Basic and Intermediate
Technical Analysis
Bagian Kedua
Sunar Susanto, MSc.
Updated : 7 September 2018
Untuk Kalangan Sendiri, tidak untuk di
sebar luaskan tanpa izin tertulis
Daftar Referensi Buku
1. Technical Analysis of Stock Trends
Edwards, Magee, Bassetti
2. Technical Analysis of The Financial Markets
John J. Murphy
3. Getting Started in Chart Patterns 2nd Edition
Thomas Bulkowski
4. How to Make Money in Stocks
William J O’Neil
5. Fibonacci for the Active Trader
Derrik S. Hobb
6. Candlesticks, Fibonacci, and Chart Pattern Trading Tools
Robert and Jen Fischer
http:[Link]
Chart Patterns
• Chart Patterns adalah formasi berulang yang muncul
pada grafik harga
• Mereka mencerminkan perilaku perdagangan
pedagang profesional, perusahaan/Institusi dan
individu
• Gunakan pergerakan (harga) sebelumnya untuk
membantu mengidentifikasi pergerakan harga di masa
depan
• Jangan berharap untuk menjadi kaya semalam di
Saham
• Foot-Prints / Jejak Perdagangan dari yang Mahir
sampai ke yang Bodoh
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Basic Chart Patterns
• Harga saham terbentuk bukan secara acak /
Random, tetapi bergerak dengan pola /
pattern tertentu
• Ada dua Kelompok / Kategori dari Chart
Patterns:
1. Continuation (Kelanjutan dari arah Trend)
2. Reversal (Pembalikan arah Trend)
http:[Link]
Continuation Chart Patterns
[Link]
http:[Link]
Continuation Chart Patterns
Ascending Triangles Descending Triangles
(Bullish Continuation) (Bearish Continuation)
[Link]
http:[Link]
Cup and Handle Patterns
[Link]
http:[Link]
Reversal Chart Patterns
Head aNd Shoulder (HNS)
Inverted Head aNd Shoulder
http:[Link]
Reversal Chart Patterns
• Double Tops and Double Bottoms
http:[Link]
Identifying Chart Patterns
Teknik Identifikasi Pola Grafik Teknikal
• The blank Chart / Chart Kosong
• Connecting Peaks / Menghubungkan Puncak
• Connecting Valleys / Menghubungkan Lembah
• Patterns with Curves / Pola Kurfa
• Patterns with Diagonals / Garis Diagonal
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Blank Chart
Chart yang kosong, tanpa tambahan gambaran
Indikator Teknikal menunjukkan Pergerakan
harga ke atas (Uptrend), ke bawah
(Downtrend) atau ke samping (Sideways)
Figure 3: Blank Chart, chart kosong tanpa gambaran analisa teknikal
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Menggambar Garis:
Drawing the Lines
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
Menggambar garis pada Chart http:[Link]
A Stair Step Movement
Figure 4: Pergerakan menyerupai Anak Tangga
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Connecting Peaks:
Menghubungkan Puncak
• Mulailah membangun pola bagan (Chart
Pattern) dengan secara visual menemukan
puncak yang memiliki harga yang hampir sama
• Dua puncak (B dan D) yang berada di dekat
harga yang hampir sama bisa membentuk
Chart Pattern: Double Top
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Menghubungkan Puncak
Mengubungkan dua puncak pada pola Double Top http:[Link]
Menghubungkan Puncak
• Jika beberapa puncak berhenti di dekat harga
yang sama, lihatlah lembah di antara puncak
untuk petunjuk yang lebih baik mengenai
jenisnya. Mereka bisa Triple Tops, Ascending
Triangle, atau pola Broadening
• Cari pola Chart dengan mencari lembah-
lembah di bawah dengan harga yang hampir
sama
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Triple Tops, Ascending Triangle, Or Broadening
http:[Link]
Menghubungkan Lembah
• Cari pola Chart dengan mencari lembah-
lembah di bawah dengan harga yang hampir
sama
• Beberapa lembah dengan harga yang hampir
sama bisa membentuk Triple Bottoms,
Descending Triangle, atau pola Broadening
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Triple Bottoms, Descending Triangle, Or Broadening
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Patterns with Curves / Pola Kurva
• Cari kurva (garis melengkung) pada grafik
harga dan hubungkan kurva tersebut dengan
garis imajiner untuk membentuk pola bagan
• Beberapa pola dengan Kurva : Scallops
(Kerang), Cup with Handles, and Rounding
tops and bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Pola Garis Melengkung (Kurfa)
Patterns with Curves http:[Link]
Pola Garis Melengkung (Kurfa): Scallops
http:[Link]
Pola Diagonal
• Cari garis yang membentuk garis Kemiringan
atas atau ke bawah
• Pola Diagonal terdapat di Broadening
