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Dsim Questions

The document contains multiple-choice questions (MCQs) related to probability and statistics, covering topics such as binomial and Poisson distributions, the memoryless property of exponential distributions, the empirical rule for normal distributions, and properties of estimators. Each question is followed by the correct answer and a brief explanation of the concepts involved. Additionally, the document includes sections on descriptive statistics, probability theory, random variables, discrete and continuous distributions.

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Aditya Kamat
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
10 views18 pages

Dsim Questions

The document contains multiple-choice questions (MCQs) related to probability and statistics, covering topics such as binomial and Poisson distributions, the memoryless property of exponential distributions, the empirical rule for normal distributions, and properties of estimators. Each question is followed by the correct answer and a brief explanation of the concepts involved. Additionally, the document includes sections on descriptive statistics, probability theory, random variables, discrete and continuous distributions.

Uploaded by

Aditya Kamat
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MCQ 1

Let X ∼ Binomial(n , p). What is Pr ⁡(X =0)?


(a) pn
(b) ¿
(c) np (1− p)
n!
(d) p¿
(n−1)! 1 !
Answer: (b) ¿
Steps / Explanation:

n k
 Binomial: probability of k successes in n trials is Pr ⁡(X =k )=( ) p ¿ .
k
n 0
 For k =0: Pr ⁡(X =0)=( ) p ¿.
0
 Intuition: all n trials independently fail.

MCQ 2

Suppose X ∼ Poisson(λ). Then Pr ⁡(X =1)is


(a) λ e− λ
(b) e− λ
(c) λ
(d) 1−e−λ

Answer: (a) λ e− λ

Steps / Explanation:
k −λ
λ e
 Poisson pmf: Pr ⁡(X =k )= .
k!
1 −λ
λ e −λ
 For k =1: Pr ⁡(X =1)= =λe .
1!

MCQ 3

Let X be exponential with rate λ . The memoryless property says:


Pr ⁡(X > s +t ∣ X> s )=¿?
(a) Pr ⁡(X > t)
(b) Pr ⁡(X > s)
(c) Pr ⁡(X > s) Pr ⁡(X > t)
(d) Pr ⁡(X > s)+ Pr ⁡( X >t)

Answer: (a) Pr ⁡(X > t)

Steps / Explanation:
 Exponential survival: Pr ⁡(X > u)=e− λu.

Pr ⁡( X > s+t) e− λ(s+t ) −λt


 Conditional: Pr ⁡(X > s +t ∣ X> s )= = − λs =e =Pr ⁡( X >t).
Pr ⁡(X > s) e
 This shows the distribution of remaining time doesn't depend on elapsed
time: memoryless.

MCQ 4

If X ∼ N ( μ , σ 2), approximate Pr ⁡(μ−σ ≤ X ≤ μ+ σ) (empirical rule).


(a) 50%
(b) 68%
(c) 95%
(d) 99.7%
Answer: (b) 68%
Steps / Explanation:
 Empirical (68–95–99.7) rule: ~68% within ±1σ, ~95% within ±2σ, ~99.7%
within ±3σ.
 So probability within one standard deviation ≈ 68%.

MCQ 5

X́−μ
Let X 1 , … , X ni.i.d. with mean μ, variance σ 2. By CLT, distribution of
σ /√ n
tends to:
(a) Student’s t
(b) Chi-square
(c) Standard normal N (0 ,1)
(d) Uniform

Answer: (c) Standard normal N (0 ,1)

Steps / Explanation:
 Central Limit Theorem: standardized sample mean converges in
distribution to N (0 ,1)as n → ∞, regardless of original distribution (under
mild conditions).

MCQ 6

2 1
For a sample of size n , the sample variance S = ∑ ¿. What is E [S2 ]?
n−1
(a) σ 2
n−1 2
(b) σ
n
n 2
(c) σ
n−1
(d) σ

Answer: (a) σ 2

Steps / Explanation:
2 2
 S as defined is the unbiased estimator of population variance σ . Hence
2 2
E [S ]=σ .

