I n [ ] : = rise = {{1, 97}, {2, 97}, {3, 98}, {4, 98}, {5, 98}, {6, 98}, {7, 99},

}, {8, 99}, {9, 99},

{10, 99}, {11, 99}, {12, 99}, {13, 99}, {14, 99}, {15, 99}, {16, 99}, {17, 99},
{18, 99}, {19, 99}, {20, 98}, {21, 98}, {22, 98}, {23, 98}, {24, 98}, {25, 97},
{26, 97}, {27, 97}, {28, 96}, {29, 96}, {30, 96}, {31, 95}, {32, 95}, {33, 94},
{34, 94}, {35, 94}, {36, 93}, {37, 92}, {38, 92}, {39, 91}, {40, 91}, {41, 90},
{42, 89}, {43, 89}, {44, 88}, {45, 87}, {46, 87}, {47, 86}, {48, 85}, {49, 84},
{50, 84}, {51, 83}, {52, 82}, {53, 81}, {54, 80}, {55, 80}, {56, 79}, {57, 78},
{58, 77}, {59, 76}, {60, 75}, {61, 74}, {62, 73}, {63, 73}, {64, 73}, {65, 71},
{66, 70}, {67, 69}, {68, 68}, {69, 67}, {70, 66}, {71, 65}, {72, 64}, {73, 63},
{74, 62}, {75, 61}, {76, 60}, {77, 59}, {78, 58}, {79, 57}, {80, 56}, {81, 55},
{82, 54}, {83, 53}, {84, 52}, {85, 51}, {86, 50}, {87, 49}, {88, 48}, {89, 47},
{90, 46}, {91, 44}, {92, 43}, {93, 43}, {94, 42}, {95, 40}, {96, 39}, {97, 38},
{98, 38}, {99, 37}, {100, 36}, {101, 35}, {102, 34}, {103, 33}, {104, 32}, {105, 31},
{106, 30}, {107, 29}, {108, 28}, {109, 27}, {110, 26}, {111, 25}, {112, 25}, {113, 24},
{114, 23}, {115, 22}, {116, 21}, {117, 21}, {118, 20}, {119, 19}, {120, 18}, {121, 18},
{122, 17}, {123, 17}, {124, 15}, {125, 15}, {126, 14}, {127, 13}, {128, 13}, {129, 12},
{130, 12}, {131, 11}, {132, 11}, {133, 10}, {134, 9}, {135, 9}, {136, 9}, {137, 8},
{138, 8}, {139, 7}, {140, 7}, {141, 6}, {142, 6}, {143, 6}, {144, 5}, {145, 5},
{146, 5}, {147, 5}, {148, 4}, {149, 4}, {150, 4}, {151, 4}, {152, 4}, {153, 4},
{154, 3}, {155, 3}, {156, 3}, {157, 3}, {158, 3}, {159, 3}, {160, 3}, {161, 3},
{162, 3}, {163, 3}, {164, 3}, {165, 3}, {166, 3}, {167, 4}, {168, 4}, {169, 4},
{170, 4}, {171, 4}, {172, 5}, {173, 5}, {174, 5}, {175, 5}, {176, 6}, {177, 6},
{178, 6}, {179, 6}, {180, 7}, {181, 7}, {182, 7}, {183, 8}, {184, 8}, {185, 8},
{186, 9}, {187, 9}, {188, 10}, {189, 10}, {190, 10}, {191, 11}, {192, 11}, {193, 12},
{194, 12}, {195, 13}, {196, 13}, {197, 14}, {198, 14}, {199, 14}, {200, 15}, {201, 15},
{202, 16}, {203, 16}, {204, 17}, {205, 17}, {206, 18}, {207, 18}, {208, 19}, {209, 19},
{210, 20}, {211, 20}, {212, 20}, {213, 21}, {214, 21}, {215, 22}, {216, 22}, {217, 23},
{218, 23}, {219, 24}, {220, 24}, {221, 25}, {222, 25}, {223, 25}, {224, 26}, {225, 26},
{226, 27}, {227, 27}, {228, 28}, {229, 28}, {230, 28}, {231, 29}, {232, 29}, {233, 30},
{234, 30}, {235, 30}, {236, 31}, {237, 31}, {238, 32}, {239, 32}, {240, 32}, {241, 32},
{242, 33}, {243, 34}, {244, 34}, {245, 34}, {246, 35}, {247, 35}, {248, 35}, {249, 36},
{250, 36}, {251, 36}, {252, 37}, {253, 37}, {254, 37}, {255, 38}, {256, 38}, {257, 39},
{258, 39}, {259, 39}, {260, 40}, {261, 40}, {262, 40}, {263, 41}, {264, 41}, {265, 41},
{266, 42}, {267, 42}, {268, 43}, {269, 43}, {270, 43}, {271, 44}, {272, 44}, {273, 44},
{274, 45}, {275, 45}, {276, 46}, {277, 46}, {278, 46}, {279, 47}, {280, 47}, {281, 48},
{282, 48}, {283, 48}, {284, 49}, {285, 49}, {286, 50}, {287, 50}, {288, 51}, {289, 51},
{290, 52}, {291, 52}, {292, 53}, {293, 53}, {294, 54}, {295, 54}, {296, 55}, {297, 55},
{298, 56}, {299, 56}, {300, 56}, {301, 57}, {302, 58}, {303, 59}, {304, 59}, {305, 60},
{306, 60}, {307, 61}, {308, 62}, {309, 62}, {310, 63}, {311, 64}, {312, 64}, {313, 65},
{314, 65}, {315, 66}, {316, 67}, {317, 67}, {318, 68}, {319, 69}, {320, 70}, {321, 70},
{322, 71}, {323, 72}, {324, 72}, {325, 73}, {326, 74}, {327, 74}, {328, 75}, {329, 75},
{330, 77}, {331, 77}, {332, 78}, {333, 79}, {334, 79}, {335, 80}, {336, 81}, {337, 82},
{338, 82}, {339, 83}, {340, 84}, {341, 84}, {342, 85}, {343, 86}, {344, 86},
{345, 87}, {346, 88}, {347, 88}, {348, 89}, {349, 89}, {350, 90}, {351, 90},
{352, 91}, {353, 92}, {354, 92}, {355, 93}, {356, 93}, {357, 94}, {358, 94},
{359, 94}, {360, 95}, {361, 95}, {362, 96}, {363, 96}, {364, 96}, {365, 97}}
2 project (2).nb

