividend valuation model states
that: ex-dividend share price = do + d1 + d2 + dn
(1 + Ke)1 (1 + Ke)2 (1 + Ke) n
Where, d = the constant dividend per share
Ke = Cost of equity share capital
n = year (time period)
Since this method assumes constant future dividend per equity share then
MVe = d
Ke
Therefore Ke = d
MVe
Where MVe = ex-dividend market share price. This method does not allow for any
growth rate in dividend but rather emphasizes on future equity dividend expected
to be constant.
Illustration 1.1
Solution
Illustration 1.2
Odidere Ltd issued 10,000 equity shares of 10k each at a premium of 2k each. The
company has incurred issue expenses of N50. The equity shareholders expect the
rate of dividend to 18% p.a. Calculate the cost of equity share capital.
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Solution
Since the equity shares are newly issued
Ke = di
NP
Illustration 1.3
OSU Nig Plc has an authorized share capital of 450m of N1 each. 80% of the
share capital had been issued and each share is currently valued at 320k. Dividend
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amounting to N16m was recently paid. The estimated growth rate is 18%.
Calculate the cost of equity capital.
Solution
Illustration 1.4
The equity of Dangote Ltd are traded in the market at 90k each. The expected
current year dividend per share is 18k. The growth in dividend is expected at the
rate of 6%. Calculate the cost of equity capital.
Solution
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where g = growth rate
r = return on investment
b = retention ratio/rate i.e. proportion of earnings retained.
Illustration 1.5
Solution
g = n dL –1
dB
r = 5, dL = 6,158 dB = 2,473
g = 5 6,158 - 1
2,473
g = 5 2.4900 - 1 = 20%
NOTE: Where the dividend for the years are given year by year, then use n-1
(number of years data provided)
2) Gordon’s
g=rxb
r = 62,858 x 100 = 20%
315,000
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This method incorporates the earnings per share (EPS) and the market price of the
share. This is based in the assuring firm that the future earnings whether disbursed
to the shareholders or ploughed back into the business will cause future growth in
the earnings of the company as well as the increase in market prices of the share.
Therefore;
Ke = E
M
where E = Current earnings per share
M = Market price per share
The risk premium is calculated by applying the project’s beta factor (B) to the
difference between the market return and the risk free rates of the return.
Ke = Rf + B (Rm – Rf)
Where Rf = Risk free rate of return
Rm = Market portfolio’s expected rate of return
B = Risk measurement (Beta factor)
(Rm – Rf) = Market premium for risk
B(Rm – Rf) = Risk premium
Retained earnings represent the funds accumulated over years of the company by
keeping part of the funds generated without distribution. It is the proportion of the
total earnings of a company distributable to the equity shareholders but which is
ploughed back into the business for further profitable investment opportunities. If
the retained earnings are distributed among equity shareholders, the amount would
have been reinvested to earn return on it. The cost of retained earnings therefore is
the return forgone by the equity shareholders and it is the opportunity cost of funds
not available for reinvestment by the individual shareholders. The cost of retained
earnings is therefore equivalent to opportunity rate of earnings forgone by the
equity shareholders. Hence, cost of equity includes retained earnings.
The preference share capital represents the fixed dividend capital. It is easier to
estimate because the interest received by the holder of the security is fixed by
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contract and will not fluctuate in amount. It may be redeemable or irredeemable.
Redeemable preference shares are shares the holders of which are refunded due
sum at redemption in accordance with the terms under which the shares were
issued and retained of the shares by the company.
Kd = I (1 – t)
MVd
Where, Kd = Cost of debt capital
I = Latest / Current interest paid/payable
MVd = Market value of debt ex-int
t = Corporation tax rate
Cost of Redeemable debt
MVd= Io(1-t) + I1(1-t) + I2(1-t) + ---- In(1-t)
(1+kd)1 (1+kd)2 (1+kd)n
Illustration 1.6
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Solution
YrCF DF @ 5% PV DF @ 5% PV
0 (100) 1 (100) 1 (100)
1-10 10 7.7217 77 6.7101 67
1-10 (3) 7.7217 (23) 6.7101 (20)
10100 0.6139 61 0.4632 46
15 (7)
This is also known as the composite cost of capital as it represents the aggregate of
the costs of various sources of finance in use. Using WACC, the proportion of
total capital coming from each source of finance is weighted. The weighted costs
are then added to give the overall cost of capital that is known as the WACC.
WACC derives its importance from the argument that it is not appropriate to use
the cost of specific fund as the cost for a project, particularly where such projects
are to be financed from the internal resources of the company.
Method of Valuation
Illustration 1.7
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Calculate the company’s weighted average cost of capital based on both market
values and book values.
Convertible loan stocks are loan stocks that are changeable into ordinary shares at
the option of the holder and under specific terms and conditions.
Illustration 1.8
Orimogunje Ltd has issued 14% convertible debentures of N100 each. Each
debenture will be convertible into 8 equity shares of N10 each at a premium of N5
per share. The conversion will take place at the end of 4 years. The corporate tax
rate is assumed to be 40%. Assume that tax savings occur in the same year that the
interest payments arise. The flotation cost is 5% of the issue amount. Calculate the
cost of convertible debenture.
Solution
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Kd =14 + 0.52 X 1
0.52 + 2.38
14 + 0.52
2.9
= 14 + 0.18 = 14.18%
1.8 SUMMARY
Cost of capital has been seen as the minimum required rate of return that a
company must attain to maintain its market value and the value of its shares. The
cost of equity capital is estimated by using different methods which include
Dividend Yield Method, Dividend Growth Model, Price Earnings Method and
Capital Asset Pricing Model. Dividend growth rate can be ascertained either by
using dividend growth valuation model or Gordon’s growth model. Cost of
preference shares, cost of debts, cost of convertible loan stocks and weighted
average cost of capital are also deal with.
1. Discuss briefly the different approaches to the computation of the cost of equity
2. How can you determine cost of equity in a growth company?
3. Cost of capital is the sum of the minimum for business risk plus a premium for
financial risk. Explain
4. Retained earnings have no cost. Do you agree? Give reasons for your answer
5. N1.10m ordinary shares currently valued at 3.00k per share financed CAB
LTD. A dividend of N6m is due for payment. Calculate the cost of equity
capital.
6. Oluwole Nig Plc is financed by 60m ordinary shares currently valued at 156k
per share. The results of the last five financial years are as follows:
Yr Earnings Dividend
2004 N20m N15.6m
2003 N18m N15m
2002 N16m N13.2m
2001 N15.4m N12.3m
2000 N13.9m N11.1m
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REFERENCES
Learning Objectives
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- Gearing and financial risk
- Optimum capital structure
- Factors influencing capital structure decisions
- Net income and net operating income approaches of capital structuring
- Modigliani and Miller’s view on capital structuring without taxation
- Arbitrage process under MM theory
CONTENTS
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Factors Determining Capital Structure Decisions
2.3 Optimum Capital Structure
2.4 Gearing and Financial Risk
2.5 Capital Structure Approaches
2.6 M-M Theory (Modern View)
2.7 Arbitrage
2.8 Summary
2.9 Self Review Questions
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Capital structure ordinarily implies the proportion of debt and equity in the total
capital of a company. In other words, capital structure of a company is made up of
equity and debt. Capital structure borders on how a company finances its
operations and it is usually made up of ordinary share capital, preference share
capital and debt capital.
Equity consists of the following: equity share capital, share premium, surplus
profits, and reserves and so on. On the other hand, debt of a company may consist
of all borrowings from the government statutory financial corporations and other
agencies, term loans from banks and other financial institutions, debentures and all
deferred payment liabilities. Ordinarily, increase in debt in the capital structure
implies greater amount of interest payment. Therefore, capital structure theory
becomes a topic of interest because the introduction of fixed interest debt in a
company’s capital structure increases its financial risk. This is partly due to the
fact that interest must be paid whatever happens to earnings. Since acceptance of
more debt means payment of greater amount of interest, the company must have to
think twice about its effects on profitability.
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Control: The number of equity shares held by an individual shareholder
determines his level of control and voting rights in the company. When the
shareholders do not wish to dilute their control, the company will rely more on
debt funds. This is because by funding through equity the control of the existing
shareholders will be threatened.
Growth: Companies with high growth rate will require more funds for its
expansion schemes which will be met through raising debt. The company will
have to rely on debt than on equity and internal earnings.
Legal Provisions: In raising equity capital, a company has to fulfill some certain
legal terms and conditions which make equity capital funds more complicated than
raising debt. A company may opt for debt in an attempt to sideline the
cumbersome process.
Company Size: The companies with small capital base will rely more on owners’
funds and internal earnings. Large companies have to depend on capital market.
A company is a geared company if there is debt in its capital structure and when
fixed interest debt is introduced into a company’s capital structure, the financial
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risk is increased. Financial risk is the increased risk of equity holders due to
financial gearing. It does not arise from a company’s investment; it is due solely to
the capital structure or more specifically to the level of gearing. The financial risk
of a company’s capital structure can be measured by a gearing ratio. Gearing ratio
shows the proportionate relationship between fixed interest and equity capital in
the finance of a business.
Forms of Gearing
Total debt includes all liabilities of the company. It does not however include
preference share which for this ratio is taken as part of the shareholders funds.
4th Gearing Ratio = Interest on debt
EBIT
1. The administrative and issuing costs are normally lower than raising equity
capital.
2. It has cost advantage due to the ability to set debt interest against profit for tax
purposes.
3. The pre-tax rate of interest is invariably lower than the return required by the
equity capital suppliers.
There are two main theories about the effect of changes in gearing on the WACC
and share value. These are:
1. The Net Income Approach (Traditional view).
2. The Net Operating Income Approach.
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4. Taxation and its effect on cost capital are ignored.
5. There are no transaction costs and a company can alter its capital structure
without any transaction costs.
Cost of capital Ke
Kw
Kd
p
Level of gearing
3. The company’s market value and the market per share will be maximized where
WACC is at the lowest point (p).
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According to this approach, value of the firm is independent of its capital
structure. It states that the way a company finances its operations is irrelevant in
the determination of the company’s market value. It assumes that the weighted
average cost of capital remains unchanged irrespective of the level of gearing. It
derives its strength from the assumption that increase in debt capital increases the
expected rate of return by the stockholders and the benefit of using relatively
cheaper debt funds is offset by the loss arising out of the increase in cost of equity.
Under this approach, optimal capital structure does not exist as WACC remains
constant.