MCQ 7

If X ∼U (a , b). What is Var ( X)?


(a) ¿ ¿
(b) ¿ ¿
b−a
(c)
12
b−a
(d)
2
Answer: (a) ¿ ¿
Steps / Explanation:

 For uniform on [a , b]: mean μ=(a+ b)/2, variance ¿ ¿. Derivation via ∫ ¿ .

MCQ 8
α
β α −1 −βx
Gamma(α , β ) with rate β (pdf x e ). What is E [X ]?
Γ (α )
α
(a)
β
β
(b)
α
(c) αβ
1
(d)
αβ
α
Answer: (a)
β
Steps / Explanation:

 Standard gamma mean (shape α, rate β) is α / β . (If parameterized with


scale θ, mean = αθ.)

MCQ 9
Given joint pdf f X , Y (x , y) . The marginal f X (x )= ∫ f X ,Y (x , y )dy . Which is true?
(a) The marginal integrates to 1 over x .
(b) The marginal integrates to 1 over y .
(c) ∬ f X , Y (x , y) dx dy =∫ f X (x ) dx .
(d) Both (a) and (c).
Answer: (d) Both (a) and (c)
Steps / Explanation:

 Marginal f X (x )integrates over x to 1: ∫ f X ( x)dx=∬ f X , Y (x , y)dy dx=1 .

 Option (c) is the equality used to show (a). Option (b) is wrong (marginal of
X not integrated over y ).

MCQ 10

For bivariate normal (X , Y )with correlation ρ , conditional variance


2 2
Var (Y ∣ X=x)=σ Y (1− ρ ). Which part shows it does not depend on x ?
(a) μY ∣ X
(b) σ 2Y (1−ρ2)
(c) The correlation term
(d) None of the above

Answer: (b) σ 2Y (1−ρ2)

Steps / Explanation:

 Conditional variance formula contains no x — it's constant regardless of the


observed x . This is what option (b) shows.

MCQ 11
2
(n−1) S
If X 1 , … , X n ∼ iidN (μ , σ 2 ), then 2
has distribution:
σ
(a) N (0 ,1)
(b) χ 2n−1
(c) t n−1
(d) F

Answer: (b) χ 2n−1

Steps / Explanation:

 For normal samples, (n−1) S2 /σ 2equals sum of squared standard normals;


thus chi-square with n−1degrees of freedom.

MCQ 12
In simple linear regression Y = β0 + β 1 X +ε with ε ∼ N ( 0 , σ 2) , which is true
about ^β 1?
(a) unbiased
2
σ
(b) Var ( β^ 1 )=
∑ ¿¿
(c) consistent
(d) all of the above
Answer: (d) all of the above)
Steps / Explanation:

 Under standard assumptions: ^β 1is unbiased, variance equals that formula,


and as n → ∞it is consistent.

MCQ 13
Which is NOT a Gauss-Markov assumption?
(a) Linearity in parameters
(b) No perfect multicollinearity
(c) E [ε ∣ X ]=0
(d) ε follows a uniform distribution

Answer: (d) ε follows a uniform distribution)

Steps / Explanation:
 Gauss-Markov assumptions require linearity, exogeneity, no perfect
multicollinearity, homoskedastic errors, etc. Error distribution need not be
uniform — often normality is assumed for inference, but uniform is not
required.

MCQ 14
In multiple regression, adding more regressors (even irrelevant) will:
(a) increase or keep R2same
(b) decrease R2
(c) keep R2same always
(d) may increase or decrease

Answer: (a) increase or keep R2same

Steps / Explanation:

2 SSR
 R =1− . Adding regressors cannot increase SSR (residual sum of
SST
squares) — it can only decrease or leave it same (OLS can always choose
coefficients that reduce SSR), so R2cannot decrease.
MCQ 15

AR(1): X t =ϕ X t −1+ ut with ∣ ϕ ∣< 1. Stationary variance Var ( X t )=¿?


