Jintelligence
Jintelligence
1 School of Health Sciences, Touro University, 3 Times Square, New York, NY 10036, USA
2 Department of Psychology, Marist College, 3399 North Road, Poughkeepsie, NY 12601, USA;
[Link]@[Link]
3 Neag School of Education, University of Connecticut, Charles B. Gentry Building, 249 Glenbrook Road
U-3064, Storrs, CT 06269, USA; [Link]@[Link]
* Correspondence: ewinter6@[Link]
Abstract: The recent release of the WAIS-5, a decade and a half after its predecessor, the WAIS-
IV, raises immediate questions about the Flynn effect (FE). Does the traditional FE of points per
decade in the U.S. for children and adults, identified for the Full Scale IQs of all Wechsler scales
and for other global IQ scores as well, persist into the 2020s? The WAIS-5 Technical and Interpre-
tive Manual provides two counterbalanced validity studies that address the Flynn effect directly—
N = 186 adolescents and adults (16–90 years, mean age = 47.8) tested on the WAIS-IV and WAIS-5;
and N = 98 16-year-olds tested on the WISC-V and WAIS-5. The FE is incorporated into the diagnostic
criteria for intellectual disabilities by the American Association on Intellectual and Developmental
Disabilities (AAIDD), by DSM-5-TR, and in capital punishment cases. The unexpected result of the
two counterbalanced studies was a reduction in the Flynn effect from the expected value of 3 IQ
points to 1.2 points. These findings raise interesting questions regarding whether the three point
adjustment to FSIQs should be continued for intellectual disability diagnosis and whether the federal
courts should rethink its guidelines for capital punishment cases and other instances of high stakes
decision-making. Limitations include a lack of generalization to children, the impact of the practice
effects, and a small sample size.
Keywords: Flynn effect; IQ tests; cognitive assessment; Wechsler scales; WAIS-5; WAIS-IV;
intelligence testing; capital punishment cases; intellectual disabilities
et al. 2017), and Wechsler’s prominence shows no sign of subsiding with the publication of
the state-of-the-art Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale—Fifth Edition (WAIS-5; Wechsler et al.
2024a, 2024b). The WAIS-5 yields scales that are easily interpretable from the vantage point
of Cattell–Horn–Carroll (CHC) theory, and it includes new subtests that have emerged from
theories of working memory and processing speed; but, ultimately, it is the g score—Full
Scale IQ (FSIQ)—that is of immediate extraordinary interest to clinicians and researchers
alike because of its central role in the diagnosis of intellectual disabilities (ID). After a wait
of 16 years, longer than expected for a Wechsler scale due to the COVID-19 pandemic, one
question that needs to be answered concerns the Flynn effect.
(Zhou et al. 2010) and extrapolating findings from different educational classifications,
such as learning disabilities (Sanborn et al. 2003). A more recent study on the Flynn effect,
using an abbreviated measure of g (matrices) with more than 10,000 adolescents aged 13–18,
found the Flynn effect within particular segments of the populations; the Flynn effect was
a significant function of both age and ability level. Specifically, Platt and colleagues (2019)
observed that IQ rose about 3.5 points per decade for individuals with an IQ greater than
130 (consistent with Flynn effect predictions) but decreased 4.9 points for people with IQs
under 70 (i.e., a reverse Flynn effect). Similarly, chronological age interacted significantly
with the direction and magnitude of the Flynn effect. At age 13, IQ rose by 2.3 points,
consistent with a Flynn effect, but IQ decreased by 1.6 points at age 18, a reverse Flynn
effect.