O u t [ ] =
{{1, 97}, {2, 97}, {3, 98}, {4, 98}, {5, 98}, {6, 98}, {7, 99}, {8, 99}, {9, 99}, {10, 99},
{11, 99}, {12, 99}, {13, 99}, {14, 99}, {15, 99}, {16, 99}, {17, 99}, {18, 99}, {19, 99},
{20, 98}, {21, 98}, {22, 98}, {23, 98}, {24, 98}, {25, 97}, {26, 97}, {27, 97}, {28, 96},
{29, 96}, {30, 96}, {31, 95}, {32, 95}, {33, 94}, {34, 94}, {35, 94}, {36, 93}, {37, 92},
{38, 92}, {39, 91}, {40, 91}, {41, 90}, {42, 89}, {43, 89}, {44, 88}, {45, 87},
{46, 87}, {47, 86}, {48, 85}, {49, 84}, {50, 84}, {51, 83}, {52, 82}, {53, 81},
{54, 80}, {55, 80}, {56, 79}, {57, 78}, {58, 77}, {59, 76}, {60, 75}, {61, 74},
{62, 73}, {63, 73}, {64, 73}, {65, 71}, {66, 70}, {67, 69}, {68, 68}, {69, 67},
{70, 66}, {71, 65}, {72, 64}, {73, 63}, {74, 62}, {75, 61}, {76, 60}, {77, 59},
{78, 58}, {79, 57}, {80, 56}, {81, 55}, {82, 54}, {83, 53}, {84, 52}, {85, 51},
{86, 50}, {87, 49}, {88, 48}, {89, 47}, {90, 46}, {91, 44}, {92, 43}, {93, 43},
{94, 42}, {95, 40}, {96, 39}, {97, 38}, {98, 38}, {99, 37}, {100, 36}, {101, 35},
{102, 34}, {103, 33}, {104, 32}, {105, 31}, {106, 30}, {107, 29}, {108, 28}, {109, 27},
{110, 26}, {111, 25}, {112, 25}, {113, 24}, {114, 23}, {115, 22}, {116, 21}, {117, 21},
{118, 20}, {119, 19}, {120, 18}, {121, 18}, {122, 17}, {123, 17}, {124, 15}, {125, 15},
{126, 14}, {127, 13}, {128, 13}, {129, 12}, {130, 12}, {131, 11}, {132, 11}, {133, 10},
{134, 9}, {135, 9}, {136, 9}, {137, 8}, {138, 8}, {139, 7}, {140, 7}, {141, 6},
{142, 6}, {143, 6}, {144, 5}, {145, 5}, {146, 5}, {147, 5}, {148, 4}, {149, 4},
{150, 4}, {151, 4}, {152, 4}, {153, 4}, {154, 3}, {155, 3}, {156, 3}, {157, 3},
{158, 3}, {159, 3}, {160, 3}, {161, 3}, {162, 3}, {163, 3}, {164, 3}, {165, 3},
{166, 3}, {167, 4}, {168, 4}, {169, 4}, {170, 4}, {171, 4}, {172, 5}, {173, 5},
{174, 5}, {175, 5}, {176, 6}, {177, 6}, {178, 6}, {179, 6}, {180, 7}, {181, 7},
{182, 7}, {183, 8}, {184, 8}, {185, 8}, {186, 9}, {187, 9}, {188, 10}, {189, 10},
{190, 10}, {191, 11}, {192, 11}, {193, 12}, {194, 12}, {195, 13}, {196, 13}, {197, 14},
{198, 14}, {199, 14}, {200, 15}, {201, 15}, {202, 16}, {203, 16}, {204, 17}, {205, 17},
{206, 18}, {207, 18}, {208, 19}, {209, 19}, {210, 20}, {211, 20}, {212, 20}, {213, 21},
{214, 21}, {215, 22}, {216, 22}, {217, 23}, {218, 23}, {219, 24}, {220, 24}, {221, 25},
{222, 25}, {223, 25}, {224, 26}, {225, 26}, {226, 27}, {227, 27}, {228, 28}, {229, 28},
{230, 28}, {231, 29}, {232, 29}, {233, 30}, {234, 30}, {235, 30}, {236, 31}, {237, 31},
{238, 32}, {239, 32}, {240, 32}, {241, 32}, {242, 33}, {243, 34}, {244, 34}, {245, 34},
{246, 35}, {247, 35}, {248, 35}, {249, 36}, {250, 36}, {251, 36}, {252, 37}, {253, 37},
{254, 37}, {255, 38}, {256, 38}, {257, 39}, {258, 39}, {259, 39}, {260, 40}, {261, 40},
{262, 40}, {263, 41}, {264, 41}, {265, 41}, {266, 42}, {267, 42}, {268, 43}, {269, 43},
{270, 43}, {271, 44}, {272, 44}, {273, 44}, {274, 45}, {275, 45}, {276, 46}, {277, 46},
{278, 46}, {279, 47}, {280, 47}, {281, 48}, {282, 48}, {283, 48}, {284, 49}, {285, 49},
{286, 50}, {287, 50}, {288, 51}, {289, 51}, {290, 52}, {291, 52}, {292, 53}, {293, 53},
{294, 54}, {295, 54}, {296, 55}, {297, 55}, {298, 56}, {299, 56}, {300, 56}, {301, 57},
{302, 58}, {303, 59}, {304, 59}, {305, 60}, {306, 60}, {307, 61}, {308, 62}, {309, 62},
{310, 63}, {311, 64}, {312, 64}, {313, 65}, {314, 65}, {315, 66}, {316, 67}, {317, 67},
{318, 68}, {319, 69}, {320, 70}, {321, 70}, {322, 71}, {323, 72}, {324, 72}, {325, 73},
{326, 74}, {327, 74}, {328, 75}, {329, 75}, {330, 77}, {331, 77}, {332, 78}, {333, 79},
{334, 79}, {335, 80}, {336, 81}, {337, 82}, {338, 82}, {339, 83}, {340, 84}, {341, 84},
{342, 85}, {343, 86}, {344, 86}, {345, 87}, {346, 88}, {347, 88}, {348, 89}, {349, 89},
{350, 90}, {351, 90}, {352, 91}, {353, 92}, {354, 92}, {355, 93}, {356, 93}, {357, 94},
{358, 94}, {359, 94}, {360, 95}, {361, 95}, {362, 96}, {363, 96}, {364, 96}, {365, 97}}
 project (2).nb 3