Ke
Kw
Kd
Illustration 2.1
A company has N10, 000 debts at 10% interest and earns N10, 000 a year before
interest is paid. There are 4,500 issued shares and weighted average cost of capital
of the company is 20%.
a) (i) What is the company’s market value?
(ii) What is the cost of its equity capital?
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(iii) What is the market value per share of its equity?
(b) Suppose the company issues N10, 000 additional debt at 10% interest to
repurchase shares at the price calculated in (iii) above. If the WACC remains
unchanged:
(i) Calculate the number of shares that were repurchased.
(ii) What is the new cost of the equity capital?
(iii) What is the new market value per share of its equity?
Solution
Ke = d
MVe
Dividend = Total earnings – Interest
= N10, 000 – N1000 = N9000
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Illustration 2
Ota ltd and Sango ltd are identical in all respects including risk factors except for
debt/equity mix. Ota ltd having issued 12% debentures of N3, 000,000 while
Sango ltd issued only equity capital. Both companies earn 24% before interest and
taxes on their total asset of N5, 000, 000. Assuming the corporate effective tax rate
of 40% and capitalisation rate of 18% for an all-equity company. Compute the
value of Ota and Sango ltd using (i) Net Income approach and (ii) Net Operating
Income approach.
Solution
0.18
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MVd = Value of debt
The original normative theory of company valuation and capital structure was put
forward in form of a behavioural justification of the Net Operating Income
approach by Franco Modigliani and Melton H. Miller (MM) in 1958. MM argues
that a company’s WACC remains unchanged at all levels of gearing, which
implies that no optimal capital structure exists for a particular company. By using
Arbitrage theory, they supported their argument that capital structure is irrelevant
in determining the market value of a company. A change in debt-equity has no
influence on the cost of capital and the market value of the firm.
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M-M Theory: No Taxation
By MM Theory, the increase in cost of equity is just enough to offset the benefit
of low cost debt when there is increase in the level of debt. Then average cost of
capital is constant for all levels of leverage.
From the assumptions of the M-M theory, three propositions are set out:
Proposition I
This states that the market value of any firm is independent of its capital structure,
altering the gearing ratio cannot have any effect on the company annual cash flow.
Company’s value is determined by the assets in which the company has invested
and not how those assets are financed.
The value of the geared company is as follows:
MVg = MVu
MVg = Profit before interest
WACC
Proposition II
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Kd = Cost of debt
D = Value of Debt
MVeg = Market value of a geared company
Proposition III
The cut-off rate for new investment will in all cases be average cost of capital and
will be unaffected by the type of security used to finance the investment.
ARBITRAGE
The process of buying an asset or security in one market and selling the same in
another market to derive benefit from the price differential is referred to as
arbitrage. The arbitrage procedure involves that an investor will sell his shares in
the company having the higher market value and move to the company having the
lower market value lending or borrowing in order to carry out the arbitrage
transaction. The word arbitrage is a technical term that refers to a situation where
two identical commodities are selling in the same market for different prices. At
equilibrium, the increase in demand will force up the price of the lower priced
goods and increase in supply will force down the price of the high priced goods.
If two firms with same level of business risk but different levels of gearing sold
for different values, then shareholders would move from over-valued firm to under
valued firm to maintain financial risk at the same level. The process of arbitrage
would drive the price of the two firms to a common equilibrium total value.
Illustration:
The capital structure of XYZ ltd and PQR ltd are given below:
Particulars XYZ PQR
Equity capital 3,000,000 4,000,000
Debt 16% 3,000,000
Both companies are in the same class of business risk with earnings before interest
of N1, 800,000. Mr. X is holding equity of 5% in XYZ ltd. He sold his shares and
borrowed on interest at 16% p.a. Explain how Mr. X will be better off in switching
his holding to PQR ltd under MM theory.
Solution
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Profit before interest 1,800,000
Less: interest @ 16% 480,000
1,320,000
2.8. SUMMARY
Capital structure of a company consists of debt and equity components raised from
long-term sources. The significant advantage of debt funds is fixed interest
obligation and tax deductible. The debt equity ratio is a commonly used
determinant of capital structure. In traditional approach, the optimum capital
structure is determined at a profit where WACC is minimum and at this point the
value of firm is maximised. The net operating income approach on the other hand,
states that the value of firm is independent of its capital structure. MM theory is
considered as modern approach to capital structure. MM argue that the process of
arbitrage will prevent the different market values for equivalent firms.
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What are the factors to be considered in planning the capital structure of a
company.
Critically examine the Net Income and Net Operating Income Approaches
to capital structure.
Distinguish between Net Operating Income approach and MM Approach.
Briefly explain arbitrage notion of MM Theory.
REFERENCES
Pandey I.M. Financial Management, (Vikas Publishing House PVT Ltd, New
Delhi), 1999
Ravi M.K. Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied Services (P.)
Ltd, (2007)
Learning Objectives
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- Ascertainment of operating and financial leverages.
- Analysis of leverage ratios
- What trading on equity’ is
- Distinction between debt and equity
- Impact of gearing on cost of capital and EPS of the firm.
CONTENTS
3.1. Introduction
3.2 Leverage Ratios
3.3 Interest Cover and Income Gearing
3.4. Summary
3.5. Self Review Questions.
3.1. INTRODUCTION
a) Activity Leverage.
This includes three ratios
i. Operating Leverage.
ii. Financial Leverage.
iii. Total Leverage.
i. Operating Leverage.
This has to do with the normal operation of a firm. It arises from the operating
activity of the firm. It relates to the sales and profit variations. Operating leverage
is the responsiveness of firm’s EBIT to the changes in sales value.
i.e. Operating Leverage = Contribution
EBIT
OR Contribution
Operating Profit.
Operating leverage of a firm is determined by the fixed cost and variable cost mix
of the firm. If the firm has high level of fixed cost and low variable cost, the
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operating leverage would be higher. The low operating leverage is dictated by high
variable cost and low fixed cost. The percentage change in EBIT resulting from a
percentage change in sales can be measured and this is called degree of operating
leverage.
Illustration 3.1
Firms A and B manufactures the same product and their cost sheets are given
below
A B
Units manufactured and sold 20,000 20,000
N N
Direct material 10 10
Direct labour 5 5
Variable overheads 5 5
20 20
Contribution 10 10
Selling price 30 30
Assuming the fixed overheads of 100,000 150,000
Calculate the operating leverages for the two firms.
Solution
A B
N N
Contribution for 20,000 units 200,000 200,000
Less: Fixed overheads 100,000 150,000
EBIT 100,000 50,000
Contribution 200,000 200,000
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EBIT 100,000 50,000
Operating leverage 2 4
Firm A’s operating leverage is twice of B as the fixed overheads are higher. The
higher the operating leverage ratio the more risky the situation.
This has to do with the financing activities of a firm. It refers to the use of debt in
the capital structure. The financial leverage is an indicator of responsiveness of
firm’s EPS to the changes in its profit before interest and tax. When this ratio is
considered along with the operating ratio, it gives a fair idea about the firm’s
earning, its fixed costs and the fixed interest expenses. The degree of financial
leverage is an attribute of the firm’s exposure to financial risk.
Illustration 3.2
The following information is available for Orimogunje Ltd for the year ended 31st
March, 2005.
Interest on debt N400,000
Preference dividend N200,000
Corporate tax 40%
40
Calculate the degree of financial leverage.
(i) if EBIT is N1,000,000
(ii) if EBIT is N1,500,000
Solution
DFL = EBIT = EBIT
EPS (EBIT – I) (1 – t) – Dp
(i) DFL = 1,000,000
(1,000,000 – 400,000) (1 – 0.4) – 200,000
= 1,000,000
600,000 (0.6) – 200,000
= 1,000,000 = 6.25
160,000
Total leverage may be defined as the potential use of fixed costs, both operating
and financial which magnifies the effect of sales volume change on the EPS of the
firm. The total leverage is also called “Combined Leverage”. Total leverage
degree can be calculated as follows:
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DTL = Operating Leverage x Financial Leverage
Or = Contribution x EBIT
EBIT EBT
Or = Contribution or = ΔEPS/EPS
EBT Δ Q /Q
This encompasses ratios that express the relationship between owner’s capital and
outsider’s stake in the firm. These ratios are also called capital gearing ratios. They
are:
1. Debt-Equity ratio
2. Total debt-equity ratio
3. Debt-Net worth ratio.
1. Debt-Equity Ratio.
This ratio is the most significant of leverage ratios as it gives the composition of
the long-term funds of the firm in terms of the stake of the owners and outsiders in
the business.
Long term Debt
Shareholder funds
Shareholder funds include equity capital and free reserves. A high ratio indicates
large outside stake in the business. The preference capital is usually excluded from
long term debt but if the ratio is to show effect of use of fixed interest sources on
earnings available to the shareholders then, it is to be included. On the other hand,
if the ratio is to examine financial solvency, then preference shares shall form part
of the capital.
Here, total debt includes not only long-term debt but also current liabilities.
Long-term Debt + Short-term liabilities
Shareholders Funds
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The inclusion of current liabilities in debt-equity ratio is justified by the fact that
the sundry creditors can exert pressure on the management.
Long-term Debt
Net worth
This ratio is justified on the basis that it excludes invested capital in fictitious
assets like deferred expenditure.
The inverse of the interest cover is called income gearing indicating the proportion
of pre-tax earnings committed to prior interest charges.
This ratio is the proportion of the fixed return capital to the total capital. It is
given as:
Fixed Return capital
Total Capital
= Long-term debt + Preference Capital
Long-term debt + Preference Capital + Equity Capital +Reserves
Illustration 3.3
Busayo and Papa Ltd’s balance sheet shows the following structure of finance for
the year ended 31st March, 2009.
N
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Equity share capital (5,000,000 of N1 each) 5,000,000
Pref. Share capital (12%) (100,000 share of N10 each) 1,000,000
Share premium 2,000,000
General Reserve 1,500,000
Non-Convertible Debentures (14%) 4,000,000
Current Liabilities 500,000
Total assets 14,000,000
The profit earned during the year before interest payments and tax at 40%
amounted to N3,400,000. Board of Directors recommends a dividend at 18% on
equity shares. You are required to calculate
(a) Capital gearing ratio
(b) Income gearing ratio
Solution
= 40 + 10 x 100 = 50 x
40 + 10 + 50 +20 +15 135
The gearing ratio is small and the company’s financial risk is lesser.