These findings, across multiple studies, suggest that generalizing the Flynn effect to all
people within the population may not be an accurate reflection of the phenomenon; rather,
the effects are more nuanced based on ability and age, amongst other factors. It has been
widely known from Flynn’s early publications that nations vary widely in the magnitude of
generational change in IQ, and this finding has been confirmed by meta-analysis (Pietschnig
and Voracek 2015). In the United States, “Flynn’s early publications indicated that children
and adults score higher on IQ tests than previous generations at the rate of approximately
3 IQ points per decade”; (Platt et al. 2019, p. 2) this finding also has also been verified by
meta-analysis (Pietschnig and Voracek 2015), although the value is sometimes closer to
2 points (Trahan et al. 2014; Wongupparaj et al. 2023). Trahan et al. (2014) noted a rise in
IQ with an average of 2.31 points per ten years (SD = 0.15) in the United States, observing
consistency across various factors, including age and ability level; Wongupparaj et al. (2023)
studied the Flynn effect cross-culturally, including within the United States, and noted in
their meta-analytic review that the effect was most present in middle-income countries and
younger generations (an average gain of +0.22 points per year). Cross-cultural research
also suggests that positive Flynn effects may be occurring in less economically developed
nations, whereas negative Flynn effects are observed in economically advantaged countries,
revealing an economic and cognitive convergence (Meisenberg and Lynn 2023).
this ruling, federal and state courts have typically applied the Flynn effect in cases where
the defendant is suspected of having an intellectual disability to mitigate the irrevocable
punishment of the death penalty (Fabian et al. 2011). Additionally, Reynolds and colleagues
(2010) note that the inclusion of the Flynn effect on capital cases involving the death penalty
is a “true matter of life and death” (p. 477). The authors implore, “To do less is to do wrong—
what possible justification could there be for issuing estimates of general intelligence in a
death penalty case that are less than the most accurate estimates obtainable?” (Reynolds
et al. 2010, p. 478).
In the school and clinical settings, the Flynn effect adjustment is less relevant. McGrew
(2015) states, “The use of the Flynn effect correction in clinical settings is less of an issue
given that psychologists in such settings typically have more leeway to interpret scores
as ranges, invoke clinical judgment, and incorporate information regarding measurement
error in interpretation of scores when making a diagnosis” (p. 160). School psychologists
follow similar guidelines within the school setting. Additionally, in schools, the Flynn
effect is less relevant due to the evaluation mandates put forth by the Individuals with
Disabilities Education Act (IDEA 2004). Students who qualify for special education are
required to be re-evaluated at least once every three years (IDEA 2004). However, for
students with an intellectual disability who are transitioning out of high school (i.e., over
the age of 16), obsolete tests and outdated norms for adult cognitive assessment tools
can lead to inflated IQ scores, which may change eligibility classification from ID to
learning disability (Trahan et al. 2014). For students who are leaving high school and
entering the independence required of adulthood, this change in classification may impact
government supported social security and disability supports that require evidence of
impaired intellectual functioning (Trahan et al. 2014).
2.2. Procedure
As reported by Wechsler et al. (2024b, pp. 82–89), 186 adolescents and adults, ages
16–90, were tested in counterbalanced order on the 2008 WAIS-IV and the 2024 WAIS-5.
The intervals between tests ranged from 7 to 134 days with a mean of 28.2 days. In a
second study, 98 16-year-olds were tested in counterbalanced order on the 2014 WISC-V
and the 2024 WAIS-5. The intervals between tests ranged from 1 to 112 days with a mean of
26.9 days. Pearson product moment correlation analyses were conducted for each study to
assess the construct validity of the new WAIS-5. Full Scale IQs correlated 0.92 between the
two versions of WAIS, and 0.87 between the fifth editions of WISC and WAIS (Wechsler et al.
2024a, 2024b). Of special interest for our study are the mean FSIQs for the two Wechsler
scales in each study. This particular paper reports additional Mean IQ Difference, not
reported in the manual, which has implications for understanding the Flynn effect between
the WAIS-IV, WISC-V, and WAIS-5.
2.3. Instrument
The WAIS-5 (Wechsler et al. 2024a, 2024b) was standardized between February 2023
and January 2024 on 2020 adolescents and adults aged 16 through 90 years. The sample
comprised 180 per age band for ages 16–69 and 100 per age band for ages 70–90. It was
stratified by age, sex, ethnicity, education level, and geographic region; proportions of the
normative sample matched closely with the proportions reflected in the 2022 U.S. Bureau of
the Census data (Ruggles et al. 2023). Within sex, 16 examinees reported gender as different
from their sex (n = 6 female for sex and indicated man for gender; n = 5 male for sex and
indicated woman for gender; n = 4 gender as nonbinary; n = 1 genderqueer).
