Probability
Probability
-
An operation which can
produce some well-defined outcome is known
as an
experiment .
chance which is
Random Experiment :
The outcome
of
each trial depends on ,
Rolling
. It is denoted by
a
:
E
called
sample space a S
G1
63 .
S =
, ,
5
2 3 4, ,
,
Each element
of sample space is called
sample point a a &
Event 63
Every subset sample space is called 42 5,
:->
event
of a E =
an . ,
,
die
Ex .
=
In a
single throw
of
a
prime no
E =
42 ,
3
, 53
event F odd
) The
getting
no
of
F =
41 ,
3
,
53
Event
Impossible :>
-
o CS
die
getting throw
Ex in
T of
.
no . a a
getting
Ess a no.
Simple
singleelement of sample i
Evrit-Aneventcontainingonly
the
per
sample point
-
. Ex .
elements -
if E
, REz =
0
If
E
,
nE#q ,
then E
, & E
,
are called compatible events
Less then
die 41 03
E+
getting a no. 5
throwing
In S 2 3 4 5 ,
Ex 1)
: a =
, , , , ,
41 ,
2 3
, 43
63
,
42
getting
even no . 4,
E than
E
getting
= ,
a no more
,
odd 41 3 53 43 4 , 33
getting
-
an no .
, , 5
Ez = ,
,
: E
,
Ezfo
nEz 0
compatible
· E =
exclusive
: E & E
mutually X
.
a re
, ,
Mutually Exhaustive exciti
-
st E E Es
,
,
--
En be subsets of a
sample space
events
a
Then the mitral
Swesay EE En a
form
-
F
,
UEzUEsU .....
said
VEn
to
=
S e
beEh345S ↑
!
Independent : EF2 a m
the
does not
depend
*
occur rence
occurrence
of
one
upon
P(E NEz)
,
= P(E) XP(Ez)
and
Events - In random experiment lits be the sample
Complementary space
a
,
-
& *
-
=F
~
is called complement of E
E-> occurses = 42 ,
3
,
4 , , 63
5
in throw die
getting
En E- of
.
even no. a a
E'- odd
getting
with to sample space
Probability event I S
.
:
probability of any reference
PCE) =
no on
offavourable
set
(oxP(E)X)
probablity of
the to
-
ProbabilityPCAV
.
head
tossed once
getting
event
1) A coin is .
Find the
probability of
a
head
and Bsee
<1)
getting
E
E a
n(E) 1
=
=
event
S =
(H T) ,
n(S) = 2
6 not A
=
P(A') =
1 -
P(A)
P(E) =
t
tomed Find the probabilitya
Thocor are
once .
a t least head
gelling
-
I
(
head
(3)
getting
no
head I tail
getting
I I
()
S =
[HH ,
HT, TH
,
TT3 n(s) =
E
(3) Ey =
[TT3 u(Es) =
1
()EHMS
nE
P(Ez) =
t
(9) Ea
=
SHT Th3
(2) E =
SUT ,
TH
, HHS nEL) = S ,
P(Ez) = P(Ea) =
z =
t
SeLH)
unbiased coins tossed What is
3) Three are once . the 3)
probability of getting
1) [HH43
auwhena
E
,
=
n(E , ) =
P(E) = Y
a n(E2) 3
2) E G4HT THUS
=
=
HTH
, ,
P(E2) =
3/8
Meet
3)
Ez =
SUTT ,
TUT, TTHY
P(Ez) =
3/8
4) En =
P(Ea) =
7/8
5) E5 =
GHHT ,
THH
,
HTH ,
HHH3
of
Y 41 63
i
1) S =
,
2
,
3
,
4
,
5
,
-
S
4
on the other
die "
(vi) a multiple of 2 on one die and multiple o 3 ,
.
1
[>Se that the 6) 66
drawn at random. What is the probability o =
1
is :
number on the card drawn
and
(i) prime 5)
Lyn ] -
a no
S=
E = ,
, , , ,
probability of getting
drawn at random . Find the
p(E) =
·
8
address
Cards
Total
*
9) From
drawn
the
a rd
a well-shuffled
at random
drawn
.
is
deck of
Find the
52 cards
,
probability
a card
that
is
characta a
(i)thereking.