3.4 SUMMARY
The fixed interest debt component is used in total capital structure to enhance the
return to the equity shareholders. But the risk will increase in times of
unfavourable business condition.
Leverage refers to the ability of a firm in employing long-term funds having a
fixed interest to enhance returns to the owners. It is expressed as Contribution/Net
Profit.
If the operating leverage is higher the company is subject to greater degree of
business risk.
Financial leverage refers to the use of debt component in capital structure and the
effect of payment of fixed interest on firm’s profitability. It is EBIT / EBT.
44
The higher the combined leverage, the firm is subject to greater risk which
includes both business risk and financial risk.
REFERENCES
Pandey I.M. Financial Management, (Vikas Publishing House PVT Ltd, New
Delhi), 1999
Ravi M.K. Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied Services (P.) Ltd.
(2007)
Learning Objectives:
At the end of this study, students must have understood:
45
- M-M Theory with taxation.
- Application of Pecking Order Theory in capital structuring
- Modified Pecking Order suggested by Myers
CONTENTS
4.1 Introduction
4.2 MM Theory with corporate taxation
4.3 MM Theory with personal taxation
4.4 Pecking Order Theory
4.5 Summary
4.6 Self Review Questions
4.1 INTRODUCTION
In unit 2, MM theory has been treated with the tax relief being ignored. The
assumption that there is no corporate tax is unrealistic for a corporate firm. From
this perspective, MM has modified their theory by considering tax relief available
to a geared company when the debt component is existing in the capital structure.
Cost of equity
Cost of capital
46
WACC
Cost of Debt
(After tax)
Gearing
As the level of gearing increases the WACC will be reducing and the company’s
market value will be maximized at 100% level of gearing. The increase in the
value of the company is the present value of further tax relief referred to as a tax
shield. They assumed that the value of the geared company will always be greater
than an ungeared company with similar business risk, but only by the amount of
debt-associated tax saving of the geared company. So, at equilibrium price the
market value of a geared company is equal to the market value of its ungeared
counterpart plus the debt assisted tax shield.
At equilibrium
MVg = MVu + Dt
Where,
MVg = Market value of the geared company
MVu = Market value of an ungeared company
D = Market value of debt capital
t = Corporation tax rate
47
Illustration 4.1
Solution
Kw(g) = Kw(u) [ 1 – Dt ]
MVe + MVd
Kw(g) = WACC of ageared company
Kw(u) = WACC of an ungeared company
Vd = Market value debt
Ve = Market value of Equity
t = Corporation tax rate
Illustration 4.2
48
Solution
Atiku Plc Obasanjo Plc
N N
Equity 1,100,000 1,260,000
Debt 480,000 -
1,580,000 1,260,000
N
(b) To invest 1% in Obasanjo plc = 1% of 1,260,000 12,600
Sales in Atiku plc 1% of 1,100,000 11,000
To borrow 1,600
49
= 1,580,000 – 192,000
= 1,388,000
MM theory considered only corporate taxes. However, Miller (1977) included the
effect of personal as well as corporate taxes in capital structure theory. He argued
that the existence of tax relief on debt interest but not on equity dividends would
make debt capital more attractive than equity capital to companies. Companies
must be ready to offer a higher return on debt in order to attract greater supply of
debt. When the company offers an after-personal-tax return on debt at least equal
to the after-personal-tax return on equity, equity supply will switch over to debt
supply to the company. This is based on the assumption that interest payments on
debt are allowed as a tax deduction whereas dividends on equity capital are not
allowed for tax deduction.
This theory was proposed by Donaldson in 1961 and modified by Meyers in 1984.
The theory asserts that a company’s capital structure is more dependent on internal
cashflows, cash dividend payment and acceptable investment opportunities (NPV
> 0).
This theory states that when a company wants to finance its long-term
investments, it selects by following a well defined order of preference with respect
to the sources of finance it uses. At the initial stage, the firm will prefer to use
internally generated funds. If the internal funds are insufficient to meet its
investment requirements then it will prefer raising external funds in the form of
term loans and then non-convertible debentures and bonds and then convertible
debt instruments.
The last to be considered is in the form of new equity capital. This theory says
therefore that:
(i) Firms prefer internal financing to external financing
(ii) If firms choose external financing, they will issue the safest security
first i.e they will choose debt before equity financing.
(iii) As a firm sources for external funds, it will follow the pecking order of
securities.
50
- Raising of term loans from banks and financial institutions is cheaper
than issuing debt securities for raising finances.
- Issue of equity capital involves relatively high issue cost.
- Servicing of debt funds is cheaper than servicing of equity funds.
4.5 SUMMARY
Originally, MM theory has ignored the corporate and personal taxation, but later
Miller modified the theory by considering tax relief available to a geared firm.
As per Pecking order theory, if the firms do require external financing they will
issue the safest security first in order of term loans, unsecured debentures, secured
debentures, convertible debentures, preference shares, convertible preference
shares and finally in the form of new equity shares.
REFERENCES
BPP Publishing Limited Investment ( BPP Publishing House, London), 1991
Ravi M.K. Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied Services (P.) Ltd.
(2007)
Ravi M.K. Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied Services (P.)
Ltd, (2007)
UNIT 5: DEGREE OF LEVERAGES
Learning Objectives.
51
- Meaning of Trading on Equity
- Impact of Gearing on cost of capital and EPS of the firm.
- Distinction between Debt and Equity.
CONTENTS
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Distinction between debt and equity
5.3 Trading on equity
5.4 Gearing
5.5 Summary
5.6 Self Review questions
5.1 INTRODUCTION
In unit 3, the meaning and various forms of leverages have been considered. This
unit further discusses the degree of leverage especially how it affects the return to
the equity shareholders. Before further discussions, distinction between debt and
equity should be made.
Trading on equity refers to the practices by which a firm uses borrowed funds and
preference capital carrying a fixed change in a way to obtain a higher return to the
equity shareholders. The concept of trading on equity has direct impact on
52
shareholders wealth because all investing, financing and dividend decisions are
taken in view of maximization of wealth of the owners. The debt funds are less
risk bearing compared to equity funds since the providers of debt have prior claims
on income and assets of the firm over equity holders.
While the financial leverage explains the impact of EPS, trading on equity shows
the impact on equity capital. It is calculated by taking difference of rate of return
on equity capital by having equity and debt components in capital structure to rate
of return on equity by having only equity share capital in the capital structure.
Illustration 5.1
In alternative A where there is no debt component, the company can earn only
20% return on equity. In B, by having debt component, the return on equity
increases. In C, it rises further but it is important to note that if the debt component
exceeds the desired level, the firm is prone to financial risk and bankruptcy risk.
5.4 GEARING
This term refers to the amount of debt finance a company uses relative to its equity
finance. A company is highly geared where there is high level of debt component
in its capital structure. It can be calculated with the help of debt-equity ratio or
capital gearing ratio i.e. (long-term debt/capital employed).
53
3. Due to high levels of financial and bankruptcy risk a firm is exposed to, its
equity shares stock market prices will be quoted less.
4. The profitability and earnings of the company will be threatened due to
changes in interest rates of different debt components.
If the level of gearing increases, the expected return of equity shareholders will
also increase along with the increase in financial risk and bankruptcy risk. The
expectation of providers will also be more to compensate for taking higher levels
of financial risk and bankruptcy risks.
Empirically, the proportion of debt in a firm’s capital structure has relatively little
impact on the cost of capital.
Graphically
WACC (%)
30
20
10
0 25 50 75 100
Level of Gearing (%)
So long as the existing gearing of the company is within the optimum range say
30% and 60%, the proportion of debt in a company’s capital structure has little
effect on a company’s cost of capital.
54
Gearing has considerable effect on the earnings attributable to the equity
shareholders. A highly geared firm must earn enough profits to cover the interest
on debt before any profits available for distribution to the equity holders.
Illustration 5.1
Dauda Ltd is setting a project with a cost of N5,000,000. It is considering the
following three alternatives for financing project:
Alternatives 1 2 3
Equity 5,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000
Debt (15%) - 1,000,000 3,000,000
5,000,000 5,000,000 5,000,000
The company estimated earnings per year N2,000,000, the corporate tax is 40%.
Calculate the earnings per share in the three different alternatives.
Solution
1 2 3
N N N
Earnings before interest and tax 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000
Less: Interest 15% - 150,000 450,000
2,000,000 1,850,000 1,550,000
Less: Corporate tax 40% 800,000 740,000 620,000
Net profit after interest and tax 1,200,000 1,110,000 930,000
EPS 2.4 2.8 4.65
From the above illustration, high levels of gearing leads to an increase in EPS for
equity shareholders. Meanwhile, the debt in capital structure increases the risk of
equity shareholders.
5.5 SUMMARY
The debt component should be used in capital structure to enhance the return to
the equity shareholders which is termed trading on equity. Also, gearing represents
the ratio which shows the proportion of debt capital in a firm’s capital structure
relative to its equity finance.
55
1. Write short notes on Trading on equity.
2. What are the differences between debt and equity capital.
3. Explain briefly the impact of gearing on the cost of capital of a firm.
4. Explain briefly the impact of gearing on the earnings of a firm.
REFERENCES
56
Learning Objectives
CONTENTS
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Factors Determining the Dividend Decisions.
6.3 Dividend Supremacy or Relevancy Theory.
6.4 Dividend Irrelevancy Theory.
6.5 Other theories of Dividend.
6.6 Summary.
6.7 Self Review Questions.
6.1 INTRODUCTION
Dividend theory (Policy) tries to provide answer to the questions; which is better
“the payment of dividend now or the retention of earnings for capital gain?” This
theory explores the possibility of attaining an optimum dividend payout ratio that
maximizes the combined value of dividends paid plus capital gain.
Dividend policy has been considered very important in the firm’s objective of
maximizing shareholders wealth. Dividends paid out to the shareholders represents
cash outflow which depletes the available cash resources. The reduction in the
available cash will have implication on the investment opportunities of the firm
because investment projects of the firm also heavily depend on the available cash
resources.
57
6.2 FACTORS DETERMINING THE DIVIDEND DECISIONS
1. Legal Provisions: Company law allows the payment of dividend only out
of distributable profits, calculated on conventional accounting principles.
(a) profits arising from the use of the company properly although it is a
wasting asset;
(b) revenue reserves;
(c) realized profit on a fixed assed sold
6. The Risk Factor: Where a company is high business and financial risk
inherent, it may have to offer higher dividend rates in order to encourage
investors to undertake the risk involved.
