0 ratings 0% found this document useful (0 votes) 2 views 11 pages Introduction To Machine Learning Part IV
The document discusses various statistical methods for estimating parameters, including Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Bayesian estimation. It highlights the use of different probability distributions such as Bernoulli, Poisson, and Normal distributions in analyzing data. The text also emphasizes the importance of understanding likelihood functions and posterior probabilities in statistical modeling.
AI-enhanced title and description
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content,
claim it here .
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
Go to previous items Go to next items
Parameftrss: (C5109)
Griven a moda, Ure pavametvrs wr the humbew thak
yitd the Actual distribublon .
Distri bulwon paranctlias
Bernoutls [p) o=p
Poisson (A) 02d
vaiferm la) o- [ab]
normal (4,69 6=[ujor)
Methods 40 ewraluialing tre value of poranealis from
data: MLE (manu UkeLhood cimation), Mannose 4
Te ta nubeds, dala fee posteriori (MAP)
independent and tdenbrally distributed .
| MLE
“Likevhood ‘va Probability | iol-
| 2 tn case ob dtsercke Gath bee, Likelsbobd ty Same
;% probabi uty
| > Tn care of conbrucus dashibulzon, iouboad ie veers
te, He probability density 4 ee decta- ‘
To
m ansther puerta!
pcipy: Pébte) PLP
vl P(B) '
porterter TS widen
|B oyent = Mit reed today? cut B=“ gran in wet"
we with tw taladete PUAIB), tre probability 46 rund
| courtier giver pee is webs we mut knw PLBIP), PCA), PIB)
etondubored pobailty pcBin) repusents prebals ld tty thak
the graye wel given Bat it rained . a ri words,
hb pikeli hood tab the grass would be wet,
gun it ip the tance thot itr rained»
free \ { spnions )
puny = pobabibiy: 4 vet ik 3 ne - aan tat Grass
(yer)
=< daprdtP. Yr
Smilar te hrye's thotem, we wre models Cen
demyry dunchon)
& place ef namcucal prebelslie
plots) plo)
plelo) =
ieee Sploteypiode-
ferer
ea
Bayesian estimation
_ Convider the Com examples [berronllr heals)
ct tn a— bernovbls |)
Somebody tame and told ,\ a believe that the shes Pp
we _ Atmteichere, dloten\ tg PAM Ja sens a
fp we may nie
| “gate parenas aCe pM
| troal:. Tnvorporcte "hundh/belith" alt? paramtins of intuidet
ie oe ae prowdure. :
i "of 6 the” cornet ea tia asa
4 battle Vo pai
eerie a pati ‘watyor bhy 0 ody
: i Mrdeeq eto. ayan
a 5 leet toni & Pat i
“pole ‘cod oe ied ar pete Cpe)
\ pe fee ‘Pier
7 ppdoted Saar codified using a probaly
ro « deseibubon Pl) Dakada sy
\
"
bah opti a Posterior"
iat_ P(PIp)= Pete» Fie) A> porunthers 8
Pi Bm Dab oty,007 Hoy
Pl oe . as Pl dy --7e3/0)\ . Plo)
P os ss aty),) peter
depend on e
like Uwedt sea eps
a updated
lS
a
fun mors yl gt :
banal SL
Dato.— bernoulli(P) :
pt
pw U-p) 4 peLo,i)
2
povmabiaiey cons tank
caeyPQ OE fecors prod
HP) we need to write down
posberio-
PLO/ Dake) & PlData/e) - Plo)
Sra” ° [free }
ok ero]
Afr
Ee Sar tet <3) + Bod pe
trian! % po Up
EE
! soma furtrorek form ay prior}!
wan aiaPale Seda poster
)
BETA peter (yp) ~ :
t , bernowlld (oar, ng n)
ny = ne. of heacls !
hee ho. of ladle i
Ren ne aha
One posatele — guers = kam + pen (1p) 4 (Pym)
»
Damen
EE [nosteror) = IF (paslonde( PEN
Map estimator (_Masimam Mpostoriew estimeitor)
P : ;
Daan
1
ee ee sy sl det
| Gols : Lad
pt
waa ty ae ENE AEN
What could be & good ‘gqeng bit stony 4
ogni fan pay
LS 1 N\ cide NU Bos &
| aks} he —
Rao Carey
| trough por
ae ae wal hop Het
pase ty Meow | ve
geen istribvbran|
mtan iy Mile)
venue.
eg
ey
oe [i
° ponNoir generac model requaived
miajure ef Gouamans
TH War 0 10d ahep ating: '
ep ie Pith woivih nurture a dada potnt Contes fron
Sbpa Srenerale devta paint from thal morte
Stop ie quavrale a mealure comiponent along Aieouky
ae tle KY
PLA ER) © Me
poabal 1m dataport “vrwes frem A moter Me
4
g Wel
| te
oxen ai |
hp 2" Grenorate — gti WAG)
| joaytenn
| eyo Bey ted
4 cae inh
t '
oS (B,> pPrJ unobavred |
Jee : 4 talent
Hate reas modal |
Pavansdirs to find
Tein, evs Med) Hk Meron”
fy ola 3
iy MNS ak een ee 7
Ane) "sgh wey we. fra BONG
wwe bane AT
Woe paranubers ove There,
: how) to doth)
bak wih aw wilh Apacified modils whten wae MLE
mulhedMax fekelhood fer GMM.