(i) V +
red and
king
&
a
a
Total cards
pagcontains
a
12
10) A I face
ball is drap at
probabilitya
random . Find the
that
the ball drawn is ...
red
x52
I
And 1)52
2)26 + 2
=
126
=
8
%52 =3
Ibay 12 white =
2
I P(E)) =36
4)
I If 30 is the probability that an event will happen ,
what
=
E- > Sum of at most ( < b) 3)
ZeCCG n za
,
13) Two cards are drawn at random from a
pack of
?
32 cards .
What is the probability that both cards are aces
g waye
52 carde selected 52 cards
n(s) = no
from
=
.
geting
on
a
-I
A die is .
rolled Let I be the event "die showed" and
F be the event "die shows even no "
. Are E & F
mutually
exclusive ?
S =
41 ,
2 3
, ,
4
,
563
E =
44]
F =
42 ,
4 63,
EnF =
443 70
1
&F
are mutually
not &
ech
↑
a
exclusiveand
whichamutually
event
-
enhainse
Results
PET
on
: 2)
m
Et
Any
event
Es(P(E) =
0 .
65
4n(s)
doublet-Dos
= 36
Eit
getting
E2- total of 6 =
<(1 , 5) (2 3) (3 3)
, ,
(4 2) , (5
, , 133
n(Ez) = 5
E
, RE + (3 3)
,
n/E nEz) ,
=
1
= PEPEET
- &
For
any
thre events E
,
E2 ,
Es =
P(E) + P(En) + P(Es) PlE , nEr)
P(E VELVEs)
- -
=
,
Sn(s) =
36
P(EzMEs) -
PlEgnE ) + ,
P(E nEznEs) doublet )=
,
getting (F
E - n
,
mitually
,
events then
/P(E) + P(E2) = 1
< (4 , 6) , (5 5) , (6
, , 9) n(E2) = 3 UCERE) =1
event
Complement of
an
P(E and E2) ,
= P(E, E) =
P(FE)
(P(E) P(E)
=
1 -
compatible events
PER
two E, E
For
any
1 P(E , -
Ez) =
P(E)) -
P(E , REz)
=
1) If E , and Es are two events associated with a random
experiment
such that PLEz) 0 35 PLE , E2) 0 85 and PLE , and E2) 0 15
Or
,
= . = .
= .
find PCE , ) .
*
3) In a
neither
single
a
throw of two dice , find the
doublet nor a total to 10
probability
will appear.
that
see
Anamumbectrandomfromamong
a
an. u(E ) ,
=
166
Binawmuffin
t = n =
1 = 166
S
huffled n(Ez) = 100
495 = 15 + (n -
1)15
E 1Ez (15 30 45. . . . . 4953
met E
=
a
, ,
,
n =
33
I Two falle are drawn at random with replacement
5n(S
↑
space n(E) 1
bose to black balls & a se
containing
=
a
from a
Est
King /E2) 4
probability
=
E nEz 1
sed
=
,
(1) both a re
P(EVEr)
is black second is red
( first
() them is black and other is sed
of
one
5) n(s) = no .
of ways of drawing
I cards n(s) =
12
P(F) =
s
=
52
both red und
getting
E -> a re
,
n(E , ) =
2
Ezt
getting
both
kings
n(E2) =
4
both red
E
, MEz =
getting Kings
n(E , 1E2) =
2
=
P(EVE)
-
52c
·
=
S
our
doesnt
Ezix
P(AIEi) In
=
p(EIA) =
-X-
() (*)
- +
Axiomatic Approach to
Probability -
Let S =3 W
,, Wa Wa
, ,
. - .
range
is
intersal the axioms hold
Tit
the
if following
↑
50 17,
1 of
all subsit
0xP(Wi)X) all WiES
for
.
.