58
7. Taxation: Shareholders in high income bracket will require to receive their
returns in the form of capital profit because of the high tax rate their high
incomes may be subjected to but shareholders in low income bracket will
be pleased to receive annual returns as high as expected since they are
indifferent.
The proponents of this theory, Professor James E. Walter and M.J. Gordon (1959)
argued that dividends were all that mattered in the determination of share prices.
It is based on the fundamental theory of share values.
59
3. All earnings are either distributed as dividends or reinvested internally
immediately.
4. The corporate tax does not exist.
In 1961, Franco Modigliani and Melton H. Miller (M-M) argued against the claim
that an active dividend policy should be pursued as a means of maximizing
shareholders wealth. Their argument is that the value of a firm is unaffected by
dividend policy and that in a tax-free world, shareholders are indifferent between
dividends and capital gains. They presented the following points to strengthen
their arguments:
60
exactly equal to the amount of the dividend paid. A company should
therefore be indifferent between paying a dividend and retained earnings.
18. There is perfect capital market where investors act rationally and have
access to perfect and costless information.
19. No floatation cost on securities issued by a company.
20. Risks of uncertainty do not exist.
21. No taxation. Or if there is taxation, the same tax rate is applicable to capital
gain and dividend income.
22. The company will maintain a fixed investment policy.
61
(f) Tax Differential Theory
According to this theory, dividends are effectively taxed at higher rates than
capital gains. Investors therefore require higher rates of return on stocks
with high dividend yields. A firm should pay a low (or zero) dividend in
order to minimize its cost of capital and maximize its value.
6.6 SUMMARY
Dividend depletes the cash resources which can otherwise be available for the
investment in profitable projects.
Dividend policy determines the distribution of net cashflows generated from
successful trading between dividend payments and corporate retentions.
Before a company determines its dividend policy, it should consider certain
factors. MM argued that share value is a function of the level of corporate
earnings. If there is a higher dividend pay out, the firm should issue new shares
which will depress the stock market price of the share. The reduction in value of
share is just equal to the dividend distributed per share.
REFERENCES
Aborode R. Financial Management (2005)
62
Unit 7: DIVIDEND POLICY AND VALUE OF FIRM
Learning Objective
63
- Impact of dividend policies on value of firm
- Various Dividend Policies
- Gordon Growth Valuation Model
- Walter’s Valuation Model
- Dividend Payment Procedure
CONTENTS
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Dividend Policies
7.3 Dividend Relevancy Theory – Gordon Growth
Valuation Model and Walters Valuation Model
7.4 Dividend Payment Procedure
7.5 Summary
7.6 Self Review Questions
7.1 INTRODUCTION
The dividend policy of a firm has been given ample recognition that different
theories emanated to prove its relevancy in the determination of the value of firm.
M-M by their theory, dividend irrelevancy theory decried the important role
entrusted with dividend policy by dividend Relevancy Theory. They argued that
whatever dividend decisions taken by a firm will have no influence on its share
value.
However, we are now much concerned with the dividend relevancy theory. This
theory claims that a company can increase its value by determining and attaining
an optimum dividend value of dividends paid plus capital gain. The dividend
relevancy theory applies two models:
64
This policy is also known as ‘Constant payout ratio method’. By this method, a
fixed percentage of the net earnings is paid every year. If earning vary, the amount
of dividends also varies from year to year. The company follows a regular practice
of retained earnings because there is always a constant gap between earnings per
share and dividend per share.
This advocates the payment of dividend at constant rate even when earnings vary
from year to year. This may be possible only when the earnings pattern of the
company does not show wide fluctuation.
This is a policy of very consistent but very small dividend increases to give the
illusion of movement and growth. This policy gives a sense of hope to the
investors as the market reward consistently increases.
This policy favours the division of the announced dividends of a firm into a
regular and extra dividend. The regular dividend is the dividend that will continue
at the announced level. The extra dividend payment will be made as circumstances
permit.
Under this policy, a minimum rate of dividend per share is paid in cash plus bonus
shares issued out of accumulated reserves. However, the issue of bonuses shares
depends upon the amount kept in reserves over a period say 3 or 5 years.
This model stems out of dividend situation with growth. Dividend relevancy
theory takes cognizance of a situation where it is assumed that there is no growth
65
in dividend. Here the market value of a firm is given by the present value of the
future dividends paid out to shareholders. Ideally, dividend is expected to grow.
The Gordon growth model is a theoretical model used to value ordinary equity
shares. The main proposition of the model is that the value of a share reflects the
value of future dividends accruing to that share. Hence, the dividend payments and
its growth are relevant in valuation of shares.
1. The firm is an all equity firm i.e the firm is not geared.
2. Retained earnings is the only source of financing
3. Future annual growth rate dividend is expected to be constant
4. The growth rate of the firm is the product of retention rate and its return on
investment
5. Corporate taxes do not exist
6. The retention rate to remain constant.
In valuation of share,
MVe = Do (1+g) = D1
Ke – g Ke-g
Illustration 7.1
Baba Ijebu Ltd is an established company having its share quoted in the major
stocks exchanges. Its share current market price after dividend distributed at the
66
21% p.a having a paid up capital of 500,000 of 10k each. Annual growth rate in
dividend expected is 3%. The expected rate of return on its equity capital is 16%.
Calculate the value of Baba Ijebu Ltd’s share based on divided growth model.
Solution
MVe = Do (1+g)
Ke - g
Illustration 7.2
The shares of a gas company are selling at N20 per share. The firm had paid
dividend @ N2 per share last year.
i) Determine the cost equity capital of the company
ii) Determine the estimated market price of the equity share if the anticipated
growth rate of the firm (a) rises to 8% (b) fall to 3%
Solution
i) Ke = Do (1 + g) + g
MVe
67
Illustration 7.3
Ogbogbon Ltd is foreseeing a growth rate of 12% per annum in the next 2 years.
The growth rate is likely to fall to 10% for the third year and fourth year. After
that the growth rate is expected to stabilize at 8% per annum. If the last dividend
paid was N1.50 per share and the investor’s required rate of return is 16%, find out
the intrinsic value per share of Ogbogbon Ltd as of date.
Solution
Years 0 1 2 3 4 5
Discount factor @ 16% 1 0.86 0.74 0.64 0.55 0.48
Illustration 7.4
PS Plc expects to achieve earnings next year of N2.4m and these will continue in
perpetuity without any growth at all, unless a proportion of earnings are retained.
If the company retains Y3 of its earnings an annual growth rate in earning and
dividends of 9% p.a in perpetuity could be achieved.
Alternatively, if the company were to retain 2/3 of its earnings an annual growth
rate in earnings and dividends of 12% p.a in perpetuity could be achieved. The
return currently required by PS Plc shareholders is 16%. If retentions of 1/3 were
68
made, the required return would rise to 19% and if retentions were 2/3 of earnings,
the return required would be 24%.
Required
a) No retention
Ke = d
MVe
MVe = d
Ke
MVe = 2,400,000 = N15m
0.16
Walter argued that retention influence stock price only through their effect on
future dividends. The model recognizes the importance of internal rate of return
and cost of capital for valuation of shares and dividend decisions. The optimum
dividend policy of a firm by this model is determined by the relationship of rate of
return on firm’s investment and cost of equity capital. Under this model, the
determination of expected market price on a share is given as:
Mr = D + ra (E – D)
rc
where Mr = current market price of equity share
E = Earnings per share
D = Dividend per share
(E – D) = Retained earnings per share
ra = rate of return on firm’s investment
69
rc = cost of equity capital.
a) If ra > rc i.e if the firm can earn higher IRR then cost of capital, the firm can
return the earnings. When ra > rc, the price per share increases as the dividend
payout ratio decreases. The optimal payout ratio when ra>rc is nil (zero) because
shareholders would accept low dividends.
b) When ra<rc i.e. the cost of capital is more than firm’s IRR, the optimum
dividend policy would be to distribute the entire earnings as dividend. When ra <
rc, the price per share increases and the dividend payout ratio increases.
Shareholders would vote for higher dividend so that they can utilize the more
profitable investment opportunities.
c) If ra = rc i.e. If IRR of the firm is equal to its cost of capital, the price per share
does not vary with changes in dividend payout ratio. The optimal payout ratio is
irrelevant and it does not matter whether the earning is retained or distributed.
Illustration 7.5
The earnings per share of a company is N8 and the rate of capitalisation applicable
is 10%. The company has before if an option of adopting (i) 50% (ii) 75% and
(iii) 100% dividend payout ratio. Compute the market price of the company’s
quoted shares if it can earn a return of (a) 15% (b) 10% and (c) 5% on its
retained earnings.
Solution
Mr = D + ra (E – D)
70
rc
rc
a) where ra = 15%
Mr = 4 + 0.15 (8 – 4)
0.10 = N100
0.10
b) where ra = 10%
Mr = 4 + 0.10 (8 – 4)
0.10 = N80
0.10
c) where ra = 5%
Mr = 4 + 0.05 (8 – 4)
0.10 = N60
0.10
a) where ra = 15%
Mr = 4 + 0.15 (8 – 6)
0.10 = N90
0.10
b) where ra = 10%
Mr = 6 + 0.15 (8 – 6)
0.10 = N80
0.10
c) where ra = 5%
Mr = 6 + 0.15 (8 – 6)
0.10 = N70
0.10
a) where ra = 15%
71
Mr = 8 + 0.15 (8 – 8)
0.10 = N80
0.10
b) where ra = 10%
Mr = 8 + 0.10 (8 – 8)
0.10 = N80
0.10
c) where ra = 5%
Mr = 8 + 0.05 (8 – 8)
0.10 = N80
0.10
Dividends are generally paid twice in a year that is, interim dividend and final
dividend.
Declaration Date: It is the date in which the forthcoming dividend is announced
Date of Record: This designates when share transfer book are to be closed
Ex-div date: This is the date when the shareholders register is closed for the
transfer of shares. Purchase of shares after this date confers collection of dividend
on the old owner or seller.
Dividend Notice: This shows the amount of dividend payable after deducting
appropriate withholding taxes.
Payment date: this is the day dividend cheques are mailed out.
7.5 SUMMARY
Gordon Growth Valuation Model progress that the value of a share reflects the
value of future dividends accruing to that share and the market price of the share is
equal to the sum of its discounted future dividend payments.
Walter’s Model Assets that in the long-run the share prices reflect only the present
value of expected dividends and the retentions influence share price only through
their effect on future dividends. According to Walter, the optimum dividend policy
of a firm is determined by the relationship of firm’s IRR and its cost of capital.