2
σu
(a) 2
1−ϕ
2
σu
(b)
1−ϕ
(c) σ 2u (1−ϕ 2 )
(d) σ 2u
2
σu
Answer: (a) 2
1−ϕ
Steps / Explanation / Derivation:

 Let v=Var (X t ). From model and independence of ut :


2 2
v=Var (ϕ X t −1+u t )=ϕ v +σ u.
2
2 2 σu
 Solve: v (1−ϕ )=σ u→ v= 2
.
1−ϕ
 Valid when ∣ ϕ ∣< 1(stationarity).

MCQ 16
Type I error is:
(a) rejecting H 0when H 0is true
(b) accepting H 0when H 0is false
(c) rejecting H 1when H 1is true
(d) none of the above

Answer: (a) rejecting H 0when H 0is true

Steps / Explanation:
 Type I = false positive (reject true null). Type II = false negative (fail to
reject false null).

MCQ 17

Test statistic for population mean when σ unknown and n small:


X́−μ0
(a) Z=
σ /√n
(b) χ 2statistic
X́−μ 0
(c) t=
S /√n
(d) F-statistic
X́−μ 0
Answer: (c) t=
S /√n
Steps / Explanation:

 When sample variance S2used in place of population σ 2, the correct


statistic follows Student’s t -distribution with n−1degrees of freedom (for
normal data).

MCQ 18

If X and Y independent with MGFs M X (t), M Y (t), MGF of X +Y is:


(a) M X (t)+ M Y (t )
(b) M X (t)M Y (t)
(c) M X (t−1) M Y (t +1)
(d) M X (t)/ M Y (t )

Answer: (b) M X (t)M Y (t)

Steps / Explanation:
t ( X +Y ) tX tY
 MGF: M X +Y (t )=E [e ]=E [e ]E [e ]=M X (t )M Y (t ) if independent.

MCQ 19

In simple random sampling without replacement from population size N ,

finite population correction (fpc) is

this factor. True or false?


√ N −n . You multiply the usual SE by
N −1

(a) True
(b) False
Answer: (a) True
Steps / Explanation:
 For population proportion or mean, standard error for SRSWOR uses fpc to

reduce variability: SEw/o rep =


√ N−n
N −1
⋅SEwith rep . So true.

MCQ 20

If X 1 , X 2 , X 3are i.i.d. Exponential( λ ), distribution of min ⁡(X 1 , X 2 , X 3)is:


(a) Exponential with rate λ
(b) Exponential with rate 3 λ
(c) Gamma with shape 3
(d) Gamma with shape 1/3

Answer: (b) Exponential with rate 3 λ


Steps / Explanation:
 For i.i.d. exponentials, minimum's survival function: \Pr(\min > t)=\
Pr(X_1>t,X_2>t,X_3>t)=e^{-\lambda t}^3=e^{-3\lambda t}.

 So min ⁡is exponential with rate 3 λ .

🧮 1. Descriptive Statistics

Concept Formula Notes

∑ Xi
Mean X́ = Arithmetic average
n
Use formula for grouped data:
Middle value (if ordered N
Median −F
data) 2
l+ ×c
f

( f 1−f 0) f 1=modal freq, f 0 , f 2=adjacent


Mode l+ ×c
2 f 1−f 0−f 2 freqs
2
Variance s =∑ ¿ ¿ Sample variance

Standard Deviation s= √ s2 Measure of spread

Coefficient of s
CV = × 100 Comparison of variability
Variation X́

Skewness (Karl X́−Mode


Measure of asymmetry
Pearson) s
Concept Formula Notes

μ4
Kurtosis (β₂) β 2= Flatness of distribution
¿¿

🎲 2. Probability Theory

Concept Formula Description

Addition Rule P( A ∪ B)=P( A)+ P( B)−P( A ∩ B) For any 2 events


Conditional B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}
( P(A
Probability {P(B)} )

Multiplication Rule ( P(A \cap B) = P(A B) P(B) )

Bayes’ Theorem ( P(A_i B) = \frac{P(B

Total Probability ( P(B) = \sum P(B A_i) P(A_i) )