I n [ ] : = riseTimes = {97, 97, 98, 98, 98, 98, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 98, 98,
98, 98, 98, 97, 97, 97, 96, 96, 96, 95, 95, 94, 94, 94, 93, 92, 92, 91, 91, 90, 89, 89,
88, 87, 87, 86, 85, 84, 84, 83, 82, 81, 80, 80, 79, 78, 77, 76, 75, 74, 73, 73, 73, 71,
70, 69, 68, 67, 66, 65, 64, 63, 62, 61, 60, 59, 58, 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52, 51, 50, 49,
48, 47, 46, 44, 43, 43, 42, 40, 39, 38, 38, 37, 36, 35, 34, 33, 32, 31, 30, 29, 28, 27,
26, 25, 25, 24, 23, 22, 21, 21, 20, 19, 18, 18, 17, 17, 15, 15, 14, 13, 13, 12, 12, 11,
11, 10, 9, 9, 9, 8, 8, 7, 7, 6, 6, 6, 5, 5, 5, 5, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3,
3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 8, 9, 9, 10, 10, 10,
11, 11, 12, 12, 13, 13, 14, 14, 14, 15, 15, 16, 16, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 20,
21, 21, 22, 22, 23, 23, 24, 24, 25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 27, 27, 28, 28, 28, 29, 29, 30, 30,
30, 31, 31, 32, 32, 32, 32, 33, 34, 34, 34, 35, 35, 35, 36, 36, 36, 37, 37, 37, 38, 38,
39, 39, 39, 40, 40, 40, 41, 41, 41, 42, 42, 43, 43, 43, 44, 44, 44, 45, 45, 46, 46, 46,
47, 47, 48, 48, 48, 49, 49, 50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 53, 53, 54, 54, 55, 55, 56, 56, 56,
57, 58, 59, 59, 60, 60, 61, 62, 62, 63, 64, 64, 65, 65, 66, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 70, 71,
72, 72, 73, 74, 74, 75, 75, 77, 77, 78, 79, 79, 80, 81, 82, 82, 83, 84, 84, 85, 86, 86,
87, 88, 88, 89, 89, 90, 90, 91, 92, 92, 93, 93, 94, 94, 94, 95, 95, 96, 96, 96, 97}
h = ListPlot[riseTimes, PlotStyle  PointSize[0.005], PlotStyle  Directive[Red, Thick],
ColorFunction  "BlueGreenYellow"]
O u t [ ] =
{97, 97, 98, 98, 98, 98, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 98, 98, 98,
98, 98, 97, 97, 97, 96, 96, 96, 95, 95, 94, 94, 94, 93, 92, 92, 91, 91, 90, 89, 89, 88,
87, 87, 86, 85, 84, 84, 83, 82, 81, 80, 80, 79, 78, 77, 76, 75, 74, 73, 73, 73, 71, 70,
69, 68, 67, 66, 65, 64, 63, 62, 61, 60, 59, 58, 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52, 51, 50, 49, 48,
47, 46, 44, 43, 43, 42, 40, 39, 38, 38, 37, 36, 35, 34, 33, 32, 31, 30, 29, 28, 27, 26,
25, 25, 24, 23, 22, 21, 21, 20, 19, 18, 18, 17, 17, 15, 15, 14, 13, 13, 12, 12, 11, 11,
10, 9, 9, 9, 8, 8, 7, 7, 6, 6, 6, 5, 5, 5, 5, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3,
3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 8, 9, 9, 10, 10, 10,
11, 11, 12, 12, 13, 13, 14, 14, 14, 15, 15, 16, 16, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 20,
21, 21, 22, 22, 23, 23, 24, 24, 25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 27, 27, 28, 28, 28, 29, 29, 30, 30,
30, 31, 31, 32, 32, 32, 32, 33, 34, 34, 34, 35, 35, 35, 36, 36, 36, 37, 37, 37, 38, 38,
39, 39, 39, 40, 40, 40, 41, 41, 41, 42, 42, 43, 43, 43, 44, 44, 44, 45, 45, 46, 46, 46,
47, 47, 48, 48, 48, 49, 49, 50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 53, 53, 54, 54, 55, 55, 56, 56, 56,
57, 58, 59, 59, 60, 60, 61, 62, 62, 63, 64, 64, 65, 65, 66, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 70, 71,
72, 72, 73, 74, 74, 75, 75, 77, 77, 78, 79, 79, 80, 81, 82, 82, 83, 84, 84, 85, 86, 86,
87, 88, 88, 89, 89, 90, 90, 91, 92, 92, 93, 93, 94, 94, 94, 95, 95, 96, 96, 96, 97}
4 project (2).nb