2 P(s)
P(w ),
=
+
1
42 41 23 42 33
41
,
,
2
,
,
333
, ,
41,33
is
3 For event ACS PCA) EPCWS the number PCMC
any
=
.
, ,
WRCA
called the
probability elementary event WK
↑
of
E
3 H
=
·
2 S =
EHHHH , HHHT
,
HA TH , HHTT
,
3
HTHH HTHT,
,
2 =
8
ATTH , HTTT
24
,
S
= 16
# Micellaneous Exercise (14).
CReber NCERTTB pg 310).
* cisifor ateau e
nac
.
2
.SE2
3 , 2 s
cisEgen, Feelingn
T
Moon
on
cili)reas
under
section s
PCE)= /-p(same
=C 3-
(5) :
6. Sample space
n(s) b
:AT
=
Enveloped
:
Lates
Eng proper
letter in proper
envelope
P(E) =
4/6
213
=
%
PASOST
.
7
P(A1B) = 0 35
.
#
0 35
0 34 + 0 69
.
-
= .
.
=
1 23
.
-
0 35.
0 88
=
/
.
PCAB
PCA'nB') = 35
(ii)
= OSH
-
=
0 .
12/ a
(iv) PLBnAl)
= PCB-PCAB
=
0 34, .
n(E) =
4
n(s) = 5
P(E)
=
4/51.
5
9. 4 digit no . 5000 divisible by ,
digits ; 0 1 3 5 7 , , , ,
=
(ii)
3
n(s)
2/1000place 510]
=
2 x 5 x 5x5 =
250
:. 250-1 = 249
24
36
=
12 +
n(E) =
=9
P(E)
I
#
1) E =
45]
F =
(2 ,
5, 6)
Ent =
45]
·: Ent + 0
exclusive
.
: E&F a re not
melually
(i) A =
41 ,
2
,
3
,
5
,
5
,
53 Sure event 1) AUB =
41 ,
2
,
3
,
4 ,
5
, 63
(11) B =
0 Impossible 2) AnB =
p =
53
compound
3BU,
(11) 2 =
43 63 ,
(v) D =
4 1 2
, ,
33 79
5) DE 0
Simple
=
(v) E =
463
[VI) F =
<3 ,
4
,
5
, 63 companie 6) A -
c =
41 ,
2
,
4 ,
53
1) D -
E =
(1 ,
2
, 33
,
EET
S
S
((3)(3)(5
3)
=
((6 )(6 2) , ,
. . . .
-
(66)
n(s) =
36
4) M]
[
S = 211) A & C
(11) B & D
A =
<HHH3
B =
GUHT HTH THUS , ,
c = LTTT)
D =
<UHU ,
HHT , NTH, HTTY
0 0 and =
0
0 * AlB Bec =
(i)
=
Anc =
, ,
: . A&C a re ME , A &B ,
B& C ,
C & D
Kil
.
5 Three coins a re tossed Describe
·
in
e which
Three as not mitually eshan
exchesive but not exhactive
events which are
mitually
·
3) Two
exclusive but not exhaustive
57 Three events which a re
unitually
(T44]
5) A =
S =
\UYY HY HTT MM 3
,
BETHA,
1) art withI us
E1F =
/ 3) E =
444T)
S4UH TTTS
4=
F =
,
-
EUF =
<HMH ,
UHT
, TTT3 S
=T
E
, 1EzdEz =
0 ENF =
0 = E & F a re
, EUF +S
E
,
UEzUEz =
(HTTHHUTH
5) Two dice a re thrown. The events A B &
,
C a re as
follows :
die
A
getting an even no On the
first .
Sh
: .
- odd . . . . . .
:...
B
the number the due
getting
on
: run of
1
G
=
S G
B =
S,
=
1) True & False (Reper & 6)
.
exclusive
1) A & B a re
unitually
and exhamitive
) A & B
mutually exclusive
3) A = B'
exchisive
4) A &
C a re
mutually
&Baremutuallyexchin. exhaustive
14 .