72
- Dividend growth valuation Model’s proposition is that value of a
share
reflects the value of future dividends accruing to that share. Explain
- What are the essential of Walter’s dividend model?
REFERENCES
UNIT 8: PROJECTS
Learning Objectives
73
After this study, students must have understood:
- The meaning of projects
- Different kinds of projects
- Capital Investment process
- New concepts in /financing and Execution of projects
CONTENTS
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Types of Projects
8.3 Capital Investment Process
8.4 New Concepts in Financing And Execution Of Projects
8.5 Summary
8.6 Self Review Questions
8.1 INTRODUCTION
A firm’s project is an investment which could involve assets acquired for purposes
of capital appreciation or income generation without activities in the form of
production, trade or provision of services. Projects are basically capital
investments. Capital investment decisions border on capital expenditures which
involve large some of money, have long time spans and carry some degree of risk
and uncertainty. The planning and control of capital expenditure is termed capital
budgeting. Capital budgeting is the art of finding assets that are worth more than
they cost to optimize the wealth of a business enterprise. For making a radical
decision regarding the capital investment proposals at hand, the decision maker
needs some techniques to convert the cash outflows and cash inflows of a project
into meaningful yardsticks which can measure the economic worthiness of
projects.
74
(i) Purpose
(ii) Size
(iii) Ownership
(i) Depending on the purpose, the projects can be classified as follows:
When the current production levels of existing plant could not meet the
growing demand for the product in the market, and such growth is of
permanent nature, the management would decide to increase the capacity of
the plant by installing additional equipment and facilitator thereby the total
production in increased.
When a firm invest in project which is not connected with the existing line
of business but to entirely setup a new project. Such a project is called a
diversification project.
(e) Due to technological development, wear and tear, the old plant and
machinery that was installed several years back, would require
modernization.
75
- Search for Investment Opportunities: This first thing to do is
recognizing the investment opportunities. This involves a continuous
search for investment opportunities which are compatible with the
firm’s objectives. Although business may pursue many goods, survival
and profitability are two most important objectives.
- Build, Own and Operate (B.O.O): Here, the entrepreneur will build the
project from his own resources and he will own the project subsequent to its
commercial launching.
76
operate for certain period after which the project is transferred to the
government.
8.5 SUMMARY
RREFERENCES
Aborode R. Financial Management (2005)
77
Ravi M.K. Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied
Services (P.) Ltd.(2007)
Learning objectives
78
At the end of this unit, students must have understood:
CONTENTS
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Feasibility Study Project Control
9.3 Techniques for Project Control
9.4 Reasons for Project Failure
9.5 Summary
9.1 INTRODUCTION
Before a project idea is considered for detailed study, the promoter must verify
certain factors. Once the entrepreneur comes to the conclusion that the project can
be taken up for detailed study, he can start with conducting of feasibility study.
This report is not very elaborate but it contains substantial information for
selection of the project. The report normally contains the following details:
79
9.3 TECHNIQUES FOR PROJECT CONTROL
1) Substantial overrun of the projects which makes the project not feasible
to
implement further
2) Changes in technology during the implementation of the project
3) Wrongful estimation of the cost of project and its profitability
4) Lack of experienced management team
5) Lack of delegation of authority and responsibility
6) Lack of proper project monitoring systems
7) Failure to obtain government clearances and permission
8) Lack of sufficient knowledge of the project to promoter
9.5 SUMMARY
A detailed project report is prepared containing the details about the plan of action,
details about technical, financial, marketing, management and social aspect.
REFERENCES
Ravi M.K. Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied
Services (P.) Ltd.(2007)
Learning Objectives
80
After this study, students must have understood:
- Project Organisation Structure
- Benefits of Project Management
- Selection of project location
- Choice of technologies
- SWOT Analysis
- Project Visibility
- Feasibility study report
CONTENTS
10.1 Introduction
10.2 Project Organisation Structure
10.3 Benefits of Project Management
10.4 Selection of Project Location
10.5 Choice of Technology
10.6 SWOT Analysis
10.7 Project Visibility
10.8 Variance And Performance Analysis
10.9 Summary
81
4) It reduces the need for continuous reporting
5) It helps in expressing problems in advance
The following are the factors considered for the selection of location for setting up
a project.
6) Manpower availability
82
2) Principal Inputs: The choice of technology depends on the principal
inputs available for the project.
83
11. Cost of production and managerial competence
12. Cost of capital
13. Governmental clearances and permission
14. Macro and Micro-economic environment in which the business operates.
The project activities starts prior to the zero data. Zero data of a project means a
date is fixed up from which the implementation of the projects begins. A project
cannot be seen by the public most of its life time. A project can be seen by the
public only at the end of its implementation stage and recognizes the fact of
coming up of a project. A project becomes visible slowly as it grows, bringing the
idea into reality, by using men, machines, money and managerial skill.
Illustration 10:1
Determine:
(a) Performance variance
(b) Efficiency variance
(c) Performance index
(d) Efficiency index
(e) Estimated cost performance index
84
Solution
(a) Performance variance
= BCWP – BCWS = 40-50 = -10
(b) Efficiency variance
= BCWP – ACWP = 40-44 = - 4
(c) Performance index
= BCWP/BCWS = 40/50 = 0.80
(d) Efficiency Index
= BCWP/ACWP = 40/44 = 0.9091
(e) Estimated cost performance index
= BCTW/(ACWPT ACC) = 100/(44+66) = 0.9091
10.9 SUMMARY
REFERENCES
Ravi M.K Financial Management. 6th ed. Taxmann allied Services (P.) Ltd.
(2007)
Learning Objectives
85
- Cashflows associated with the project
- Payback period and its reciprocal
- Accounting rate of return
- Distinction between NPV and IRR
- Discounted payback period
- Terminal value method
CONTENTS
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Investment Appraisal Techniques
11.3 Traditional Techniques
11.4 Discounted Cashflow Techniques
11.5 Summary
11.6 Self-Review Questions
11.1 INTRODUCTION
Our major concern here has to do with investment decision and which is called
capital expenditure decision and which is under the umbrella of capital budgeting.
Capital budgeting involves all investments in long-term projects. It is the process
of selecting alternatives long-term investment opportunities. This decision entails
scrutiny that tends to find out whether or not money should be invested in long-
term projects. In capital investment decisions, a firm is faced with different
alternatives out of which the firm must select these ones that optimize its
shareholders’ wealth. This is done by examining cash generation of the project
which is called investment appraisal.
In appraising a project, various techniques have been developed ranging from the
traditional to discounted cashflow techniques. Meanwhile, to permit realistic
appraisal, the value of cash payment or receipt, must be related to the time when
the transfer takes place. The process of converting future sums into their present
equivalent is known as discounting which is used to determine the present value of
future cashflows.
86
11.3 THE TRADITIONAL TECHNIQUES
This refers to the length of time which it takes the cash inflows from a capital
investment project to equate the cash outflows. It is usually expressed in years. It
concentrates on how quickly a project repays its outlay. When deciding between
two or more competing projects, the usual decision is to accept the one with the
shortest payback. The basic element of payback period method is a calculation of
recovery time by accumulation of the cash inflows year by year until the cash
inflows equate the amount of the original investment.
Payback period can be calculated in two ways depending on whether the
cashflows are constant or non – constant.
Illustration 11.1
Yr Cashflow
1 200,000
2 220,000
3 230,000
4 220,000
5 195,000
Solution
a) Payback period Outlay
Annual cashflow
= N1,000,000 = 4 years
N250,000
87
b) Yr Outlay CF Balance
0 (1,000,000) - (1,000,000)
1 200,000(800,000)
2 220,000(580,000)
3 230,000(350,000)
4 220,000(130,000)
5 195,000 -
= 4 years, 8 months
Decision Rules
Advantages of PBP
Disadvantages
88
4) It makes no attempt to measure a percentage return on the capital invested
and is often used in conjunction with other methods.
The higher the PBP reciprocal, the more worthwhile the project.
If necessary, a machine may have to be scrapped before its payback period. In this
case, the cashflow and the salvage value of the machine is taking together in
bailout decision.
Illustration 11.2
Project A costs N200,000 and Project B costs N300,000 both have a ten year life.
Uniform cash receipts expected are A N40,000 p.a. and B N80,000 p.a. Salvage
values expected are A N140,000 declining at an annual rate of N20,000 and B
N160,000 declining at an annual rate of N40,000.
Solution
The bail-out payback period is reached when the cumulative cash receipts plus the
salvage value at the end of a particular year is equal to the initial investment.
Project A initial investment = N200,000
Cumulative Cashflow + Salvage value
End of yr 1 40,000 + 140,000= 180,000
2 80,000 + 120,000= 200,000
Bailout Payback period for A is 2 years
89
Bailout PBP for B is 3 years
:. Therefore Project A is chosen
Illustration 11.3
Yr Profit (N)
1 40,000
2 44,000
3 48,000
4 52,000
5 58,000
Solution
90
Cost N100,000
NBN 20,000
80,000
Decision rules
91
2. Reject if the project has an ATT that is less than that set by the management
Advantages of ARR
Disadvantages of ARR
The Net Present Value (NPV) technique recognizes that different naira arising at
different time period will not command the same value. It is obtained by
discounting all cash outflows and inflows attributable to a capital investment
project by a chosen percentage. By this method, the net cashflows from the
investment is discounted by the minimum required rate of return and the initial
investment is deducted to arrive at the NPV. If the NPV is positive, the project is
acceptable but unacceptable is the NPV is negative. In the discounting process,
discounting factor is used:
Dcf = 1
(1 + r)n
Where dcf = discounting factor
r = minimum rate of return
92
n = number of years over which we discounts
Illustration 11.4
However, if the discount rate of 25% is applied in order to account for the time
value of money, should the project be accepted?
i) Calculation of discounting factor
Yr D.F
1 1 = 0.800
(1+0.25)
2 1 = 0.640
(1+0.25)2
3 1 = 0.512
(1+0.25)3
Decision rules
93
Advantages of NPV
Disadvantages of NPV
IRR is the percentage discount rate used in capital investment appraisals which
brings the cost of a project and its future cash inflows into equality. It is the rate of
return which equates the present value of anticipated net cashflows with the initial
outlay. It is also known as the cut-off rate, the hurdle rate, the target rate, the
marginal efficiently cost of capital etc. It is the rate at which NPV is equal to zero.