Independent
P( A ∩ B)=P( A) P( B) Independence condition
Events

Mutually Exclusive P( A ∩ B)=0 Can’t occur together

🎯 3. Random Variables and Expectations

Concept Formula Description

Expected Value E( X )=∑ x i P( x i )or ∫ xf (x)dx Mean of RV


2
Variance Var ( X)=E(X )−¿ Spread measure

Covariance Cov (X , Y )=E(XY )−E (X )E (YLinear


) relation

Cov (X , Y )
Correlation Coefficient r= −1 ≤r ≤ 1
σ X σY

Moment Generating tX k th moment:


M X (t)=E(e ) (k )
Function M X (0)

🔢 4. Discrete Distributions

Mea
Distribution PMF / Formula Variance
n
x
Bernoulli(p) p ¿ p p(1−p)

( n) p ¿
x
Binomial(n,p) np np (1− p)
x
Mea
Distribution PMF / Formula Variance
n
x
−λ λ
Poisson(λ) e λ λ
x!
2
Geometric(p) ¿ 1/ p (1− p)/ p

Negative ( x−1 ) p ¿
r
r / p r (1−p)/ p2
Binomial(r,p) r−1

📈 5. Continuous Distributions

Distribution PDF Mean Variance

Uniform(a,b) 1/( b−a) (a+ b)/2 ¿


− λx 2
Exponential(λ) λe 1/ λ 1/ λ
1 −¿ ¿
Normal(μ,σ²) e μ σ
2
σ √2 π
α
β α −1 −βx
Gamma(α,β) x e α/β α/β
2
Γ (α )

1 α −1 α αβ
Beta(α,β) x ¿
B (α , β) α+β ¿¿

1 k/ 2−1 − x/2
Chi-square(k) f (x)= k /2
x e k 2k
2 Γ (k /2)

t- Mean = Var = v /(v−2), for


distribution(v) 0 v>2

F- v2 Used for variance


distribution(v₁,
v 2−2 ratio
v₂)

🧠 6. Sampling & Estimation

Concept Formula Description

Sample Mean
E( X́ )=μ
(unbiased)

2 Unbiased for population


Sample Variance s =∑ ¿ ¿ variance

Standard Error σ
SE=
(mean) √n
Concept Formula Description

Confidence Interval σ
X́ ± z α / 2 For known σ
(μ) √n
s
t-based CI X́ ± t α /2 , n−1 For unknown σ
√n

⚖️7. Hypothesis Testing

Concept Test Statistic Decision Rule

Z-test for mean (σ X́−μ0


Z= Compare with zα
known) σ /√n

t-test for mean (σ X́−μ 0 Compare with tα,n-


t=
unknown) s/√n 1

2
s1 Compare with
F-test for variance F=
s
2
2
Fα(v₁,v₂)

2
Chi-square test for (n−1)s Compare with χ²
χ 2=
variance σ 20 α,n-1

Probability of obtaining value ≥ test


p-value Reject if p < α
statistic

📉 8. Regression & Correlation

Concept Formula Description

Line of best
Simple Linear Regression Y =a+bX + ε
fit

Cov ( X ,Y )
Slope (b) b=
Var (X )

Intercept (a) a=Ý −b X́

Coefficient of 2 S Sres Goodness of


R =1−
Determination (R²) S S tot fit

Multiple Regression Y = β0 + β 1 X 1 + β 2 X 2 +...+ ε


2
σ
Variance of Estimate Var (b)=
∑¿¿

9. Time Series Analysis


Concept Formula Description

Trend (Least
Y =a+bt Linear trend
Squares)

Y t−1 +...+Y t −n
Moving Average MA n= Smoothing
n
Actual Seasonal
Seasonal Index SI= × 100
Trend variation

∑(Y t −Ý )(Y t−k −Ý ) Serial


Autocorrelation rk =
∑¿ ¿ correlation

🧮 10. Linear Algebra (for DSIM Quantitative Aptitude)

