Analisis Curah Hujan dan Distribusi Log Person III
Analisis Curah Hujan dan Distribusi Log Person III
A/D011201017
3.1 Analisis Data Curah Hujan
√((∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖{𝑋
𝑖 −(𝑋}.^2 ) ̅
S = 〗)/(𝑛−1)) = 26.3134946
(𝑛∑▒ 〖 𝑋 −〗 1391529.6
Cs = = = 1.06
𝑋 ̅ }.^3.)/((𝑛−1) 1311801.39
(𝑛−2). 𝑆^3 )
3. Koefisien Kurtosis (Ck)
Sx 26.31
Cv = = = 0.16262976
X 161.80
0.00547425
S = = 0.025
9
10 1
Koefisien Kemencengan
-4.86E-04 2.81773
G = = -4.50E-01 0.4499
0.00108008
500 1000
5.83 7.25
5.38 6.60
5.10 6.20
4.90 5.91
4.71 5.66
4.52 5.39
4.31 5.11
4.10 4.82
3.88 4.54
3.77 4.40
3.66 4.25
3.55 4.11
3.44 3.96
3.33 3.82
3.22 3.67
3.11 3.53
2.77 3.09
3.03 3.95
2.77 3.09
2.97 3.95
2.71 3.31
2.44 2.68
2.33 2.54
2.22 2.40
2.11 2.28
2.01 2.15
1.93 2.04
1.81 1.91
1.72 1.80
1.55 1.63
1.39 1.47
1.24 1.28
1.11 1.13
1.62 1.00
0.91 0.91
0.80 0.80
0.67 0.67
3.253 3.714
2013 188
2010 139
Uji Chi Kuadrat 2015 171
2012 162
K= 4.30 2017 142
2014 182
Lebar Kelas = 3.25 2016 162
`` 2018 191
Tabel 3.6 Uji Chi Kuadrat 2011 106
2019 175
Batas Kelas Oi Ei (Oi-Ei)^2/Ei
Dengan jumlah n = 10 dan tingkat kesalahan sebesar 5%, maka nilai kritis X^2 + 18,307 Xh^2 < X^2 maka
distribusi Log Person Tipe III dapat diterima
Tabel 3.8 Perhitungan Intensitas dengan Periode Ulang T
No t (24/t)^2/3 R2 R5 R10
No
1 5 43.611 291 305 312
2 10 27.473 184 192 196 1
3 20 17.307 116 121 124 2
4 30 13.208 88 92 94 3
5 40 10.903 73 76 78 4
6 60 8.320 56 58 59 5
7 80 6.868 46 48 49 6
8 120 5.241 35 37 37 7
9 180 4.000 27 28 29 8
10 240 3.302 22 23 24 9
10
Tabel 3.9 Perhitungan Tetapan-tetapan dalam Rumusan Intensitas Curah Hujan untuk periode Ulang 2 Tahun
Log
No t I I. t I2 I2.t Log t Log I Log t^2 Akar t I. akar t I2. akar t
[Link] I
1 5 291.4 1457.1 84927.6 424637.8 0.7 2.5 1.7 0.5 2.2 651.6 189903.8
2 10 183.6 1835.9 33703.5 337035.3 1.0 2.3 2.3 1.0 3.2 580.5 106579.9
3 20 115.7 2313.0 13375.3 267505.1 1.3 2.1 2.7 1.7 4.5 517.2 59816.0
4 30 88.3 2647.8 7789.6 233687.2 1.5 1.9 2.9 2.2 5.5 483.4 42665.3
5 40 72.9 2914.2 5308.0 212318.9 1.6 1.9 3.0 2.6 6.3 460.8 33570.6
6 60 55.6 3336.0 3091.3 185477.7 1.8 1.7 3.1 3.2 7.7 430.7 23945.1
7 80 45.9 3671.7 2106.5 168517.6 1.9 1.7 3.2 3.6 8.9 410.5 18840.8
8 120 35.0 4203.1 1226.8 147213.7 2.1 1.5 3.2 4.3 11.0 383.7 13438.7
9 180 26.7 4811.3 714.5 128603.0 2.3 1.4 3.2 5.1 13.4 358.6 9585.5
10 240 22.1 5295.5 486.8 116843.6 2.4 1.3 3.2 5.7 15.5 341.8 7542.2