The WAIS-5 includes 20 subtests organized into five primary indexes, and a diverse
array of clinically meaningful ancillary indexes; it yields four global scores—FSIQ, Non-
verbal Index, Nonmotor Index, and General Ability Index. For our study, we focused
only on the FSIQ, which is a composite of seven subtests—Vocabulary, Similarities, Block
Design, Matrix Reasoning, Figure Weights, Digit Sequencing, and Coding. The mean
reliability of the FSIQ averaged 0.97 across the age range; the stability coefficient was 0.93
for 201 individuals aged 16–90 that were tested twice (average interval = 29 days).
J. Intell. 2024, 12, 118 6 of 13
3. Results
Table 1 presents the results of the present investigation. Analyses from both counter-
balanced studies yielded the identical unexpected results—a dramatic, unexpected Flynn
effect of 1.2 IQ points per decade, well below the values of 2.6–2.8 points identified more
than 15 years ago based on comparable WAIS-III vs. WAIS-IV analyses (Wechsler 2008;
data also presented in Table 1), strikingly lower than the 3 points per decade identified
from meta-analyses (Pietschnig and Voracek 2015; Trahan et al. 2014) and sanctioned as an
adjustment to be made for Wechsler FSIQs in ID diagnosis by AAIDD (Schalock et al. 2021),
especially in capital punishment court cases.
Table 1. Flynn effects on Wechsler scales for ages 16–90 years based on counterbalanced studies of
WAIS-III, WAIS-IV, WAIS-5, and WISC-V.
Age Range Mean FSIQ Older Mean FSIQ Newer Mean IQ Points/Decade
WAIS Versions N
(Mean) Wechsler Scale Wechsler Scale Difference (Flynn Effect)
WAIS-III vs. WAIS-IV
Non-Clinical 240 16–88 (52.7) 102.9 100.0 2.9 2.6
Low-IQ 49 16–65 (30.6) 68.6 65.5 3.1 2.8
WAIS-IV vs. WAIS-5
Non-Clinical 186 16–90 (47.8) 101.6 99.7 1.9 1.2
WAIS-5 vs. WISC-V
16-0–16-11
98 100.4 99.2 1.2 1.2
(16.4)
The precise agreement in the results from both counterbalanced studies of the WAIS-5
provides a degree of cross-validation of the present findings. However, the key analysis
is the WAIS-IV vs. WAIS-5 study, which included a large heterogeneous sampling of
adolescents and adults. Those findings generalize to older adolescents, young adults,
middle-aged adults, and the elderly population. The results for 16-year-olds in the WISC-
WAIS study generalize only to 16-year-olds. They do not generalize to adolescents in
general, and they in no way suggest any reduction in the Flynn effect for children. The
significant and striking interaction between age and the Flynn effect reported for 10,000+
adolescents ages 13–18 on a test of fluid reasoning (Platt et al. 2019) underscores the need
to avoid generalizing the findings to any child or adolescent below age 16. Platt et al.
(2019) observed the following Flynn effects for each separate age group in their large-scale
investigation: age 13 (+2.33), age 14 (+0.88), age 15 (−0.89), age 16 (−0.19), age 17 (−0.76),
and age 18 (−1.66).