O u t [ ] =

I n [ ] : = data0 = {{1, 97}, {2, 97}, {3, 98}, {4, 98}, {5, 98},
{6, 98}, {7, 99}, {8, 99}, {9, 99}, {10, 99}, {11, 99}, {12, 99},
{13, 99}, {14, 99}, {15, 99}, {16, 99}, {17, 99}, {18, 99}, {19, 99}}
O u t [ ] =
{{1, 97}, {2, 97}, {3, 98}, {4, 98}, {5, 98}, {6, 98}, {7, 99}, {8, 99}, {9, 99}, {10, 99},
{11, 99}, {12, 99}, {13, 99}, {14, 99}, {15, 99}, {16, 99}, {17, 99}, {18, 99}, {19, 99}}

I n [ ] : = riseTimes0 = {97, 97, 98, 98, 98, 98, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99}
O u t [ ] =
{97, 97, 98, 98, 98, 98, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99}

I n [ ] : = h0 = ListPlot[riseTimes0]
O u t [ ] =

99.0

98.5

98.0

97.5

97.0

5 10 15

I n [ ] : = data00 = {{20, 98}, {21, 98}, {22, 98}, {23, 98},

{24, 98}, {25, 97}, {26, 97}, {27, 97}, {28, 96}, {29, 96}, {30, 96}}
O u t [ ] =
{{20, 98}, {21, 98}, {22, 98}, {23, 98}, {24, 98},
{25, 97}, {26, 97}, {27, 97}, {28, 96}, {29, 96}, {30, 96}}

I n [ ] : = riseTimes00 = {98, 98, 98, 98, 98, 97, 97, 97, 96, 96, 96}
O u t [ ] =
{98, 98, 98, 98, 98, 97, 97, 97, 96, 96, 96}
 project (2).nb 5

I n [ ] : = h00 = ListPlot[riseTimes00]
O u t [ ] =

98.0

97.5

97.0

96.5

96.0

2 4 6 8 10

I n [ ] : = data000 = {{31, 95}, {32, 95}, {33, 94}, {34, 94}, {35, 94}, {36, 93}, {37, 92}, {38, 92},
{39, 91}, {40, 91}, {41, 90}, {42, 89}, {43, 89}, {44, 88}, {45, 87}, {46, 87}, {47, 86},
{48, 85}, {49, 84}, {50, 84}, {51, 83}, {52, 82}, {53, 81}, {54, 80}, {55, 80}, {56, 79},
{57, 78}, {58, 77}, {59, 76}, {60, 75}, {61, 74}, {62, 73}, {63, 73}, {64, 73}, {65, 71},
{66, 70}, {67, 69}, {68, 68}, {69, 67}, {70, 66}, {71, 65}, {72, 64}, {73, 63}, {74, 62},
{75, 61}, {76, 60}, {77, 59}, {78, 58}, {79, 57}, {80, 56}, {81, 55}, {82, 54},
{83, 53}, {84, 52}, {85, 51}, {86, 50}, {87, 49}, {88, 48}, {89, 47}, {90, 46},
{91, 44}, {92, 43}, {93, 43}, {94, 42}, {95, 40}, {96, 39}, {97, 38}, {98, 38}}
O u t [ ] =
{{31, 95}, {32, 95}, {33, 94}, {34, 94}, {35, 94}, {36, 93}, {37, 92}, {38, 92}, {39, 91},
{40, 91}, {41, 90}, {42, 89}, {43, 89}, {44, 88}, {45, 87}, {46, 87}, {47, 86}, {48, 85},
{49, 84}, {50, 84}, {51, 83}, {52, 82}, {53, 81}, {54, 80}, {55, 80}, {56, 79}, {57, 78},
{58, 77}, {59, 76}, {60, 75}, {61, 74}, {62, 73}, {63, 73}, {64, 73}, {65, 71}, {66, 70},
{67, 69}, {68, 68}, {69, 67}, {70, 66}, {71, 65}, {72, 64}, {73, 63}, {74, 62},
{75, 61}, {76, 60}, {77, 59}, {78, 58}, {79, 57}, {80, 56}, {81, 55}, {82, 54},
{83, 53}, {84, 52}, {85, 51}, {86, 50}, {87, 49}, {88, 48}, {89, 47}, {90, 46},
{91, 44}, {92, 43}, {93, 43}, {94, 42}, {95, 40}, {96, 39}, {97, 38}, {98, 38}}

I n [ ] : = riseTimes000 = {95, 95, 94, 94, 94, 93, 92, 92, 91, 91, 90, 89, 89, 88, 87, 87, 86, 85, 84, 84,
83, 82, 81, 80, 80, 79, 78, 77, 76, 75, 74, 73, 73, 73, 71, 70, 69, 68, 67, 66, 65, 64, 63, 62,
61, 60, 59, 58, 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52, 51, 50, 49, 48, 47, 46, 44, 43, 43, 42, 40, 39, 38, 38}
O u t [ ] =
{95, 95, 94, 94, 94, 93, 92, 92, 91, 91, 90, 89, 89, 88, 87, 87, 86, 85, 84, 84, 83, 82, 81, 80,
80, 79, 78, 77, 76, 75, 74, 73, 73, 73, 71, 70, 69, 68, 67, 66, 65, 64, 63, 62, 61, 60,
59, 58, 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52, 51, 50, 49, 48, 47, 46, 44, 43, 43, 42, 40, 39, 38, 38}
6 project (2).nb