Jumlah 937.1 32485.5 152729.7 2221839.9 16.5 18.3 28.4 29.8 78.2 4618.9 505887.8
Talbot
2879441504.42995 8223438.107 4435.637998958
Log a = b= I=
649160.617955413 649160.618 t + 12.6678
a= 4435.6379989578 b= 12.6678019
Sherman
77.5147247925604 17.63398965 852.1270259623
Log a = n= I=
26.450984476018 26.45098448 t^n
Tabel 3.9 Perhitungan Tetapan-tetapan dalam Rumusan Intensitas Curah Hujan untuk periode Ulang 5 Tahun
Log
No t I I. t I2 I2.t Log t Log I Log t^2 Akar t I. akar t I2. akar t
[Link] I
1 5 304.5 1522.5 92720.8 463604.1 0.7 2.5 1.7 0.5 2.2 680.9 207330.0
2 10 191.8 1918.2 36796.3 367962.8 1.0 2.3 2.3 1.0 3.2 606.6 116360.1
3 20 120.8 2416.8 14602.6 292052.3 1.3 2.1 2.7 1.7 4.5 540.4 65304.9
4 30 92.2 2766.6 8504.4 255131.2 1.5 2.0 2.9 2.2 5.5 505.1 46580.4
5 40 76.1 3045.0 5795.1 231802.0 1.6 1.9 3.0 2.6 6.3 481.5 36651.1
6 60 58.1 3485.7 3375.0 202497.7 1.8 1.8 3.1 3.2 7.7 450.0 26142.3
7 80 48.0 3836.5 2299.8 183981.4 1.9 1.7 3.2 3.6 8.9 428.9 20569.7
8 120 36.6 4391.7 1339.4 160722.6 2.1 1.6 3.3 4.3 11.0 400.9 14671.9
9 180 27.9 5027.2 780.0 140404.1 2.3 1.4 3.3 5.1 13.4 374.7 10465.1
10 240 23.1 5533.1 531.5 127565.6 2.4 1.4 3.2 5.7 15.5 357.2 8234.3
Jumlah 979.1 33943.3 166744.8 2425723.7 16.5 18.5 28.7 29.8 78.2 4826.2 552309.9
Talbot
3284740933.78879 8978049.654 4634.686712
Log a = b= I=
708729.874941472 708729.8749 t + 12.6678
a= 4634.68671200018 b= 12.6678019
Sherman
78.0189939635711 17.63398965 890.3661220982
Log a = n= I=
26.450984476018 26.45098448 t^n
a= 372.424392431243 b= 6.59946204
Tabel 3.9 Perhitungan Tetapan-tetapan dalam Rumusan Intensitas Curah Hujan untuk periode Ulang 10 Tahun
Log
No t I I. t I2 I2.t Log t Log I Log t^2 Akar t I. akar t I2. akar t
[Link] I
1 5 311.57 1557.84 97074.40 485372.0 0.7 2.5 1.7 0.5 2.2 696.7 217065.0
2 10 196.28 1962.75 38524.00 385240.0 1.0 2.3 2.3 1.0 3.2 620.7 121823.6
3 20 123.65 2472.91 15288.26 305765.2 1.3 2.1 2.7 1.7 4.5 553.0 68371.2
4 30 94.36 2830.78 8903.68 267110.5 1.5 2.0 2.9 2.2 5.5 516.8 48767.5
5 40 77.89 3115.68 6067.15 242686.0 1.6 1.9 3.0 2.6 6.3 492.6 38372.0
6 60 59.44 3566.56 3533.43 212005.8 1.8 1.8 3.2 3.2 7.7 460.4 27369.8
7 80 49.07 3925.51 2407.75 192620.0 1.9 1.7 3.2 3.6 8.9 438.9 21535.6
8 120 37.45 4493.58 1402.24 168269.1 2.1 1.6 3.3 4.3 11.0 410.2 15360.8
9 180 28.58 5143.87 816.65 146996.6 2.3 1.5 3.3 5.1 13.4 383.4 10956.5
10 240 23.59 5661.56 556.48 133555.3 2.4 1.4 3.3 5.7 15.5 365.5 8621.0