patterns, Diamonds, and Wedges
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Patterns with Diagonals
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
Ten Buy Signals
1. High and Tight Flag
2. Pipe Bottoms
3. Inverted and Ascending Scallops
4. Three Rising Valleys
5. Rounding Bottoms
6. Descending Triangles
7. Ascending Broadening Wedges
8. Eve and Eve Double Bottoms
9. Triple Bottoms
10. Head and Shoulders Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:[Link]
High and Tight Flag
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Case Study : INDY Daily Chart
http:[Link]
Pipe Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Inverted and Ascending Scallops
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Three Rising Valleys
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Rounding Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Rounding Bottoms
http:[Link]
Descending Triangles
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Ascending Broadening Wedges
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Eve and Eve Double Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Triple Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Head and Shoulders Bottoms
Reversed Head and Shoulders
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Ten Sell Signals
1. Head and Shoulders Tops
2. Diamond Tops and Bottoms
3. Double Tops
4. Ascending and Symmetrical Triangles
5. Flags and Pennants
6. Pipe Tops
7. Measured Moves
8. Simple ABC Correction
9. Broadening Tops and Bottoms
10. Triple Tops
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Head and Shoulders Tops
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Diamond Tops and Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Double Tops
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Ascending and Symmetrical Triangles
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Flags and Pennants
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Pipe Tops
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
CPIN : Pipe Tops
Pipe Tops – Reversal Signal
http:[Link]
Measured Moves
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Simple ABC Correction
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Broadening Tops and Bottoms
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Triple Tops
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:[Link]
Candlestick Patterns
• Reversal (Pembalikan Arah)
– Bullish Reversal
• Pembalikan Arah dari Bearsih ke Bullish
– Bearish Reversal
• Pembalikan Arah dari Bullish ke Bearsih
• Continuation (Berkelanjutan)
– Bullish Continuation
• Tren Bullish berlanjut
– Bearish Continuation
• Tren Bearish berlanjut
Sumber : Dari buku Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John J. Murphy http:[Link]
Candlestick Patterns
Bullish Reversal
• Long White Body
• Hammer
• Inverted Hammer
• Bullish Engulfing
• Bullish Harami, Bullish Harami Cross
• Piercing Line
• Doji Star
• Three White Soldiers
• Morning Star, Morning Doji Star
• Bullish Abandoned Baby
• Ladder Bottom
http:[Link]
Candlestick Patterns
Bearish Reversal
• Long Black Body
• Hanging Man
• Shooting Star
• Bearish Engulfing
• Doji Star
• Bearish Harami, Bearish Harami Cross
• Bearish Abandoned Baby
• Three Black Crows
• Tri Star
• Evening Star, Evening Doji Star
• Ladder Bottom
http:[Link]
Candlestick Patterns : Doji
• Doji – Open Price = Close Price
[Link]
http:[Link]
Candlestick Patterns : Marubozu
• Marubozu – No Shadows, Body Only
[Link]
http:[Link]
Candle Stick Patterns
• Three White Soldiers : Kemungkinan akhir dari fase
Downtrend, Reversal
• Three Black Crows : Kemungkinan akhir dari fase Uptrend,
Reversal
• Candle kedua haris lebih tinggi dari Candle pertama, dan
mempunyai Kepala dan ekor yang pendek
[Link]
http:[Link]
Hammer and Inverted Hammer
[Link]
[Link]
http:[Link]
Ladder Bottom dan Ladder Top
Bullish Reversal Bearish Reversal
http:[Link]
Harami Patterns
Harami = Hamil
[Link]
http:[Link]
Engulfing Patterns
[Link]
[Link]
http:[Link]
Morning and Evening Star
Bullish Reversal Bearish Reversal
http:[Link]
Patternz Software
• Dikembangkan oleh Thomas Bulkowski
• Download di
[Link]
PZTourPF
• Untuk mencari Chart Patterns dan Candlestick
Patterns
http:[Link]
Patternz Software
http:[Link]
Patternz Software
http:[Link]