4. Discussion
In scholarly works seeking to examine the “why” question of the Flynn effect, research
has recognized the connection between environment and human growth intelligence (HGI),
especially in the context of what environmental factors may have on both intellectual
growth of people (HGI) and on technology (i.e., artificial general intelligence [AGI]; Kanaya
and Magine 2024). Various theories have tackled “why” from a theoretical perspective, such
as through the co-occurrence model (Woodley 2012) and through the evaluation of several
“Flynn paradoxes”. O’Keefe and colleagues (2023) argue two perspectives, speaking to the
metaphor of “clouded spectacles” in understanding the reason for the effect, summarizing
nicely the differing perspectives of (1) within-person and/or between-person changes
or (2) implicit/explicit age/period/cohort effects (O’Keefe et al. 2023). A robust list of
potential reasons exist for the Flynn effect (see Table 1 in O’Keefe et al. 2023), such as
improvements across various arenas of health (e.g., nutrition, lead levels), education (e.g.,
better, longer, child/parental education), parenting styles (e.g., education, smaller number
of children), social causes (e.g., niche selection, complex social settings), technology (e.g.,
computers, artificial light), genetic (e.g., heterosis), and others (e.g., slowed life, experience
with tests, collective unconscious), with some of these concepts discussed at length in
J. Intell. 2024, 12, 118 7 of 13
the Flynn effect and practice effects—is 76 or greater. To meet the Prong 1 criterion for
subaverage IQ in this state, the adjusted IQ must be 75 or below. Jerome D. was tested on
the WISC-III in 1991 as a 16-year-old while serving in a juvenile detention center. He was
subsequently administered the WAIS-III at age 25 and again at age 30 within the prison
system. After his release, he was convicted of murder in 2009, administered the WAIS-IV,
and sentenced to be executed. He was on death row for years and was ultimately granted
a new sentencing hearing in 2024 as an Atkins case. He was once again administered the
WAIS-IV, this time when the norms were extremely out of date. When his adjusted IQs
are examined over time, he never scored below 76 on any assessment, although he came
close every time—until he was administered the very out-of-date WAIS-IV. The Flynn effect
mandated subtracting 5 points from his obtained IQ of 80, and the 75 qualified him for
an ID diagnosis when paired with Prong 2 (subaverage adaptive behavior) and Prong
3 (early onset) criteria, both of which were met. But how different the outcome would
have been with a Flynn effect of 1.2 points per decade! The adjustment would have been
2 points, and his adjusted IQ would have been 78—too high for an ID diagnosis. These
issues must be weighed carefully by AAIDD, DSM-5-TR, and the court system to decide
the most appropriate guidelines for ID diagnosis as we move toward the future.
Table 2. Wechsler Full Scale IQs earned by Jerome D. between 1991 and 2024, starting in juvenile
detention and continuing on death row.
And the Flynn effect reduction is not the only provocative finding presented by
Wechsler et al. 2024. Additionally, the test–retest reliability study (N = 201, ages 16–90,
M = 53, mean interval = 29 days) reveals that the practice effect (see Table 3)—like the Flynn
effect—has gotten smaller over time. Table 3 shows mean gain scores from test to retest on
three versions of WAIS for different age groups (Wechsler 1997, 2008; Wechsler et al. 2024b).
For the WAIS-III, mean gains on FSIQ were about 4–6 points for young and middle-aged
adults; for the WAIS-IV, those gains were 4.5–5 points; but on the WAIS-5, they dropped
to 3.7 IQ points for ages 16–34 and 35–69. The fact that the practice effect has historically
been smaller for elderly adults than for young and middle-aged adults was maintained
for the WAIS-5, but again the differences across generations are notable. FSIQ gain scores
for the elderly were 3–4 points for both the WAIS-III and WAIS-IV. That number dipped to
2.3 points for the WAIS-5 at ages 70–90.
Table 3. Practice effects on Full Scale IQ, by age (WAIS-III to WAIS-IV to WAIS-5).
Just as the Flynn effect requires careful consideration when diagnosing ID, so too
does the practice effect. Whereas the specific numerical adjustment is quantified for the
Flynn effect (3 points per decade), it is not for the practice effect. Nonetheless, both the
AAIDD diagnostic manual (Schalock et al. 2021) and DSM-5-TR (American Psychiatric
J. Intell. 2024, 12, 118 9 of 13
Association 2022) make it imperative that examiners take practice effects fully into account
when diagnosing ID.
It is common for incarcerated people on death row to have multiple Wechsler’s
scores in their records, often four or more. There are childhood measures (e.g., Wechsler
Intelligence Scale for Children [WISC]) from special education and juvenile court and WAIS
measures from earlier imprisonments prior to the crime, which resulted in a death sentence.