IRR is calculated using a two-step approach.
Illustration 11.5
Yr NCF
0 (3,610)
94
1 1,000
2 2,000
3 3,000
Solution
Interpolation
IRR = R1 + N1 x (R2 – R1)
N1 – (N2)
R1 = 15, R2 = 26, N1 = 760, (N2) = (60)
:. Irr = 15 + 760 x (26-15)
760 – (-60)
= 15 + 760 x 11
820
= 15 + 10.2 = 25.20%
Decision rules
a) In a case of only one project: to accept a project, if it has an IRR that is greater
than the cut-off rate stipulated by the management or if its IRR is higher than
the cost of borrowing.
b) In a case of more than one project. Select the projects that have an IRR that is
greater than the cut-off rate indicated.
In this method, the cashflows generated from a project are discounted back to
present value term. The discounted cash inflows are then matched with the original
investment in order to identify the period taken to payback the outlay. This method
overcomes the shortcoming of not accounting for the time value of money but it
95
still does not take into account those cashflows which occur subsequent to the
payback period.
Illustration 11.6
Gateway Ltd is implementing a project with an initial capital outlay of N7,600. Its
cash inflows are as follows
Yr 1 2 3 4
Cashflows (N) 6,000 2,000 1,000 5,000
The expected rate of return on the capital invested is 12% p.a. Calculate the
discounted payback period of the project
Illustration 11.7
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Expected interest rates at which the cash inflows will be re-invested.
Year end 1 2 3
Rate 8 8 8
Solution
11.5 SUMMARY
In appraising a project, various techniques have been developed ranging from the
traditional to the discounted cashflows techniques. The traditional techniques do
not take into account the time value of money. However, under the discounted
cashflow techniques, the future net cashflows generated by a capital project are
discounted to ascertain their present values.
97
Van Horne J.C. and Wachowicz J.M. Fundamentals of Financial Management
(1996)
Learning Objectives
98
- Determination of risk and return of a two-assets portion folio
- Determination of risk and return of a three-assets portfolio
- Ascertainment of optimal portfolio of two assets
- Minimization of risk through diversification of portfolio
- Relationship between risk and return
CONTENTS
12.1 Introduction
12.2 Risk and Return of a Single Asset
12.3 Risk and Return of Portfolio
12.4 Portfolio Diversification and Risk
12.5 Indifference Curves and Investors’ Attitudes
12.6 Risk-Return Relationship
12.7 Summary
12.8 Self Review Questions
12.1 INTRODUCTION
The difference between risk and uncertainty has been that, uncertainty cannot be
quantified while risk can be quantified of the likelihood of future outcomes. Risk
denotes a positive probability of something bad happening while uncertainty does
not necessarily imply a value judgment or ranking of the possible outcomes.
Therefore, risk is present when future events occur with measurable probability.
On the other hand, uncertainty is present when the likelihood of future events is
indefinite or incalculable.
Return of an Asset
A firm’s investment’s should earn reasonable and expected rate of return. Certain
investments like bank deposits, debentures, bonds etc carry a fixed rate of return
payable periodically. In case of investments in shares of companies, the
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periodically payments in the form of dividends are not assured, though it may
ensure higher returns than fixed income investments. The rate of return of a
particular investment is calculate as follows:
R = D + P1 – P2
Po Po
Illustration 12.1
Mr Ororun has purchased 100 shares of N10 each of Kinetic Ltd in 2001 at N78
per share. The company has declared a dividend @ 40% for the year 2008-9. The
market price of share as at 1-4-2008 was N104 and on 31-3-2009 was N128.
Calculate the annual return on the investment for the year 2008-9.
Solution
Risk of an Asset
Risk has been statistically express in terms of standard deviation of return. The
mean of the probable returns gives the expected rate of return and the standard
deviation or variance measures risk. Low standard deviation means low risk and a
risk averse investor will look for return where the range is low. Risk is therefore
equaled with volatility in expected returns.
Illustration 12.2
The rate of return of equity shares of Hill Top Ltd for past six years are given
below.
100
Returns 12 18 -6 20 22 24
Solution
R = ΣR = 12 + 18 – 6 + 20 + 22 + 24 = 15
N 6
Yr Return R (R – R) (R – R)2
2004 12 -3 9
2005 18 3 9
2006 -6 -21 44.1
2007 20 5 25
2008 22 7 49
2009 24 9 81
E(R-R)2 = 614
2
Variance = σ 614 = 102.23
6
Standard deviation = σ = σ2 = 102.33
σ = 10.12
In investment risk analysis, expected returns rather than actual or realised returns
on investment are used. Expected return is the ate of return on investment attached
with associated probabilities.
Illustration 12.3
The possible returns and associated probabilities of securities X and Y are given
below:
Security X Security Y
Probability Return (%) Probability Return(%) 0.05
0.10 5 6
101
0.15 10 0.20 8
0.40 15 0.30 12
0.25 18 0.25 15
0.10 20 0.10 18
0.05 24 0.05 20
Solution
σ2 = 16.35
σx = 16.35 = 4.04
σ2 = 17.09
σy = 17.09 = 4.134
102
:. Security A has higher expected return and lower level of risk as compared to
security Y.
Return
The expected return from a portfolio of two or more securities is equal to the sum
of the weighted returns from the individual securities.
E(Rp) = WA(RA) + WB (BB)
where (E(Rp) = Expected return from a portfolio
WA = Proportion of wealth/funds invested in security A
WB = Proportion of funds invested in security B
RA = Expected return of security A
RB = Expected return of security B
WA + WB = 1 or 100%
Illustration 12.4
A company’s share gives a return of 20% and B company’s share gives 32%
return. Mr Otunba invested 25% in A’s shares and 75% of B’s shares. What would
be the expected return of the portfolio.
Portfolio Return
Hp = E(Rp) = WA(RA) + WB (BB)
= 0.25 (20) + 0.75 (32) = 29%
The securities consisting in a portfolio are associated with each other. So, in
determining the portfolio risk, the covariance between the returns of the
investments is considered. Covariance of two securities is a measure of their co-
movement. It is the degree to which the securities vary together.
where
σp = Standard deviation of the portfolio
WA = Proportion of funds invested in security A
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WB = Proportion of funds invested in security B
σA = Standard deviation of security A
σB = Standard deviation of security B
rAB = correlation coefficient between A and B
Illustration 12.5
The table below is related to a portfolio comprising 40% of securities A and 60%
of security B.
For Security A
For Security B
104
25 0.2 5 5 25 5
R = 20 10
σB2 = variance of B = 10
σB = 10 = 3.1623
:. rAB = 6
σA σB
rAB = 6
1.8974 X 3.1623
105
Risk of A Three-Asset Portfolio
Optima Portfolio
The investor can minimize his risk on the portfolio. Minimization of portfolio risk
is attainable by selecting negatively correlated securities. The diversification of
unsystematic risk using two security portfolio depends upon the correlation that
exists between the returns of those two securities. Optimal portfolio can be
achieved where:
WA = σB2 - CovAB
σA2 + σB2 – 2 CovAB
Note that where WA is the proportion of funds invested in security A, then the
proportion invested in B is 1 – WA = WB
In a portfolio consisting of two securities, if the two securities move together, they
are positively correlated. If they move in opposite directions, they are negatively
correlated. The existence of perfectly correlated (where r = 1 or -1) is rare. In order
to diversify risk and thereby reduce the firm’s overall risk, the projects that are
best combined or added to the existing portfolio of projects are those that have
negative correlation of A and B.
If RAB = 1 No unsystematic risk can be diversified
RAB= -1 All systematic risk can be diversified
RAB = 0 No correlation between the returns of A and B.
Note that r -1 ≤ rAb ≤1
Also, combining projects with correlations falling between perfect positive
correlation (rAB = 1) and perfect negative correlation (rAB = -1) can reduce the
overall risk of a portfolio.
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12.5 INDIFFERENCE CURVES AND INVESTOR’S ATTITUDE
The indifference curve is the curve which shows the combination of expected
return and risk that the individual investor will find to be of equal benefit. It shows
the different combinations of risk and return which will leave individual equally
satisfied. All the points lying on a given indifference curve offer the same level of
satisfaction.
Return A
B
C
Efficient
Frontier
Available portfolios
Risk
Fig A.
Np A
B
107
σp Fig B
The indifference curves shows here are typical in that every point on each curve
has a higher expected return or a lower risk than other points on the curve. Also,
an investor would choose combination of risk and expected return on one curve
with equal indifference, but he would prefer combination of return and risk on
indifference curve A than on B because curve A offers higher returns for the same
degree or risk and less risk for the same amount of expected returns).
In Fig A, An investor would prefer a portfolio of investments on indifference
curve A to a portfolio on curve B, which in turn is preferable to a portfolio on
curve C.
The risk and return constitute the framework for taking investment decision.
Dealing with the return to be achieved requires estimate of the return on
investment over the time period. Risk denotes deviation of actual return from the
estimated return, This deviation of actual return from expected return may be on
either side. However investor’s are concerned with the downside risk. The risk
under consideration is made up of two parts.
1. Unsystematic risk
2. Systematic risk
This part of risk is internal and is related to the firm and industry.
108
This is also known as unavoidable risk and it is external to the firm and industry.
The risk and return tends to be positively related. Risk assures exogenous position
in risk-return function while return depends on risk level for its determination. It is
generally believed that there is consistently risk-return trade-off i.e. the greater the
risk accepted, the greater must be the potential return as reward for committing
ones funds to an uncertain outcome.
12.7 SUMMARY
Uncertainty means it is not known exactly what will happen in future and it cannot
be quantified, while risk means future happening can be assumed under
probability and the likelihood of future outcomes can be quantified. The risk of an
asset is expressed in terms of standard deviation. The mean of the probable return
gives the expected rate of return and the standard deviation measures the risk. The
expected return from a portfolio of two or more securities is equal to the weighted
average of the expected returns from the individual securities.
REFERENCES
Aborode R. Financial Management (2005)
109
UNIT 13: CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL
Learning Objectives
110
- Risk – return trade - off using CAPM
- Use of Arbitrage Pricing Model in ascertainment of expected return
CONTENTS
13.1 Introduction
13.2 Classification of Risks
13.3 Assumptions of CAPM
13.4 Beta Factor
13.5 Security Market Line
13.6 Capital Market Line
13.7 Efficient Frontier
13.8 Limitations of CAPM
13.9 Arbitrage Pricing Model
13.10 Summary
13.11 Self Review Questions
13.1 INTRODUCTION
The Capital Asset Pricing Model was developed by three economists W.F Sharpe,
J.N Linter and Jack Treynor between 1965 and 11966 in an attempt to simplify the
assumption of portfolio theory as they relate to investment in securities. The
model is based on the portfolio theory developed by Harry Markowitz. It
emphasizes that the risk factor in portfolio theory is a combination of two risks i.e
systematic risk and unsystematic risk. And that the combination of both types of
risk provides total risk.