I n [ ] : = h000 = ListPlot[riseTimes000]
O u t [ ] =
100

80

60

40

20

10 20 30 40 50 60

I n [ ] : = data1 = {{99, 37}, {100, 36}, {101, 35}, {102, 34}, {103, 33}, {104, 32},
{105, 31}, {106, 30}, {107, 29}, {108, 28}, {109, 27}, {110, 26}, {111, 25},
{112, 25}, {113, 24}, {114, 23}, {115, 22}, {116, 21}, {117, 21}, {118, 20},
{119, 19}, {120, 18}, {121, 18}, {122, 17}, {123, 17}, {124, 15}, {125, 15},
{126, 14}, {127, 13}, {128, 13}, {129, 12}, {130, 12}, {131, 11}, {132, 11},
{133, 10}, {134, 9}, {135, 9}, {136, 9}, {137, 8}, {138, 8}, {139, 7}, {140, 7},
{141, 6}, {142, 6}, {143, 6}, {144, 5}, {145, 5}, {146, 5}, {147, 5}, {148, 4}}
O u t [ ] =
{{99, 37}, {100, 36}, {101, 35}, {102, 34}, {103, 33}, {104, 32}, {105, 31}, {106, 30},
{107, 29}, {108, 28}, {109, 27}, {110, 26}, {111, 25}, {112, 25}, {113, 24}, {114, 23},
{115, 22}, {116, 21}, {117, 21}, {118, 20}, {119, 19}, {120, 18}, {121, 18}, {122, 17},
{123, 17}, {124, 15}, {125, 15}, {126, 14}, {127, 13}, {128, 13}, {129, 12}, {130, 12},
{131, 11}, {132, 11}, {133, 10}, {134, 9}, {135, 9}, {136, 9}, {137, 8}, {138, 8}, {139, 7},
{140, 7}, {141, 6}, {142, 6}, {143, 6}, {144, 5}, {145, 5}, {146, 5}, {147, 5}, {148, 4}}

I n [ ] : = riseTimes1 = {37, 36, 35, 34, 33, 32, 31, 30, 29, 28,
27, 26, 25, 25, 24, 23, 22, 21, 21, 20, 19, 18, 18, 17, 17, 15, 15, 14,
13, 13, 12, 12, 11, 11, 10, 9, 9, 9, 8, 8, 7, 7, 6, 6, 6, 5, 5, 5, 5, 4}
O u t [ ] =
{37, 36, 35, 34, 33, 32, 31, 30, 29, 28, 27, 26, 25, 25, 24, 23, 22, 21, 21, 20, 19, 18, 18, 17,
17, 15, 15, 14, 13, 13, 12, 12, 11, 11, 10, 9, 9, 9, 8, 8, 7, 7, 6, 6, 6, 5, 5, 5, 5, 4}
 project (2).nb 7

I n [ ] : = h1 = ListPlot[riseTimes1]
O u t [ ] =

35

30

25

20

15

10

10 20 30 40 50

I n [ ] : = data11 = {{149, 4}, {150, 4}, {151, 4}, {152, 4}, {153, 4}, {154, 3}, {155, 3},
{156, 3}, {157, 3}, {158, 3}, {159, 3}, {160, 3}, {161, 3}, {162, 3}, {163, 3},
{164, 3}, {165, 3}, {166, 3}, {167, 4}, {168, 4}, {169, 4}, {170, 4}, {171, 4}}
O u t [ ] =
{{149, 4}, {150, 4}, {151, 4}, {152, 4}, {153, 4}, {154, 3}, {155, 3},
{156, 3}, {157, 3}, {158, 3}, {159, 3}, {160, 3}, {161, 3}, {162, 3}, {163, 3},
{164, 3}, {165, 3}, {166, 3}, {167, 4}, {168, 4}, {169, 4}, {170, 4}, {171, 4}}

I n [ ] : = riseTimes11 = {4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4}
O u t [ ] =
{4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4}