Concept Formula Notes

Matrix Addition A+ B=[aij +bij ] Element-wise

Matrix Multiplication ¿
Determinant (2×2) ( A

−1 1 d −b
Inverse (2×2) A = [ ]
ad−bc −c a
Eigenvalues ( A - λI

Variance-Covariance Used in multivariate


Σ=E ¿
Matrix analysis

📊 11. Econometrics / Advanced Statistical Concepts

Concept Formula Description

Ordinary least
OLS Estimator β=¿
squares

2 Covariance of
Var(β̂) σ ¿ estimator

Detects
Durbin–Watson Statistic DW =∑ ¿ ¿
autocorrelation

VIF (Variance Inflation 1 Detects


VIF= 2
Factor) 1−Ri multicollinearity

Ridge Regression β=¿ Regularization


📐 12. Sampling Techniques

Concept Formula Notes


2
S n Finite pop
SRS (mean) Var ( X́)= (1− )
n N correction
2
Stratified 2 Sh
Var ( X́ s )=∑ W h
Sampling nh
2
Cluster Sc
Var ( X́ c )=
Sampling nc

🧾 13. Nonparametric Tests (Conceptual)

Test Description

Sign Test Median test for paired data

Wilcoxon Rank Sum Compare two samples

ANOVA equivalent for non-normal


Kruskal–Wallis Test
data
2
Spearman Rank 6∑ d
1−
Correlation 2
n(n −1)
📏 14. Estimation Theory (Point & Interval Estimation)

Concept Formula Description

Difference between
Bias ^
Bias ( θ)=E ^
( θ)−θ estimator mean and true
value

Mean Square Error ^ ^


MSE ( θ)=Var ( θ)+¿ Combines variance and bias
(MSE)

Efficiency of Var ( θ^ 2 ) Lower variance ⇒ more


Eff ( θ^ 1 , θ^ 2 )=
Estimator Var ( θ^ 1 ) efficient

Cramér–Rao Lower ^ 1
Var ( θ)≥ Minimum possible variance
Bound (CRLB) I (θ)
2
−∂ ln ⁡L Amount of information in
Fisher Information I (θ)=E [ ]
∂θ
2 sample

MLE (Maximum
L(θ)=∏ f (x i ; θ); maximize Estimate that maximizes
Likelihood
w.r.t. θ likelihood
Estimator)

Method of Moments Equate sample moments Simpler estimation


Concept Formula Description

with population moments technique

📊 15. ANOVA (Analysis of Variance)

Concept Formula Description

Total SS SST =∑ ¿ Total variation

Between- Variation between group


SSB=∑ ni ¿
group SS means

Within-group
SSW =∑ ∑ ¿ Variation within groups
SS

MSB SSB /(k−1)


F-statistic F= = Used for ANOVA test
MSW SSW /(N −k )

Decision Rule Reject H 0if F> Fα , k−1, N −k Test for equal means

🧩 16. Nonparametric Tests (Formulas)

Test Formula / Concept Use

S = \text{#(positive
Sign Test Statistic For median testing
differences)}

Wilcoxon Signed
T =∑ ranks of positive differencesPaired samples
Rank

n 1(n1+ 1) Compare two independent


Mann–Whitney U U =n1 n2+ −R1
2 samples
2
12 Ri
Kruskal–Wallis H H= ∑ −3( N +1) Nonparametric ANOVA
N (N +1) n i
2
Spearman Rank 6∑d
ρ=1− Rank correlation measure
Correlation 2
n(n −1)

📚 17. Bayesian Statistics

Descriptio
Concept Formula
n

x) = \
Posterior Probability ( P(\theta
frac{P(x
Descriptio
Concept Formula
n

Prior × Likelihood =
Posterior ∝ Likelihood ×Prior
Posterior

Bayesian Estimator ( \hat{\theta}_{Bayes} =


x) )
(Posterior Mean) E(\theta

x) = E[\
Posterior Variance ( Var(\theta
theta^2

📉 18. Correlation and Regression Extensions

Concept Formula Description

r 12−r 13 r 23 Correlation between 1 & 2


Partial Correlation r 12.3=
√(1−r 2
13 )(1−r )
2
23
controlling 3


2 2
Multiple Correlation (1−r Y 1)(1−r Y 2 ) Strength of combined
(Y on X₁,X₂)
RY .12= 1− relation
(1−r 212 )