A risk free security has a B of O, while the risk premium is also O. the market
portfolio has a B of 1 and a risk premium of ( Rm – Rf ). A problem arises as
regards the risk premium if a security does not have a B of O or 1. this is what the
CAPM attempts to solve.
According to the CAPM’s theorists, the risk associated with portfolio rate of
return can be decomposed into two:
i) Systematic risk
111
ii) Unsystematic risk
i) Systematic Risk
Systematic risk arises out of external and uncontrollable factors. It is the portion of
total variation in return caused by factors that affect the price of all securities. The
movement or variation is generally due to the response to economic, social and
political changes. This risk cannot be avoided because it relates to economic trends
which affect the whole market. During economic boom, prices of all stocks
indicate rising trend and in recession, the prices of all stocks will be falling. This
type of risk is associated with the following factors:
b) Interest Rate Risk: Generally price of securities tend to move universally with
changes in the rate of interest. The return on investment depends on the market
rate of interest. Also, the cost of corporate debt depends on the interest rates
prevailing, maturing periods e.t.c. The uncertainty of future market value caused
by fluctuations in the general level of interest is known as interest rate risk.
c) Purchasing Power Risk: This is a risk due to inflation. The risk in prices due to
inflation will cause increase in cost of production and reduction in profit due to
lower margins. The investor’s expectations will also change with the changes in
the levels of purchasing power. This risk is inherent in all securities and it is
uncontrollable by the individual investors.
This is that portion of total risk which results from known and controllable factors.
All the factors responsible for this risk are related to the firm or industry.
Unsystematic risk is specific to individual stocks and can be diversified as the
investor increases the number of stocks in his or her portfolio. Investors are not
compensated for unsystematic risk because they are expected to be rational in
holding diversified portfolio to diversify away risk. While systematic risk
attributable to broad macro factors affecting securities, unsystematic risk is
attributable to factors unique to a security. The following factors are possible for
unsystematic risk:
112
supply e.t.c. It has to do with the efficiency with which a firm conducts its
operations within the broader environment.
b) Financial Risk: This risk is associated with the financing activities of the firm.
It is associated with the capital structure of the firm. An ungeared company has no
financial risk. Financial risk will also arise due to short – term liquidity problems,
shortage of working capital, bad debt e.t.c.
c) Default Risk: The default risk arises due to default in meeting the financial
obligations as and when due for payment.
113
Beta is a measure of the systematic risk of a security that cannot be avoided
through diversification. It is a measure of risk of an individual stock relative to the
market portfolio of all stocks. The formula for beta (β) is made of two parts;
• The risk free rate
• The risk premium
βi = E(Ri) - Ri
E(Rm) - Rf
βi = nΣxy - Σx Σy
nΣx2 – (Σx)2
where x =Σ(Rm) – Rf
y = Σ(Ri) – Rf
n = the number of period’s data in the question
where,
Ri = Forecast return from security i
Ri = Expected return from security i
Rm = Forecast return from the market
Rm = Expected return from the market
P = Probability distribution
114
Po = Cov (ri, rp)
Var (rp)
The SML is the line representing the relationship between expected return of a
security and market risk (B). The expected return of a security increases linearly
with the market risk. The SML is an upward sloping straight line with an intercept
at the risk free return securities and passes through the market portfolio.
Graphically it is explained thus:
Expected
Return
SML
E (Ri)
E(Rm) Risk Premium
Rf
More specifically, a stock that has a beta of 1.5 follows the market in an overall
decline or growth but does so by a factor of 1.5; meaning when the market has an
overall decline of 3%, a stock with a beta of 1.5 will fall by 4.5%. Betas can also
be negative, meaning the stock moves in the opposite direction of the market. A
stock with a beta of -3 would decline 9% when the market goes up by 3% and vice
versa.
115
13.6 CAPITAL MARKET LINE
The CML represents the trade off between risk and return available in the capital
market. It defines the linear relationship that exists between expected return on a
portfolio and that portfolio risk. The slope of the CML is the rate of exchange
between expected return and risk and is given by:
Np
CML
Rm Rm - Rf
Rf αm
Np I1
I2
I3 D
C Efficient
Frontier
B Optimal portfolio
116
A Indifference curves
σp
Fig A.
The above graph depicts efficient frontier and the different levels of indifference
curves for an investor. The individual investor will want to hold that portfolio of
securities that places him on the highest indifference curves, choosing from the set
of available portfolios.
A, B, C, and D define the boundary of all possible investments which are the
efficient proposals lying on the efficient frontier. The optimal portfolio is achieved
at a point where the indifference curve is at tangent to the efficient frontier.
The arbitrage pricing model (APM) is similar to the CAPM with their origins
being significantly different. While CAPM is a single – factor model, the APM is
a multi – factor model with a whole set of beta values one for each factor unlike
CAPM that uses a single beta value.
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) out of which the APM arises, states that the
expected return on an investment is dependent upon how that investment reacts to
117
a set of individual macro – economic factors and the risk premium associated
WITH EACH OF those macro – economic factors.
In the case of APM, the expected return on a particular investment is given by:
13.10 SUMMARY
Markowitz mean variance model suggests that investors are basically concerned
with risk and return relating to the investment and company diversification of
portfolio, the trade off is possible between risk and return.
The optimal investment is achieved at a point where the indifference curve of an
investor is at tangent to the efficient factor.
REFERENCES
Aborode R. Financial Management (2005)
118
UNIT 14: PORTFOLIO THEORY
Learning Objectives
119
CONTENTS
14.1 Introduction
14.2 Markowitz Mean – Variance Frontier
14.3 Concept of Efficient Frontier
14.4 Separation Theorem
14.5 CAPM And APM: The Application
14.6 Summary
14.7 Self Review Questions
14.1 INTRODUCTION
The idea behind the mean – variance analysis is to ascertain the expected return
and risk of portfolios for comparison. The mean of the forecast value of returns is
the expected returns while the variance or standard deviation represents the risk.
As we know:
120
Np = WA(RA) + WB(RB)
Variance = σp2 = WA2 σ A2 + WB σA2 + 2 WA WB RAB σA σB
where, WA = Proportion of funds invested in A
WB = Proportion of funds invested in B
σA = Standard deviation of A
σB = Standard deviation of B
RA = Forecast returns of A
RB = Forecast returns of B
rAB = Correlation co-efficient
Np = Expected returns on the portfolio
In practice, a rational investor will seek to minimize risk and maximize return. He
will therefore prefer the project having the higher return at the same level of risk
with another and where two securities have the same return, he will select the one
with the lower risk.
A E
Risk
0
121
The attitude of individual investors towards bearing risk affects only the amount
that is loaned or borrowed. It does not affect the optimal portfolio of risky assets.
Investors would select portfolio of risky assets no mater what the nature of their
indifference curves is. The reason is that when a risk – free security exists, and
borrowing and lending are possible at the rate, the market portfolio dominates all
others. As long as they can freely borrow and lend at the risk – free rate, two
investors with very different preferences will both choose portfolio of risky assets.
Thus, the individual utility preferences are independent of or separate from the
optimal portfolio of risky assets.
This condition is known as the separation theorem. It states that the determination
of an optimal portfolio of risky assets is independent of the individual’s risk
preferences. Such a determination depends only on the expected returns and
standard deviations for the various possible portfolios of risky assets.
Illustration 14.1
Calculate the expected rate of return on the investment made in the security
E(Ri) = Rf + Bi (Rm – Rf)
= 10 + 1.5 (16 – 10)
= 10 + 1.5 (6) = 19%
122
1. A portfolio with beta greater than one is more volatile than the market and
will have a higher return than the market.
2. A portfolio with beta less than one is not as risky as the market and will
have a lower return than the market.
3. A portfolio with beta equal to one has the same risk with the market and
will have the same return with the market.
4. A portfolio with beta equal to zero is risk free.
Asset Beta
An asset beta reflects a company’s business risk. It is the weighted average beta of
equity and beta of debt including any relevant tax effects. The difference between
a company’s asset beta and equity beta reflects the financial risk. Only systematic
risk cannot be diversified away is considered in an asset beta.
Thus:
ßa = ße (MVe) + ßd [MVd (1+t)]
MVe + MVd (1-t) MVe + MVd (1-t)
Illustration 14.2
The most recent balance sheet of Olekoko Plc shows the following:
N
Net Assets 67,500
Represented by:
Ordinary shares of 50k 52,500
10% debentures 15,000
67,500
123
The beta of the company’s asset is 0.85 while that of the debt is 0.20. Return on
government bond is currently 12% while the return on the market securities is
17%. The ordinary shares are currently quoted at N2.10 per share while the market
value of the debentures is 89%. Using the capital asset pricing model, determine
the company’s appropriate cost of capital assuming the rate of company tax is
30%.
Solutions
i. Calculation of No of shares
Number of shares = N52,500 = 105,000 shares
50k
ii. Total market value of equity
100,000 x N2.10 = N220,500
124
DEBT 13,350 7.87 1,051
233,850 37,191
Characteristic Line
A line that best fits the points representing the returns on the assets and the market
is called characteristic line. The slope of the line is the beta of the asset which
measures the risk of a security relative to the market. The greater the beta co-
efficient value, the greater the slope of the characteristic line and the greater the
systematic risk for an individual security.