I n [ ] : = h11 = ListPlot[riseTimes11]
O u t [ ] =

4.0

3.8

3.6

3.4

3.2

3.0

5 10 15 20
8 project (2).nb

I n [ ] : = data111 = {{172, 5}, {173, 5}, {174, 5}, {175, 5}, {176, 6}, {177, 6}, {178, 6}, {179, 6},
{180, 7}, {181, 7}, {182, 7}, {183, 8}, {184, 8}, {185, 8}, {186, 9}, {187, 9},
{188, 10}, {189, 10}, {190, 10}, {191, 11}, {192, 11}, {193, 12}, {194, 12}, {195, 13},
{196, 13}, {197, 14}, {198, 14}, {199, 14}, {200, 15}, {201, 15}, {202, 16}, {203, 16},
{204, 17}, {205, 17}, {206, 18}, {207, 18}, {208, 19}, {209, 19}, {210, 20}, {211, 20},
{212, 20}, {213, 21}, {214, 21}, {215, 22}, {216, 22}, {217, 23}, {218, 23}, {219, 24},
{220, 24}, {221, 25}, {222, 25}, {223, 25}, {224, 26}, {225, 26}, {226, 27}, {227, 27},
{228, 28}, {229, 28}, {230, 28}, {231, 29}, {232, 29}, {233, 30}, {234, 30}, {235, 30},
{236, 31}, {237, 31}, {238, 32}, {239, 32}, {240, 32}, {241, 32}, {242, 33},
{243, 34}, {244, 34}, {245, 34}, {246, 35}, {247, 35}, {248, 35}, {249, 36},
{250, 36}, {251, 36}, {252, 37}, {253, 37}, {254, 37}, {255, 38}, {256, 38},
{257, 39}, {258, 39}, {259, 39}, {260, 40}, {261, 40}, {262, 40}, {263, 41},
{264, 41}, {265, 41}, {266, 42}, {267, 42}, {268, 43}, {269, 43}, {270, 43}, {271, 44},
{272, 44}, {273, 44}, {274, 45}, {275, 45}, {276, 46}, {277, 46}, {278, 46},
{279, 47}, {280, 47}, {281, 48}, {282, 48}, {283, 48}, {284, 49}, {285, 49},
{286, 50}, {287, 50}, {288, 51}, {289, 51}, {290, 52}, {291, 52}, {292, 53},
{293, 53}, {294, 54}, {295, 54}, {296, 55}, {297, 55}, {298, 56}, {299, 56},
{300, 56}, {301, 57}, {302, 58}, {303, 59}, {304, 59}, {305, 60}, {306, 60}}
O u t [ ] =
{{172, 5}, {173, 5}, {174, 5}, {175, 5}, {176, 6}, {177, 6}, {178, 6}, {179, 6}, {180, 7},
{181, 7}, {182, 7}, {183, 8}, {184, 8}, {185, 8}, {186, 9}, {187, 9}, {188, 10},
{189, 10}, {190, 10}, {191, 11}, {192, 11}, {193, 12}, {194, 12}, {195, 13}, {196, 13},
{197, 14}, {198, 14}, {199, 14}, {200, 15}, {201, 15}, {202, 16}, {203, 16}, {204, 17},
{205, 17}, {206, 18}, {207, 18}, {208, 19}, {209, 19}, {210, 20}, {211, 20}, {212, 20},
{213, 21}, {214, 21}, {215, 22}, {216, 22}, {217, 23}, {218, 23}, {219, 24}, {220, 24},
{221, 25}, {222, 25}, {223, 25}, {224, 26}, {225, 26}, {226, 27}, {227, 27}, {228, 28},
{229, 28}, {230, 28}, {231, 29}, {232, 29}, {233, 30}, {234, 30}, {235, 30}, {236, 31},
{237, 31}, {238, 32}, {239, 32}, {240, 32}, {241, 32}, {242, 33}, {243, 34}, {244, 34},
{245, 34}, {246, 35}, {247, 35}, {248, 35}, {249, 36}, {250, 36}, {251, 36}, {252, 37},
{253, 37}, {254, 37}, {255, 38}, {256, 38}, {257, 39}, {258, 39}, {259, 39}, {260, 40},
{261, 40}, {262, 40}, {263, 41}, {264, 41}, {265, 41}, {266, 42}, {267, 42}, {268, 43},
{269, 43}, {270, 43}, {271, 44}, {272, 44}, {273, 44}, {274, 45}, {275, 45}, {276, 46},
{277, 46}, {278, 46}, {279, 47}, {280, 47}, {281, 48}, {282, 48}, {283, 48}, {284, 49},
{285, 49}, {286, 50}, {287, 50}, {288, 51}, {289, 51}, {290, 52}, {291, 52}, {292, 53},
{293, 53}, {294, 54}, {295, 54}, {296, 55}, {297, 55}, {298, 56}, {299, 56},
{300, 56}, {301, 57}, {302, 58}, {303, 59}, {304, 59}, {305, 60}, {306, 60}}

I n [ ] : = riseTimes111 = {5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 8, 9, 9, 10, 10, 10, 11, 11, 12, 12, 13,
13, 14, 14, 14, 15, 15, 16, 16, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 20, 21, 21, 22, 22, 23,
23, 24, 24, 25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 27, 27, 28, 28, 28, 29, 29, 30, 30, 30, 31, 31, 32, 32,
32, 32, 33, 34, 34, 34, 35, 35, 35, 36, 36, 36, 37, 37, 37, 38, 38, 39, 39, 39, 40,
40, 40, 41, 41, 41, 42, 42, 43, 43, 43, 44, 44, 44, 45, 45, 46, 46, 46, 47, 47, 48,
48, 48, 49, 49, 50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 53, 53, 54, 54, 55, 55, 56, 56, 56, 57, 58,
59, 59, 60, 60, 61, 62, 62, 63, 64, 64, 65, 65, 66, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 70, 71, 72,
72, 73, 74, 74, 75, 75, 77, 77, 78, 79, 79, 80, 81, 82, 82, 83, 84, 84, 85, 86, 86,
87, 88, 88, 89, 89, 90, 90, 91, 92, 92, 93, 93, 94, 94, 94, 95, 95, 96, 96, 96, 97}
 project (2).nb 9

I n [ ] : = {5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 8, 9, 9, 10, 10, 10, 11, 11, 12, 12, 13, 13, 14, 14,
14, 15, 15, 16, 16, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 20, 21, 21, 22, 22, 23, 23, 24, 24,
25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 27, 27, 28, 28, 28, 29, 29, 30, 30, 30, 31, 31, 32, 32, 32, 32, 33,
34, 34, 34, 35, 35, 35, 36, 36, 36, 37, 37, 37, 38, 38, 39, 39, 39, 40, 40, 40, 41, 41,
41, 42, 42, 43, 43, 43, 44, 44, 44, 45, 45, 46, 46, 46, 47, 47, 48, 48, 48, 49, 49,
50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 53, 53, 54, 54, 55, 55, 56, 56, 56, 57, 58, 59, 59, 60, 60}
O u t [ ] =
{5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 8, 9, 9, 10, 10, 10, 11, 11, 12, 12, 13, 13, 14, 14,
14, 15, 15, 16, 16, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 20, 21, 21, 22, 22, 23, 23, 24, 24,
25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 27, 27, 28, 28, 28, 29, 29, 30, 30, 30, 31, 31, 32, 32, 32, 32, 33,
34, 34, 34, 35, 35, 35, 36, 36, 36, 37, 37, 37, 38, 38, 39, 39, 39, 40, 40, 40, 41, 41,
41, 42, 42, 43, 43, 43, 44, 44, 44, 45, 45, 46, 46, 46, 47, 47, 48, 48, 48, 49, 49,
50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 53, 53, 54, 54, 55, 55, 56, 56, 56, 57, 58, 59, 59, 60, 60}