Sometimes it is the practice effect that holds the clue to a person’s “true IQ”.
Table 4 shows the repeated Wechsler tests administered to a death row incarcerated
individual, Mr. Justin C. (a pseudonym). He was tested seven times between ages 10.5 and
32. He was initially given the WISC-R (Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, Revised)
when referred for special education in fourth grade, and was given the same test at ages 11
and 12.5 by juvenile court psychologists. This pattern continued such that when Mr. C. was
arrested in 1997 for murder (for which he received the death penalty), he had been tested
on WISCs five times before achieving his first WAIS. He was on death row for 12 years
when his lawyers appealed his sentencing claiming the “Atkins defense” of ID. He was
administered the WAIS-IV, which had only been out for a year. So, the Flynn effect was
not an issue, and neither was the practice effect because of the 12-year interval since the
previous Wechsler administration.
Table 3 shows exactly how the practice effect (known as progressive error when
multiple Wechsler scales are administered to the same person) can impinge on accurate
diagnosis. Nonverbal and speeded tasks have a substantially larger practice effect than
verbal tasks. Traditional performance tests are intended to measure fluid reasoning and
visual-spatial problem solving, the types of problems not taught in education. When these
tasks are administered a second time, the novelty is gone, and nonverbal standard scores
are spuriously inflated by 7 to 10 points (verbal tasks go up by 2–3 points); Full Scale IQs
rise by 5–8 points. When a person is tested a third time, a fourth time, and so forth, the
progressive error continues to inflate the person’s nonverbal and global scores.
Mr. C.’s scores over time illustrate these phenomena. His initial Performance IQ of 74
was untainted. But the 86 he earned nine months later was exactly what you would predict
from the practice effect, and the values in the 80s and 90s are vintage progressive errors.
Switching from the WISC to the WAIS at age 20 makes no difference. The practice effect
holds regardless of which Wechsler scale is administered.
Therefore, all Full Scale IQs obtained at ages 11 through 20 (mostly in the 80s) are
spuriously high due to the practice effect and progressive error and are not interpretable.
The FSIQ of 72 at age 10.5 would be adjusted downward into the 60s because of the Flynn
effect (the WISC-R norms were 16 years old when Mr. C. was tested). What is Mr. C.’s true
IQ? This is clearly not a simple question. Can one have confidence that his WAIS-IV IQ of
73 is valid? No, because faking a bad score is always a possibility for a person on death
row. But clearly, practice effects can play a key role in capital punishment cases, no less
than the Flynn effect. In sum, given the recent findings in the WAIS-5 (a strong sample
with counterbalanced design on the gold standard most up to date measure) should be
J. Intell. 2024, 12, 118 10 of 13
considered in light of other findings highlighting the suspected diminishing Flynn effect by
decision-makers involved in the AAIDD and DSM-5-TR for ID diagnosis, and by the courts
for capital punishment cases.
hypothesis that the Flynn effect is in decline. At the very least, these changes may explain a
portion of the apparent decline.
Finally, the authors are curious to understand the “why” of these findings in a modern
lens. Given the resounding research and clinical interest in social media on development
(Haidt 2024), coupled with the impact of a pandemic on a developing brain, the “why”
within a more modern approach to consider the cognitive impact of social media, tech-
nology, and a worldwide pandemic is of interest (Haidt 2024). Finally, this subject will
be of great interest to the AGI development world to understand how changes in human
general intelligence across generations can, and might, impact artificial general intelligence
for bots.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, E.L.W., S.M.T. and A.S.K.; methodology, A.S.K.; for-
mal analysis, E.L.W., S.M.T. and A.S.K.; writing—original draft preparation, E.L.W., S.M.T. and
A.S.K.; writing—review and editing, E.L.W., S.M.T. and A.S.K.; visualization, S.M.T.; supervision,
A.S.K.; project administration, E.L.W. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of
the manuscript.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement: Data are available in the WAIS-5 Technical and Interpretive Manual
(Wechsler et al. 2024b).
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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