OCTOBER 2019
PROJECT FINANCE IN
VIETNAM
Focus on Renewable Energy
PRINCIPLES OF PROJECT FINANCE
Overview of Project Finance
Project Finance Structure
ECAs / Multilaterals / Corporate(s) or
DFIs Sponsor (s)
Guarantor of
selected risks Limited Recourse
Project Project Specific Purpose
Lenders Finance Loan Special Purpose
Project Assets
Vehicle
Repayment is primarily from Project’s cashflow Financing structure and finance documentation is tailored to the Project
▪ Limited recourse to corporate and sponsors ▪ Structuring of the project asset to achieve financing objectives such as:
▪ Guarantee only in certain events such as delay in ▪ Specific conditions to enable dividends distributions to Parent Co
project commissioning
▪ Tailoring of finance/project documents to achieve proper risk
▪ Assets are ring-fenced from Sponsors allocation amongst project entities
▪ Analysis focus on debt servicing capability of ▪ Different covenants depending on asset class/type and/or location
asset’s cash flow
▪ Lenders hold security of underlying assets
▪ Long-tenor achievable in comparison to corporate lending
▪ Higher leverage (70 to 80%) can be achieved
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KEY RISK ALLOCATION IN RENEWABLE PROJECTS
SPONSORS
Wind/solar resource risk,
Reliability past warranties,
Back-end power price risk,
CONTRACTOR/EQUIPMENT
SUPPLIER
DEVELOPER
Cost overrun, Delay,
Construction risk,
Equipment performance,
Development risk
Project performance (excl
PROJECT resource)
Allocates major risk to
different stakeholders via
contracts
POWER PURCHASER
OPERATOR
Inability to pass cost to end
Cost overruns, Plant
customers, Power pricing
performance
risk, Demand risk
LENDERS
Loss through massive
underperformance, Interest
rate risk (hedging)
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VIETNAM
RENEWABLE
LANDSCAPE
VIETNAM POWER MARKET
Vietnam Energy Mix Forecast
2018 (47GW) 2020 (60GW) 2025 (96GW)
3% 1% 2% 2%
Hydropower 2% 11% 12%
21%
Coal-fired power plants 30%
21% 38%
Gas-fired power plants 15% 16%
Renewable energy
Oil fired power
Imported power 49%
34% 42%
Vietnam Power Capacity Expansion (in MW) Vietnam Power Capacity Expansion (in Billions kWh)
60,000.00 700
50,000.00 2020 2025 2030
600
40,000.00
30,000.00 500
20,000.00
400
10,000.00
- 300
Biomass
Wind Power
Import
Pump Storage
Coal-fired Thermal Power
Large & Medium Hydro
Small Hydro Power Plant
Solar Power
Gas Turbine
200
Power Plant
100
Plant
0
2020 2025 2030
Low Forecasts High Forecasts
Source: EVN Annual Report, Direction du Trésor au Vietnam, Power Development Plan VII revised, Reuters
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OVERVIEW OF RENEWABLES FINANCING IN VIETNAM
Financing Dynamics for Renewables in Vietnam
▪ Limited number of Project Financing in Vietnam. Notable private financed power generation projects include Phu My 2.2 Gas-fired CCPP, Phu My 3 CCPP,
Mong Duong Coal-Fired Power Project, Vinh Tan Coal-Fired Power Project, Van Phong Coal-Fired Power Project and Da Mi Floating Solar
▪ Till date, there has been no non-recourse project financing in the renewable sector
▪ Dependence on domestic commercial and development banks
▪ The electricity sector in Vietnam is mainly financed by the domestic banks, typically on a recourse basis and/or with a guarantee provided by the
Sponsors
▪ Domestic banks are limited by their experience in Project Financing and ability to provide long tenor loans
▪ Increasing interest by international banks, but limited by structural issues
▪ International banks have the appetite to provide longer tenor loans and undertake construction risk. All previous long-term international
commercial financings have mostly been done under the cover of ECAs or multilaterals
▪ Appetite limited by issues in the PPA
▪ Bond market – a long term consideration?
▪ First project bond issuance with a 10-year tenor from Vietnam was issued by Mong Duong 2 Project in Jul-19
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LIQUIDITY SOURCES IN PROJECT FINANCING
Domestic
Multilaterals Development
Untied ECA Tied ECA Commercial
A/B Loan + EPRG Agencies
Banks
◼ Up to 21 years in ◼ Max 14 year repayment ◼ Up to 20 years, ◼ Up to 20 years, ◼ 7 to 12 years
Tenor neighbouring countries (7.25 average loan life) dependent on PPA dependent on
PPA
◼ Could consider with no ◼ Comprehensive cover ◼ Umbrella/EPRG effect ◼ Strong PF ◼ Could consider
MOF guarantee (but increases commercial increases commercial experience uncover loans
prefer to be in line with bank capacity bank capacity ◼ Moderate
other ECAs) ◼ Appetite and experience ◼ Lending experience in experience in PF
Pros ◼ Large capacity in Vietnam Vietnam but improving on
◼ Increased flexibility and renewable
significant interest from projects
commercial banks
◼ E&S requirements ◼ Smaller ◼ Shorter tenor.
◼ Limited flexibility individual ticket ◼ Smaller individual
◼ Long execution process & extensive due diligence process ◼ Long execution ticket.
process and ◼ Expected high
extensive due cost of USD
Cons ◼ Upfront premium for ECA ◼ Upfront premium. ◼ Capacity constraint by diligences funding
cover ◼ OECD guidelines limiting internal rules
eligibility and tenor ◼ May want to involve
commercial lenders
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PROBABLE PROJECT FINANCE STRUCTURE IN VIETNAM
VIETNAM OFFSHORE
Sponsors
ECAs/ MLAs / Private insurers
Insurance Agreement
Insurers Reinsurers
Land lease
Agreement Land Lease
Agreement
Project
Company
EVN
Power Purchase Lenders
Agreement Loan
EPC
contracts
Onshore EPC Offshore EPC
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BANKABILITY CONSIDERATIONS FOR VIETNAM PPA
Risk Factors Potential Mitigants
No deemed dispatch if COD delay due to EVN’s ◼ Insurance
Deemed Dispatch &
delay, or curtailment by EVN due to EVN’s grid ◼ Provisioning of a reserve account
Curtailment
issues ◼ Extensive technical due diligence
◼ ECA/MLAs cover
Credit support Counterparty risk on EVN ◼ Private insurance for lenders
◼ Government support
Termination payment amount to one year of ◼ ECA/MLAs cover
revenue.
Termination Payment ◼ Private insurance for lenders
In the latest PPA revision, wind PPAs are silent
on termination payment ◼ Government support
Governing Law and ◼ Improvement of relevant clauses in the PPA to
PPA governed by Vietnamese law
Dispute Resolution avoid arbitration
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OTHER BANKABILITY CONSIDERATIONS IN VIETNAM
1 Currency convertibility risk
Currency mismatch between VND PPA payments and USD debt service payment. The larger the debt, the
greater the risk for the lenders
2 Construction Risk
Lenders would require the risk to be sufficiently transferred to EPC contractors via liquidated damages
3 Operation and Maintenance
Level of warranties, liquidated damages and performance guarantees would be scrutinized by lenders.
4 Environmental considerations
Lenders would require the project to adhere to international standards such as equator principles. ECAs or
multilateral agencies might have more stringent requirements.
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THE FUTURE
IS YOU