I n [ ] : = h111 = ListPlot[riseTimes111]
O u t [ ] =
100

80

60

40

20

50 100 150

I n [ ] : = data2 = {{307, 61}, {308, 62}, {309, 62}, {310, 63}, {311, 64}, {312, 64}, {313, 65},
{314, 65}, {315, 66}, {316, 67}, {317, 67}, {318, 68}, {319, 69}, {320, 70}, {321, 70},
{322, 71}, {323, 72}, {324, 72}, {325, 73}, {326, 74}, {327, 74}, {328, 75}, {329, 75},
{330, 77}, {331, 77}, {332, 78}, {333, 79}, {334, 79}, {335, 80}, {336, 81}, {337, 82},
{338, 82}, {339, 83}, {340, 84}, {341, 84}, {342, 85}, {343, 86}, {344, 86},
{345, 87}, {346, 88}, {347, 88}, {348, 89}, {349, 89}, {350, 90}, {351, 90},
{352, 91}, {353, 92}, {354, 92}, {355, 93}, {356, 93}, {357, 94}, {358, 94},
{359, 94}, {360, 95}, {361, 95}, {362, 96}, {363, 96}, {364, 96}, {365, 97}}
O u t [ ] =
{{307, 61}, {308, 62}, {309, 62}, {310, 63}, {311, 64}, {312, 64}, {313, 65}, {314, 65},
{315, 66}, {316, 67}, {317, 67}, {318, 68}, {319, 69}, {320, 70}, {321, 70}, {322, 71},
{323, 72}, {324, 72}, {325, 73}, {326, 74}, {327, 74}, {328, 75}, {329, 75}, {330, 77},
{331, 77}, {332, 78}, {333, 79}, {334, 79}, {335, 80}, {336, 81}, {337, 82},
{338, 82}, {339, 83}, {340, 84}, {341, 84}, {342, 85}, {343, 86}, {344, 86},
{345, 87}, {346, 88}, {347, 88}, {348, 89}, {349, 89}, {350, 90}, {351, 90},
{352, 91}, {353, 92}, {354, 92}, {355, 93}, {356, 93}, {357, 94}, {358, 94},
{359, 94}, {360, 95}, {361, 95}, {362, 96}, {363, 96}, {364, 96}, {365, 97}}
10 project (2).nb

I n [ ] : = riseTimes2 = {61, 62, 62, 63, 64, 64, 65, 65, 66, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 70, 71, 72,
72, 73, 74, 74, 75, 75, 77, 77, 78, 79, 79, 80, 81, 82, 82, 83, 84, 84, 85, 86, 86,
87, 88, 88, 89, 89, 90, 90, 91, 92, 92, 93, 93, 94, 94, 94, 95, 95, 96, 96, 96, 97}
O u t [ ] =
{61, 62, 62, 63, 64, 64, 65, 65, 66, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 70, 71, 72, 72, 73,
74, 74, 75, 75, 77, 77, 78, 79, 79, 80, 81, 82, 82, 83, 84, 84, 85, 86, 86, 87,
88, 88, 89, 89, 90, 90, 91, 92, 92, 93, 93, 94, 94, 94, 95, 95, 96, 96, 96, 97}

I n [ ] : = h2 = ListPlot[riseTimes2]
O u t [ ] =

90

80

70

10 20 30 40 50 60

I n [ ] : = test0 = LinearModelFit[data0, x, x]
O u t [ ] =

FittedModel 97.6 + 0.0982 x 

I n [ ] : = r0[x_] := 97.59649122807015` + 0.09824561403508952` x

19
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes0〚i〛 - r0[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
3.12982

19
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes0〚i〛 - r0[i]) / 19
i=1
O u t [ ] =
8.20177 × 10-15

19
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes0〚i〛 - r0[i]] / 19
i=1
O u t [ ] =
0.325762

I n [ ] : = 0.32576177285318786` * 60
O u t [ ] =
19.5457
 project (2).nb 11

I n [ ] : = m0 = Plot[r0[x], {x, 1, 19}]

O u t [ ] =
99.5

99.0

98.5

98.0

5 10 15

I n [ ] : = Show[m0, h0]
O u t [ ] =
99.5

99.0

98.5

98.0

5 10 15

I n [ ] : = test00 = LinearModelFit[data00, x, x]
O u t [ ] =

FittedModel 103. - 0.245 x 

I n [ ] : = r00[x_] := 103.31818181818169` - 0.2454545454545401` (x + 20)

11
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes00〚i〛 - r00[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
1.67182

11
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes00〚i〛 - r00[i]] / 11
i=1
O u t [ ] =
0.31157

I n [ ] : = 0.3115702479338774` * 60
O u t [ ] =
18.6942
12 project (2).nb

I n [ ] : = m00 = Plot[r00[x], {x, 1, 30}]

O u t [ ] =

103

102

101

100

99

98

97

5 10 15 20 25 30

I n [ ] : = Show[h00, m00]
O u t [ ] =

98.0

97.5

97.0

96.5

96.0

2 4 6 8 10

I n [ ] : = test000 = NonlinearModelFit[riseTimes000, 66.2 + 28.2 Cos[(1.97 a x Pi / 136) + 0.1], {a}, x]