Elasticity in X́
E=b × Responsiveness of Y to X
Regression Ý
Standard Error of
Estimate
SE= √ ∑ ¿ ¿ ¿ Prediction accuracy

🧮 19. Matrix Algebra (Advanced Formulas)

Concept Formula Description

Trace of Matrix tr (A )=∑a ii Sum of diagonal elements

Determinant
( AB
Property
'
Orthogonal Matrix A A=I Columns are orthonormal

2 Common in projection
Idempotent Matrix A =A matrices

Projection Matrix Projects Y onto column space


P= X ¿
(OLS) of X

Hat Matrix 2 '


Property P =P , P =P Symmetric and idempotent

Residual Maker
M =I −P Projects onto residual space
Matrix
🧩 20. Multivariate Statistics

Concept Formula Description

Covariance Matrix Σ=E ¿ Dispersion structure


2
Mahalanobis Distance D =¿ Multivariate distance

Principal Component Eigen decomposition of Σ : Dimensionality


'
Analysis (PCA) Σ=PD P reduction

Eigenvalue Proportion λi
Var explained= For each component
(PCA) ∑ λi

' Linear separation of


Discriminant Function D=a X groups

📈 21. Time Series & Forecasting (Advanced)

Concept Formula Description

Exponential
F t+ 1=α Y t +(1−α )F t Forecasting
Smoothing

Double Exponential
Lt =α Y t +(1−α )(Lt −1 +T t−1 ) Accounts for trend
(Holt’s)

Autoregressive (AR) X t =φ1 X t−1 +φ2 X t −2+...+ ε t Past value model

Moving Average (MA) X t =ε t +θ1 ε t −1+ ...+ θq ε t −q Error term model

ARMA(p,q) Combines AR(p) and MA(q) Stationary series

ARIMA(p,d,q) Differenced ARMA Non-stationary data

ACF (Autocorrelation Cov (X t , X t−k )


ρk = Lag correlation
Function) Var ( X t )

Correlation controlling for Used for AR order


PACF (Partial ACF)
intermediate lags selection

💡 22. Information Theory & Entropy

Concept Formula Description

Measure of
Entropy H ( X)=−∑ p i log ⁡p i
uncertainty

Combined
Joint Entropy H ( X ,Y )=−∑ p( x , y )log ⁡p( x , y )
uncertainty
Concept Formula Description

Conditional Entropy ( H(Y X) = H(X,Y) - H(X) )

Mutual Information I (X ; Y )=H (X )+ H (Y )−H (X ,YShared


) information

Kullback–Leibler
( D_{KL}(P
Divergence

🧪 23. Chi-square & Goodness of Fit

Concept Formula Description

Chi-square Test 2 Observed vs


Statistic χ =∑ ¿ ¿ expected

Degrees of k −1(for k
Freedom categories)
2
Contingency Table χ =∑ ¿ ¿ Independence test

Expected (Ro w i × Col j)


Eij = For 2-way tables
Frequency Total

🧩 24. Order Statistics

Concept Formula Description

PDF of rth Order n! Distribution of


f (r ) (x)= ¿
Statistic (r−1)! (n−r )! ordered samples

Expected
1
Minimum E( X (1) )= For U(0,1)
n+1
(Uniform)

Expected
n
Maximum E( X (n ))= For U(0,1)
n+1
(Uniform)

🧮 25. Reliability & Survival Analysis

Concept Formula Description

Reliability Function R(t )=P(T >t)=1−F(t) Survival probability

f (t ) Instantaneous failure
Hazard Rate h(t)=
R(t) rate
Concept Formula Description

Mean Time to Failure
E(T )=∫ ❑ R(t) dt Expected life
(MTTF) 0

− λt Constant hazard
Exponential Reliability R(t )=e model

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