Jumlah 1001.86 34731.04 174574.05 2539620.5 16.5 18.6 28.9 29.8 78.2 4938.2 578242.9
Talbot
3518781879.97741 9399602.451 4742.246494485
Log a = b= I=
742007.376476481 742007.3765 t + 12.6678
a= 4742.24649448474 b= 12.6678019
Sherman
78.2825447334137 17.63398965 911.0293497068
Log a = n= I=
26.450984476018 26.45098448 t^n
a= 381.067454871285 b= 6.601006538
Tabel 3.10 Perbandingan Kecocokan Rumus-rumus Intensitas Hujan
Intensitas Hujan I2
No t I5
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
1 5 304.5 262.3 304.5009 109.350102
2 10 191.8 204.5 191.8236 91.4094532
3 20 120.8 141.9 120.8413 72.2107227
4 30 92.2 108.6 92.21915 61.5603056
5 40 76.1 88.0 76.12523 54.5566464
6 60 58.1 63.8 58.09443 45.6354941
7 80 48.0 50.0 47.95589 40.0203167
8 120 36.6 34.9 36.59719 33.0995575
9 180 27.9 24.1 27.92889 27.2635826
10 240 23.1 18.3 23.05479 23.7160335
Intensitas Hujan I2
No t I10
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
1 5 311.6 268.4 311.5677 111.880403
2 10 196.3 209.2 196.2753 93.5264929
3 20 123.6 145.2 123.6457 73.8844125
4 30 94.4 111.1 94.35933 62.9876412
5 40 77.9 90.0 77.89191 55.8218481
6 60 59.4 65.3 59.44266 46.6940413
7 80 49.1 51.2 49.06883 40.9487255
8 120 37.4 35.7 37.44653 33.867511
9 180 28.6 24.6 28.57705 27.8961885
10 240 23.6 18.8 23.58983 24.2663489
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
0 50 100 150 200 250 3
Deviasi M ([S])
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
40.4 0.0 186.8
-12.1 0.0 96.1
-20.1 0.0 46.5
-15.7 0.0 29.3
-11.4 0.0 20.6
-5.4 0.0 11.9
-2.0 0.0 7.6
1.6 0.0 3.3
3.7 0.0 0.6
4.5 0.0 -0.6
Deviasi M ([S])
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
42.2 0.0 195.2
-12.6 0.0 100.4
-21.0 0.0 48.6
-16.4 0.0 30.7
-11.9 0.0 21.6
-5.7 0.0 12.5
-2.1 0.0 7.9
1.7 0.0 3.5
3.9 0.0 0.7
4.7 0.0 -0.7
Deviasi M ([S])
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
43.2 0.0 199.7
-12.9 0.0 102.7
-21.5 0.0 49.8
-16.8 0.0 31.4
-12.1 0.0 22.1
-5.8 0.0 12.7
-2.1 0.0 8.1
1.7 0.0 3.6
4.0 0.0 0.7
4.8 0.0 -0.7
LANG 2 TAHUN
TALBOT
SHERMAN
ISHIGURO
jan (mm/jam)
I10 Sherman
311.6 311.567655
196.3 196.275323
123.6 123.645706
94.4 94.3593336
77.9 77.8919137
59.4 59.4426554
49.1 49.0688309
37.4 37.4465264
28.6 28.577048
23.6 23.5898334
3.3 PERHITUNGAN INTENSITAS CURAH HUJAN
R 24
I = X ( )2/3
24 t
Diketahui :
R2 = 161.798 mm
R5 = 161.820 mm
R10 = 161.833 mm
= 0.000 mm
Untuk t = 1 jam