1) Which
following
of
not be valid
the
assignment can
of sample space
outcomes
of probabilities for
S =
<W ,,
We
,
Wa Wa Wa ,
, ,
W
,,
W
, 3
Anigment W Wa Wa Wa by wo Wy
0 0 01 0 05 0 03 0 01 0 2 0 6
(9)
.
1
.
.
. . . .
(b) Y7 1 Y7 Y7 Y Y
0 3 0 4 0 .
5 0 6 0 .
7
0
.
2
.
.
1
.
(4) 0 .
0 4 -
0 .
2 0 .
1 0 .
3
3
.
0 2 0 .
0 1
.
(d)
.
-
1 + 0 01 + 0 05 + 0 .
03
0
. .
+ + 0 + 0 6 1
valid
0 .
01 .
2 - = .
0
(b)
2 .
Acointossed
wic what
is
,
is the
probabilita
S =
G44 ,
UT
,
TH ,
T +3 ,
n(s) =
4
u(A) 3
T3
=
A =
SHT ,
TH , T ,
P(N) =
4=
I A die is thrown ,
find the
probability 3 .
S =
41 ,
2
,
3
,
4
,
5
, 53
following
of
events :
1) A =
42 ,
3
,
53
2) A
prime no will
apear
P(A)
= =
5 =
to will
2) A no
greater than or
equal 3
2) B =
43 ,
4 ,
5
,
63
apear will
3) A no .
Len than or
equal to one
P(B) =
5 =
2
apear 3) c =
413
thanI willoperate
-
A no more par .
S .
A card selected from
is a
pack o f PD = 1
,
2
,
3
,
4
,
53
carde
=
:
52
P(E)
these in the
How
many pointselements
a re
a) -
.
4
sample .
space a)n(s) 52
=
is an ace
of
PET
that the card
C) calculate the
probability
a 5
i a
54,5) S
(i) 3 (ii) 12 n(s) =
12
fam menSi u
women
a
There
↓
. are -
1) A =
Sum is 3 =
(11 233
, ,
n(A) = 1
committee atstan
rand
·elected fora
andA
e
P(B) =
+2
win Rs 1 each head and
a
person for
.
.
6
· Total
Repeatedlaiththe
10
low e
=
- P(w) -
=
here a S
S
Youcan STAT&
is I heads
3/8
rad ,
hah
ne
amounts
(vi)
(vi)
taltile
3 tails
exactly
48
two tail 30 -4 T
vis no P(9Rs) =
[un443 P(GRD) =
/16
GHUTHYTH TnsIs
↑ (1 5 Re)
>
.
-
P(-IR) >
-
↑
probabilityof wit
pisthe
,
.
9
% %
a
P( -
1r) = =
-not Al 1 -
Y =
%
letterchoratrandomind of
10
A a P3
C- 5) - SUTTT TTTH THTT
.
.
, ,
93 TTHT]
probability (ii) a consonant 4 ( -
3 .
5) =
4/6
7/ 13
"lotteryapersonchoa
-
PGGTS
a ,
and
y
-
aladyfibythelotteommitte 2
& - - =
following probabilities
12 . Check the a re P(A) =
, P(notA) =
1 /
consistently defined ⑲
-
(i) P(A) =
0 . 5
,
p(B) = 0 7
.
, P(AB) = 0 .
64[Anx") n(s) =
20c
wining
[P(B A ->
(ii) P(A) = 0 . 5
,
P(B) =
0 5 .
,
P(AUB) = 0 .
8
to
13 . Till in the blanks
(i) 3 45 Y15 15
.....
i
Far the
G
3505O Weknowthat
(ii) 0 .
·
(iii) 0 .
5
6 7 P(B)
,
14
Given P(A) E P(B) E : Find P (A02B)
consistently
=
not
=
.
,
are
if defined .
(ii)
= . .
,
,
P(F) =
& & P(EandF) =
t , find 0 .
87P(A) & PlB)
P (not E
Events E & F such that or not F)
HAVB) P(A)
16 . are
= 0 25.