O u t [ ] =

FittedModel 66.2 + 28.2 Cos[0.1 + 0.0377 x] 

I n [ ] : = (95 - 38) / 2 // N
O u t [ ] =
28.5

I n [ ] : = 95 - 28.5
O u t [ ] =
66.5

I n [ ] : =

r000[x_] := 66.2` + 28.2` Cos[0.1` + 0.037687268410182675` x]

 project (2).nb 13

I n [ ] : = m000 = Plot[r000[x], {x, 1, 77}]

O u t [ ] =

90

80

70

60

50

40
10 20 30 40 50 60 70

I n [ ] : = Show[h000, m000]
O u t [ ] =
100

80

60

40

20

10 20 30 40 50 60

68
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes000〚i〛 - r000[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
94.8714

68
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes000〚i〛 - r000[i]] / 68
i=1
O u t [ ] =
0.971165

I n [ ] : = 1.2914051082207538` * 60
O u t [ ] =
77.4843

I n [ ] : = test1 = LinearModelFit[data1, x, x]
O u t [ ] =

FittedModel 100. - 0.672 x 

I n [ ] : = r1[x_] := 100.49114045618239` - 0.6723169267707076` (x + 99)

14 project (2).nb

50
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes1〚i〛 - r1[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
138.466

50
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes1〚i〛 - r1[i]] / 50
i=1
O u t [ ] =
1.2615

I n [ ] : = m1 = Plot[r1[x], {x, 1, 148}]

O u t [ ] =

20

20 40 60 80 100 120 140

-20

-40

-60

I n [ ] : = Show[h1, m1]
O u t [ ] =

35

30

25

20

15

10

10 20 30 40 50

I n [ ] : = test11 = LinearModelFit[data11, x, x]
O u t [ ] =

FittedModel 3.43 + 6.93 × 10-16 x 

I n [ ] : = r11[x_] := 3.434782608695541` + 6.933408612283362`*^-16 (x + 149)

23
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes11〚i〛 - r11[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
5.65217
 project (2).nb 15

23
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes11〚i〛 - r11[i]] / 23
i=1
O u t [ ] =
0.491493

I n [ ] : = 0.49149338374289764` * 60
O u t [ ] =
29.4896

I n [ ] : = m11 = Plot[r11[x], {x, 1, 23}]

O u t [ ] =
7

5 10 15 20

I n [ ] : = Show[h11, m11]
O u t [ ] =

4.0

3.8

3.6

3.4

3.2

3.0

5 10 15 20

I n [ ] : = test111 = LinearModelFit[data111, x, x]
O u t [ ] =

FittedModel - 66.7 + 0.41 x 

I n [ ] : = r111[x_] := -66.6772965239166` + 0.4097453906935918` (x + 172)

135
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes111〚i〛 - r111[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
85.0311
16 project (2).nb

135
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes111〚i〛 - r111[i]] / 135
i=1
O u t [ ] =
0.661048

I n [ ] : = 0.6610482084855281` * 60
O u t [ ] =
39.6629

I n [ ] : = m111 = Plot[r111[x], {x, 1, 365}]

O u t [ ] =

150

100

50

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

I n [ ] : = Show[h111, m111]
O u t [ ] =
100

80

60

40

20

50 100 150

I n [ ] : = test2 = LinearModelFit[data2, x, x]
O u t [ ] =

FittedModel - 137. + 0.647 x 

I n [ ] : = r2[x_] := -137.04511981297784` + 0.6465225014611427` (x + 307)

59
I n [ ] : =  (riseTimes2〚i〛 - r2[i]) ^ 2
i=1
O u t [ ] =
61.7787
 project (2).nb 17

59
I n [ ] : =  Abs[riseTimes2〚i〛 - r2[i]] / 59
i=1
O u t [ ] =
0.795136

I n [ ] : = 0.7951361578618626` * 60
O u t [ ] =
47.7082

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 1] := r0[x]

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 2] := r00[x - 20]

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 3] := r000[x - 31]

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 4] := r1[x - 99]

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 5] := r11[x - 149]

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 6] := r111[x - 172]

I n [ ] : = f[x_, 7] := r2[x - 307]

I n [ ] : = s = Plot[{f[x, 1], f[x, 2], f[x, 3], f[x, 4], f[x, 5], f[x, 6], f[x, 7]}, {x, 0, 365}]
O u t [ ] =

100

50

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

-50

-100

-150

I n [ ] : = s1 = Plot[f[x, 1], {x, 1, 19}]

O u t [ ] =
99.5

99.0

98.5

98.0

5 10 15
18 project (2).nb

I n [ ] : = s2 = Plot[f[x, 2], {x, 20, 30}]

O u t [ ] =
98.5

98.0

97.5

97.0

96.5

22 24 26 28 30

I n [ ] : = s3 = Plot[f[x, 3], {x, 31, 98}]

O u t [ ] =

90

80

70

60

50

40 40 50 60 70 80 90

I n [ ] : = s4 = Plot[f[x, 4], {x, 99, 148}]

O u t [ ] =
35

30

25

20

15

10

110 120 130 140

 project (2).nb 19

I n [ ] : = s5 = Plot[f[x, 5], {x, 149, 171}]

O u t [ ] =
7

150 155 160 165 170

I n [ ] : = s6 = Plot[f[x, 6], {x, 172, 306}]

O u t [ ] =
60

50

40

30

20

10

180 200 220 240 260 280 300

I n [ ] : = s7 = Plot[f[x, 7], {x, 307, 365}]

O u t [ ] =
100

90

80

70

60 310 320 330 340 350 360

20 project (2).nb

I n [ ] : = Show[h, s1, s2, s3, s4, s5, s6, s7]

O u t [ ] =