161.798 24
I2 = x ( )2/3 = 56.092
24 1
161.820 24
I5 = x ( )2/3 = 56.100
24 1
161.833 24
I10 = x ( )2/3 = 56.104
24 1
Untuk t = 2 jam
161.798 24
I2 = x ( )2/3 = 35.336
24 2
161.820 24
I5 = x ( )2/3 = 35.341
24 2
161.833 24
I10 = x ( )2/3 = 35.343
24 2
0.000 24
I15 = x ( )2/3 = 0.000
24 2
Untuk t = 3 jam
161.798 24
I2 = x ( )2/3 = 26.966
24 3
161.820 24
I5 = x ( )2/3 = 26.970
24 3
161.833 24
I10 = x ( )2/3 = 26.972
24 3
0.000 24
I15 = x ( )2/3 = 0.000
I15 = x ( )2/3 = 0.000
24 3
Untuk t = 4 jam
161.798 24
I2 = x ( )2/3 = 22.260
24 4
161.820 24
I5 = x ( )2/3 = 22.263
24 4
161.833 24
I10 = x ( )2/3 = 22.265
24 4
0.000 24
I15 = x ( )2/3 = 0.000
24 4
Untuk t = 5 jam
161.798 24
I2 = x ( )2/3 = 19.183
24 5
161.820 24
I5 = x ( )2/3 = 19.186
24 5
161.833 24
I10 = x ( )2/3 = 19.187
24 5
0.000 24
I15 = x ( )2/3 = 0.000
24 5
3.3.2 Tabel Intensitas Hujan
t Intensitas (mm/jam)
(jam) I2 I5 I 10 I 15
1 56.092 56.100 56.104 3.828
2 35.336 35.341 35.343 #DIV/0!
3 26.966 26.970 26.972 #DIV/0!
4 22.260 22.263 22.265 #DIV/0!
5 19.183 19.186 19.187 #DIV/0!
6 16.988 16.990 16.991 #DIV/0!
7 15.329 15.331 15.332 #DIV/0!
8 14.023 14.025 14.026 #DIV/0!
9 12.964 12.966 12.967 #DIV/0!
10 12.085 12.086 12.087 #DIV/0!
11 11.341 11.342 11.343 #DIV/0!
12 10.702 10.703 10.704 #DIV/0!
13 10.146 10.147 10.148 #DIV/0!
14 9.656 9.658 9.659 #DIV/0!
15 9.222 9.224 9.224 #DIV/0!
16 8.834 8.835 8.836 #DIV/0!
17 8.484 8.485 8.486 #DIV/0!
18 8.167 8.168 8.169 #DIV/0!
19 7.878 7.879 7.879 #DIV/0!
20 7.613 7.614 7.615 #DIV/0!
21 7.369 7.370 7.371 #DIV/0!
22 7.144 7.145 7.146 #DIV/0!
23 6.936 6.937 6.937 #DIV/0!
24 6.742 6.743 6.743 #DIV/0!
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
mm/jam
I 15 1 56.092 56.100 56.104
3.828 2 35.336 35.341 35.343
#DIV/0! 3 26.966 26.970 26.972
#DIV/0! 4 22.260 22.263 22.265
#DIV/0! 5 19.183 19.186 19.187
#DIV/0! 6 16.988 16.990 16.991
#DIV/0! 7 15.329 15.331 15.332
#DIV/0! 8 14.023 14.025 14.026
#DIV/0! 9 12.964 12.966 12.967
#DIV/0! 10 12.085 12.086 12.087
#DIV/0! 11 11.341 11.342 11.343
#DIV/0! 12 10.702 10.703 10.704
#DIV/0! 13 10.146 10.147 10.148
#DIV/0! 14 9.656 9.658 9.659
#DIV/0! 15 9.222 9.224 9.224
#DIV/0! 16 8.834 8.835 8.836
#DIV/0! 17 8.484 8.485 8.486
#DIV/0! 18 8.167 8.168 8.169
#DIV/0! 19 7.878 7.879 7.879
#DIV/0! 20 7.613 7.614 7.615
#DIV/0! 21 7.369 7.370 7.371
#DIV/0! 22 7.144 7.145 7.146
#DIV/0! 23 6.936 6.937 6.937
#DIV/0! 24 6.742 6.743 6.743
#DIV/0!