(i & = + P(B) -
P(A1B)
,
·
a re .
17
ste
class
termuistudy both Math & Bir.
If
·
the class
,
student [111)
=>
0 .
7
P(B)
= 0 .
=
5
0 5
+
0
.
.
6
0 .
-
35
0 35 + 0
.
P(A1B)
.
25
statand
=> P(A1B) =
0 .
5 + 0 .
35 -
0 .
thewill se
&
or = 0 15
.
that
PM-%
1
( P(A) =
z , P(B) =
5
/10 exchiave
mitually
-
..
P (M 1 B) 10 % =
10/100
ps
=
·
=
↑ (Moni)
( P(EarF) =
PYEUFli
·
1 In entrance test that
graded
an is
chosen
student
-
out
T
passing =
1 -
G
=
on
·
-PCFandE
=> P(E1F) = 0 .
75 70
t
exclusive
not
mutually
.
0 55.
Hence EIF a re
The
probatlitythatchichtpath0.
·o
(i) (not 1)
=
.
final
Hindi neither is 0 1 the
probability
-
If
. .
paring
S
wh
the
Eng exam is 0T 5
teamz
·
,
of paring
.
is the
probability of passing
P(E(H) = 0 5
.
=PNB) =PS I
standarda 0 74
= .
" P(B)
=>
=
0 .
65
pleas
Thestudent a (ii) 4 (nots and noti) =
1- PM
B- A
%60 45
on
but not 1)
=
2111) P(B
=
=nBInA3
In (B not A)
Miscellaneous
.
1 A box contains 10 red marbles ,
20 blue
marble and so
green
marble .
5 marbles are E Red Total = 60
drawn
from
the box what is the
probability
green- 3
,
that marbles
drawing so
=
of
no
one will be
is all will be the (li
a st
i)
=
?
green
(i)
I-no
green 2015 P(getting
all
blue)
cardamamelpatcha
(ii)
not
.
+ 10 -
and
at least one
marble-1-
facereach withno
e
three
face
once ,
I no
of ways of leaving a carde
from
52
hitema
52
=
and no waye o a b
his
132X +,
probability getting prize if you
of not buy
P(A)
a
online
5. Out
a re
of
100
. If
formed
students ,
you
two
I
sections of
your friend
40260
a re
*overo prisa
priya
medi
among
that
car
you
both exte the differentaction
as
· an
a
And theprobatil
-
artly onletter
proper envelope
5As
.
(i) P(AUB)
, ↑ (both enter
same="
(ii) PC
different section) = 1
-o
Fromtheemployee ofa
↑
·
.
8
a compan
~
the
the committee the
in
managing of
E
, E Es
company. Particulare of five persons
So
fa l o u s a m a
a
in
P(correct place)
Age years 12 41
M -
30
3 is i
a
F
41
-
M -
A
person
is selected at random from this * P(AUB) =
P(A) + P(B) -
P(A1)
What is the
group
to act as
spokesperson
a .
A - male = 3
will be either
-
2
years
=
mals or over 35
years ? male
years
over 35
AlB- =
1
1 If
s-
.
digit
numbers
greaterthe
than 5000
-
a re
randomly formed from digits P(AuB) =
=+ z -
5
andI
is what the
probability of
&
a no divisible by 5 when =
5
forming
digits repeated is
are ?
zi) the
not allowed ? &
the repeatition of digits
-
(ii)
(ii) with
has
starting
7
suitcase
5 or
. numberlotwith
10
The
a
digi
a a
What
digits
with no
repeats .
requence
the to t
·
1x4X3X2
of your
probability of a
person getting
the
right # + T
to the suitcase .? #
requence open
Nor
·
& (i) No .
E orD
S
1 x 5x5x5 1x5X5X5
125 + 125
#
autwine P(B) =
+ 5 =
of ways
·
no ·
=
10 or l
1 X 5X5X/ 1 X 5 X5X1 = 25
Ma(x/
** y =
So so
# = 25
&*** =
25
P(A) =
55050
100- 1
#Clune Play
=