The characteristic line equation for the individual security is given below:
(Ri – Rf) = α: ßi (Rm – Rf)
Illustration 14.3
The ratios of return on the security of company X and market portfolio for 10
periods are given below:
Period Return of X (%) Return on Market
Portfolio
1 20 22
2 22 20
3 25 18
4 21 16
125
5 18 20
6 -5 8
7 17 -6
8 19 5
9 -7 6
10 20 11
Solution
Rx Rm (Rx – Rx) (Rm – Rm) (Rx – Rx) (Rm – Rm) (Rm – Rm)2
20 22 5 10 50 100
22 20 7 8 56 64
25 18 10 6 60 36
21 16 6 4 24 16
18 20 3 8 24 64
-5 8 -20 -4 80 16
17 -6 2 -18 -36 324
19 5 4 -7 -28 49
-7 6 -22 -6 132 36
20 11 357 706
ΣRx ΣRM Σ (RX-RX)(RM-RM)
Σ(RM – RM)2
βx = COVx m
σ2m
Covxm = Σ (RX-RX)(RM-RM) = 357 = 39.67
n-1 9
ßx = 39.67 = 0.506
78.44
126
= 8.928 + 0.506Rm
Where f1, f2 and fn represent the individual macro – economic factors which may
include:
• Changes in the level of industrial production in the economy
• Changes in the shape of the yield curve
• Changes in the default risk premium
• Changes in the inflation rate
• Changes in the real interest rate
• Level of personal consumption
• Level of money supply in the economy
Illustration 14.4
Required:
Solution
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a) RA = 12+1(6.4) -2(-0.6) – 0.2 (5.10) = 18.58%
14.6 SUMMARY
Markowitz mean variance model suggests that investors are basically concerned
with risk and return relating to the investment and by diversification of portfolio,
the trade off is possible between the risk and return.
Investors prefer portfolios on the efficient frontier with least possible risk to earn
expected rate of return.
REFERENCES
Aborode R. Financial Management (2005)
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UNIT 15: FINANCING SMEs
Learning Objectives
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• Sources and Finance of SMEs
CONTENTS
15.1 Introduction
15.1 INTRODUCTION
Small and Medium Scale Enterprises (SMEs) can be defined as having three
characteristics:
• They are not micro business that are normally regarded as those very small
business that act as a medium for self – employment of the owners
The economy of any country depends on the contributions of all sectors of the
economy particularly the small and medium scale enterprises.
3. Employment operation.
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5. They provide links between agriculture and industries.
6. They mobilize private savings and harness them for productive purposes.
The small scale industries are based with many problems among which are:
5. Most of them are concentrated in urban centres and could therefore not tap
the local advantages e.g cheap labour, access to primary products e.t.c.
At one time or another in the life of an enterprise, the owners of SMEs would need
money. Generation of funds for the successful operation of these enterprises
involves the following:
1. Owner financing
2. Loans
3. Trade credit
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4. Equity financing
5. venture capital
6. Leasing
7. Factoring
Owner Financing: This comes in the form of owners contribution in the case of a
sole proprietor. This money is needed as pointed out to provide working capital to
acquire fixed assets and to pay for promotional expenses. This is the same as
equity financing.
SMIs
The government has introduced schemes and policies to encourage more lending
to small firms and special sectors of the economy and these are:
• Establishment of SMEDAN.
INVESTMENT SCHEME
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The Bankers Committee on December 21, 1999,at its 264 th meeting resolved that
all banks in Nigeria should set aside 10% of their profit before tax for equity
investments in small and medium industries.
Consequently, the scheme SMIEIS was launched and on August 2001, the Small
and medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria SMEDAN was
established to address the problems associated with the SMEs.
THE OBJECTIVES
The objectives of the SMIEIS scheme among others are to:
• Facilitate the flow of funds for the establishment of new Small and
medium Industries (SMI) projects reactivation, expansion and
modernization or restructuring of on – going projects.
• Eliminate the burden of interest and other financial charges for the
entrepreneurs.
REFERENCES
133
After this study, students must have understood:
CONTENTS
16.1 Introduction
16.2 Foreign Exchange Management
16.3 Factors Affecting Fluctuations in Exchange Rates
16.4 Methods of Hedging Against Foreign Currency Risk
16.5 Foreign Exchange Market Participants
16.6 Exchange Rate
16.7 Theories of Foreign Exchange Determination
16.8 Currency Forecasting
16.9 Exchange Risk
16.10 Foreign Exchange Management Techniques
16.1 INTRODUCTION
Due to the fact that all countries are not equally endowed with the different natural
resources, no country is self-sufficient in its demand and supply of goods and
services and that is why factors of production such as labour and capital are seen
moving freely across the national frontiers. All the countries trade in goods and
services, borrow and lend, invest and accept investments with other countries with
nominal or full control to govern the currency flow and trade. Since different
countries have their own currencies, with different purchasing power, the
settlement of payments cannot be made with the currency of any one country. It is
from this that the concept of foreign exchange rate emerges.
It is clear that no country can produce all that she needs. Countries individually,
produce such goods in which such a country has comparative advantage and sells
those goods to other countries while also buying the goods the other countries
have comparative advantage in.
Although exchange rate fluctuation may result in a gain (positive) or a loss
(adverse). It is often considered undesirable because it introduces an element of
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uncertainty. Because of the risk involved, it can be said that foreign exchange
management imposes can extra burden on a company’s finance manager.
Meanwhile the following should be considered:
a) Balance of Trade
b) Invisible Balance
c) Balance of Payment on current account.
Balance of Trade
Visible goods are goods that have physical existence such as cars, machinery
which are traded and exchanged in international trade. When a country produces
such goods and sells them abroad they are referred to as visible export. When she
buys such goods abroad for home consumption it is known as visible imports. The
difference in the value of visible exports and visible imports is known as the
balance of trade and it may be favourable or unfavourable.
Invisible Balance
Countries also buy and sell services such as banking services, shipping services
etc. When a country sells or renders such services to another country such
transactions is called invisible exports, when the opposite is the case, i.e. services
are provided for the country by other countries, they are called invisible imports
and the difference between invisible imports and invisible items which may either
be favourable or unfavourable for any particular year.
This is the record of all transactions between one country and the rest of the world,
for all visible goods and invisible services in the course of the year. When the
total payments made for both visible goods and invisible services in the course of
one year exceed the total receipt from visible and invisible services. The balance
of payments on current account is said to be unfavourable. A country in this
position is said to experience a deficit on the account. In a reversed case, the
balance of payment is favourable.
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1) The supply and demand for the foreign currency
2) The supply and demand for the local currency
3) Global inflation rates and its effect on the domestic rate of inflation
4) Local economic conditions including local production of goods for export
and local interest rates
5) The political environment in Nigeria and in the foreign country
6) Volume of trade
7) Speculation: Speculators influence movements in exchange rates by
buying and selling in the expectation of making positive returns.
8) Interest rate
9) International confidence in the naira reflecting international confidence in
the domestic economic management policies.
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iii) repaying the loan with interest out of the eventual foreign currency
receipts
6) Netting: This is a technique which involves the head office and its foreign
subsidiary netting off the intra-organizational debts due at the end of each
period. Only the balance exposed to currency risk needs to be hedged.
1) Arbitrageurs
The seek to earn risks-free profits by taking advantage of differences in
exchange rates arising countries. They buy currencies that are under
priced at one centre and simultaneously sell the same set of currencies at
the centres where they are overpriced, thereby making a risk free arbitrage
profit.
2) Speculators
The reason for their action is profit making. They trade in foreign
currencies by profiting from the exchange rate fluctuations. They take
risks in the hope of making profits by buying a particular currency when
the price is low and selling the same currency when the price is high.
3) Hedgers
These are mainly multinational companies. They operate in several
countries and their assets and liabilities are designated in foreign
currencies. The foreign exchange rate fluctuation can cause diminution in
the home currency value of their assets and liabilities.
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Exchange rate is the equivalent of the foreign currency that is obtainable
from a unit of home currency. It is the rate at which one currency
exchanges for another currency.
Direct Quote
Since the advent of SAP in 1986, Nigeria adopted direct quote of exchange.
Exchange is quoted directly when the number of units of home currency to deal in
one unit of foreign currency is given. E.g. $1 = N128.
Indirect Quote
It is indirect when the number of units of foreign currency to deal in one unit of
home currency is given. E.g. N1 = $0.0078.
Indirect quote is the reciprocal of direct quote and vice versa.
This theorem predicts that the exchange value of foreign currency depends on the
relative purchasing power of each currency in its own country and that spot
exchange rates will vary over time according to relative price changes. It follows
therefore that if the rate of inflation of country.
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A will fall against the currency of Country B. The exact relative purchasing power
purity relationship is expressed as follows.
S1 – So = Pn – Pf
So 1 + Pf
Illustration 16.1
S1 = 1 + Pn
So 1 + Pf
S1 = 1 + 0.06
45.36 1 + 0.03
S1 x 1.03 = 45.36 x 1.06
S1 = 48.0816 = N46.68
1.03
Fisher Effect
The term fisher effect is used in looking at the relationship between interest rates
and expected rates of inflation. The rate of interest can be seen as made up of two
parts. The real required rate of return plus a premium for inflation. The real and
nominal interest rates are connected by Fisher Effect as follows:
(1 + R) (1 + 1) = (1 + M)
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The difference is interest rates between two countries is equal, in equilibrium, to
the expected difference in inflation rate between these countries. This hypothesis
is called fisher effect. If real interest rate are equal in all countries, then
1 + in = 1 + Pn
1 + if 1 + Pf
S1 – So = in – if
So 1 + if
S1 = in – if
So 1 + if
S1 = 1 + 0.08
45.36 1 + 0.05
S1 = 48.99/1.05 = 46.66
S1 = N46.6
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This theorem states that the differential between the forward exchange rate and the
spot exchange rate is equal to the differential between the foreign and domestic
interest rates. Its condition is that the forward premium of discount for a currency
quoted in terms of another currency is approximately equal to the difference in
interest rates prevailing between the two countries.
So, F – So = in – if
So 1 + if
Illustration 16.3
The current bank interest rate of U.S. and Nigeria are 4.5% and 8.5% respectively.
The present spot market rate of exchange in 1 US $ is N45.36. What would be the
twelve month forward rate?
F = in – in
So 1 + it
F 1 + 0.085
45.36 1 + 0.045
F (1.045) = 45.36 x 1.085
F = 49.2156/1.045 = N47.096
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ii. Technical Analysis: It focuses exclusively on past price and volume
movements while totally ignoring economic and political factors.
This is the variability of a firm’s value that is due to uncertain exchange rate.
2) Economic Exposure: Risk that arises from changes in real exchange rate.
It is the extent to which the value of a firm will change due to exchange rate
movement.
1. Currency Options: This gives the holder the right but not the obligation to
sell (put) or buy (call) the contract currency at a set price and at a given
date.
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5) Currency Swap: This is a simultaneous borrowing and lending operation
whereby two parties exchange specific amount of two currencies at the
outset at the spot rate. The parties undertake to reverse the exchange rate
after a fixed term at a fixed exchange rate.
REFERENCES
Aborode R. Financial Management (2005)
143