| Sete wna 7\ hs (20 5 yes “
Bhi cyed
Mac Te p m A ey
cdipundied holds dict
720-05 Re ok Tt
+ for is pane Fi zi
'
pro bat hy tan be predickd ;
Prongh P Pry Ps = (Ai biog
Lle) = pee
> .
all parantbers t at oe
(Srmecen Zanaihy of.
kt slaviter)
n ke = (ry
= top oT, e a )
i ke
d Ja oK
eNot possible t aoloe this reall
| ” Sure OM aa Bon ete
| log (Lte)) =
ty
| wt tad wir
|
Need on allcarate) way to Atlee This Bee
1 @ Cenex funchions and jennen’ jnegh ality
© Quid delouretonwtx hus
arb
yen plage Pet
[ett : 2
a slert) es funchen.Toy vas
oN flest)> PE) oy eomreave funclion
ot)e Te
Z
Jobs toncave
fonve x
a
F {2 r#) ga $ Fla) + eu)
Aefo, 9
>» ito Z AF) 4 CAT
\
He" ae $A art Mater os thee) S
Ar flay) + Arta oo +
a
SAz) OLAcet
te & Auk) > 2 og )
eS me)
slog i & concave «punch? )
salisfies gursen’s neqpadliry «
| Praesens Das
ineqpaty
pins. tan we” eaphnite “Tenaeais for « perpeenizng’ “hiLe”
; i. \ ihe
i Push)
Gey me po \Eshmalrny Oe
DH Recall f = [tess )
| ® bg (eto) = 2 wog( 2 z (ne © 30% Jag 6
eo Tnheduce for wiry daln pst ¢ Ue paranuilirs
Ai) suc that Me Ea, og Ae £1
| vik
Seguin dy Ziel EE)
Tee 7"
ee
Ui
By fowens, ]
| * bog (Lie) 2 modified logit (6, A)
Dae Ai > bie ba) 4
Car ker i roe ag
Te
"
| a fx parasatters)
|e Mole that the above morifiad top Likulihood
a Wwtr bound for tre bue fog Likelihood at
girs
6. i
\ Fo choice of A
fe Bp Ae heyy
ea a
Ne me
+ But what are we garmng 77
[Fy luvsighh 4
on we fia A, iF
vsnint tf we fo 6, iF bd tary be ae
werk A.
Fra. A Gad madimize Sver &
a fe z AK [fin €3°,))|
k
& masimire wrt 8.t. . -
= mas es £ Aral tog Mh eA bait «A tog bn 67]
(AL tenn elected
Take clervevalive wrt Me tw get ps "a olive!)
”
SM ole : rapa
gn BA] atm 2 AL fate Ae t
kre T. Fie
that ih point 9 bto info
Kin duster
nok
max usin Thal, sd Mel; MRd0
pt Te ten ‘J ere Te
lan solve wohe ‘mmalhod of | lag mul plier or
any construed opbrnizadyn active
ay = oe
n
| ng As oe 9 > Pas
ee BA aon
aa
now fixed O ond masumre A y
0 Lo Lotta
L£ Ey, 9 Me e@ eae face
toy chet
22.4, ‘ ch
oe Ey Ae tog la) = Meg ae
HM) fot
where als MWe © Gar Sinee| Con be ailud analy teal tan be robod
| a) MIAN Uae aap é A forve
| ny (ld eae YP ceigtiaey mars
b , bas
Asa Fe saat. law a nS Sipbrr
lair He) \\*
(4 a poe
ye, Fiat ry \
capped Upp at
| : plana &) Placeb)
rlaehia) = fo 1
| £7 Jad s pian)
|
B Sine oS te above art dyed form phlen 4 tan,
jul, don an alaprutton for (6)
LMA oly orn .
v terion
| > Tahtalizabion 6% oP Mt My
2 A
Pin “Oy,
| nm i,
7 m, 7
| 9 unl omsrrgenee ( Not ot) “sf j.
bonne
poranaler
eee on mar Prpodifivd. ieg't9", )~
[ounader
E14 ~ enpadtohvon. of
Mi eonmsshen
|
| ord, rronitalsabion . enpucdion
|
|
Think (ob bs producing "att duaseng
| yoda do “"posd doen")
EM fake vorlones lh atcounk.
2 tin darters mrd rk be wrwnet regina)
hoa ton gpa howd, dhudertng for gee; unlbed 0 y
pectic] beg be L8 AS")
|
| } r
| Je tok comerged ele
| ts Wit Ty (tte)
\ if modifi ‘
(|| egele Y
toy. _ ‘
a or — 7
Toying te fd OF
te a [otal maruma ef leg Lekevhood
EM converges
So how will ow whueakion is | in frdng
plete’ _ maxi may